量化历史讲习班议程

1、Tsinghua Summer Workshop for Quantitative HistoryJuly 5-15, 2013 Organized by the Center for Market and Society, Tsinghua UniversityProgram OverviewJuly 4: RegistrationJuly 5-July 8: Lectures/SeminarsJuly 9: CMS Opening Ceremony and SymposiumJuly 10-July 14: Lectures/SeminarsJuly 15: DepartureJuly 5

2、: Lectures/Seminars8:30-8:45Opening RemarksZhiwu CHEN8:45-10:05LectureGregory Clark, “European Exceptionalism and the Industrial Revolution- Did Europe Escape the Malthusian Trap before 1800?”10:05-10:25Coffee/Tea Break10:25-11:45LectureGregory Clark, “European Exceptionalism and the Industrial Revo

3、lution- The Consumer Revolution and the Industrious Revolution”13:30-14:50LectureYu HAO,” Measuring long-term Social mobility of China and Taiwan using surnames”14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureDebin Ma,” International Comparison of Historical Living Standards: general methodology issues

4、”18:00Welcome Dinner19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 6: Lectures/Seminars8:30-9:50LectureGregory Clark, “European Exceptionalism and the Industrial Revolution- Human Capital and the Child Quality/Quantity Tradeoff”9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureGregory Clark, “European Exceptional

5、ism and the Industrial Revolution- The History of Social Mobility”13:30-14:50Seminar14:50-15:10Coffee Break15:10-16:30LectureDebin Ma, “International Comparison of Historical Living Standards: a real approach”19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 7: Lectures/Seminars8:30-9:50LectureDebin Ma, “Inter

6、national Comparison of Historical Productivities: a factor-price approach”9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureDebin Ma, “Rock, Scissors and Paper: an institutional and quantitative reinterpretation of the traditional Chinese state”13:30-14:50Seminar14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30Lectu

7、reJames Kung, “Influence of the West”19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 8: Lectures/Seminars8:30-9:50LectureJames Kung, “Economics of Conflicts in Historical Perspective”9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureJames Kung, “Political Economic History of the Peoples Republic”13:30-14:50Seminar

8、14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureZhiwu CHEN, Kaixiang PENG, “A Quantitative Re-assessment of Qing Dynasty China”19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 9: CMS Opening Ceremony and Symposium8:00-8:30Registration8:30-9:00Opening Remarks9:00-18:00Presentations18:00DinnerJuly 10: Lectures/Sem

9、inars8:30-9:50LectureJan Luiten van Zanden, ”The emergence of 'modern' economic growth in the early modern period: Western Europe and China compared-1. Urbanization and economic growth 1100-1900”9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureJan Luiten van Zanden, ”The emergence of 'modern&

10、#39; economic growth in the early modern period: Western Europe and China compared-2. Institutions and State Formation”13:30-14:50LectureSe YAN, “Historical Legacy and Institutional Persistence: the Importance of History for Economic Development”14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureWilliam N

11、. Goetzmann, “Integrating quantitative methods with historical evidence: news, diaries and printed images; a case study of the first stock market crash”19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 11: Lectures/Seminars8:30-9:50LectureWilliam N. Goetzmann, “Potential for market history in China: what we ca

12、n learn from the Shanghai Stock Exchange Project”9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureJan Luiten van Zanden, ”The emergence of 'modern' economic growth in the early modern period: Western Europe and China compared-3. The Little Divergence within Europe”13:30-14:50Seminar14:50-15:10Cof

13、fee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureLi-An ZHOU, “Culture, Religion and Economic Development” 16:30-16:45Coffee/Tea Break16:45-17:30LeutureLi-An ZHOU, “The Governance of Marine Customs in the Qing Dynasty: A Comparative Institutional Analysis”19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 12: Lectures/Seminars8:3

14、0-9:50LectureDavid Stasavage, "Democracy, War, and Wealth: Evidence of Two Centuries of Inheritance Taxation"9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureDavid Stasavage, "When Distance Mattered: Geographic Scale and the Development of European Representative Assemblies"13:30-14:5

15、0Seminar14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureJames Lee, “Historical Demography and the MIT Eurasian Population and Family History Series”19:00-21:00Reading and DiscussionsJuly 13: Lectures/Seminars8:30-9:50LectureJames Lee, “The Genealogy of Inequality”9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30Le

16、ctureDavid Stasavage, "Was Weber Right? City Autonomy, Political Oligarchy, and the Rise of Europe."13:30-14:50Seminar14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureMartin Uebele, "Introduction into Historical Business Cycle Analysis with an Application to China"19:00-21:00Reading

17、and DiscussionsJuly 14: Lectures/Seminars8:30-9:50LectureBozhong Li, “The GDP study in economic history and the System of Historical National Accounts” (经济史中的GDP研究与历史国民账户系统) 9:50-10:10Coffee/Tea Break10:10-11:30LectureBozhong Li, “The comparative studies in qualitative history” (量化史学中的比较研究)13:3

18、0-14:50Seminar14:50-15:10Coffee/Tea Break15:10-16:30LectureDenggao LONG, “Land Transaction in Pre-modern China”18:00Farewell DinnerJuly 15: DepartureIntroduction of the Speakers:Zhiwu Chen (陈志武)Zhiwu Chen is a professor at Yale University and he is an expert on finance theory, securities valuation,

19、emerging markets, and China's economy and capital markets. Dr. Chen started his career by publishing research papers in top economics and finance journals on topics related to financial markets and theories of asset pricing. Around 2001, Dr. Chen began to expand his research focus by going beyon

20、d mature markets and investigating market development and institution-building issues in the context of Chinas transition process and other emerging markets. What institutions are necessary for markets to develop? Why is finance important for society? How does financial development affect social str

21、ucture and individual freedom? His work has been featured in newspapers and magazines in the United States, Hong Kong, China and other countries. He is a frequent contributor to media publications in China on topics of economic policy, market development and legal reform. His list of books published

22、 in China includes: How Is Wealth Created? (2005), Media, Law and Markets (2005), Why Are the Chinese Industrious and Yet Not Rich? (2008), Irrational Overconfidence? (2008), The Logic of Finance (2009), 24 Wealth Lectures (2009), and Assessing Chinas Economic Growth of the Past 30 Years (2010). Hom

23、e page: /faculty/profiles/chen.shtmlGregory ClarkGregory Clark is a Professor of Economics at the University of California, Davis, and an Editor of the European Review of Economic History. His main research areas are long-run economic growth, the wealth of nations, with particular

24、focus on the economic history of England and India. He is the author of the book A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World. He has just completed another book for Princeton University Press, to be published in late 2013, provisionally titled The Son Also Rises: 1,000 Years of Social

25、Mobility. His recent articles include “The Surprising Wealth of Pre-Industrial England” (with Joseph Cummins, Brock Smith), “A Review of Avner Greifs, Institutions, and the Path to the Modern Economy”, “Coal and the Industrial Revolution, 1700-1869”  (with David Jacks), “The Long March of Histo

26、ry: Farm Wages, Population and Economic Growth, England 1209-1869”, and “The Condition of the Working-Class in England, 1209-2004”. Professor Clark worked on some important databases such as Charity Commission Data, Charity Commission Capital Returns, Charity Commission Land Rents, and Charity Commi

27、ssion Enclosure History. Home page: /faculty/gclark/index.htmlWilliam N. GoetzmannWilliam N. Goetzmann is the Edwin J. Beinecke Professor of Finance and Management Studies & Director of the International Center for Finance, Yale University. He is an expert on a diverse

28、range of investments, including stocks, mutual funds, real estate, and paintings. His research topics include forecasting stock markets, selecting mutual fund managers, housing as investment, and the risk and return of art. Professor Goetzmann's work has been featured in The Wall Street Journal,

29、 The New York Times, Business Week, The Economist, Forbes, and Art and Auction. Professor Goetzmann has a background in arts and media management. As a documentary filmmaker, he has written and co-produced programs for Nova and the American Masters series, including a profile of artist Thomas Eakins

30、. A former director of Denver's Museum of Western Art, Professor Goetzmann co-authored The Origins of Value: The Financial Innovations that Created Modern Capital Markets. Home page: /faculty/profiles/goetzmann.shtmlYu Hao (郝煜)Yu Hao is a PhD candidate in Economics at UC Davis.

31、 He earned his BA in Economics from Peking University and expects to earn his PhD in Economics from UC Davis this June. His current research focuses on long term social mobility of China and Taiwan and the interactions of social, economic, and institutional factors that determine the equilibrium lev

32、el of social mobility. His job market paper “social mobility of China, 1645-2012: a surname study” (co-authored with Gregory Clark) is funded by EHA dissertation fellowship and the Grant of National Science Foundation of US. Home page: James Kung (龚启圣)James Kung is a Chair Professor in the Division

33、of Social Science and a Senior Fellow of the Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He has recently been conferred the title of Yan Ai Foundation Professor of Social Science. His current research interests encompass a variety of topics pertaining to

34、 the economic history, economic development, and political economy of China. Among his many ongoing history and development projects, Kung and his collaborators study the economic impact of Protestantism in Republican China; the demographic and growth consequences of New World crops in late imperial

35、 China; and the rise of piracy in Ming China. His most recent research on Chinas political economy examines the relationship between the “career concerns” of Chinas local leaders and sustained economic growth in the post-reform period. Some of his recent works have appeared in the American Political

36、 Science Review, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Economics Letters, and Explorations in Economic History.Home page: http:/ihome.ust.hk/sojk/index.htmJames Lee (李中清)James Lee is Dean and Chair Professor of the School of Humanities and Social Sciences at the Hong Kong University of Science and

37、 Technology. His research emphasizes both the profound recent political and socio-economic changes in China, and the long-term persistence of distinctive institutions and patterns of demographic behaviour, social stratification, and social organization from Chinas imperial past. Professor Lee is a c

38、o-recipient of the Social Science History Association's Allan Sharlin Award for Best Book in Social Science History (2000). He also received two American Sociological Association section best book awards (2000 and 2005). Professor Lees latest books include Prudence and Pressure: Reproduction and

39、 Human Agency in Europe and Asia, 1700-1900, which won the 2012 best book award from the Population Association of Japan, and Society and economy on Chinas southwestern frontier, 1250-1850 (in Chinese) as well as several very large on-going data releases supported by the USA National Institutes

40、 of Health.Home Page: http:/www.shss.ust.hk/school/cv.htmlBozhong Li (李伯重)Li Bozhong taught at Tsinghua University in Beijing as a professor in the Institute of Economics and the Department of History before joining the faculty of the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He was the first

41、Chinese scholar to serve on the Executive Committee of the International Economic History Association. He is also an honorary research fellow of the Toyo Bunko. His research interests include Chinese social and economic history, Ming and Qing history, Chinese military history, and comparative histor

42、y. His research including The Development of Agriculture in South China in Tang Dynasty, Development and Constraint: a study of productivity in South China in the Ming and Qing dynasties, Agricultural Development in the Yangzi Delta, 1620-1850, and Early Industrialization in South China: 1550-1

43、850 has a significant contribution to the study of modern Chinese economic history.Home page: http:/www.huma.ust.hk/cgi-bin/people/people_index.php?action=view&type=F&profile_id=177 Denggao Long (龙登高) Long Denggao is a Professor of Economic History at Tsinghua University, focusing on the his

44、tory of market economy and land transaction. He is the Deputy Director of the Institute of Economics, School of Social Sciences, Tsinghua University. He is also the Director of the Tsinghua Center for Chinese Entrepreneur Studies. He was the Santander Visiting Professor at the University of Cambridg

45、e, as well as a Harvard-Yenching Scholar. He has also served as a Visiting Professor at Yale University, K.U. Leuven at Belgium, Chengchi Universty and Sinica Academy in Taipei.Home page:Debin Ma (马德斌)Debin Ma is Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor) in the department of Economic History at the Lond

46、on School of Economics. He is also the special term Professor and external chair in the Economic History Department at the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics. He currently serves as the Secretary General and Executive Committee member of the International Economic History Association (IEHA

47、). He is on the Editorial Board of Economic History Review, Explorations in Economic History and on the Advisory Board of Economic History of Developing Regions. His research interests include long-term economic growth in East Asia; international comparison of living standards, human capital and pro

48、ductivity; long-run growth; comparative legal and political history. His extended review essay on long-run Chinese economic growth (co-authored with Loren Brandt and Thomas Rawski) is forthcoming in the Journal of Economic Literature. With Jan Luiten van Zanden, he co-edited the volume: Law and Long

49、-Term Economic Change: A Eurasian Perspective (Stanford University Press, 2011). His other publications have appeared in Journal of Economic History, Economic History Review, Explorations in Economic History, Economic Development and Cultural Change, Review of Income and Wealth.Home page: http:/pers

50、onal.lse.ac.uk/mad1/Kaixiang Peng (彭凯翔)Kaixiang Peng is professor in the Economic School of Henan University. His research interests include the history of price and money in traditional China, the evolution of market institution and its effect in the long-run history. Recently, he is also involved

51、in the research of criminal history of Qing Dynasty as a co-operator of Zhiwu Chen. He is the author of Grain Prices since Qing dynasty: the historical interpretation and its re-interpretation (in Chinese).David StasavageDavid Stasavage is Professor of Politics and Chair of Politics at New York Univ

52、ersity. His recent work includes “Was Weber Right? City Autonomy, Political Oligarchy, and the Rise of Europe”, “Technology and the Era of the Mass Army” (with Massimiliano Onorato and Ken Scheve); and “What Democracy Does (and Doesn't Do) for Basic Services: School Fees, School Inputs, and Afri

53、can Elections” (With Robin Harding). He is the author of States of Credit: Size, Power, and the Development of European Polities, and Public Debt and the Birth of the Democratic State: France and Great Britain, 1688-1789. Some of Professor Stasavages recent works have appeared in the American Politi

54、cal Science Review, World Politics, Economic Journal, and Journal of Politics.Home page: /object/DavidStasavage.htmlMartin UebeleMartin Uebele is a lecturer in Economic and Social History in Faculty of Arts at Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, Netherlands. His research interests

55、include business cycles, market integration and historical monetary policy. He won the best paper award of Isaac Kerstenetzky in 2010 (CIRET Conference, New York) and New Researcher Price of Economic History Society in 2006. His recent publications include “National and International Market Integrat

56、ion in the 19th Century: Evidence from Comovement,” Explorations in Economic History, “Die Identifikation internationaler Konjunkturzyklen in disaggregierten Daten: Deutschland, Frankreich und Großbritannien, 1862-1913,” Economic History Yearbook/Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftsgeschichte, and &qu

57、ot;Tracking Down Germany's Pre-World War I Business Cycle: A Dynamic Factor Model for 1820-1913,"(with Sarferaz, Samad) Explorations in Economic History.Home page: http:/www.rug.nl/staff/m.uebele/Se Yan (颜色)Se Yan is an assistant professor of economics at Guanghua School of Management, Peking University and an associate editor of the Australian Economic History Review (SSCI indexed). He completed his PhD in Economics at UCLA in 2008. Prior to hi