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一带一路英文演讲第1页/共36页“OneBeltandOneRoad”“OneBeltandOneRoad"shortfor"SilkRoadEconomicBelt"and"21stCenturyMaritimeSilkRoad"
牛牛文库文档分享第2页/共36页Essence"OBOR"isnotanentityandthemechanism,itisaeconomiccooperationconcept,andbelongstothemultinationaleconomicbelt."OBOR"isadevelopmentstrategyandframeworkthatfocusesonconnectivityandcooperationamongcountriesprimarilyinEurasia,whichconsistsoftwomaincomponents,theland-based"SilkRoadEconomicBelt"(SREB)andoceangoing"MaritimeSilkRoad"(MSR).
"OBOR"aimsatborrowtheancientsymbol"silkroad",andcarrythebannerofpeacefuldevelopment,activelydevelopaneconomicpartnershipwithcountriesalongtheSilkRoadandregions,tobuildcommunityofinterest,fatecommunityandcommunityinresponsibilityofpoliticalmutualtrust,economicintegration,culturallytolerant
牛牛文库文档分享第3页/共36页Countriesandregionsalongthe“OneBelt,OneRoad”datasuchaspopulationandeconomicscale
牛牛文库文档分享第4页/共36页DevelopregionaleconomyAbsorbexcesscapacityReduceforeignexchangereserveWhydoChinawanttocarryout"OneBelt,OneRoad"?
Forthenation
牛牛文库文档分享第5页/共36页123DrivecapacityoutputbycapitaloutputStrengtheninternationalcooperationReversebalanceofpaymentssituationFortheword:
牛牛文库文档分享第6页/共36页InfrastructureNetworks
牛牛文库文档分享第7页/共36页SourcesoffundsAIIBisaproposedinternationalfinancialinstitutionwhichisfocusedonsupportinginfrastructureconstructionintheAsia-Pacificregion.SCODBismultilateraldevelopmentfinanceinstitution,anditexpandcooperationinthesettlementinlocalcurrenciesandpromotetheeconomyandtradecommunionofregionsbyjointcontributionandjointbenefitNewDevelopmentBankisaproposedinternationalfinancialinstitutionwhichisfocusedonsupportinginfrastructureconstructionofthese5BRICSandotherdevelopingcountries.SIFisastateownedinvestmentfundoftheChinesegovernmenttofosterincreasedinvestmentincountriesalongtheOneBelt,OneRoad,aneconomicdevelopmentinitiativeprimarilycoveringEurasia.
牛牛文库文档分享第8页/共36页ThefivemajorCo-operationpolicycoordinationunimpededtradefinancialintegration
facilitiesconnectivitypeople-to-peoplebonds
importantcontentpriorityareasimportantsupportingimportantguarantee
socialfoundation
牛牛文库文档分享第9页/共36页TheBack-upForceofOBOR123456landsilkroadmaritimeSilkRoad1.High-speeddiplomacy2.ShanghaiCooperationOrganizationDevelopmentBank3.SilkRoadfund4.AsianInfrastructureInvestmentBank(AIIB)5.Nucleardiplomacy6.BRICSBank
牛牛文库文档分享第10页/共36页OBOR“construction”RelationshipbetweenOBORandAIIBTheimplementationof"OneBeltandOneRoad"stratgyrequiresalargenumberofinvestmentfromfinancialinstitutions,includingAIIB.TheaidprogramofAIIB,whichtargetstheconstructionofinfrastructureinAsian-Pacificregion,overlapswithOBORstrategy.
牛牛文库文档分享第11页/共36页ISSUESOvercapacityProblemResourcesAquisitionNationalSecurityTradeInitiativeTransportationNetwork
牛牛文库文档分享第12页/共36页OvercapacityProblem
牛牛文库文档分享第13页/共36页OvercapacityProblem1.OBORopensupnewexportmarketstocompetewithAmericaandJapan.2.Ithelpsemergingmarketcountriesandlessdevelopedcountriesininfrastructureconstruction,usingthesufficientforeignexchangereservestosolvetheovercapacityproblem
牛牛文库文档分享第14页/共36页ResourcesAquisitionChina'soilandgasresourcesarehighlydependentonoverseasmineralresources.OBORwillbuildsomeeffectivechannelstogetresouces.Itcontributestotheresourcesdiversification.
牛牛文库文档分享第15页/共36页NationalSecurityTheindustryandinfrastructureofcoastalregion,westernareaandcentralareaneedtobeprotectedfromexternalconcealedthreats.OBORwillimprovethecapabilitytostrengthenthenationalsecurityatriskofconflict.
牛牛文库文档分享第16页/共36页TradeInitiativeOBORwillmakeChinahaveagreatersayinglobalmarketandregionaleconomy.
牛牛文库文档分享第17页/共36页TransportationNetworkWithbuildingatransportationnetworkintheneighboringarea,OBORwillpromotetheexporttradeandmobilizationofresouces.
牛牛文库文档分享第18页/共36页China'sRegionsinPursuingOpening-Up
牛牛文库文档分享第19页/共36页ChinainActionHigh-levelguidanceandfacilitation.Signingcooperationframework.Promotingprojectcooperation.Improvingpoliciesandmeasures.Boostingtheroleofcooperationplatforms.
牛牛文库文档分享第20页/共36页
牛牛文库文档分享第21页/共36页Fund-June29th,2015.-57countries-Legalcapital:$100bn-Dec29th,2014.-Beijing,China.-Legalcapital:$40bn-Supportedbyfournationalorganization-July21st,2015.-Fivecountries-InShanghai,China.-Sep11th,2014.-Discussed.14thSummit-Notofficiallyfoundedyet.
牛牛文库文档分享第22页/共36页
牛牛文库文档分享第23页/共36页
牛牛文库文档分享第24页/共36页
牛牛文库文档分享第25页/共36页57members$100billionChina(30.3%)1stKorea(3.8%)5th“tobuildbetterinfrastructureindevelopingcountries”-TheNetherlands,Germany,France,andothermanycountriesarefavorabletothefoundationofAIIBNewsArticles
牛牛文库文档分享第26页/共36页30.3%→26%ofvotes→75%→25%
牛牛文库文档分享第27页/共36页■1.Fourfinancialplatformswillsolveexistingmoneyproblem.2.Fourfinancialplatformswillpromoteeconomicdevelopmentofnumerouscountries.3.Asthefourplatformspursueopen-doorpolicy→enoughfinancialbackupforOBOR4.Fourfinancialplatformswillenablesustainableinvestment.5.Fourfinancialplatformswillenabledevelopingcountriestohaveloudervoice.■AIIB1.AIIBwillplaythemainrolein‘OneBeltOneRoad’project.SolveinequalityproblemamongnationsbyredistributingresourcesandbetterinvestmentconditionsParticipationofprivatecompaniesaredesperateaswell,butastheinvestmentvehiclesaredevelopingcountries,privatecompaniesmaynotbeattractedtoinvestmentproposals.Toaddresstheissue,AIIBshouldguaranteesafeinvestmentandminimizedloss.AssessmentofFinancialPlatform
牛牛文库文档分享第28页/共36页ToChina:
1.Todigestovercapacity:
China‘stotalcapacityutilizationdoesnotexceed65%,buttraditionalexportmarkethasopenedupinamorefull
byUnitedStatesandEurope.
Meanwhile,thecountriesalongtherouteofOneBeltOneRoadlacktheinfrastructure,whojustneedcost-effectiveChineseconstructionbusiness.
Chinaalsohastheexcessofforeignexchangeassets.Chinausesitshugeforeignexchangereservesaccumulatedasacapitaltoboostglobalgrowthandusesitsexportofcapitaltodigestitsexcesscapacity.
2.Torevitalizethestockoftheeconomy:
ThepromotionofOBORisconducivetotheexpansionofcross-borderuseofRMBintheperipheralregion,RMBpaymentsystemandtheutilizationofthehugeforeignexchangereserves.Aftertheabolishofgeographicrestrictions,ChinesedomesticenterprisesandcommercialbankscouldissueRMBbondsinoffshoretohelpthecirculationofRMBintheinternationalmarket.
3.TostrengthenNationalSecurity:
OBORcannotonlyhedgetheUS-ledTPP(Trans-Pacificrelationsagreement),TTIP(trans-Atlanticpartnerstonegotiate),whichattempttoisolate
China,butalsoprovidetheopportunityforChinatoparticipateinthedevelopmentofnewglobaltraderules.
ShanghaiFTAShanghaiFreeTradeZone-Internationaltransferport
China‘sindustrialandinfrastructureareconcentratedincoastalareas,andthereisagreatpotentialfortheirdevelopmentincentralandwesternregions.Significant
牛牛文库文档分享第29页/共36页TotheWorld:
1.Neweconomicgrowthstimulation:
The
global
economicrecoveryisslowdownandmonetarypolicyindevelopedeconomiestrendstodifferentiation.Economiesofmanycountriesfacedifficultiesandneedaneweconomicgrowthenginetodrivetheworldeconomy.
TheprojectionofOBORbenefitsChinaandmostcountries,becauseitseeksnewimpetustotheglobaleconomicrecoveryandmobilizesnewinvestmenttoachievethewin-winsituation.2.RegionalCollaboration:
OBORbreakstheoriginaldevelopmentmodelofspotandblockpatternsandextendsverticallyandhorizontally,connectingAsia-PacificEconomicCircleintheeasttheEuropeaneconomiczoneinthewest,consideredas"theworld'slongest,mostdevelopmentpotentialeconomiccorridor."
ThisstrategyhelpsthefurtherdeepenChina-ASEANcooperationandregionaleconomicintegration,buildingclosercommunity,andseekingthecoordinateddevelopment
inlinewiththestrategicinterestsofAsia-Pacific,Asia-Europeandmostmemberstates.Significant
牛牛文库文档分享第30页/共36页ChallengesOBORstrategyisaninevitableoutcomeofcurrentglobalstatus,anditalsofacesdifficulties.a.Specificdifficultiesduringtheimplementationofinvestmentprojects:1.Theenvironmentalimpactoflarge-scaleinvestment2.Changingrisksofforeignpolicy3.Breaking-inwithvariousforeigncountries’cultures,customs,eveninstitutionsb.Howtodealwithrelationsofbigpowers:theUnitedStates,Russia,Indiac.Howtodealwithrelationsofsmallcountries:
Scruples:NotThreaten-JointDevelopment
牛牛文库文档分享第31页/共36页HotDiscussion“NewNormal”TrapWorld:Since
SubprimeCrisis:
the8thyearofloweconomicgrowth,
lowinterestratesandexpandinggovernmentintervention
Keynesian
stimulus:
UnconventionalMonetaryPolicy(UMP):
(Liquidity
management:short-termnominalinterestrate-centralbank'sbalancesheetstructure,content)
ZeroInterestRatePolicy(ZIRP)
QuantitativeEasing(QE)
NewNormal:a‘TrapofDebtandMoney’
–
Financial
market
bubble
Soaringdebts-economicslowdownAstheNewNormalTrapdeepens,therecanbeadesperatecallforbreakthroughChinapresentsnewglobalfinancial&economicparadigm
牛牛文库文档分享第32页/共36页
Ifbankloansstop,moneysupplyshrinksandcausesdeflation…whichmeanslessmoneytogoaro
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