大战略性技术

CarlClaunchTop10StrategicTechnologiesThesematerialscanbereproducedonlywithGartner’sofficialapproval.Suchapprovalsmayberequestedviae-mail--quote.requests@.Notesaccompanythispresentation.PleaseselectNotesPageview.TheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsMaturingin18to36MonthsWiderApplicabilityLoweredRiskIssuesResolvedCopyright©2003Conclusion:Top10Technologies1. WhatarethetrendsanddriversshapingITstrategyduringthenextthreeyears?2. WhichtechnologieswillreachhighenoughlevelsofmaturityandadoptiontoimpacttheITlandscapethrough2005?3. HowwillITarchitecturesevolvetosupportenterprisegoals?Copyright©2003KeyIssuesValues:PresenceserviceReal-timeNorewindLowoverheadOtherIssues:LackofaudittrailQoSlimitationsPoorintegrationcapabilityLostrecordofdecisionsTextfocused,limitedmediaSecurityConcerns:DataprotectionPrivacyTamperresistanceCopyright©2003InstantMessagingintheEnterpriseRFIDTagCurrentApplicationsTollpasssystemsPetidentificationAccesscardsRetailtheftprotectionElectronicparoleetrackingPhotossourceTexasInstrumentsSuccessortoBarCodesCanreadevencoveredCanreadwhilemovingCanscanatdistanceSurviveswater,heat,paintingPricedroppingtolowlevelsRemaininproductforlifePotentialApplicationsLocatecommonobjectsImprovedassetcontrolReal-timeretail-shelfinventoryMovetofasterorself-checkoutImprovemanufacturingandsupply-chainefficiencyAfter-saleservicesofferingsCopyright©2003HoneyPots,ApplicationTracesandForensicsFirewallsIDSVAGatewayAVSecurityPlatformIntheCloudMSSIntrusionPreventionAppliancesAnti-spamContentScanningSub-

100MbGigabit+200220042006??PoliciesandParametersUnified*ManagementCopyright©2003NetworkSecurityPlatformTechnologiesRFIDBluetoothCellphonetowerGPSPossibilitiesEmergencyPromotionsNavigationCyber-overlaySmartcontextCopyright©2003Location-BasedServicesApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerBCopyright©2003GRIDComputingToolkitsandEnablersUnitedDevices,Avaki,DataSynapse,etc.Globus,OGSA,GlobalGridForumWebservicesandotherstandardsCorbaCustomapproachesSignificantintegrationrequiredCurrentApplicationsLargecomputationsLimiteddatainterchangePartitionablealgorithmEngineeringScientificresearchOptimizationandsimulationUniversalorNiche?HighlydependentonproblemandapplicationSecurity,economicandQoSissuesremainBreakthroughperformancevs.cost-efficiencyAdoptionrateofutilitymodelofcomputingDiffusiondependsonturnoverinexistingplantCopyright©2003GRIDComputingGeneraltextentryCommandandcontrolCallcenteruseSuccessFactorsLimitedvocabularyandhighcontextDialog-oriented,interactiveapproachAcceptablerateoferrorsCopyright©2003SpeechRecognitionReportActivateDeliberateAssimilateFormulateCommunicateSenseCaptureFilterTrackImplementReviseEventBusinessResponseAwarenessActionDecisionBusinessstrategyfirstReducedelaysReducederrorratesInformationprecisionandtimelinessRicher/More-appropriateinformationLowerwasteFasterreactionCopyright©2003Real-TimeEnterprise--RTETroughofDisillusionmentSlopeofEnlightenmentPlateauofProductivityTechnologyTriggerPeakofInflatedExpectationsReal-timeAnalyticsWebServicesMassRFIDTaggingMEMSsensorsWirelessWebWirelessLANRTIntegrationbrokersWirelessMessagingDataWarehouseBusinessProcessManagementLanguagesContentManagementInfantAdolescentMatureWebcastingRulesEnginesHomeBroadbandAutomatictextcategorisationEventMgt.CommercialGridInfrastructureSelf-healingInfrastructureCopyright©2003MaturityofRTETechnologiesVoIPonWANissuesQoScontrolEconomicsvscarriertrendsIPvariablelatencyStandardsandinteroperabilityIPtelephonyissuesFeaturesvsPBXScalabilityReliabilityQoSandsharingnetworksInteroperabilitySomeMissingFeaturesAttendantconsoleLeastcostroutingBusyoverrideTrunkcallbackqueuingBlindtransferLessthen500phones;VoIPoverWANLargeIPTelephony(500ormorephones)VeryLargeIPtelephony(2,000ormorephones)Copyright©2003IPTelephonyConceptsToolsDevelopDeployService-OrientedArchitecture(SOA)Service-OrientedDevelopmentofApplications(SODA)WebServiceArchitecture(WSA)InterfaceSeparationWrapping(Reflection)DescriptionDynamismAssemblyCompositionDiscoveryOrchestrationContractsMessagesRepositoryServersProg.ModelPlatformStandardsOrganizationWebServiceProducerPlatforms(WSPP)SODASOACopyright©2003ServiceOrientationtoSoftwareCommonInternetprotocols(e.g.,TCP/IPHTTP)ExtensibleMarkupLanguage(XML)SimpleObjectAccessProtocol(SOAP)WebServicesDefinitionLanguage(WDSL)UniversalDescription,DiscoveryandIntegration(UDDI)WS-Transaction,BPEL4WS,WSCIInplaceKey:Liberty,PassportWS-Security,SecurityAssertionsMarkupLanguage(SAML)WebServicesforRemotePortals(WSRP),WebServicesUserInterface(WSUI)FormatTransportMessageDescriptionSearch&FindCoordinationUserInterfaceIdentifyingStandardNeedBusinessSemanticsebXML,RosettaNetEmergingEstablishedEntrenchedSecurityTrustIdentityCopyright©2003EmergingWebServicesStandardsBuildingTrustApplicationsInspectionSurveysForms AnnotationPersonalizationofe-mail NotetakingEmbeddedinOSasextensionFocusoninknotrecognitionTwoformfactorsTablet(niche)ConvertibleNotebook(pricepremiumanduncertainacceptance)Copyright©2003TabletPCsTheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsExaminepotentialvalueoftechnologiesforyourenterprise.Selectrighttimetoexploitthem.Determineleadtimerequired.Investigateandpilotasneeded.Addressup-frontallunresolvedissuesandlargeriskfactors.Copyright©2003Recommendations9、静静夜夜四四无无邻邻，，荒荒居居旧旧业业贫贫。。。。1月月-231月月-23Sunday,January1,202310、雨雨中中黄黄叶叶树树，，灯灯下下白白头头人人。。。。13:36:3213:36:3213:361/1/20231:36:32PM11、以我独沈久久，愧君相见见频。。1月-2313:36:3213:36Jan-2301-Jan-2312、故故人人江江海海别别，，几几度度隔隔山山川川。。。。13:36:3213:36:3213:36Sunday,January1,202313、乍见见翻疑疑梦，，相悲悲各问问年。。。1月-231月-2313:36:3213:36:32January1,202314、他乡生生白发，，旧国见见青山。。。01一一月20231:36:32下午午13:36:321月-2315、比不了了得就不不比，得得不到的的就不要要。。。。一月231:36下午午1月-2313:36January1,202316、行动出成果果，工作出财财富。。2023/1/113:36:3213:36:3201January202317、做前，能能够环视四四周；做时时，你只能能或者最好好沿着以脚脚为起点的的射线向前前。。1:36:32下下午1:36下下午13:36:321月-239、没没有有失失败败，，只只有有暂暂时时停停止止成成功功！！。。1月月-231月月-23Sunday,January1,202310、很多事情努努力了未必有有结果，但是是不努力却什什么改变也没没有。。13:36:3213:36:3213:361/1/20231:36:32PM11、成功就是日日复一日那一一点点小小努努力的积累。。。1月-2313:36:3213:36Jan-2301-Jan-2312、世间间成事事，不不求其其绝对对圆满满，留留一份份不足足，可可得无无限完完美。。。13:36:3213:36:3213:36Sunday,January1,202313、不知香积积寺，数里里入云峰。。。1月-231月-2313:36:3213:36:32January1,202314、意志坚强的的人能把世界界放在手中像像泥块一样任任意揉捏。01一月20231:36:32下午13:36:321月-2315、楚楚塞塞三三湘湘接接，，荆荆门门九九派派通通。。。。。。一月231:36下下午午1月-2313:36January1,202316、少年年十五五二十十时，，步行行夺得得胡马马骑。。。2023/1/113:36:3213:36:3201January202317、空空山山新新雨雨后后，，天天气气晚晚来来秋秋。。。。1:36:32下下午午1:36下下午午13:36:321月月-239、杨柳散和风风，青山澹吾吾虑。。1月-231月-23Sunday,January1,202310、阅读一切切好书如同同和过