德国人口变化情况调研和分析报告（英文版）-2024年1月上传培训课件

POLITICS

&

SOCIETYDemographicchangeinGermanyCHAPTER

01GeneralpopulationdevelopmentDevelopmentofpopulationnumbersinGermanyfrom1990to2022(inmillions)PopulationnumbersinGermany1990-202285.084.083.084.3683.2483.1783.1683.0282.7982.5282.5482.5382.582.4482.2682.4482.3182.2282.1682.0682.0482.1882.018281.8281.881.7582.081.080.079.081.5481.3480.9781.280.7780.5280.3380.2779.753Description:ThisstatisticshowsthedevelopmentofpopulationnumbersinGermanyfrom1990to2022.In2022,thepopulationinGermany,asofDecember31ofthatyear,amountedto84.36millionpeople.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1990to2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtPopulationforecastforGermanyfrom2019to2060(inmillions)PopulationforecastforGermanyuntil20609083.6783.283.3783.0982.0180.7279.2277.588070605040302010075.9374.3920192020202520302035204020452050205520604Description:CurrentlytheGermanpopulationamountstoaround83.2million.Thisnumberispredictedtoriseinthefollowingyears,atleastuntil2025,afterwhichpopulationnumberswilldecrease,amountingto74.39millionpeopleby2060.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2019Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtPopulationinGermanyasofDecember2022,byfederalstate(in1,000s)Germanpopulationasof2022,byfederalstate20,00018,13918,00016,00014,00012,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,000013,36911,2808,1406,3914,1594,0863,7552,9532,5732,1872,1271,8921,6289936855Description:ThemostpopulatedfederalstateinGermanyisNorthRhine-Westphaliainthewest,withapopulationofalmost18million.ThestatecapitalisDüsseldorf.BavariaandBaden-Württemberginthesouthroundedupthetopthree.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;December31,2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtPopulationofGermanyfrom1990to2022,bygender(in1,000)PopulationofGermany1990-2022,bygenderMalesFemales90,00080,00070,00060,00050,00040,00030,00020,00010,0000199019952000200520102011*201220132014201520162017201820192020202120226Description:TherearemorewomenthanmeninGermany,althoughthenumberofmenhasbeenslowlyincreasinginrecentyears,especiallysince2015.In2022,therewerearound41,500malesand42,800femalesinGermany.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1990to2022;*Accordingtothesource,from2011onwardsresultsarebasedonZensus2011.FiguresasofDecember31ofeachyearrespectively.Figureshavebeenrounded.Toaccessthisstatistic,clicktheweblinkandtype[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtCHAPTER

02AgestructureandageingPopulationofGermanyasofDecember31,2022,byagegroup(inmillions)PopulationofGermany2022,byagegroup252015102318.6616.116.326.24.08503.693.112.440.74Under1year1-5years6-14years15-17years18-20years21-24years25-39years40-59years60-64years65yearsandolder8Description:40-59-year-oldsmakeupthelargestagegroupinGermany,at23millionpeople.Themostrecentfiguresfrom2022confirmthatthenext-largestagegroupwas65yearsandolder,at18.66million.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;December31,2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtDistributionofmenandwomenbyagegroupamongtheGermanpopulationasofDecember31,2022MenandwomeninGermanyin2022,byagegroupMenWomen30%27.6%26.9%24.4%25%20%15%10%19.9%19.8%18.3%7.8%7.3%

7.4%7.2%5%4.6%4.6%4.1%3.9%5%0%3.5%3%2.8%0.9%

0.8%Below1yearofage1-5years6-14years15-17years18-20years21-24years25-39years40-59years60-64years65yearsandolder9/statistics/1086197/men-and-women-by-age-group-germanyThisstatisticshowsthedistributionofmenandwomenbyagegroupinGermanyonDecember31,2022.Whilearound19.8percentofmeninGermanyare65yearsofageandolder,over24percentofwomeninGermanymakeupthatsameagegroup.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;December31,2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtPopulationforecastforGermanyfrom2018to2060,byagegroup(inmillions)PopulationforecastforGermany2018-2060,byagegroup201820202030204020502060908070605082.9

83.4

83.180.777.674.444.4

43.939.638.140302010035.633.327.8

2828.527.824.123.215.3

15.315.614.613.4

13.30to20years20tounder60years60yearsandolderTotal10Description:Asof2020,theGermanpopulationispredictedtohave15.3millionmembersaged0to20yearsand43.9millionaged20to60years.Predictionsforthenextdecadesuntil2060showthatfiguresfortheseagegroupswilldecline.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2019Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtAverageageofthepopulationinGermanyfrom2011to2021AverageageofthepopulationinGermany2011-20215044.744.244.444.444.544.643.944.144.344.244.34540353025201510502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202111Description:Asof2020,theaverageageoftheGermanpopulationwas44.7years.Theaverageagehasbeenincreasingsince2011.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2011to2021;December31ofeachyearSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtAverageageofthepopulationinGermanyfrom2011to2019,bycitizenshipAverageageofthepopulationinGermany2011-2019,bycitizenshipGerman38.8Non-German455045.245.445.545.644.944.344.544.74540353025201510539.139.239.237.43736.936.936.9020112012201320142015201620172018201912Description:Asof2019,theaverageageofthepopulationinGermanyholdingGermancitizenshipwas45.6years.Theaverageagehasbeenincreasingsince2011.Meanwhile,fornon-Germanpopulationmemberstheaverageagewas36.9years.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2011to2019;December31ofeachyearSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtNumberofchildrenunder14inGermanyfrom1991to2022(inmillions)Numberofchildrenunder14inGermany1991-2022141210864201991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202213Description:Thenumberofchildrenagedunder14inGermanyhasfluctuatedsomewhatduringthespecifiedtimeperiod,thoughinrecentyearsithasstartedgoingup.In2022,therewerearound11.14millionchildrenagedunder14inGermany,comparedto12.3millionin1991.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1991to2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtShareofthepopulationinGermanyaged15to64yearsfrom1991to2020ShareoftheGermanpopulationaged15-641991-202080%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

202014Description:In2020,theshareoftheGermanpopulationaged15to64yearsamountedto64.2percent.Thiswasaslightdecreaseontheyearbefore,andingeneralthesharehasbeenfallingyearafteryear,whichispartofawidertrendofthetotalpopulationinthecountryageing.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany(Hamburg);1991to2020Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtShareofthepopulationinGermanyaged65yearsandolderfrom1991to2022ShareoftheGermanpopulationaged65andolder1991-202225%20%15%10%5%0%15Description:In2022,theshareoftheGermanpopulationaged65yearsandolderwas22.1percent.Ingeneral,figureshavebeengrowingyearafteryear,whichispartofawidertrendofthetotalpopulationinGermanyageing.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1991to2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtShareofthepopulationinGermanyaged15to64yearsin2020,byfederalstateGermanpopulationaged15-64yearsin2020,byfederalstate80%67.4%66.5%65.4%

65.3%65%65%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%64.6%

64.2%

64.1%63.8%

63.2%

63.2%61.4%

61.3%60.5%

60.2%

59.9%16Description:Amongall16Germanfederalstates,thecity-stateHamburginthenorthhasthehighestshareofpopulationmembersaged15to64years.Berlin,alsoacity-state,followedandthenBavariainthesouth.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2020Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtShareofthepopulationinGermanyaged65yearsandolderin2022,byfederalstateGermanpopulationaged65yearsandolderin2022,byfederalstateShareofthepopulationaged65yearsandolder10%

15%0%5%20%25%30%Saxony-AnhaltThuringia27.6%27.1%26.6%26.4%25.5%24.8%SaxonyMecklenburg-WesternPomeraniaBrandenburgSaarlandSchleswig-HolsteinRhineland-PalatinateLowerSaxony23.5%22.6%22.5%22.1%21.5%21.1%21.1%GermanyNorthRhine-WestphaliaHesseBremen17Description:Amongall16Germanfederalstates,Saxony-Anhalthasthehighestshareofpopulationmembersaged65yearsandolder,atover27percent.ThuringiaandSaxonyfollowed.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2022Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtYouthratioinGermanyfrom1991to2019YouthratioinGermany1991-20194034.333.93433.8353025201510533.5

33.333.1

32.932.53231.53130.830.6

30.6

30.730.3

30.330.33029.8

29.901991

1995

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011*

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016*

2017

2018

201918/statistics/1127895/youth-ratio-germanyIn2019,theyouthratioinGermanystoodat30.8.Thisratioshowsthenumberofpopulationmembersagedunder20per100peopleaged20tounder65years.TheyouthratioinGermanyhasbeendecreasingduringthespecifiedtimeperiod.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1991to2019Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtOld-ageratioinGermanyfrom1991to2019Old-ageratioinGermany1991-20194036.435.935.535.234.6

34.734.133.9

34.1

34.233.733.8353025201510533.232.731.730.529.328.327.526.824.723.601991

1995

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011*

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016*

2017

2018

201919Description:In2019,theold-ageratioinGermanystoodat36.4.Thisratioshowsthenumberofpopulationmembersaged65yearsandolderper100peopleaged20tounder65years.Theold-ageratioinGermanyhasbeenincreasingduringthespecifiedtimeperiod.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1991to2019Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtAveragefurtherlifeexpectancyinGermanyaccordingtothemortalitytablein2018/2020,bygenderandagegroupLifeexpectancyinGermanyin2018/2020,bygenderandagegroupMaleFemale908070605040302010083.478.673.76963.859.153.949.344.139.734.530.325.421.81714.49.68.14.33.71.820years10years20years30years40years50years60years70years80years90years100years20Description:MalenewbornsinGermanyhadanaveragefurtherlifeexpectancyof78.6years,whileforfemalenewbornsthiswas83.4years.Germanmenaged100wereexpectedtoliveanother1.8years.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2018/2020Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtCHAPTER

03BirthsanddeathsNumberofbirthsinGermanyfrom1991to2022NumberofbirthsinGermany1991-2022900,000800,000700,000600,000500,000400,000300,000200,000100,000022Description:ThenumberoflivebirthsinGermanyhasfluctuatedsincethe1990s.738,819livebirthswererecordedin2022,comparedto795,517in2021.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1991to2022;*Preliminaryfigure.Onlylivebirths;from2016onwardsfiguresalsoincludedcaseswithanundefinedgender.Thisstatisticcanberetrievedthroughtheoriginalsourcelinkbytyping12612-0001inthesearch.

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtChangeofbirthrateyear-on-yearinGermanyfrom1992to2020ChangeofbirthrateinGermanyyear-on-year1992-20208%6%7.4%4.8%4%4%3.2%2%1.9%1.8%1.6%2%1.3%0.3%0%-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-1.8%-0.6%-0.6%-1.2%-0.9%-2%-4%-6%-1.3%-2.5%-1.7%-2.1%-1.9%-2.8%-2.3%-2.5%-3.3%-3.6%-4.2%23Description:In2020,theGermanbirthratehaddecreasedby0.6percentcomparedtothepreviousyear.ThebirthrateinGermanymostlyrecordedadecreaseyearafteryearduringthespecifiedtimeperiod,thoughincreasesalsooccurred.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1992to2020;*Preliminaryfigure.Onlylivebirths;from2016onwardsfiguresalsoincludedcaseswithanundefinedgender.Thisstatisticcanberetrievedthroughtheoriginalsourcelinkbytyping12612-0001inthesearch.

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtNumberofbirthsinGermanyfrom1999to2020,byfederalstateNumberofbirthsinGermany1999-2020,byfederalstate19991185791361223759629238689520001061821207652969518444607020109069510525133393189545599202010801712877138691189996962Baden-WürttembergBavariaBerlinBrandenburgBremenHamburg16693620262350382452199294427321121049672161595881713319794361751443782687831737751742133376313014733331574706620431593921206274122170056376328154HesseMecklenburg-WestPomeraniaLowerSaxonyNorthRhine-WestphaliaRhineland-PalatinateSaarlandSaxony33139350913338424Description:Basedonpreliminaryfiguresfrom2020,Bavariarecorded128,771births.Thiswasanincreaseon105,251birthstenyearsearlier.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1999,2010,2020;*Preliminaryfigures.Onlylivebirthswithdefinablegender.ThisstatisticcanberetrievedthroughtheoriginalsourcelinkoftheGenesisonlinedatabaseoftheFederalStatisticalOfficebytyping12612-0100in[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtNumberofdeathsinGermanyfrom1991to2021NumberofdeathsinGermany1991-20211,200,0001,000,000800,000600,000400,000200,000025Description:TherewereoveronemilliondeathsrecordedinGermanyin2021.Thiswasanincreasecomparedtotheyearbefore,andthesamecanbesaidfor2020comparedto2019.Deathsfromthecoronavirus(COVID-19)sincethepandemicwasofficiallydeclaredinMarch2020havecontributedtothestatistic.ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1991to2021;*Preliminaryfigures.Excludingstillborns,belatedlycertifiedwardeathsandlegaldeclarationsofdeath.ThisstatisticcanberetrievedthroughtheoriginalsourcelinktotheGenesisonlinedatabaseoftheFederal[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtChangeinthenumberofdeathsinGermanyyear-on-yearfrom1992to2020NumberofdeathschangeinGermany1992-20208%6%4%2%0%-2%-4%-6%26Description:In2020,basedonpreliminaryfigures,thenumberofdeathsinGermanyhaddecreasedby4.9percent.Theyearbefore,numbershaddecreasedby1.6percent.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1992to2020;*Preliminaryfigures.Excludingstillborns,belatedlycertifiedwardeathsandlegaldeclarationsofdeath.ThisstatisticcanberetrievedthroughtheoriginalsourcelinktotheGenesisonlinedatabaseoftheFederal[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtNumberofdeathsinGermanyin2020,byfederalstateNumberofdeathsinGermanyin2020,byfederalstate250,000200,000150,000100,00050,000027Description:In2020,basedonpreliminaryfigures,thenumberofdeathswashighestinthestateofNorthRhine-Westphaliainthesouth,followedbyBavaria.TheleastamountofdeathswasrecordedinBremen.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;2020Source(s):StatistischesBundesamtNumberofbirthsanddeathsinGermanyfrom1950to2022NumberofbirthsanddeathsinGermany1950-2022BirthsDeaths2,500,0002,000,0001,500,0001,000,000500,00001950196019701980199019952000200520102015201620172018201920202021202228Description:In2022,herewerearound738,819birthsandroughly1.07milliondeathsinGermany.Thenumberofbirthswasadecreasefromthepreviousyearswhilstthenumberofdeaths,anincrease.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1950to2022;*Preliminaryfigures.Excludingstillborns,belatedlycertifiedwardeathsandlegaldeclarationsofdeath.ThestatisticaboutbirthscanberetrievedthroughtheoriginalsourcelinktotheGenesisonlinedatabaseof[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):StatistischesBundesamtBirths-deathsmargininGermanyfrom1950to2020(birthsminusdeaths)Births-deathsmargininGermany1950-2020500,000400,000300,000200,000100,0000-100,000-200,000-300,0001950195519601965197019751980198519901995200020052010201520192020¹29Description:In2020,accordingtopreliminaryfigures,therewere212,454lessbirthsthandeathsinGermany.Forcomparison,in1950368,372morebirthsthandeathswererecorded.

ReadmoreNote(s):Germany;1950to2020;*Preliminaryfigures.Onlylivebirths.Excludingstillborns,belatedlycertifiedwardeathsa