英文【IEEE】2025年顶级技术趋势预测报告（英）

AliAbedi,Mohamed

Amin,Cherif

Amirat,

JyotikaAthavale,MaryBaker,

GregByrd,KyleChard,TomCoughlin,Izzat

ElHajj,

Paolo

Faraboschi,RafaelFerreiradaSilva,NicolaFerrier,EitanFrachtenberg,

Jean-LucGaudiot,AdaGavrilovskaHabl,

AlfredoGoldman,MikeIgnatowski,LizyK.John,Vincent

Kaabunga,MrinalKarvir,HironoriKasahara,WitoldKinsner,

Danny

Lange,Phillip

ALaplante,KeqiuLi,

AviMendelson,CeciliaMetra,

Dejan

Milojicic(chair),

PuneetMishra,ChristineMiyachi,KhaledMokhtar,ChengappaMunjandira,BobParro,SudeepPasricha,NitaPatel,

AlexandraPosoldova,

Marina

Ruggieri,

TomySebastian,FarzinShadpour,SohaibSheikh,SaurabhSinha,

VesnaSossi,

LukaStrezoski,Vladimir

Terzija,GeorgeThiruvathukal,Michelle

Tubb,Gordana

Velikic,

JohnVerboncoeur,IrenePazosViana,

JeffreyVoas,RodWaterhouse,StefanoZanero,GerdZellweger,YingZhang.Technology

PredictionsIEEEThe22technologypredictions(seenextslide)were:•madein6categories:verticals

(6);appliedAI(4);user

interfaces

(2);non-functionalcharacteristics

(4);appliedcomputing(3);andenergy-related

(3)•evaluatedforlikelihoodof

success

in2025,impacttohumanity,

maturity,marketadoption,adoptionhorizon(Themostlikelytosucceed&adoptedis

LLMdeployment;themostimpacttohumanityisAI-assisteddrugdiscovery)•correlated

andconfidence

interpreted

asastandarddeviation•

mappedtotheIEEE

Future

DirectionCommittee’s

(FDC’s)Megatrendsasa

guidingprinciplesfortechnologytrendsThe53-member2025TechnologyPredictionsTeamforesees:•

acceleratedgrowthinmanyAIfacets,requiringreskilling

of

workforce•

US-centricreductionininterestinsustainability,duetoneweconomic

andsocio-politicalpressures(notglobally,though)•ever-increasingautomationin

manydimensions,settingstagefor

additionalAIopportunities•

biotechnology’srapiddevelopmentundertheradar

(e.g.“AI-assisteddrugdiscovery”,“AI-basedmedicaldiagnostics”)IEEEComputerSocietytechnologyexpertshaveunveiled22breakthroughtechnologiesset

toredefineindustriesandshapethefutureofourworldfordecadestocome.TechnologyPredictions:

FromHypotheticalExercise

toStrategic

AdvantageExecutiveSummary138.

Autonomousdriving(B+):Autonomousvehicleswillreduceemissions,enhancesafety,andtransformurbanlogistics,butwidespreadadoptionhinges

onregulatoryapprovalsandpublictrust.9.

SmartAg(B+):AI-drivensystemswillimprovecropyields,resourcemanagement,andsustainability,addressingfoodsecuritythroughreal-time

soilandclimatemonitoring.10.

Functionalsafety

/autonomousvehicles(B):Advancedsafetyframeworkswill

ensureautonomousvehiclesoperatereliablyinpublicandcommercialsectors,

gainingtrustforbroaderadoption.11.AI-assisteddrugdiscovery(B):Advances

inAIwillspeedupdrugdiscovery,

identifyingnovelcompoundsandtreatments,thoughdataqualityandregulatoryhurdlesremain.12.

Sustainablecomputing

(B):

Datacenterswilladoptenergy-efficienthardware,

intelligentresourcemanagement,andrenewableenergy,thoughscalingsustainabilitypractices

remainsachallenge.13.Mis/Disinformation(B):

AItoolswilldetectandmitigatemisinformation,counteringitsrapiddisseminationonsocialnetworkstoprotectpublicopinion

and

trust.14.

AI-basedmedicaldiagnosis(B):AIwillenhancediagnosticprecision,particularlyinradiologyandpathology,improvingpatientoutcomeswhile

reducingclinicianworkloads.1.LargeLanguageModel(LLM)deployment

(A-):Wewillseedeploymentsof

newtypesoflanguagemodels,suchasSmallLanguageModelsandexotic

special-purposemodels.2.Droneadoption(A/B):Drone-as-a-Service

(DaaS)will

redefine

logistics,agriculture,anddisasterresponse,offeringreliable,low-costsolutionswith

quickturnaroundsacrossdiverseindustries.3.AIagents(A/B):AIagentscombiningLLMs,machinelearning(ML)

models,andrule-basedsystemswillprovideautonomous,highlyspecializedsolutions

forfinance,manufacturing,andretailoperations.4.

AI-enhancedrobotics(B+):

Embodiedintelligencewillenablerobotstoperceive,learn,andcollaborateindynamicenvironments,achieving

unprecedentedautonomyandhuman-likeadaptability.5.Wearables/biomarkersinmedicine/wellness(B+):Wearableswilltrackbiomarkersforearlydiseasedetectionandproactivewellness,expandingbeyondfitnesstrackingtomedical-grademonitoringforchronicconditions.6.IT/energyconvergence(B+):

Energy’sdigitaltransformationwillmirror

IT’sevolution,enablingsustainablegrids,renewableintegration,andexponential

AIgrowthforefficientpowerdelivery.7.

Augmentedartificialintelligence(B+):AugmentedAIwillredefinehuman-

machinecollaboration,blendingmachineprecisionwithhumanoversightfor

inclusive,ethicalsolutionsinhealthcare,finance,andeducation.2025TechnologyPredictions-OrderedbyTechnologyDevelopmentGradeIEEEPleaseseebackupslidesformoredetaileddescription(One-slidesummaryofProblems/Demand,Opportunities,

Impact,andSustainableSolution/BusinessOpportunity,includingEnablers/Inhibitors,foreachprediction.)219.

Nuclear-powereddatacenters(B/C):SmallModular

Reactors

(SMRs)willprovidesteady,carbon-neutralenergyfordatacenters.Regulatoryapprovals,

scalability,andpublicacceptance

remainsignificanthurdles.20.ToolsandpoliciesforAIregulation(B/C):

FrameworksforAIethicsandgovernancewillemerge.Challengesincludeharmonizingglobalstandardsand

ensuringeffectiveenforcementmechanisms.21.BrainComputer

Interfaces(BCIs)(C+):

BCIswillassistindividualswithdisabilitiesandenhancecommunication.

Highcosts,safetyconcerns,and

scalabilityhinderbroader

use

cases.22.Spacecomputing(C+):

Reliable,autonomouscomputingwillsupportdeep-

spacemissions.Challengesincluderadiationhardening,limited

powersupply,

andextremeenvironmentalconditions.15.

AI-optimizedgreenHPC(B-):AIwilloptimize

HPCworkflows,reducingenergyconsumption.Challengesincludehighcostsanddevelopingreliable

energymeasurementandallocationmethods.16.

Next-gencyberwarfare(B-):AI-drivencyberdefenseswillcounterevolving

threats.Challengesincludeinternationalcollaboration,responsespeed,and

defendingagainstincreasingly

AI-enhancedattacks.17.

Newbatterychemistries(B-):Solid-stateandsodium-ionbatterieswillenhanceenergydensityandsafety.Challengesincludescalingproduction

andmanagingsupplychaindependencies.18.

Datafeudalism(B-):

Newtoolswillempoweruserstoregaincontrolover

data.Challengesincludeenforcingequitableaccessandaligningglobal

regulatoryframeworks.IEEEPleaseseebackupslidesformoredetaileddescription(One-slidesummaryofProblems/Demand,Opportunities,

Impact,andSustainableSolution/BusinessOpportunity,includingEnablers/Inhibitors,foreachprediction.)2025TechnologyPredictions-OrderedbyTechnologyDevelopmentGrade(continued)3LandscapeofPredictedTechnologiesEEESmartAgNext-gencyberwarfareAI-assisteddrugdiscoveryDroneadoptionAI-enhanced

roboticsAI-based

medical

diagnosisAI-optimizedgreenHPCNewbatterychemistriesBrainComputerInterfaces(BCIs)DatafeudalismFunctionalsafety

/autonomousvehiclesSustainablecomputingToolsandpoliciesforAIregulationAIagentsWearables/biomarkersinmedicine/wellnessSpacecomputingAutonomousdrivingIT/energyconvergenceMis/DisinformationAugmentedAILLMdeploymentNuclear-powereddatacentersnon-functionalcharacteristicsappliedcomputinguserinterfacesappliedAIverticals4energyToo

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2025TechnologyPredictionsandMegatrendsPrediction:Tech.Developmentin2025(x-axis)vsImpactto

Humanity

(y-axis)

(sizeofbubbleproportionaltorelative

marketadoption)oArtificialGeneralIntelligence

Sustainability

DigitalTransformation18IEEE

2025TechnologyPredictionsandMegatrends*AutonomousAI-assisted

drug

discoveryAI-basedmedicaldiagnosisFunctional

safety

/autonomous

vehiclesNext-gen*

see

FDC’sMegatrendsReporthttps://bit.ly/get-megatrendsIntelligence(AGI)Sustainability(6)Wearables/biomarkers

inmedicine/wellnessArtificialGeneralToolsandpolicies

for

AIregulationAugmentedartificialintelligenceTransformationNuclear-powereddatacentersBrainComputerInterfacesNewbattery

chemistriesSustainable

computingIT/EnergyconvergenceAI-enhancedroboticsAI-optimizedgreenSpacecomputingDigitalLLM

deploymentDrone

adoptionData

feudalismMis/DisinformationcyberwarfareAIagents(15)(12)drivingSmartAg19HPCThereisalotofoverlapacrossmegatrends:•

Digitaltransformationhasmostoverlapintermsof

thenumberof

technologies•Sustainabilityhasmostoverlapintermsofpercentage,

makingitmostappliedmegatrend(inpercentages)•AGIisincreasinglymoreappliedtoalmostanyothertechnologySocio-political,economic,andecologicalaspectsaredeeply

entangled,e.g.:•Theethicalaspectsofusingdrones,BrainComputerInterfaces,

andLLMdeployment•Copyrightandright-to-useissuesare

beingheavily

addressed:e.g.,

howtodifferentiatederivativefromnewintellectualproperties•

Explainabilityandtrustworthinessof

AIsolutionsarestilltoonascent

tobeof

sufficientuseforregulatoryneeds*

See2024

FDC’sMegatrendsReporthttps://bit.ly/get-megatrends

Megatrends-relatedInsights*Frommegatrendsperspective,wehave:•15digitaltransformation-relatedpredictions(6exclusive)

andmostoverlapwithothermegatrends(9)•12AGItechnologypredictions(5exclusive)•