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UnlockingOpportunity:
AGlobalFrameworkfor
EnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow
WHITEPAPER
SEPTEMBER2024
Contents
Executivesummary3
Introduction4
1Methodology:Mappingjobtransitions6
1.1Introducingamethodformappingjobtransitions6
1.2Updatedmethodsforaglobalanalysis6
1.3Anexamplejobtransition7
2Framework:Enablingjobtransitions8
2.1Reskillingandupskillingfornewopportunities8
2.2Improvingemployee-employermatching8
2.3Workersafetynets9
2.4Multistakeholdercollaborationtobreakthroughindustrybarriers9
3Regionalanalysis11
3.1Globaltrends:TransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow11
3.2EastAsiaandthePacific12
3.3Europe15
3.4LatinAmericaandtheCaribbean18
3.5MiddleEastandNorthAfrica21
3.6NorthAmerica23
3.7SouthAsia25
3.8Sub-SaharanAfrica27
Conclusion29
Contributors30
Endnotes31
Disclaimer
Thisdocumentispublishedbythe
WorldEconomicForumasacontributiontoaproject,insightareaorinteraction.
Thefindings,interpretationsand
conclusionsexpressedhereinarearesultofacollaborativeprocessfacilitatedand
endorsedbytheWorldEconomicForumbutwhoseresultsdonotnecessarily
representtheviewsoftheWorldEconomicForum,northeentiretyofitsMembers,
Partnersorotherstakeholders.
©2024WorldEconomicForum.Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproducedortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,includingphotocopyingandrecording,orbyanyinformation
storageandretrievalsystem.
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow2
September2024
UnlockingOpportunity
AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow
Executivesummary
Thegloballabourmarketisinthemidstof
aprofoundtransformation.Astechnological
breakthroughs,geoeconomicshiftsandtheneedforanequitableclimatetransitiondisrupttraditionalemploymentpatterns,theabilityofworkersto
transitionintonewrolesisbecomingessential
formaintainingemploymentandachievingsocialmobility,andisincreasinglyseenasacritical
mechanismforoptimizingeconomicproductivityandenhancingindividualwell-being.
Withadequatesupportmeasures,manymore
jobtransitionscouldbetakingplace–leadingnotonlytomuchneededcontinuousemploymentforworkers,butalsotobetterjobsthatpayhigher
salariesandofferthesecurityprovidedbygrowinglabour-marketdemand.Byproactivelyfacilitating
thesetransitions,economiescanbetteralignlaboursupplywithdemand,reduceunemploymentand
enableworkerstosecurehigher-paying,more
stablejobsingrowthsectors.Moreover,proactivejobtransitionshelpmitigatetheadverseeffectsofjobdisplacement,ensuringthatworkersarenot
leftbehindinthefaceofeconomicchangebutareinsteadpositionedtothriveintheneweconomy.
Thispaper’sanalysis,incollaborationwith
Lightcast,isbasedonempiricaldatafrom14
economiesacrosssevenglobalregions:EastAsia
andthePacific,Europe,LatinAmericaandthe
Caribbean,theMiddleEastandNorthAfrica,NorthAmerica,SouthAsia,andSub-SaharanAfrica.Foreachregion,weexaminedataonjobtransitions
fromonlinejobpostingsandhighlightspecificjob
transitionsthatcharacterizetheregion’spotential
forsuccessfullyadaptingtothelabour-market
transformation.Importantly,wefindthreenotable
trendsobservedacrossallregions:therapidgrowthoftransitionsintodigitalandICT(Informationand
CommunicationsTechnology)-basedjobs,the
highfrequencyoftransitionsintohuman-centric
healthandcarejobs,andtheriseoftransitionsintobusinessservicesroles.
ThepaperbuildsonearlierWorldEconomic
Forumworktoprovideaglobalframeworkfor
keystakeholdersinbusinessandgovernmentto
facilitatejobtransitions,highlightingtheneedfor:
(1)reskillingandupskillingfornewopportunities;(2)improvingemployee-employermatching;(3)workersafetynets;and(4)multistakeholdercollaborationtobreakthroughindustrybarriers.Italso
providescasestudiesspecifictoeachregionthatdemonstrateexistinginitiativesandprogrammesthatsupportandenableworkertransitions.Thesecasestudieswerecollectedfromboththeprivateandpublicsectors,anddemonstratesuccessfulmultistakeholdercollaborationbetweenboth.
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow3
Introduction
Traditionally,jobtransitionswereoftenassumedtohappen“naturally”asthelabourmarketadjustsovertime.However,giventheaccelerating
paceofchangecurrentlyseenintoday’sgloballabourmarket,thereisanincreasingneed
foramorepurposefulapproachtotheissue.Thetransformationsthatlabourmarketsareexperiencingemphasizetheneedforstrategicworkforceplanningandtalentdevelopment
toprepareforupcominggloballabour-marketdisruptions.Swifterandmoreefficientjob
reallocationmechanisms,withinandacrossdifferentfirmsandsectors,arecritical.Thecomingyears
representagenerationalopportunityforbusinessesandpolicy-makerstohelpworkerstransition
outofdecliningrolesorunemploymentandinto
growingjobsofthefuture,whilefosteringeconomicinclusionandopportunity,therebycontributingto
shapingmoreinclusive,sustainableandresilienteconomiesandsocieties.
Buildingonearlierproof-of-conceptresearch,1thispapermakesthecasethatjobtransitionscanbefacilitated–bygovernments,bybusinessesandbyindividualsthemselves–tooptimizethefine-tuningofthebroadereconomyandimprovethewell-
beingofworkers.Itprovidesaglobalframework
toanalyseandenablejobtransitions,basedonaregionalanalysisthatexaminesreal-worldempiricaldataonjobtransitionsfrom14economiesacross
Technologicalbreakthroughs,geoeconomicshifts
andtheneedforanequitabletransitionaredisruptingthegloballabourmarket.Accordingtodatafrom
theWorldEconomicForum’s
FutureofJobsReport
2023
,nearlyone-quarterofalljobsgloballyare
projectedtochangeby2027,with69millionnewjobrolesexpectedtobecreatedand83millionjobrolesexpectedtobedisplaced.(Figure1)Jobsexpectedtobemostaffectedbyincreasedtechnology
adoptionincluderolessuchasbanktellers,postal
serviceworkers,cashiersandticketclerks.Some
oftheprojectedfastest-growingjobsincluderoles
suchasartificialintelligence(AI)andmachinelearningspecialists,sustainabilityspecialistsandbusiness
intelligenceanalysts(Figure2).
Jobtransitionsareoneofthemostimportant
mechanismsthatneedtobeaddressedina
changinglabour-marketenvironment.Onthe
surface,ajobtransitionissimplytheactofan
individualmovingfromonejobtoanother.Job
transitionsoftenhappengradually–because
demandfrombusinessesdeclinesforsome
roles,whileitincreasesforothers,orbecause
individualshaveadesiretoperformadifferenttaskorearnahighersalary.Inaggregate,acrossentireeconomiesorregionsoftheworld,jobtransitions
areacontinuousprocess,drivingevolving
structuralshiftsoftheeconomy,asseenduringpreviousindustrialrevolutions.
FIGURE1
Projectedtotalglobaljobgrowthandloss,2023-2027
二Onemillionjobs
23%
LostjobsStablejobsNewjobs
oftoday’sjobwillchange
Source
WorldEconomicForum,FutureofJobs2023,2023
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow4
FIGURE2
Fastest-growingvsfastest-decliningjobs,globally,2023-2027
Top10fastest-growingjobsTop10fastest-decliningjobs
AIandmachinelearningspecialists
Sustainabilityspecialists
BusinessintelligenceanalystsInformationsecurityanalystsFintechengineers
DataanalystsandscientistsRoboticsengineers
Electrotechnologyengineers
AgriculturalequipmentoperatorsDigitaltransformationspecialists
Note
Thejobsthatsurveyrespondentsexpecttogrowmostquicklyfrom2023to2027asafractionofpresentemploymentfigures.
Banktellersandrelatedclerks
Postalserviceclerks
CashiersandticketclerksDataentryclerks
Administrativeandexecutivesecretaries
Material-recordingandstock-keepingclerksAccounting,bookkeepingandpayrollclerksLegislatorsandofficials
Statistical,financeandinsuranceclerksDoor-to-doorsalesworkers,newsandstreetvendorsandrelatedworkers
Source
WorldEconomicForum,FutureofJobs2023,2023
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
sevenworldregionsandconnectsthemwithrelevantcasestudies.
employee-employermatching;workersafetynets;andmultistakeholdercollaborationtobreakthroughindustrybarriers.Todemonstratetheapplicability
oftheframework,thepaperthenpresentsan
empiricalregionalanalysis,identifyingviableand
desirablejobtransitionsfromsevenworldregions,basedonobservedreal-world,country-level
data.Foreachregion,thepaperalsohighlights
severalcasestudiesthatillustratethesuccessfulapplicationofpoliciestopromotejobtransitionsaswellastheresultstheyyielded.
Thepaperbeginsbypresentingthefoundationsofitsmethodologyformappingviableanddesirablejobtransitions,developedaspartofearlierWorldEconomicForumresearch.Thenextsection
presentsanextendedframeworktopromote
proactivetransitionstowardhigh-growth,high-opportunityjobs,basedonfourpillars:reskillingandupskillingfornewopportunities;improving
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow5
Methodology:
Mappingjobtransitions
1.1
Introducingamethodformappingjobtransitions
ThisreportbuildsonpriorWorldEconomicForumresearchonmappingjob-transitionopportunitiesthatwerepublishedacrosstwomajorreportsincollaborationwithBCGandLightcast(formerly:
BurningGlassTechnologies).
Thefirst,
TowardsaReskillingRevolution:AFuture
ofJobsforAll
,publishedin2018,isfocusedon
jobsthatareexpectedtodeclineinthemedium
term,duetoautomationfromtechnological
advancements,makinguseoflabour-demand
projectionsprovidedbytheUSBureauofLabor
Statistics.Toidentifypracticaljobtransitionsfor
currentworkersinthesejobs,twobroadcriteriaareconsidered:“viability”and“desirability”.
Viablejobtransitionsarethoseforwhichan
individualpossesses–orcouldrealisticallyacquire–theskillsrequiredforthenextoccupation.Thisispracticallyassessedviatwodatameasures.First,
theskillsetsimilaritybetweenthestartingroleand
thedestinationroleisdeterminedbyassessing
theskillsandtasksrequiredbyeachoccupation.
Thisisdoneviatextanalysisofinternetjobpostingdata,whichallowsforthecreationofasimilarity
indexthatdetermineshowclosetheskillandtask
requirementsofanytwopositionsare.Second,theeducationandworkexperiencerequirementsofthedestinationoccupationaretakenintoconsideration,capturedbyameasureprovidedbytheUSBureauofLaborStatisticscalled“jobzones.”Jobzones
quantifytheexpectedlevelofeducation,work
experienceandon-the-jobtrainingrequiredforan
occupation.Asufficientlyclosejobzonemeasureforanytworolessuggeststhatanindividualwouldbequalifiedtomakethetransitionbetweentheroles.
Desirablejobtransitionsareviablejobtransitionsthatfeaturetwoadditionalconsiderations:
sustainablelong-termstability,i.e.jobsthathave
projectedpositivelabour-demandgrowth,and
adequatefinancialremuneration,i.e.jobsthat
providesalaryequaltoorgreaterthanone’scurrentjob.Asmanyjobtransitionsareprecipitatedbya
concernthatone’scurrentjobmaybeindeclineduetotechnologicalchangeorothereconomic
factors,transitioningintoarolewithhighergrowthprospectswouldbeafundamentallydesirable
factor.Regardingadequatesalary,fewindividualswouldconsiderajobtransitionthatleadstoa
lowerstandardofliving.Readersareencouragedtoreviewtheoriginalpublication,whichprovidesadditionalmethodologicaldetails.2
Asecondpublication,
TowardsaReskilling
Revolution:Industry-LedActionfortheFuture
ofWork
,publishedin2019,makesthecase
forpublic-andprivate-sectorinvestmentin
learningandskillingtofacilitatetheviabilityofjobtransitions.Thereportpresentedaninnovative,
quantitativecost-benefitanalysistoassessthe
businessandeconomiccaseforretrainingexistingworkers,versuslaying-offcurrentemployeesandrehiringanew.Italsoprovidedcomprehensive
industry-specificroadmapsthatidentifiednew
technologiesparticulartotheindustry,topjobsintheindustry,expectedimpactoftechnologyontheworkforce,andtheindustry’smostpertinentemerginganddecliningjobs.3
1.2
Updatedmethodsforaglobalanalysis
Whilethesetwoearlierreportsprovidedan
innovativeapproachtounderstandingand
assessingthefeasibilityofjobtransitions–and
havesincebeenincorporatedintoanumber
ofotherstudiesandinitiatives–theiranalyses
weregeographicallylimitedtotheUnitedStates.Additionally,analysiswasperformedondatafrom2017,andonemayexpectthejobspecificdatatoquicklybecomeoutdatedinarapidlyevolvingtechnologicalandeconomiccontext.Thegoalof
thepresentpaperistobroadenthegeographicalscopeinidentifyingviableanddesirablejob
transitionsaswellastoprovideanalysisonthemostrecentavailabledata.
Ourpresentanalysisisbasedonatotalof14
economies–Australia,Brazil,CzechRepublic,Germany,India,Indonesia,Pakistan,Philippines,SouthAfrica,Spain,Türkiye,UnitedArab
Emirates,UnitedKingdomandtheUnitedStates
1
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow6
–offeringaglobalunderstandingofjob-transition
opportunities.Country-leveldatahasbeenprovidedincollaborationwithLightcast,alabour-marketdataandanalyticsproviderthathascompiledaglobal
databaseofmillionsofonlinejobpostingsoverthe2023-2024period,fromwhichwederiveourjobtransitionsinsights.4
Tokeeptheanalysisasconsistentaspossible
acrossthediverserangeofeconomiescoveredbyourdataset,weusealimitednumberofmetricsinassessingjobtransitions.Togeneralizeourpreviousapproachacrossadditionalgeographiesandidentifyviablejobtransitions,weuseempiricalobservationsofactualtransitionsthathavetakenplaceinthe
locallabourmarketsofthecountriesweexamine
examplejobtransition
andfocusonthemostcommontransitionsforeachparticularstartingoccupation.5Inaddition,wefocusontransitionsforwhichthedestinationoccupationsfeatureamongthehighestnumberofonline
postings;thus,notonlydowefocusonfrequent
transitions,butfrequenttransitionsintorolesthatareinhighdemand.Toidentifydesirablejobtransitions,wefocusontransitionsthatprovidethegreatest
increaseinannualsalaryfromstartingtodestinationoccupation,asinthecriteriausedinourearlier
reports.Limitingouranalysistothesetwoindicators–numberofonlinepostingsandannualsalary–
allowsustoprovidethemostconsistentanalysispossibleacrosstherangeofeconomieswestudy.6
Accordingly,theregionalanalysissectionofthis
reporthighlightsselectedtopjobtransitionsper
geographicalregionthatareeachillustrativeofthemostviableanddesirableoptionslocallyavailable,thosethatarefrequentlyobservedinthedata,andthatfeatureahighsalaryincrease,basedonthe
mostcurrentdataavailable.
1.3
TABLE1
Starting
CountryTitle
An
Table1providesanexamplejobtransitionto
illustratetheformatusedinthesubsequent
sections.TheexamplecomesfromIndiaandis
oneofthemostcommonjobtransitionsobservedinourcountry-leveldataset:atransitionfromtheroleof“Manufacturing/ProductionTechnician”to“SoftwareDeveloper/Engineer”.Theinitialand
finalsalariesareindicated,withthecompleted
transitionresultinginanincreaseof519,568Indian
rupees(INR).Atthetimeofdatacollection,atotalof650,659onlinejobpostingscorrespondedto
SoftwareDeveloper/Engineer,whichisamongthehighestpostingcountsforanoccupationfoundinIndia.Furthermore,SoftwareDeveloperisamongthemostcommondestinationoccupationsamongthethousandsofjobtransitionswehaveexaminedwithintheSouthAsiaregionandworldwide.
Examplejobtransition
occupationDestinationoccupation
Averagesalary(INR)
Average
Title
salary(INR)
Numberofonlinejobpostings
Salarydifference(INR)
Salary%difference
India
ManufacturingProductionTe
/
chnician
131,091
SoftwareDeveloper/Engineer
650,659
676,351
519,568
+396%
ProductionSupervisor
251,174
31,744
120,083
+92%
Office/AdministrativeAssistant
220,784
90,771
89,693
+68%
Source
Lightcast.
Note
INR=Indianrupee.
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow7
2
FIGURE3
2.1
2.2
Framework:
Enablingjobtransitions
JobTransitionsFramework
Reskillingandupskillingfornewopportunities
Improvingemployee-employermatching
Worker
safetynets
Multistakeholdercollaboration
tobreakthroughindustrybarriers
TheJobsTransitionFramework(Figure3)proposedinthissectionidentifiesfourkeyleverstopromotetransitionstowardhigh-growth,high-opportunity
jobsandoutlinestherolesthatemployers,thepublicsectorandotherstakeholdersmayplayinfacilitatingthesetransitions.Itwasdevelopedinconsultationwithawidevarietyofexpertsandpractitionerssupportingthe
WorldEconomic
Forum’sJobsInitiative
.
Reskillingandupskillingfornewopportunities
Reskillingandupskillingarekeyenablersofjob
transitions.Asjobschange,thetaskstheyare
comprisedof,andtheskillsrequiredtoexecute
thosetasks,change.TheWorldEconomicForum’sFutureofJobsReport2023projectsthat,on
average,44%oftheskillsrequiredinanygivenjobwillbetransformedoverafive-yearperiod.
Thus,reskillingandupskillingtodevelopnew
skillsshouldnotbeviewedasaone-timeeffort.Aculturalshifttowardscontinuouslearningandadaptabilityisthebackbonesupportingallotherdriversofjobtransitions.Forworkers,thismeansrecognizingthatcareerpathsarenolongerlinearandthatreskillingandupskillingareintegralto
maintainingemployability.Organizationsmust
createenvironmentsthatsupportlifelonglearningandflexibility–andviewemployeedevelopmentasastrategicinvestmentratherthanacost.
Moreover,thereisaneedforharmonization
andmutualrecognitionofdiversetypesofskills
accreditationsbeyondtraditionalacademic
degrees.Adoptingacommon,standardizedskillstaxonomyand/orontologyandenablingcredentialandcompetencyportabilityallowworkersto
transitionmoreeasilybetweenroles,industriesandregions,empoweringthemtopursuenewopportunities,andgiveemployersaccesstoabroadertalentpool.
Improvingemployee-employermatching
Employerscanimprovejob-matchingefficiencybypromotingjobflexibilityandalternativeemploymentarrangements,enablingmoreinclusiveaccessand(re-)entryintothelabourmarket.Forexample,
flexibleworkingarrangements,includingscheduleflexibilityandremotework,maybringpeoplewithtimeandlocationrestrictionsintotheworkforcewhomightotherwisehavegivenupontheirjobsearchaltogether.OnerecentWorldEconomic
Forumreportestimatesthat,by2030,92millionjobscouldbedonefullyremotely.7
Appropriatelydesignedtemporarywork
opportunitiesmayalsohelpworkersgaincareer
experience,buildexpertiseinnewskillsandachievegreaterfinancialandsocialsecurity.8Governmentscouldenhanceflexibleemploymentmodelsby
implementingpoliciesthatbalancejobflexibility
withworkerprotectionsandbenefits.Forexample,
theymayestablishclearregulationsforplatform
workersandoperators,ensuringfairwages,timelypaymentsandtransparenttermsofservice.
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow8
2.3
Employerscouldhelpboostjobtransitionsthroughinternaljobmobilityaswellasmentorships
andcoachingschemes.Forexample,astudy
of2,258Dutchworkersbetween2014and
2017foundthattraining,educationorindividual
coachingshortlybeforeorafterjobdisplacementshortenedunemploymentbyalmostthreemonths,onaverage.9Governmentsmayalsoconnect
employeesandemployersmoreeffectivelythrough
Workersafetynets
Robustandagilesocialsafetynetsareessential
forsupportingindividualsthroughjobtransitions,
extendedcareerchangesorunforeseenissues,
ensuringthatworkerscanmaintainadecent
standardoflivingthroughouttheprocess.Byofferingdirectfinancialsupportorindirectsupport(through
healthcarebenefitsorotheressentialservices),safetynetshelpmitigatetheadverseeffectsofjobloss
andeconomicinstability,thuscreatingaresilientworkforce,enablingworkerstonavigatecareerchangeswithsecurityandconfidence.
Governmentscouldalsoofferunemployment
insurancedirectlytodisplacedindividualsor
indirectlythroughsubsidizedseverancepackagesorwages,allowingemployerstoretainemployeestemporarilybeforepermanentdisplacement.
Employersmightoffertemporaryunemployment
benefitstoworkersdisplacedduetochangingskillrequirements,givingthemachancetoreskillor
upskillandre-enterthelabourmarket.Employerscouldalsocollaboratewithlocalgovernmentsto
ensurecontinuoussupportandshouldcomply
withlocalregulationstoprotectworkers.Finally,
governmentsmighthelpmitigateadversefinancialconsequencesofjobtransitionsbyenactinglabourlawsthatprotectagainstunfairdismissaland
ensurefairseverancepackages.
employmentagenciesandjob-searchassistance,actingasintermediariestomatchskillsdemandwithsupplyinthelabourmarket.
Employerscouldalsoleverageagrowingrangeofworkforcetechsolutionstohelpunlockgreatertalentpoolsandenableinclusivehiring,improvingjob-matchingefficiency.
Directsocialprotectioncantakevariousforms
beyondunemploymentinsurance,suchasold-agepensions,healthprotections,disabilitybenefits,
maternitybenefitsorsicknessorinjurybenefits.10
Indirectgovernmentsupporttobusinesses,
especiallysmallbusinesses,cantaketheformof
corporatetaxcreditsorgrantslinkedtotraining
andskillingprogrammes.Additionally,governmentsmaymandateaccesstobasicworkerprotectionsthatarefrequentlylackinginthegigeconomy,
suchashealthinsurance,retirementplansandunemploymentbenefits.
2.4
Multistakeholdercollaboration
tobreakthroughindustrybarriers
Multistakeholdercollaborationmayhelpbridge
job-transitiongapsbetweenandwithinindustriesbycoordinatingpublicandprivateentities,educationalinstitutionsandotherkeystakeholders.Employerscouldcollaboratewithinorbetweenindustries
tounderstandwhereskillsadjacenciesexist,
learnfromeachotherandworktogethertohelptheirworkerstransition.Companiesinthesamesectorcancollaboratebysharingknowledgeandswappingtalentedemployees,creatingamore
creativeandinnovativeworkplace.Thisallowsemployeestojoinothercompanies’training
programmesandestablishmutuallybeneficial
relationships,helpingworkersacquirenew
skillsandgainexposuretodifferentcompanies,facilitatingpotentialfuturetransitions.
Akeypolicytoolenabledbypublic-andprivate-
sectorcooperationisportablebenefits.11Portablebenefitsarenottiedtoanemployerandmovewiththeworkerbetweenjobs.Thisisespeciallyusefulfortemporaryorpart-timework,whereemployeesfrequentlychangeemployersorworkschedules.Portablebenefitsmightincludepaymentslike
retirementsavings,unemploymentinsurance,paidleave,oreducationandlearningallowances.
UnlockingOpportunity:AGlobalFrameworkforEnablingTransitionstotheJobsofTomorrow9
Governmentscouldalsopartnerwithbusinesses
andeducationalinstitutionstoimplementtargeted
reskillingandreemploymentprogrammes,facilitatingjobtransitionswithinorbetweenindustries.For
example,theGermangovernmentintegratedjob
transitionsintotheirnationalindustrialstrategyto
supportworkersandcommunitiesduringtheenergytransitionandcoal-productiondeclin
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