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1、纺织行业人士必备(Textile industry essential)China Textile portal - Analysis of Chinas textile industry developmentAt present, the international financial crisis is spreading to the real economy, its spread to a wide range of impact and depth, large, hundred years rare, America, Europe, Japan and other devel
2、oped countries have been plunged into economic recession. Under the condition of economic globalization, Chinas textile industry economy is difficult to be spared, and its development is facing great challenges. According to the current statistical data and observed phenomena, we can make a followin
3、g judgment on the current development trend of Chinas textile industry.Shrinking external demand, resulting in Chinas textile industry growth rate decline, the export situation is more severe, profits significantly reduced by Since the second half of 2008, Chinas industrial growth has declined marke
4、dly, and the growth rate of industrial added value and corporate profits above the scale has dropped to its lowest level in nearly 10 years. Two, 00, nine years, the external market will shrink further, the export situation is more severe. In February, Chinese exports $sixty-four billion and nine hu
5、ndred million, down twenty-five point seven percent, imports $sixty billion, down twenty-four point one percent, trade surplus of less than $five billion, far less than last month, nearly $forty billion. In 2009, 1-2 months, Chinas textile and garment exports totaled $21 billion 903 million, compare
6、d with the same period last year dropped 14.54%. Among them, clothing exports totaled $14 billion 617 million, down 11%. With single month data, in February that month, Chinas exports of textiles and clothing were $6 billion 675 million, a decrease of $8 billion 556 million, a decline of 56.17%, a s
7、ignificant decrease of $3 billion 625 million, down 35.19%. Clothing exports in February amounted to $4 billion 112 million, a monthly decline of 6 qoq. The data shows that Chinas foreign trade again in 2009 1-2 month after the sharp contraction, the decline of the nearly ten years since no, if taki
8、ng into account the Spring Festival in February last year, the export situation is worsening China continued to increase. The Customs announced the grim export figures, many market analysts said unexpectedly: some analysts pointed out that the European economic deterioration of the Chinese effect th
9、an expected, but also that the impact is just beginning, it is expected that the government will continue to introduce the stability of foreign trade policy. The reasons for this situation are manifold, among them, the most direct reason is that the international market demand caused by the financia
10、l crisis has dropped rapidly. This judgment is made based on the economic growth of all countries in the world because of falling demand slowed significantly, and the higher the export dependent countries, the more serious the slowdown in economic growth and industrial production, both developed and
11、 developing countries are basically the same. WTextile industry is the highest level of opening up and the most concentrated use of external resources in Chinas economy. It has suffered the first time in the impact of the international financial crisis. The export situation deteriorated sharply, tex
12、tile and apparel exports for the two consecutive month in 2009, the double down to the export enterprises also sounded the alarm, but also completely broke some industry optimistic expectations for the tax rebate policy effect. This is one of the important manifestations of the financial crisis spee
13、ding up the transmission to the real economy. Textile industry is an important industry for peoples livelihood. It is an industry with obvious international competitive advantages, and exports still have advantages. In February, the textile and garment export situation and at the end of the nineteen
14、th session of the China East China Import and Export Fair (hereinafter referred to as fair). Fair Organizing Committee data show that the number of overseas customers reached 18229 people, down 5.37% over the previous. Turnover from the point of view, China Fair total export turnover of $2 billion 2
15、40 million, down 39.06% over the previous. Among them, the textile and garment category traded 1 billion 245 million U.S. dollars, 32.47% lower than the previous; light industrial technology class turnover of $898 million, down 43.67% over the previous. Other commodities traded at $97 million 860 th
16、ousand, down 59.13% from the previous session. Customs said that due to the recent national continuous increase in labor-intensive products export tax rebate rate, so this year, some of its products export decline relative to the overall decline in exports. This shows,Chinas traditional labor-intens
17、ive textile industry still has a strong comparative advantage, at the same time, the state has continuously raised the export tax rebate rate, the export enterprises to provide credit support and other policy measures have also been initially apparent. WDomestic market is the first driving force of
18、Chinas textile industry development Since the fourth quarter of 2008, reflecting the relatively robust domestic demand, domestic investment and consumption growth, domestic demand is relatively normal, but with the national policy of expanding domestic demand, the domestic market is expected to main
19、tain steady growth, growth of Chinese textile industry will further increase the contribution. The proportion of Chinas textile enterprises above designated size has increased from two in 000 to 67% in the current 77% years. Chinas textile industry is one of the earliest industries affected by the f
20、inancial crisis. After the Spring Festival, fiber market appeared a rebound, if this favorable situation can continue into April, the chemical fiber industry is expected to bottom out; the textile industry this year whether domestic or export market, are on the rise. As a result, sales of chemical f
21、iber equipment and jet looms will also pick up. In addition, with the increase of the national infrastructure construction, such as wind power investment, for these areas of leather fabric, glass fiber fabric and the growing demand, related textile equipment sales will also be contrarian. From the c
22、lothing consumption, although China per fibre consumption from two to 000 years seven point five kg up to the current fifteen kilograms, but there is a big gap between the fiber and the developed countries per capita consumption of thirty kg to forty kg. From home textiles, with the increase in the
23、number of new homes and consumption levels, each household has an average of ten kg to twenty kilograms of home textile consumption. Especially in the vast rural areas of China, the current consumption of textile and clothing is still very low. All this means that Chinas textile and garment domestic
24、 demand market still has enormous space and potential. With the strengthening of infrastructure construction, the effect of the gradual emergence of policy, it is expected that in the next three years, industrial textiles will develop at a faster rate. WThe eastern region has been greatly affected,
25、and the investment focus of the textile industry has been accelerated, and investment in the central and western regions has been transferredWImpact of the crisis on the textile industry in various regions of our country development is not the same, among them, the biggest impact is relatively devel
26、oped export-oriented industry in southeast coastal areas, and within the textile industries in the Midwest and northeast regions affected by the relatively small. There are still some areas, textile development and construction boom unabated, economic development bucked the trend.WFirst, industries
27、in various regions have maintained a growth trend, but the growth rate in most areas has declined. The statistical data shows that in 2008, the national area, in addition to Qinghai, Tianjin, Shaanxi, Xinjiang and other 27 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions (excluding Hong Kong) indust
28、rial growth rate dropped from the previous year; the two is the growth of industry, investment and import and export showed fast slow East West feature, which, the southeast coastal areas especially the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta is the most serious impact of the international financial
29、crisis. In 2008, the eastern region industrial growth rate and total fixed asset investment growth rate is lower than the central and western regions, foreign trade growth in the eastern region and the western region larger decline, both export and import growth in three major areas; since November
30、2007, the textile industry fixed asset investment growth will appear gradually decreased the situation, in addition to the industry structural adjustment has significant effect, also reflects the change in the prosperity of the market situation, the investment enterprises active contraction front, i
31、n response to the decline in demand for the challenge. According to statistics, in 2008, Chinas textile project more than 5 million yuan totaled 272 billion 439 million yuan of investment, an increase of only 6.75%, the growth rate fell sharply by 18.99 percentage points over the previous year. Ther
32、e are 6047 new projects in the whole industry, a decrease of 7.86% over the previous year. From different regions, although the growth rate of investment in textile industry in the eastern, central and western regions has slowed down to varying degrees over the previous year,But the adjustment of Ch
33、inas textile industry investment to the central and western regions is still accelerating. According to statistics, in 2008, investment in fixed assets of textile enterprises in the eastern region dropped by 3.62% compared with the same period of last year, while the investment growth in the central
34、 and western regions reached 27.05% and 28.43% respectively. In the eastern region, the proportion of fixed asset investment in the whole industry has dropped markedly, down from 66.56% in the previous year to 60.10%, while the proportion of investment in the central and western regions has increase
35、d by 6.46 percentage points.Thus, at present, Chinas textile industry economic growth has obvious regional characteristics. As the center of traditional textile growth outside the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta and other export-oriented textile economy in southeast coastal areas mainly contr
36、ibuted to the growth rate of decline; and the international financial crisis to a certain extent, to speed up the investment and the transfer of the focus of regional economic structure adjustment process.The overall operation of textile enterprises is poor, but the basic conditions for development
37、have not changed fundamentally, As a result of the financial crisis, the business climate index has been falling rapidly since the second half of 2008, the lowest level since the three quarter of 2003. Business confidence index also fell, a record low in recent years. The decline in the business cli
38、mate index and the entrepreneur confidence index is indicative of a lack of vitality in the economy. After 2008 and October, the operation of Chinese enterprises deteriorated significantly. The market demand and is expected to dampen the confidence crisis of enterprise: enterprise technology innovat
39、ion will be inhibited, many enterprises do not dare or unwilling to continue to expand production, some entrepreneurs even lost the further development of the will of the enterprise behavior, short-term speculation, some textile enterprises due to funding strand breaks on the verge of bankruptcy. Th
40、is situation is more prominent in textile private enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises. The international financial crisis has seriously inhibited the effect of external demand and rising labor costs and the appreciation of the renminbi and other factors, the overall operating conditio
41、ns of textile industrial enterprises suffered a serious setback, but the development of the stage from the Chinese and major economies, economic and trade relations Chinese conditions of infrastructure, basic conditions to support the development of enterprises Chinese there is no fundamental change
42、. According to some statistics published in succession, the operation situation of textile industry enterprises has shown signs of improvement and recovery. New orders for some enterprises have increased. From the existing data and the state has introduced economic stimulus policy, textile enterpris
43、es appeared in the local production rebound, but the overall operating conditions of enterprises can fundamental improvement also depends on the resumption of exports and domestic demand expansion. In the adjustment and revitalization plan of the textile industry, the livelihood of the people and th
44、e pillar industries were mentioned and reflected. In the financial crisis situation, employment is the focus of Chinas macro policy. To ensure employment, we must protect the enterprise. Our country looks at these labor-intensive industries from the perspective of peoples livelihood. Textile industr
45、y is the traditional manufacturing and labor intensive industry which attracts the most employed people in our country. It directly affects the employment of workers in about 25 million industries and indirectly affects the livelihood of 100 million farmers. By giving preferential policies to suppor
46、t, the industry itself is no longer considered to be sunset industry, but also to more textile enterprises have confidence, thereby encouraging industrial upgrading, change the development of ideas.The impact of the worlds real economy is deepening, and the external environment for Chinas textile in
47、dustry development is grim, Although the crisis originated in the financial sector, but from the crisis evolution trend, the impact of the worlds real economy has been deepening, the adjustment of the real economy of major industrial countries is far from over. The decline of the real economy in the
48、 major developed countries, in turn, has further exacerbated the shock of global capital markets, and the volatility of asset prices has made investors lose their bearings. At the same time, by increasing the domestic employment pressure and government assistance program expenditure requirements, de
49、veloped countries like the U.S. and France have sent a clear protectionist signals; India, Brazil, Russia and other emerging economies trade policy had a tightening trend. Although the European Union, the west, 7 countries and other organizations recently frequent contacts,Coordinate the position of
50、 Member States and make clear that they oppose any form of trade protectionism, but trade protectionism and economic egoism are still in flood. Faced with the crisis of trade protectionism, WTO appeared helpless, exposed the limitations of the current multilateral trading system, but also made FTA a
51、nd other bilateral or regional institutional arrangements increasingly prominent.In this round of trade protectionism, made in China will still be the main victim. Since this year, the United States, India, Brazil and other countries have launched unprecedented and highly intensive trade remedy meas
52、ures to Chinas textile export products. At the same time, Chinas policies to stimulate and stimulate exports have repeatedly been criticized by the United States and other countries. Trade protectionism to Chinas textile exports are facing more trade barriers, some importers even in the export tax r
53、ebate increase as an excuse to pressure me in Chinas textile export enterprises, seeking lower prices, resulting in the textile export enterprises profits are further squeezed. We have 2/3 (scale) of the enterprises by the impact of the economic crisis is relatively large, there are about 9000000 em
54、ployees, because they are to scale enterprises after processing, the above scale enterprises affected by the market, the first impact is this part of the business process. As the external environment pressure of the industry has obviously increased, it has far exceeded the affordability of the indus
55、try, resulting in an obvious decline in the economic efficiency of the industry, and even the shrinking of profits since 2003. 2008 111 months, above scale textile enterprises realized a total profit of 104 billion 225 million yuan, down 1.77%, the growth rate over the same period last year fell by
56、38.76 percentage points; profit rate is 3.45%, compared to the same period last year fell by nearly 14%. From the industry point of view, most of the sub industry profit growth has shown different levels of decline, including chemical fiber, textile machinery and other industries even negative growt
57、h of profits. 2008 111 months, chemical fiber industry realized profit of 3 billion 402 million yuan, down 74.89%, while the textile machinery industry profits of 1 billion 633 million yuan, down 40.56%. The customs in March 11th announced the latest import and export statistics, the month of Februa
58、ry, Chinas textile and apparel exports totaled $6 billion 686 million, compared with last month, a decrease of $8 billion 545 million, an increase of -82.96%, compared with the same period last year dropped $3 billion 614 million, representing growth of -35.09%. The textile yarn, fabrics and product
59、s monthly exports $2 billion 573 million, down 32.29%; clothing and accessories monthly exports of $4 billion 113 million, representing growth of -36.55% growth, compared with the same period last year fell by 24.15 percentage points.WThe role of the governments economic stimulus policy is beginning
60、 to show, but the follow-up policy is still needed to cope with the deepening crisisWOverall, the recent State Council executive meeting examined and approved in principle the textile industry adjustment and revitalization plan and the stimulus package will promote the introduction of textile market
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