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清华大学考研辅导强化班课程
《英语阅读理解》
清华大学外语学院吴霞主讲
PartI英语阅读考试简介
1.《大纲》要求
2.形式
5篇文章,各500字左右,后附4小题,共20小题,40分
PartII文章体裁
1.结论说明型
Passage1
Sciencehaslonghadanuneasyrelationshipwithotheraspectsofculture.Think
ofGalileo,s17th-centurytrialforhisrebellingbeliefbeforetheCatholicChurch
orpoetWilliamBlake'sharshremarksagainstthemechanisticworldviewofIsaac
Newton.Theschismbetweenscienceandthehumanitieshas,ifanything,deepened
inthiscentury.
Untilrecently,thescientificcommunitywassopowerfulthatitcouldaffordto
ignoreitscritics-butnolonger.Asfundingforsciencehasdeclined,scientists
haveattacked"anti-science"inseveralbooks,notablyhighersuperstition,byPaul
R.Gross,abiologistattheUniversityofVirginia,andNormanLeavitt,a
mathematicianatRutgersUniversity;andThedemon-Hauntedworld,byCarlSaganof
CornellUniversity.
Defendersofsciencehavealsovoicedtheirconcernsatmeetingsuchas"TheFlight
fromScienceandReason,“heldinNewYorkCityin1995,and"ScienceintheAge
of(Mis)information,z/whichassembledlastJunenearbuffalo.
Anti-scienceclearlymeansdifferentthingstodifferentpeople.GrossandLeavitt
findfaultprimarilywithsociologists,philosophersandotheracademicswhohave
questionedscience,sobjectivity.Saganismoreconcernedwiththosewhobelieve
inghosts,creationismandotherphenomenathatcontradictthescientificworldview.
Asurveyofnewsstoriesin1996revealsthattheanti-sciencetaghasbeenattached
tomanyothergroupsaswell,fromauthoritieswhoadvocatedtheeliminationofthe
lastremainingstocksofsmallpoxvirustoRepublicanswhoadvocateddecreased
fundingforbasicresearch.
FewwoulddisputethatthetermappliestotheUnabomber,whosemanifesto,published
in1995,scornsscienceandlongsforreturntoapre-technologicalutopia.But
surelythatdoesnotmeanenvironmentalistsconcernedaboutuncontrolledindustrial
growthareanti-science,asanessayinUSNews&WorldReportlastMayseemedto
suggest.
Theenvironmentalists,inevitably,respondtosuchcritics.Thetrueenemiesof
science,arguesPaulErichofStanfordUniversity,apioneerofenvironmental
studies,arethosewhoquestiontheevidencesupportingglobalwarming,the
depletionoftheozonelayerandotherconsequencesofindustrialgrowth.
Indeed,someobserversfearthattheanti-scienceepithetisindangerofbecoming
meaningless."ThetermJanti-science'canlumptogethertoomany,quitedifferent
things,,znotesHarvardUniversityphilosopherGoralsHoltoninhis1993workScience
andAntiScience.〃Theyhaveincommononlyonethingthattendtoannoyorthreaten
thosewhoregardthemselvesasmoreenlightened.z/
2.新老观点型
Passage2
FewpeoplewoulddefendtheVictorianattitudetochildrenbutifyouwereaparent
inthosedays,atleastyouknewwhereyoustood;chiIdrenweretobeseenandnot
heard.Freudandcompanydidawaywithal1thatandparentshavebeenbewildered
eversince.Thechild,shappinessisall-important,thepsychologistssay,butwhat
abouttheparents*happiness?Parentssufferconstantlyfromfearandguiltwhile
theirchildrengailyrompaboutpullingtheplaceapart.Agoodold-fashioned
spankingisoutofthequestion:nomodernchild-rearingmanualwouldpermitsuch
barbarity.Thetroubleisyouarenotallowedeventoshout.Whoknowswhatdeep
psychologicalwoundsyoumightinflict.ThepoorchiIdmayneverrecoverfromthe
dreadfultraumaticexperience.Soitisthatparentsbendoverbackwardstoavoid
givingtheirchildrencomplexwhichahundredyearsagohadn,tevenbeenheardof.
Certainlyachildneedslove,andalotofit.Buttheexcessivepermissivenessof
modernparentsissurelydoingmoreharmthangood.Psychologistshavesucceeded
inunderminingparents'confidenceintheirownauthority.Andithasn,ttaken
childrenlongtogetwindofthefact.Inadditiontothegreatmodernclassicson
childcare,therearecountlessarticlesinmagazinesandnewspapers.Withsomuch
unsolicitedadviceflyingabout,mumanddadjustdon,tknowwhattodoanymore.
Intheend,theydonothingatall.So,fromearlychildhood,thekidsareincharge
andparents,livesareregulatedaccordingtotheneedsoftheiroffspring.When
thelittledearsdevelopintoteenagers,theytakecompletecontrol.Laxauthority
overtheyearsmakesadolescentrebellionagainstparentsal1themoreviolent.If
theyoungpeoplearegoingtohaveaparty,forinstance,parentsareaskedtoleave
thehouse.Theirpresencemerelyspoilsthefun.Whatelsecanthepoorparentsdo
butobey?
Childrenarehardycreatures(farhardierthatthepsychologistswouldhaveus
believe)andmostofthemsurvivetheharmfulinfluenceofextremepermissiveness
whichisthenormalconditioninthemodernhousehold.Butagreatmanydonot.The
spreadofjuveniledelinquencyinourownageislargelyduetoparentallaxity.
Mother,believingthatlittleJohnnycanlookafterhimself,isnotathomewhen
hereturnsfromschool,solittleJohnnyroamsthestreets.Thedividing-line
betweenpermissivenessandsheernegligenceisveryfineindeed.
Thepsychologistshavemuchtoanswerfor.Theyshouldkeeptheirmouthsshutand
letparentgetonwiththejob.Andifchildrenareknockedaboutalittlebitin
theprocess,itmaynotreallymattertoomuch.Atleastthiswillhelpthemtodevelop
vigorousviewsoftheirownandgivethemsomethingpositivetoreactagainst.
Perhapsthere*ssometruthintheideathatchildrenwho'vehadasurfeitofhappiness
intheirchild-hoodemergelikestodgypuddingsandfailtomakeasuccessoflife.
3.问题解答型
Passage3
Weallknowthatthenormalhumandailycycleofactivityisofsome7-8hours'sleep
alternatingwithsome16-17hours,wakefulnessandthat,broadlyspeaking,thesleep
normallycoincideswithhoursofdarkness.Ourpresentconcerniswithhoweasily
andtowhatextentthiscyclecanbemodified.
Thequestionisnomereacademicone.Theease,forexample,withwhichpeoplecan
changefromworkinginthedaytoworkingatnightisaquestionofgrowingimportance
inindustrywhereautomationcallsforround-the-clockworkingofmachines.It
normallytakesfromfivedaystooneweekforapersontoadapttoareversedroutine
ofsleepandwakefulness,sleepingduringthedayandworkingatnight.Unfortunately,
itisoftenthecaseinindustrythatshiftsarechangedevenweek;apersonmay
workfrom12midnight8a.m.oneweek,8a.m.to4p.m.thenext,and4p.m.to
12midnightthethirdandsoon.Thismeansthatnosoonerhashegotusedtoone
routinethanhehastochangetoanother,sothatmuchofhistimeisspentneither
workingnorsleepingveryefficiently.
Theonlyrealsolutionappearstobetohandoverthenightshifttoanumberof
permanentnightworkers.Aninterestingstudyofthedomesticlifeandhealthof
night-shiftworkerswascarriedoutbyBrownin1957.Shefoundahighincidence
ofdisturbedsleepandotherdisordersamongthoseonalternatingdayandnight
shifts,butnoabnormaloccurrenceofthesephenomenaamongthoseonpermanentnight
work….
Thislattersystemthenappearstobethebestlong-termpolicy,butmeanwhile
somethingmaybedonetorelievethestrainsofalternatedaynightworkbyselecting
thosepeoplewhocanadaptmostquicklytothechangesofroutine.Onewayofknowing
whenapersonhasadaptedisbymeasuringhisbodytemperature,peopleengagedin
normaldaytimeworkwillhaveahightemperatureduringthehoursofwakefulness
andalowoneatnight;whentheychangetonightworkthepatternwillonlygradually
gobacktomatchthenewroutineandthespeedwithwhichitdoessoparallels,broadly
speaking,theadaptationofthebodyasawhole,particularlyintermsofwakefulness
itcanbeseenhowquicklyapersoncanareversedroutine,andthiscouldbeused
asareversedroutine,andthiscouldbeusedasabasisforselection.Sofar,however,
suchaformofselectiondoesnotseemtohavebeenappliedinpractice.
4.现象解释型
Passage4
Bloodvesselsrunningallthroughthelungscarrybloodtoeachairsac,oralveolus,
andthenbackagaintotheheart.Onlythethinwalloftheairsacandthethin
wallofacapillaryarebetweentheairandtheblood.Sooxygeneasilydiffuses
fromtheairsacsthroughthewallsintotheblood,whilecarbondioxidediffuses
fromthebloodthroughthewallsintotheairsacs.
Whenbloodissenttothelungsbytheheart,ithascomebackfromthecellsin
therestofthebody.Sothebloodthatgoesintothewallofanairsaccontains
muchdissolvedcarbondioxidebutverylittleoxygen.Atthesametime,theairthat
goesintotheairsaccontainsmuchoxygenbutverylittlecarbondioxide.Youhave
learnedthatdissolvedmaterialsalwaysdiffusefromwheretherearemoreofthem
towherethereisless.Oxygenfromtheairdissolvesinthemoistureonthelining
oftheairsacanddiffusesthroughtheliningintotheblood.Meanwhile,carbon
dioxidediffusesfromthebloodintotheairsac.Thebloodthenflowsfromthelunge
backtotheheart,whichsendsitouttoallotherpartsofthebody.
Soonafterairgoesintoanairsac,itgivesupsomeofitsoxygenandtakesin
somecarbondioxidefromtheblood.Tokeepdiffusiongoingasitshould,thiscarbon
dioxidemustbegottenridof.Breathing,Whichiscausedbymovementsofthechest,
forcestheusedairoutoftheairsacsinyourlungsandbringsinfreshair.The
breathingmusclesarecontrolledautomaticallysothatyoubreatheattheproper
ratetokeepyourairsacssuppliedwithfreshair.Ordinarily,youbreatheabout
twenty-twotimesaminute.Ofcourse,youbreathefasterwhenyouareexercising
andslowerwhenyouareresting.Freshairisbroughtintoyourlungswhenyouare
exercisingandslowerwhenyouareresting.Freshairisbroughtintoyourlungs
whenyoubreathein,orinhale,whileusedairisforcedoutofyourlungswhenyou
breatheout,orexhale.
Somepeoplethinkthatalltheoxygenistakenoutoftheairinthelungsandthat
whatwebreatheoutispurecarbondioxide.Buttheseideasarenotcorrect.Air
isamixtureofgasesthatismostlynitrogen.Thisgasisnotusedinthebody.
Sotheamountofnitrogendoesnotchangeasairisbreathedinandout.Butwhile
airisinthelungs,itischangedinthreeways;(1)aboutone-fifthoftheoxygen
intheairgoesintotheblood.(2)Analmostequalamountofcarbondioxidecomes
outofthebloodintotheair.(3)Moisturefromtheliningsoftheairpassages
andairsacsevaporatesuntiltheairisalmostsaturated.
PartIII影响阅读的因素
1.词汇
利用上下文猜测词义
1)Definition
a.Allotherbirthdaysarecalledsingil.Thesixty-firstbirthdayiscalledhuan
gup.
b.Theharborisprotectedbyajettyawallbuiltoutintothewater.
c.Janeisindecisiveythatis,shecan'tmakeuphermind.
2)Restatement
a.Hehadawanlook.Hewassopaleandweakthatwethoughthewasill.
b.Carbonmonoxide(CO)isanoxiousgaswhichcancausedeath.
c.Iamaresoluteman.OnceIsetupagoal,Iwon'tgiveitupeasily.
3)Generalknowledge
a.ThedoorwassolowthatIhitmyheadonthelintel.
b.Markgotonthemotorbike,Isatbehindhimonthepillion,andweroaredoff
intothenight.
c.Wehavefoundthatnooneinthefreshmanclasscanadd,multiply,subtractor
dividesimplesums.Therefore,wearesettingupaspecialremedialarithmetic
course,…〃
4)Relatedinformation
a.”Shewenttoschoolfor12yearsandshecan,twriteasentence?〃Timkensaid.
“TheymadeanUliterateoutofmydaughter!
b.Timkenwasnowangry*.Onceagainheflewintoarage.
c.JustbeforetheexamCarTshandsshookandsweatedsomuchthathecouldnot
holdapen.Uisheartbeatfastandhisstomachached,eventhoughheknewthesubject
verywell.Hereallyhadastrangephobiaabouttakingtests.
5)Examples
a.Selectanyoftheseperiodicals:TimeMagazine,Newsweek,Reader,sDigestorThe
NewYorker.(Fromtheexamples,youcaneasilyfigureoutthemeaningoftheword
〃Periodicals^.)
b.Sheisstudyingglaucomaandotherdiseasesoftheeye.(Thissentencedoesnot
tellyouexactlywhat"glaucoma"means,butitdoestellyouthat"glaucoma"isa
kindofeyedisease.)
c.Theyhadbeenputtinginplacethetoolsofmynewbusiness:currycomb,brush,
pitchpork--everything***,(fromtheclue〃mynewbusiness"aswel1asthewordpart
〃-comb“youmightfigureoutthat"currycomb“mostprobablymeans“atoolusedto
combahorse”.)
6)Comparison
a.Thesnowwasfalling.Bigflakesdriftedwiththewind1ikefeathers.
b.Thehot-airballoontookoff.Itwasasbuoyantintheairasacorkinwater.
7)Contrast
a.JanewastalkingwithotherswhileElizaremainedreticentallthetime
b.Mostofusagreed;however,Billdissented.
c.Peterwasnotfrugalsincehespentmoneysofreely.
利用构词法猜测词义
PrefixesMeaningExample
over-"toanexcessivedegree〃overload
under-"notenough,notsufficiently"〃〃曲ziestimate
non-〃not"verbal
sub-underorbeneath"subtitle
pre-〃before“preschool
post-"after"postbox
co-"withortogether,'ccr-worker
ex-"former"ex-president
bi-〃twoortwice"bicycle
in-,il-,im-,ir-"not”Yznpatient,//regular,illegal,inactive
mis-"bad(ly)orwrong(ly)〃/nisact,misaddress
un-"notunaccountable
re-"again〃or"back"readdressreadmit
dis-〃not〃disagree,dishonest
Suffixes
Verbsuffixes:
-fypure-puri/y
-izemodern-modernYze
-enshorten,sharpen,balcken
Adjectivesuffixes:
-ishsheep-sheep/s力
-1ikecat-cat7/Ae
-sometrouble-troublesome
-worthypraise-praise^r^Ay
-iveact-active
-lyday-daily,week-weekly
-fulwonder-wonder/i/7
-lesspenny-penniless
-an,-ianAmerica-American,Venus-Venus7a/7
-ywind-wind%snow-snowy
-ic(al)history-historic(al)
-able,-ibleeat-eat5We,move-movable,divide-divisjZ?7e
Nounsuffixes:
-hoodneighbor-neighbor/?。。"child-chiIdAwtf
-shipfriend-friends力Ip,hard-hards/?7/?
-domtree-freedom,king-king而加
-alremove-remora/,arrive-arrivaJ
-agepost-postage
-anceassist-assistance
-encediffer-difference
-mentamaze-amazement
-ion,-ationsuggest-suggestion,organize-organizaniza^jon
-nesskind-kind〃ess
-ityfeasible-feasibility
-ydifficult-difficulty
-or,-eract-actor,lead-leader
分解复合词
bookworm,highland,stem-cell,eastbound
2.句子
1)Tosaythatthechildlearnsbyimitationandthatthewaytoteachistoset
agoodexampleoversimplifies.
2)Peopleengagedinnormaldaytimeworkwi11haveahightemperatureduringthe
hoursofwakefulnessandalowoneatnight;whentheychangetonightworkthepattern
willonlygraduallygobacktomatchthenewroutineandthespeedwithwhichit
doessoparallels,broadlyspeaking,theadaptationofthebodyasawhole,
particularlyintermsofperformance.
3)TheAmericanbabyboomafterwarmadeunconvincingU.S.advicetopoorcountries
thattheyrestraintheirbirths.
4)Theexecutivewhoholdsitisneverconsultedonmajorstrategicdecisionsand
hasnochancetomoveuptoChiefExecutiveOfficer(CEO).
5)Interestingly,though,theriseoftheunattractiveovernightsuccesseswas
attributedmoretopersonalrelationshipsandlesstoabilitythanwasthatof
attractiveovernightsuccesses.
6)Justastheappearanceoftheautomobilemadetheuseofthehorse-drawncarriage
illegalandthenimpractical,andtheappearanceoftelevisionchangedtheradio
fromasourceofentertainmenttoasourceofbackgroundmusic,somostofthefruits
ofeconomicgrowthdidnotincreasetheoptionsavailabletothehomeeconomyto
eitherproducethegoodsorservicesorpurchasetheminthemarket.
3.速度
1)Readinthoughtgroups
a.Thelittleboy,Johnnie,hadbeenupwithapacketofmints,andsaidhewouldn,
tgoouttoplayuntiltheposthadcome.
Thelittleboy,Johnnie,
hadbeenupwith
apacketofmints,
andsaid
hewouldnftgoouttoplay
untiltheposthadcome.
b.Fromthesecondfloorflatshecouldseethepostmanwhenhecamedownthestreet,
andthelittleboyfromthegroundfloorbroughtupherlettersontherareoccasions
whenanythingcame.
Fromthesecondfloorflat
shecouldseethepostman
whenhecamedownthestreet,
andthelittleboyfromthegroundfloor
broughtupherletters
ontherareoccasions
whenanythingcame.
2)Skimming
Passage5
Thereisasenselessnotionthatchildrengrowupandleavehomewhenthey're18,
andthetruthisfarfromthat,z,sayssociologistLarryBumpassoftheUniversity
ofWisconsin.Today,unexpectednumbersofyoungadultsarelivingwiththeirparents.
〃Thereisamajorshiftinthemiddleclass,〃declaressociologistAllanSchaumburg
ofNorthwesternUniversityfwhoseson,19,movedbackinafteranabsenceofeight
months.
Analystsciteavarietyofreasonsforthisreturntothenest.Themarriageage
isrising,aconditionthatmakeshomeanditspleasantnessparticularlyattractive
toyoungpeople.Ahighdivorcerateandadecliningremarriageratearesending
economicallypressedandemotionallyhurtsurvivorsbacktoparentalshelters.For
some,theexpenseofanaway-from-homecollegeeducationhasbecomesoexcessively
greatthatmanystudentsnowattendlocalschools.Evenaftergraduation,young
peoplefindtheirwingsclippedbyskyrocketinghousingcosts.
Livingathome,saysKingston,aschoolteacher,continuestogivehersecurityand
moralsupport.Hermotheragreed,〃It'sridiculousforthekidstopayallthatmoney
forrent.Itmakessenseforkidstokidstostayathome.〃Butsharingthefamily
homerequiresadjustmentsforall.Therearethehasslesoverbathrooms,telephone
andprivacy.Somefamilies,however,managethedelicatebalancingact.Butfor
others,itprovestoodifficult.MichelleDelTurbo,24,hasbeenhomethreetimes
andleftthreetimes."WhatIconsideredasocialdrink,mydadconsideredanalcohol
problem,“sheexplains."HeneverlikedanyoneIdated,soIeitherhadtohideaway
ormeetthematfriendsfhouses,“
JusthowlongshouldadultchiIdren1ivewiththeirparentsbeforemovingon?Most
psychologistsfeellengthyhomecomingsareamistake.Children,strugglingto
establishseparateidentities,canendupwith"asenseofinadequacy,defeatand
failure.Andagingparents,whoshouldbeenjoyingsomefinancialandpersonal
freedom,findthemselvesstuckwithresponsibilities.Manyagreethatbriefvisits,
however,canworkbeneficially.
1.TherewasapparentlyatrendintheU.S
A.Foryoungadultstoleavetheirparentsandliveindependently
B.Formiddleclassyoungadultstostaywiththeirparents
C.Formarriedyoungadultstomovebackhomeafteralengthyabsence
D.Foryoungadultstogetjobsnearbyinordertolivewiththeirparents
2.whichofthefollowingdoesnotaccountforyoungadultsreturningtothenest?
A.Yongadultsfindhousingcoststoohigh.
B.Yongadultsarepsychologicallyandintellectuallyimmature.
C.Yongadultsseekparentalcomfortandmoralsupport.
D.Quiteanumberofyoungadultsattendlocalschools.
3.oneofthedisadvantagesofyoungadultsreturningtostaywiththeirparents
isthat
A.Therewillinevitablybeinconveniencesineverydaylife
B.Theparentshavetospendmoremoneykeepingabiggerfamilygoing
C.Theyoungadultstendtobeoverprotectedbytheirparents
D.Publicopinionisagainstyoungadultsstayingwiththeirparents
4.Theword"hassles〃inthepassage(Line4,Para.3)probablymeans
A.agreements
B.worries
C.disadvantages
D.quarrels
5.Accordingtothepassagewhatisthebestforbothparentsandchildren?
A.Theyshouldadjustthemselvestosharingthefamilyexpenses.
B.Childrenshouldleavetheirparentswhentheyaregrown-up.
C.Adultchildrenshouldvisittheirparentsfromtimetotime.
D.Parentsshouldsupporttheiradultchildrenwhentheyareintrouble.
3)Scanning
Passage6
Tosaythatthechildlearnsbyimitationandthatthewaytoteachistosetagood
exampleoversimplifies.Nochildimitateseveryactionhesees.Sometimes,the
exampletheparentwantshimtofollowisignoredwhilehetakesovercontrary
patternsfromsomeotherexample.Thereforewemustturntoamoresubtletheory
than“Monkeysee,monkeydo.〃
Lookatitfromthechild'spointofview.Hereheisinanewsituation,lacking
areadyresponse.Heisseekingaresponsewhichwillgaincertainends.Ifhelacks
areadyresponseforthesituation,andcannotreasonoutwhattodo,heobserves
amodelwhoseemsabletogettherightresult.Thechildlooksforanauthority
orexpertwhocanshowwhattodo.
Thereisasecondelementatworkinthissituation.Thechildmaybeabletoattain
hisimmediategoalonlytofindthathouseachieveshismethodbringscriticismfrom
peoplewhoobservehim.Whenshoutingacrossthehouseachieveshisimmediateend
ofdeliveringamessage,heistoldemphaticallythatsucharacket(叫嚷)is
unpleasant,thatheshouldwalkintothenextroomandsayhissayquietly.Thus,
thedesiretosolveanyobjectivesituationisoverlaidwiththedesiretosolve
itproperly.Oneoftheearlythingsthechildlearnsisthathegetsmoreaffection
andapprovalwhenhisparents1ikehisresponse.Thenotheradultsrewardsome
actionsandcriticizehissocialgroupapproves.
Infindingtrialresponses,thelearnerdoesnotchooseatrandom.Heimitatesthe
personwhoseemsagoodpersontobelike,ratherthanapersonwhosesocialstatus
hewishestoavoid,ifthepupilwantstoheagoodviolinist,hewillobserveand
trytocopythetechniquesofcapableplayers;whilesomeotherpersonmaymost
influencehisapproachtobooks.
Admirationofonequalityoftenleadsustoadmireapersonawhole,andhebecomes
anidentifyingfigure.Weusesomepeopleasmodelsoverawiderangeofsituations,
imitatingmuchthattheydo.Welearntheyaredependableandrewardingmodels
becauseimitatingthemleadstosuccess.
1.Thestatementthatchildrenlearnbyimitationisincompletebecause
A.Theyonlyimitateauthoritiesandexperts
B.Theyarenotwillingtocopytheirparents
C.Theprocessofidentificationhasbeenignored
D.Thenatureoftheirimitationasaformofbehaviorhasbeenneglected
2.Forachildthefirstelementinhislearningbyimitationis
A.Theneedtofindanauthority
B.Theneedtofindawaytoachievethedesiredresult
C.Theneedformoreaffectionfromhisparents
D.Thedesiretomeetthestandardsofhissocialgroup
3.Apartfromachievinghisdesiredresults,achildshouldalsolearnto
A.behaveproperly
B.attainhisgoalassoonaspossible
C.showhisaffectionforhisparents
D.whosesocialstatusishigh
4.Childrentendtoimitatetheirmodels
A.Whodonotcriticizethem
B.WhobringthemunexpectedRewards
C.whomtheywanttobelike
D.Whosesocialstatusishigh
5.〃Anidentifyingfigure”(Para.5)referstoaperson
A.Whoservesasamodelforothers
B.Whoisalwayssuccessful
C.Whocanbedependedupon
D.Whohasbeenrewardedforhissuccess
Passage7
TheAmericanbabyboomafterwarmadeunconvincingU.S.advicetopoorcountries
thattheyrestraintheirbirths.However,therehashardlybeenayearsince1957
inwhichbirthrateshavenotfallenintheUnitedStatesandotherrichcountries,
andin1976thefallwasespeciallysharp.BothEastGermanyandWestGermanyhave
fewerbirthsthantheyhavedeaths,andtheUnitedStatesisonlytemporarilyable
toavoidthisconditionbecausethechildrenofthebabyboomarenowanexceptionally
largegroupofmarriedcouples.
ItistruethatAmericansdonottypicallyplan,theirbirthstosetanexamplefor
developingnations.Wearemoreaffectedbywomen'sliberation:oncewomensee
interestingandwell-paidjobsandcareersavailable,theyarelesswillingto
providefreelaborforchildraising.Fromcostingnothing,childrensuddenlycome
toseemimpossiblyexpensive.AndtothehighcostofchiIdrenareaddedthe
uncertaintiesintroducedbydivorce;couplesareincreasinglyunwillingtosubject
childrentotheterribleexperienceofmaritalbreakdownandthemselvestothe
difficultyofraisingachildalone.
Thesecircumstances-womenworkingoutsidethehomeandtheinstabilityof
marriage-tendtospreadwithindustrialsocietyandtheywillaffectmoreandmore
countriesduringtheremainderofthiscentury.Alongwiththemdoessocialmobility,
ambitiontoriseintheurbanworld,amainfactorinbringingdownthebirthsin
Europeinthenineteenthcentury.
Foodshortagewi11happenagainwhenthereservesresultingfromthegoodharvests
of1976and1977havebeenconsumed.Urbanizationislikelytocontinue,withthe
citiesofthedevelopingnationsstrugglingundertheweightoftwicetheirpresent
populationsbytheyear2000.thepresentlyrichcountriesareapproachingastable
populationlargelybecauseofthechangedplaceofwomen,andtheyincidentallyare
settinganexampleofrestrainttotherestoftheworld.Industrialsocietywill
spreadtothepoorcountries,andaspirationswillexceedresources.Al1thisWill
leadtoapopulationinthetwenty-firstcenturythatissmallerthatwasfeared
afewyearsago.Forthoseanxioustoseeworldpopulationbroughtundercontrol
thenewsis
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