印度尼西亚烟草行业市场前景及投资研究报告-培训课件外文版2024.5

INDUSTRIES

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MARKETSTobaccoindustryinIndonesiaCHAPTER

01OverviewLeadingtobaccoproducingcountriesworldwidein2021(in1,000metrictons)*Tobaccoproductionworldwide2021,bycountryProductioninthousandmetrictons1,00005001,5002,0002,500China,mainlandIndia2,127.6757.51744.16BrazilIndnesia237.11216.8UnitedStatesPakistan167.86162.37105.48ZimbabweMalawiArgentinaMozambique102.0793.133Description:Thisstatisticshowstheworldwidetobaccoproductionin2021,bycountry.Inthatyear,Chinawasthebiggesttobaccoproducerworldwidewithanamountofsome2.13millionmetrictonsoftobaccoproduced.

ReadmoreNote(s):Worldwide;2021;DataaccessedonJanuary5,2023;*Unmanufacturedtobacco.**FAOdatabasedonimputationmethodology.Numbershavebeenroundedtoprovideabetterunderstandingofthestatistic.Theoriginalsourcedoesnot[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):FAORevenueofthetobaccoproductsmarketinIndonesiafrom2018to2028(inbillionU.S.dollars)RevenueofthetobaccoproductsmarketinIndonesia2018-2028454041.4640.3639.1938.0736.9735.8734.61353025201510533.0133.0132.2230.180201820192020202120222023202420252026202720284Description:In2022,thetobaccoproductsmarketinIndonesiageneratedarevenueofaround35billionU.S.dollars,indicatinganincreasecomparedtothepreviousyear.TheConsumerMarketInsightsestimatedtherevenueofthemarketwouldcontinuetoincreaseandreacharound41.5billionU.S.dollarsby2028.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2018to2028Source(s):ConsumerMarketInsightsGrossdomesticproductatcurrentmarketpricesfrommanufactureoftobaccoproductsinIndonesiafrom2014to2022(intrillionIndonesianrupiah)GDPfrommanufactureoftobaccoproductsIndonesia2014-2022160140.97135.94135.15135.7514012010080131.94122.23117.09108.6595.67604020020142015201620172018201920202021*2022**6Description:In2022,preliminaryfiguresshowedthatthegrossdomesticproduct(GDP)fromthemanufactureoftobaccoproductsinIndonesiawasabout135.75trillionIndonesianrupiah,showingaslightincreasefromthepreviousyear.TobaccoisanimportantpartofIndonesianlife,andsmokingisstillprevalentintheIndonesiansociety.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2014to2022;*Preliminaryfigures.**Verypreliminaryfigures.OnethousandIndonesianrupiahisequalto0.07U.S.dollarsand0.06eurosasofSeptember2023.Figurespriorto2018camefrompreviousreporting.

ReadmoreSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaImportvalueoftobaccoinIndonesiafrom2013to2022(inmillionU.S.dollars)ImportvalueoftobaccoinIndonesia2013-2022900800700827.67793.65723.72689.73664.32627.3618.66569.786005004003002001000477.26412.3320132014201520162017201820192020202120227Description:In2022,thevalueoftobaccoimportstoIndonesiaamountedtoapproximately827.67millionU.S.dollars.Indonesiahasoneofthehighestsmokingratesintheworldandisoneofthebiggestproducersoftobaccoworldwide.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2022Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaValueoftobaccoandtheirmanufacturedsubstitutesexportedfromIndonesiafrom2012to2022(inmillionU.S.dollars)ExportvalueoftobaccoandtheirmanufacturedsubstitutesIndonesia2012-20221,6001,4001,491.041,207.851,197.291,150.721,147.461,2001,00080060040020001,139.61,025.441,009.51981.88931.39794.18201220132014201520162017201820192020202120228Description:In2022,theexportvalueoftobaccoandtheirmanufacturedsubstitutesfromIndonesiaamountedtoapproximately1.5billionU.S.dollars.Incomparison,theimportvalueoftobaccoandtheirmanufacturedsubstitutestoIndonesiaamountedtoaround828.48millionU.S.dollarsinthesameyear.Indonesiaisoneoftheleadingtobaccoproducersworldwide.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2012to2022Source(s):TradeMapCHAPTER

02ProductionVolumeoftobaccoproductioninIndonesiafrom2013to2022(in1,000metrictons)ProductionvolumeoftobaccoinIndonesia2013-2022300269.8260.9245.4250225.7198.3195.5193.820015010050180.9164.4126.702013201420152016201720182019202020212022*10Description:In2022,approximately225.7thousandmetrictonsoftobaccowereestimatedtobeproducedinIndonesia.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'sbiggestconsumersoftobacco,andthemostcommonformoftobaccoproductsinthecountryarekretekorclovecigarettes.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Figureshavebeenrounded.Figurespriorto2021camefrompreviousreporting.

ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryofAgricultureIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaTotalplantedareaoftobaccoestatesinIndonesiafrom2019to2022(in1,000hectares)TotalplantedareaoftobaccoestatesinIndonesia2019-2022250234.6218.5213.7202.52001501005002019202020212022*11Description:In2022,thetotalplantedareaoftobaccoestatesinIndonesiawasestimatedataround202.5thousandhectares.Indonesiahasoneofthehighestsmokingratesintheworldandisoneofthebiggestproducersoftobaccoworldwide.ThetobaccoindustryisoneofIndonesia'slargestcontributorstoemployment,economicgrowth,andtaxrevenuecollection.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2019to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Figurespriorto2021camefrompreviousreporting.ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryofAgricultureIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaProductionvolumeoflargeestatesfortobaccoinIndonesiafrom2017to2022(in1,000metrictons)ProductionvolumeoflargetobaccoestatesinIndonesia2017-20221.21.00.80.6110.80.40.20.20.00.10201720182019202020212022*12Description:In2022,preliminaryfigureshowedthatthetotalproductionoflargetobaccoestatesinIndonesiawasaroundonethousandmetrictons.Indonesiahasoneofthehighestsmokingratesintheworldandisoneofthebiggestproducersoftobaccoworldwide.ThetobaccoindustryisoneofIndonesia'slargestcontributorstoemployment,economicgrowth,andtaxrevenuecollection.MosttobaccosinIndonesiawasproducedbysmallholderestates.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2017to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Figurespriorto2018camefrompreviousreporting.ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryofAgricultureIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaProductionvolumeofsmallholderestatesfortobaccoinIndonesiafrom2017to2022(in1,000metrictons)ProductionvolumeofsmallholdertobaccoestatesinIndonesia2017-2022300269.8260.1244.4250224.7195.320015010050180.80201720182019202020212022*13Description:In2022,thetotalproductionofsmallholdertobaccoestatesinIndonesiawasestimatedataround224.7thousandmetrictons.Indonesiahasoneofthehighestsmokingratesintheworldandisoneofthebiggestproducersoftobaccoworldwide.ThetobaccoindustryisoneofIndonesia'slargestcontributorstoemployment,economicgrowth,andtaxrevenuecollection.MosttobaccosinIndonesiawasproducedbysmallholderestates.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2017to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Figurespriorto2018camefrompreviousreporting.ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryofAgricultureIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaTotalplantedareaoflargeestatesfortobaccoinIndonesiafrom2017to2022(in1,000hectares)TotalplantedareaoftobaccolargeestatesinIndonesia2017-20220.80.70.60.50.40.30.20.70.60.50.30.10.10.10.0201720182019202020212022*14Description:In2022,thetotalplantedareaoftobaccolargeestatesinIndonesiawasestimatedataround0.7thousandhectares.Indonesiahasoneofthehighestsmokingratesintheworldandisoneofthebiggestproducersoftobaccoworldwide.ThetobaccoindustryisoneofIndonesia'slargestcontributorstoemployment,economicgrowth,andtaxrevenuecollection.MosttobaccosinIndonesiawasproducedbysmallholderestates.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2017to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Figurespriorto2019camefrompreviousreporting.ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryofAgricultureIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaTotalplantedareaofsmallholderestatesfortobaccoinIndonesiafrom2017to2022(in1,000hectares)TotalplantedareaoftobaccosmallholderestatesinIndonesia2017-2022250234.3218213.1204.4201.8201.8200150100500201720182019202020212022*15Description:In2022,thetotalplantedareaoftobaccosmallholderestatesinIndonesiawasestimatedatalmost202thousandhectares.Indonesiahasoneofthehighestsmokingratesintheworldandisoneofthebiggestproducersoftobaccoworldwide.ThetobaccoindustryisoneofIndonesia'slargestcontributorstoemployment,economicgrowth,andtaxrevenuecollection.MosttobaccosinIndonesiawasproducedbysmallholderestates.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2017to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Figurespriorto2018camefrompreviousreporting.ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryofAgricultureIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

03RetailtradeAverageretailpriceofapacketofwhitecigarettesinIndonesiafrom2013to2022(in1,000Indonesianrupiah)AverageretailpriceofapacketofwhitecigarettesinIndonesia2013-2022302524.0121.9521.620.8320.5201510518.6715.9414.2312.8911.640201320142015201620172018201920202021202217Description:In2022,theaverageretailpriceforapackofcigarettesinIndonesia,alsoknownaswhitecigarettesthere,wasaround24thousandIndonesianrupiah.InJanuary2020,theIndonesiangovernmentincreasedtheexcisedutyforcigarettesandtobaccoproducts,totacklethehighprevalenceofsmokinginthecountry.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2022Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaAveragemonthlyexpenditureonwhitecigarettesamongsmokersinIndonesiain2011and2021(in1,000Indonesianrupiah)MonthlyexpenditureonwhitecigarettesIndonesia2011-2021400,000373,880.6352,255.9350,000300,000250,000200,000150,000100,00050,00002011202118Description:AsurveyonsmokinghabitsconductedbyWHOin2021foundthattheaveragemonthlyexpenditureonwhitecigarettesinIndonesiawasaround373.88thousandIndonesianrupiah.Incomparison,Indonesiansspentaround352.26thousandrupiahmonthlyonwhitecigarettesin2011,showinganincreaseofover20thousandIndonesianrupiahsincethen.ReadmoreNote(s):2011and2021;17,461respondents;15yearsandolderSource(s):WHOAverageretailpriceofapacketofkretekorclovecigarettesinIndonesiafrom2013to2022(in1,000Indonesianrupiah)AverageretailpriceofapacketofclovecigarettesinIndonesia2013-2022201818.2517.1716.7416.816.3915.3716141210813.8812.7511.910.256420201320142015201620172018201920202021202219Description:In2022,theaverageretailpriceforapackofclovecigarettes,orkretek,inIndonesiawasaround18.25thousandIndonesianrupiah.InJanuary2020,theIndonesiangovernmentincreasedtheexcisedutyforcigarettesandtobaccoproductstotacklethehighprevalenceofsmokinginthecountry.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2022Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaAveragemonthlyexpenditureonkretekcigarettesamongsmokersinIndonesiain2011and2021(in1,000Indonesianrupiah)MonthlyexpenditureonkretekcigarettesIndonesia2011-2021450,000400,000350,000300,000250,000200,000150,000100,00050,0000382,091.7309,711.82011202120Description:AsurveyonsmokinghabitsconductedbyWHOin2021foundthattheaveragemonthlyexpenditureonkretekcigarettesinIndonesiawasaround382thousandIndonesianrupiah.Incomparison,Indonesiansspentaround309.71thousandrupiahmonthlyonkretekcigarettesin2011,showinganincreaseofover70thousandIndonesianrupiahsincethen.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2011and2021;17,461respondents;15yearsandolderSource(s):WHOCHAPTER

04LeadingcompaniesRevenueofPT.GudangGaramTbkfrom2013to2022(inbillionIndonesianrupiah)RevenueofGudangGaram2013-2022140,000120,000100,000124,881.27124,683114,477.31110,523.8295,707.6683,305.9376,274.1580,00070,365.5765,185.8555,436.9560,00040,00020,0000201320142015201620172018201920202021202222Description:In2022,GudangGaramhadarevenueofaround124.7trillionIndonesianrupiah,aslightdecreasecomparedtothepreviousyear.Withasteadilyincreasingrevenuesince2009,thiscigarettemanufacturerisoneofIndonesia'sbiggestcompanies.ThisisnotsurprisinggiventhehighprevalenceofsmokinginIndonesia,especiallyamongadultmales.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2022;thefinancialyearfollowsthecalendaryearSource(s):GudangGaramNetsalesofHMSampoernafrom2015to2022(inbillionIndonesianrupiah)NetsalesofHMSampoerna2015-2022120,000111,211106,742106,05599,09198,875100,00089,06995,46792,42580,00060,00040,00020,00002015201620172018201920202021202223Description:In2022,HMSampoerna'snetsaleswasatabout111.2trillionIndonesianrupiah.HMSampoernaisasubsidiaryofPhilipMorrisInternational,andproducesclovecigarettes,alsoknownaskretekinIndonesia,suchasSampoernaKretekandDjiSamSoe.KretekcigarettesarehugelypopularinIndonesia.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2015to2022Source(s):SampoernaEstimatedmarketshareofPT.GudangGaramTbkfrom2013-2022EstimatedmarketshareofGudangGaram2013-202230%27.1%26.6%25.6%25.5%25%20%15%10%5%23.1%21.9%21.5%21.4%20.8%20.6%0%201320142015201620172018201920202021202224Description:In2022,GudangGaramhadanestimated25.5percentshareoftheIndonesiancigarettemarket.GudangGaramisoneofIndonesia'sbiggestcompanies,whichisnotsurprisinggiventhehighprevalenceofsmokinginIndonesia,especiallyamongadultmales.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2022;thefinancialyearfollowsthecalendaryearSource(s):GudangGaramHMSampoerna'sshareoftheIndonesiancigarettemarketfrom2015to2022MarketshareofHMSampoerna2015-202240%34.3%35%30%25%20%15%10%5%33.4%33.4%33.5%32.2%28.8%28%28%0%2015201620172018201920202021202225Description:In2022,HMSampoernahada28percentshareoftheIndonesiancigarettemarket.HMSampoernaproducesbothwhitecigarettesandkretek(clovecigarettes).CigarettebrandsundertheHMSampoernabrandincludeSampoernaA,SampoernaKretek,andDjiSamSoe.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2015to2022Source(s):SampoernaCHAPTER

05ConsumerbehaviorShareofthepopulationaged15yearsandabovewhosmokedinIndonesiafrom2015to2022SmokingrateinIndonesia2015-202235%32.2%30.08%29.25%28.97%29.03%28.96%30%25%20%15%10%5%28.69%28.26%0%2015201620172018201920202021202227Description:In2022,around28percentofthepopulationaged15yearsandaboveinIndonesiaweresmokers.Indonesiahasahighsmokingrate,andthegovernmenthadintroducedtaxhikesin2020tocombatthehighincidenceofsmoking.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2015to2022;15yearsandolderSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaPrevalenceofsmokinginIndonesiafrom2000to2028PrevalenceofsmokinginIndonesia2000-20284538.4738.5937.9838.1

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37.7837.8740353025201510537.2137.3537.4536.9437.0836.6536.7436.8436.3636.4736.5636.0536.1536.2535.7635.8635.9535.5235.6

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202828Description:ThesmokingprevalenceinIndonesiawasforecasttocontinuouslyincreasebetween2024and2028byintotal0.6percentagepoints.Aftertheseventhconsecutiveincreasingyear,thesmokingprevalenceisestimatedtoreach38.59percentandthereforeanewpeakin2028.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2000to2028;allvaluesareestimatesSource(s):PrevalenceofmalesmokersinIndonesiafrom2013to2028PrevalenceofmalesmokersinIndonesia2013-20288073.772.6472.9973.3571.9672.371.471.3671.6469.970.370.669.169.568.4168.76706050403020100201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024202520262027202829Description:ThemalesmokingprevalenceinIndonesiawasforecasttocontinuouslyincreasebetween2024and2028byintotal1.7percentagepoints.Aftertheseventhconsecutiveincreasingyear,themalesmokingrateisestimatedtoreach73.7percentandthereforeanewpeakin2028.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2013to2028;allvaluesareestimatesSource(s):ForecastofthefemalesmokingprevalenceinIndonesiafrom2000to2028FemalesmokingprevalenceforecastinIndonesia2000-202886.9765432106.696.486.286.095.95.735.575.415.255.14.934.764.64.454.34.164.033.93.83.7

3.713.633.533.443.343.243.153.052000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024202520262027202830Description:ThefemalesmokingprevalenceinIndonesiawasforecasttocontinuouslydecreasebetween2024and2028byintotal0.5.Aftertheseventhconsecutivedecreasingyear,thefemalesmokingrateisestimatedtoreach3.05percentandthereforeanewminimumin2028.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2000to2028;Allvaluesareestimates.Source(s):CigarettessmokedperdayinIndonesiain2022CigarettessmokedperdayinIndonesia2022Shareofrespondents0%5%10%15%20%20%25%30%Ionlysmokeoccasionally1to5cigarettes24%6to10cigarettes11to20cigarettes21to30cigarettes31cigarettesormoreDon'tknow28%21%2%1%3%31Description:Whenaskedabout"Cigarettessmokedperday",24percentofIndonesianrespondentsanswer"1to5cigarettes".Thisonlinesurveywasconductedin2022,among522consumers.

ReadmoreNote(s):