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TheEPshow:

Riskstratificationforsuddendeath

TheEPshow:

RiskstratificatiRiskstratificationforsuddendeathRiskstratificationforsuddenHistoricallookatearlymarkersBeganduringthemid-1980swithaprospectivestudyofabout1000postinfarctionpatients

Measured24-hourHolterrecordingsforventricularprematurebeatfrequency

Determinedejectionfraction

Ascertainedseveralother

routineclinicalparametersMossHistoricallookatearlymarkeHistoricallookatearlymarkersFoundinverserelationshipbetweentheejectionfractionandtotalmortalityaswellassuddendeath

Cutpointbetween30%and40%

Recentstudies,includingMADITI

andII,grewoutofthisearlyworkMossHistoricallookatearlymarkeSerialelectrophysiologytestingMechanisticallydriven

Suddendeathinpostinfarctionpatientspredominatelyduetoventriculartachycardia

Ifyoucouldinduceventriculartachycardiaandintroduceadrugthatsuppressesthisability,youcouldmonitorefficacyGoldSerialelectrophysiologytestiReviewingCASTCardiacArrhythmiaSuppressionTrial(CAST)

LargerandomizedtrialthatlookedatwhethersuppressingventricularectopyafterMIreducessuddendeathTrialstoppedbecauseantiarrhythmicagentsassociatedwithincreasedmortalityReviewingCASTCardiacArrhythmReviewingCAST"Thissetthestageformovingfromantiarrhythmicagentstodevicetherapy."MossReviewingCAST"ThissetthestReviewingCASTCouldtheseresultsberelatedtothedrugsselected?

SubsequenttrialsconfirmedthatthiswasnotthecasePrystowskyReviewingCASTCouldtheseresuMADITIWouldanICDorconventionaltherapyimprovesurvivalinthishigh-riskpopulation?

Randomlyassigned196patientswithpriorMIand:

NYHAfunctionalclass1,2,or3

Aleftventricularejectionfraction<35%

Anepisodeofasymptomaticunsustainedventriculartachycardia

Inducible,nonsuppressibleventriculartachyarrhythmiaonelectrophysiologicstudyMADITIWouldanICDorconventMADITIfindingsGroupTotaldeathsCardiacdeathsDefibrillator1511Conventionaltherapy3927*Average27-monthfollow-up

MADITIfindingsGroupTotaldeaMADITIInhigh-riskpatientswithpriorMI,prophylactictherapywithanICDleadstoimprovedsurvivalcomparedwithconventionalmedicaltherapyMADITIInhigh-riskpatientswMUSTT

MulticenterUnsustainedTachycardiaTrial(MUSTT),arandomizedcontrolledtrial

Canelectrophysiologicallyguidedantiarrhythmictherapyreducetheriskofsuddendeath?

Lookedatcoronaryarterydiseasepatientswithaleftventricularejectionfraction<40%andasymptomaticunsustainedventriculartachycardiaMUSTT

MulticenterUnsustainedMUSTTEndpointCardiacarrestor

arrhythmiadeathEP-guided

therapy(%)25Noantiarrhythmic

therapy(%)32Relativerisk0.7395%CI0.53-0.99MUSTTEndpointCardiacarrestoMUSTTTherapywithimplantabledefibrillators,butnotwithantiarrhythmicdrugs,reducestheriskofsuddendeathinhigh-riskpatientswithcoronarydisease

MUSTTTherapywithimplantableUnsustainedVT"Ithinkit'sarelativelyweakriskstratifier.Andasyoupointout,itwasbothfrustratingandcumbersome."GoldUnsustainedVT"Ithinkit'saMADITIIRandomizedtrialevaluatingtheeffectofanimplantabledefibrillatoronsurvival

1232patientswithpriorMIandaleftventricularejectionfractionof<30%

Patientsrandomlyassignedina3:2ratiotoreceiveICDorconventionalmedicaltherapyMADITIIRandomizedtrialevaluMADITmortalityratesMADITmortalityratesMADITII"Thisreallyintroducedasimplifiedstratificationapproach."MossMADITII"ThisreallyintroduceMADITIIandCMS"TheytookaconservativepositionandsaidthattheyweregoingtoreimburseonlyforMADITIIpatientswhohadaQRSduration>120millisecondsandthattheywouldrevisitthiswhenSCD-HeFTdatawerepresented."MossMADITIIandCMS"TheytookacSCD-HeFTSuddenCardiacDeathinHeartFailureTrial(SCD-HeFT)

LargestofthetrialsinvolvingICDtherapywithalongerpatientfollow-upthanpreviousstudies

SCD-HeFTSuddenCardiacDeathiSCD-HeFTComparedall-causemortalityin

>2500patients

WithNYHAclass2to3HF

LVEF<35%

PatientsrandomizedtoreceiveICD,amiodarone,orplaceboontopofstandardmedicaltherapySCD-HeFTComparedall-causemorSCD-HeFTall-causemortality

SCD-HeFTall-causemortality

SCD-HeFTICDcutsall-causemortalityby23%in

NYHAclass2to3heartfailure

SCD-HeFTICDcutsall-causemorWhat'sapayertodo?"Thetrialsweredesignedspecificallytoanswerthemajorquestionofdefibrillatorsandtheirroletoreducetotalmortality.Ithinkthetrials,asyoupointout,areconcordantinthatregard,andIthinkthatitwouldbereasonablethatthatwouldbeanindicationforpaying."GoldWhat'sapayertodo?"ThetriaWhat'sapayertodo?"Gettingintosubsetswhenit'snotreallyprespecifiedthat'swhatyou'relookingforispotentiallyverytreacherousandcanbemisleading."MossWhat'sapayertodo?"GettingThefutureManyhavebecomecynicalasnoninvasivetestafternoninvasivetestfailedtoliveuptoitsexpectations

ButIremainoptimisticGoldThefutureManyhavebecomecynQuestionAretherepatientsinMADITIIwhoare:

"Toohealthy"tobenefitfromanICD?

"Toosick"forone?PrystowskyQuestionAretherepatientsinLatestlookatMADITIIThebenefitfromICDwasentirelyinthepatientswhocarriedoneormoreriskfactors

The20%ofthepopulationthatcarriednoriskfactorsachievednobenefitwhatsoeverMossLatestlookatMADITIIThebeSummarySeveraldecadesofresearchhaveputriskstratifierstothetest

Ejectionfractionremainssupremeasanoninvasivetest

We'veidentifiedthebenefactorsofICDtherapy

AndrealizedthatantiarrhythmicdrugstopreventsuddendeatharenotasimportantasoncethoughtSummarySeveraldecadesofreseInconclusionDespite

somanynoninvasivetestsfailingtoliveupto

expectations,

manystillshowpromiseHotoffthepress!Newsoon-to-be-publisheddatawillshowthatcombinationsofriskstratifiersmayhelppinpointpatientswhowillderivethemostandleastbenefitfromanICDPrystowskyInconclusionDespite

somanynTheEPshow:

Riskstratificationforsuddendeath

TheEPshow:

RiskstratificatiRiskstratificationforsuddendeathRiskstratificationforsuddenHistoricallookatearlymarkersBeganduringthemid-1980swithaprospectivestudyofabout1000postinfarctionpatients

Measured24-hourHolterrecordingsforventricularprematurebeatfrequency

Determinedejectionfraction

Ascertainedseveralother

routineclinicalparametersMossHistoricallookatearlymarkeHistoricallookatearlymarkersFoundinverserelationshipbetweentheejectionfractionandtotalmortalityaswellassuddendeath

Cutpointbetween30%and40%

Recentstudies,includingMADITI

andII,grewoutofthisearlyworkMossHistoricallookatearlymarkeSerialelectrophysiologytestingMechanisticallydriven

Suddendeathinpostinfarctionpatientspredominatelyduetoventriculartachycardia

Ifyoucouldinduceventriculartachycardiaandintroduceadrugthatsuppressesthisability,youcouldmonitorefficacyGoldSerialelectrophysiologytestiReviewingCASTCardiacArrhythmiaSuppressionTrial(CAST)

LargerandomizedtrialthatlookedatwhethersuppressingventricularectopyafterMIreducessuddendeathTrialstoppedbecauseantiarrhythmicagentsassociatedwithincreasedmortalityReviewingCASTCardiacArrhythmReviewingCAST"Thissetthestageformovingfromantiarrhythmicagentstodevicetherapy."MossReviewingCAST"ThissetthestReviewingCASTCouldtheseresultsberelatedtothedrugsselected?

SubsequenttrialsconfirmedthatthiswasnotthecasePrystowskyReviewingCASTCouldtheseresuMADITIWouldanICDorconventionaltherapyimprovesurvivalinthishigh-riskpopulation?

Randomlyassigned196patientswithpriorMIand:

NYHAfunctionalclass1,2,or3

Aleftventricularejectionfraction<35%

Anepisodeofasymptomaticunsustainedventriculartachycardia

Inducible,nonsuppressibleventriculartachyarrhythmiaonelectrophysiologicstudyMADITIWouldanICDorconventMADITIfindingsGroupTotaldeathsCardiacdeathsDefibrillator1511Conventionaltherapy3927*Average27-monthfollow-up

MADITIfindingsGroupTotaldeaMADITIInhigh-riskpatientswithpriorMI,prophylactictherapywithanICDleadstoimprovedsurvivalcomparedwithconventionalmedicaltherapyMADITIInhigh-riskpatientswMUSTT

MulticenterUnsustainedTachycardiaTrial(MUSTT),arandomizedcontrolledtrial

Canelectrophysiologicallyguidedantiarrhythmictherapyreducetheriskofsuddendeath?

Lookedatcoronaryarterydiseasepatientswithaleftventricularejectionfraction<40%andasymptomaticunsustainedventriculartachycardiaMUSTT

MulticenterUnsustainedMUSTTEndpointCardiacarrestor

arrhythmiadeathEP-guided

therapy(%)25Noantiarrhythmic

therapy(%)32Relativerisk0.7395%CI0.53-0.99MUSTTEndpointCardiacarrestoMUSTTTherapywithimplantabledefibrillators,butnotwithantiarrhythmicdrugs,reducestheriskofsuddendeathinhigh-riskpatientswithcoronarydisease

MUSTTTherapywithimplantableUnsustainedVT"Ithinkit'sarelativelyweakriskstratifier.Andasyoupointout,itwasbothfrustratingandcumbersome."GoldUnsustainedVT"Ithinkit'saMADITIIRandomizedtrialevaluatingtheeffectofanimplantabledefibrillatoronsurvival

1232patientswithpriorMIandaleftventricularejectionfractionof<30%

Patientsrandomlyassignedina3:2ratiotoreceiveICDorconventionalmedicaltherapyMADITIIRandomizedtrialevaluMADITmortalityratesMADITmortalityratesMADITII"Thisreallyintroducedasimplifiedstratificationapproach."MossMADITII"ThisreallyintroduceMADITIIandCMS"TheytookaconservativepositionandsaidthattheyweregoingtoreimburseonlyforMADITIIpatientswhohadaQRSduration>120millisecondsandthattheywouldrevisitthiswhenSCD-HeFTdatawerepresented."MossMADITIIandCMS"TheytookacSCD-HeFTSuddenCardiacDeathinHeartFailureTrial(SCD-HeFT)

LargestofthetrialsinvolvingICDtherapywithalongerpatientfollow-upthanpreviousstudies

SCD-HeFTSuddenCardiacDeathiSCD-HeFTComparedall-causemortalityin

>2500patients

WithNYHAclass2to3HF

LVEF<35%

PatientsrandomizedtoreceiveICD,amiodarone,orplaceboontopofstandardmedicaltherapySCD-HeFTComparedall-causemorSCD-HeFTall-causemortality

SCD-HeFTall-causemortality

SCD-HeFTICDcutsall-causemortalityby23%in

NYHAclass2to3heartfailure

SCD-HeFTICDcutsall-causemorWhat'sapayertodo?"Thetrialsweredesignedspecificallytoanswerthemajorquestionofdefibrillatorsandtheirroletoreducetotalmortality.Ithinkthetrials,asyoupointout,areconcordantinthatregard,andIthinkthatitwouldbereasonablethatthatwouldbeanindicationforpaying."GoldWhat'sapayertodo?"ThetriaWhat'sapayertodo?"Gettingintosubsetswhenit'snotreallyprespecifiedthat'swhatyou'relookingforispotentiallyverytreacherousandca

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