2012级电子商务2实验一

2012级2实验一.。游外汇收入年均增长22.6%，与此同时国内旅游也迅速增长开放20多年来，特别是进入90年代后，中国的国内旅游收入年均增长14.4%，远高于同期GDP9.76%的增长。X4X5和铁路里程X6作为相关基础设施的代表。Yt——第t年旅游收X2——国内旅游人数（万人）X3（元）X4（元）DependentVariable:Method:LeastDate:06/05/15 Time:14:24Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- -- --MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-R2很大，F显著，但是x3x6不显著，符号有正有负，可能存在多重共线性。11111三.分别作Y对X2、X3、X4、X5、X6T按R2的大小排序：x2x6x4x5以x2DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:14:48Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 不显著，剔除DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t-C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:14:50Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x5DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x3x2x5第一种.x2x5为基础DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 加入x6DependentVariable:Method:LeastDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C-- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 加入x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-加入x3第二种，以x2x3为基础DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:21Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 剔除DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std. t---C MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- 保留DependentVariable:Method:LeastDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x5显著，但是x3不显著，剔除。x2x3x4x2x5x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:00Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t-----C MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x6DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t-----C-- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquared SchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x3模型一的最终结果为DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate: Time:Sample:1994Includedobservations:Std.t---C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-以x2x3x4DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:27Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- -- MeandependentAdjustedR- S.D.dependentS.E.of AkaikeinfoSumsquaredSchwarzLog -Hannan-QuinnF- x6DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:27Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std. t-----C--MeandependentAdjustedR-S.D.dependentS.E.ofAkaikeinfoSumsquared.SchwarzLog-Hannan-QuinnF-x5显著，但是x3出现问题DependentVariable:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/05/15 Time:15:29Sample:19942013Includedobservations:Std.t- -- MeandependentAdju