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TooLittleforGlobalOilandgaswillrunout1toofastfordoomsdayglobalwarmingscenarios2tomaterialize,accordingtoacontroversialnewysispresentedthisweekattheUniversityofUppsalainSweden.Theauthorswarnthatallthefuelwillbeburntbeforethereisenoughcarbondioxideintheatmospheretorealizepredictionsofmeltingicecapsandsearingtemperatures.Defendingtheirpredictions,scientistsfromtheInterernmentalPanelonClimateChange3saytheyconsideredarangeofestimatesofoilandgasreserves,andpointoutthatcoal-burningcouldeasilymakeup4theshortfall.Butallagreethatburningcoalwouldbeevenworseforthenet.TheIPCC'spredictionsofglobalmeownpushedforward5the1997KyotoProtocol6,anagreementobligingsignatorynationstocutCO2emissions.TheIPCCconsideredarangeoffuturescenarios,fromunlimitedburningoffossil-fuelstoafasttransitiontowardsgreenerenergysources.ButgeologistsAndersSivertsson,KjellAleklettandColinCampbellofUppsalaUniversitysaythereisnotenoughoilandgaslefteventhemostconservativeofthe40IPCCscenariostocometoAlthoughestimatesofoilandgasreservesvarywidely,theresearchersarepartofagrowinggroupofexpertswhobelievethatoilswillpeakassoonas2010,andgassoonafter.Theirysissuggeststhatoilandgasreservescombinedamounttotheequivalentofabout3,500billionbarrelsofoilconsiderablylessthanthe5,000billionbarrelsestimatedinthemostoptimisticmodelenvisagedbytheIPCC.Eventheaverageforecastofabout8,000billionbarrelsismoretwicetheSwedishestimateoftheworld'sremainingNebojsaNakicenovic,anenergyeconomistattheUniversityofVienna,Austriawhoheadedthe80-strongIPCCteamthatproducedtheforecasts,saysthepanel'sworkstillstands8.Hesaystheyfactoredin9amuchbroaderandinternationallyacceptedrangeofoilandgasestimatesthanthe"conservative"Swedes.Evenifoilandgasrunout,“there’sahugeamountofcoalundergroundthatcouldbeexploited.”HesaysthatburningcoalcouldmaketheIPCCscenarioscometrue,butpointsoutthatsuchaswitchwouldbedisastrous.CoalisdirtierthanoilandgasandproducesmoreCO2foreachunitofenergy,aswellasreleasinglargeamountsofparticulates.Hesaysthelatestysisisashotacrossthebows10"formakers.doomsday/'duːmzdeɪ/n.世界carbondioxide(CO2)二氧化碳sear/sɪə(r)/v.灼热,烧灼shortfall/'ʃɔːtfɔːl/n.缺少,不足protocol/'prəʊtəkɒl/n.协议signatorysɪgnətərɪadj.签约的envisageɪn'vɪzɪdʒv.设想,打算采取Swede/swiːd/n.瑞典人disastrous/dɪ'zɑːstrəs/adj.性particulatepə'tɪkjʊlɪtn.微粒runoutChange(IPCC:makeuppushforwardKyotoProtocol:议定书(议定书是《气候变化框架公约》的约定俗成的称呼。20101990年减少52%cometopasshappenoccur(发生factorin:包括,把……计算在内。如:Theyfactoredsickdaysandvacationsinwhentheypreparedtheworkschedule.当他们准备工作时间表时,他们把病假和假期都包括在内。shotacrossthebows:泼冷水,使……打消计划和念头WhatdotheauthorsofthenewysispresentedattheUniversityofUppsalaintendtoTheburningofcoalwillacceleratethearrivalofEarth'sTheoilreservesarebigenoughtomaterializethedoomsdayMeltingicecapsandsearingtemperaturesexistonlyinscienceOilandgaswillrunoutsofastthatEarth'sdoomsdaywillneverNationsthatsignedtheKyotoProtocolagree payattentiontoglobalmecutCO2usemoregreenstopusingfossilWhataretheestimatesoftheworld'soilandgas4,000billionbarrelsbytheaverage8,000billionbarrelsestimatedbythe3,500barrelsenvisagedby3,500billionbyagrowingnumberofWhichofthefollowingaboutNebojsaNakicenovicisHethinksfossilfuelsareasdirtyasoilandHethinksgreenfuelswillreceoilandgasHethinksIPCC'sviewontheworld'soilreservesistooHethinksthatIPCC'sestimatesaremoreoptimisticthantheWhichofthefollowingisthenearexnationofNakicenovic'sassertionthat“...suchaswitchwouldbedisastrous…”?TheIPCCscenarioswouldcometruebecauseburningcoalwillemitlargeramountsofAswitchtoburningcoalwouldproducedisastrousenvironmentalOilandgastorececoalasfuelwouldspeeduptheprocessofglobalAswitchfromtheIPCCscenariostothemakers'oneswouldbe1.Dtoofastfordoomsdayglobalwarmingscenariostomaterialize中包含too…to结构,意思是“太……以至于不……”。newysis的争议性(controversial)在于,这种分析认为,在大气含有足够多的二氧化碳触发地球到来之前,地球上所有的都将巳2.B第3第一句告诉我们,因为IPCC了全球性冰雪融化,这就导致了议定书的出台。议定书责成签约国减少二氧化碳的排放量。A、C和D都不是作者所要表达的意思。3.D第二段作者提到,越来越多的专家认为2010年将是石油供应的期,紧接着就是天然气。他们认为石油和天然气的总量在3,500billionbarrels左右。而IPCC的估算是5,000billion4.DNebojsaNakic

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