《应用回归分析》第三版数据文件讲课教案

1、Good is good, but better carries it.精益求精，善益求善。应用回归分析第三版数据文件-应用回归分析（第三版）数据下载第2章例题2.1表2.1火灾损失表距消防站离x(km)3.41.84.62.33.15.50.73.0火灾损失y(千元)26.217.831.323.127.536.014.122.3距消防站离x(km)2.64.32.11.16.14.83.8火灾损失y(千元)19.631.324.017.343.236.426.1例题.2.2表2.2城镇人均收支表年份人均支出y（元）人均收入x（元）年份人均支出y（元）人均收入x（元）19901278.891

2、510.16200049986279.9819911453.81700.620015309.016859.619921671.72026.620026029.927702.819932110.82577.420036510.948472.219942851.33496.220047182.19421.619953537.574282.9520057942.881049319963919.54838.920068696.5511759.519974185.65160.320079997.4713785.819984331.65425.1200811242.8515780.7619994615.9

3、5854200912264.5517174.65第51页表2.5第一组第二组第三组第四组xyxyxyxy44.2643.145.3986.5855.6854.7455.7385.7667.2466.1366.0887.7174.8277.2676.4488.8486.9588.1486.7788.4798.8198.7797.1187.04108.04109.14107.4685.25118.33119.26117.8185.561210.84129.13128.1587.91137.58138.741312.7486.89149.96148.1148.841912.5第54页表2.6月份12

4、345xy123451010202040表2.7周序号12345678910 x825215107055048092013503256701215y3.51.04.02.01.03.04.51.53.05.0表2.8序号yx序号yx序号yx119583334618208163059351953826422202633114191809529673620460312432032535542020939328537214192752426800454221226443914382516034295294704669222462445173922482394762661048882327186434

5、940209692509730678571024339905020412722454408271705536252338235944225892404292585341682620627282143226443402102450035472722795336644246402829112427431592821570292045223412297122717036212922080298046256102932133016837823022250373147260153705142652542473120940285348257884123152736039823221800253349291

6、323608162169035683322934272950414808349172197431553418443230551258453766第3章表3.1地区y北京5562110212861563809.3558446060105.11.8216460天津5005812.515281221715.2399903111105.43.613423河北3155754.81097808.9386.6242768478106.23.969087山西2975820.81251769.8570.8254893571107.23.298807内蒙古355311781028869.7568.42594930

7、41105.74.110829辽宁43787221271913.1670.1271796672104.63.911232吉林3307871.41285914.5576.2232943122105.13.989729黑龙江3128830.5941.3864.9551.7217644751105.64.238623上海710911351646755.31166521228073105.84.219398江苏4545856.61042794.67513129715004105.43.2511978浙江552311841334933.1117933622116491053.4915158安徽39056

8、79.3988.1633.9633.5257034759106.23.929524福建5079862.21300540.6686.4255555763104.63.8612501江西3633739.2851.2484388.5205973457106.13.428717山东3699996.91247799.8580.12623415022105.33.711007河南3080842963.6790.9464.42443885541073.48837湖北3996816.2914.3675.3571223845633106.34.29478湖南3970787.9960.8791543.524146

9、56421064.29946广东58677271748836.4720.63328218865105.62.5615528广西4083557.2891.3529.4483.6247983434107.83.759627海南4227379.91106536.4459.721767798.9106.93.729408重庆4418947.71097878.3536.4266402693105.63.9611147四川4255770.8819.3564.9422.1247256380105.14.579679贵州3598590.2836.5471.4436.2239791678107.63.98834

10、9云南4272728.6739.2606.9294.3233053082105.74.219077陕西3586753.91008862.7697.3254783176106.43.919772续前表地区y甘肃3184715.4846.3654.8428.4236321688108.23.238309青海3316680.9802.761038930101466.1110.13.88193宁夏3353868.51069816.9465.130050537.2108.54.359558新疆3236877.7781.9643.5417.1246862209108.13.78669例题3.2表3.6北京

11、开发区数据x1x2yx1x2y253547.79553.967671.13122.2420896.34208.555322863.3214006750.323.175116046410012087.052815.440862.757.55251639.311052.12187672.99224.188253357.73427122901.76538.94120808.47442.82743546.182442.7928520.2770.12例题3.3表3.7年份yx1x2x3x4x51978231301018888149114.89180.921979298335021958638916.00

12、420.391980343368825319220419.53570.251981401394127999530021.82776.711982445425830549992223.27792.4319833914736335810604422.91947.7019845545652390511035326.021285.2219857447020487911211027.721783.3019869977859555210857932.432281.95198713109313638611242938.912690.231988144211738803812264537.383169.481

13、989128313176900511380747.192450.14199016601438496639571250.682746.201991217816557109699508155.913335.651992288620223129859969383.663311.5019933383248821594910545896.084152.70第85页表3.8序号降低成本率y(%)流动资金x1(万元)固定资金x2(万元)优良品率x3(%)竣工面积x4(万m2)劳动生产率x5(元/人)施工产值x6(万元)15.781297.981543.4862.6813.8286761366.2926.34

14、2164.211527.0364.9915.22871334320.2135.491429.281714.0966.9617.21169464786.664-6.99581.38681.0340.034.30449681262.7657.18981.781134.3174.7212.29868103062.9066.70601.21611.9860.247.48164161718.7075.00588.27802.2162.9310.68369112369.1386.562975.632403.2267.5925.93871247797.6495.011096.101908.9864.499.

15、80065403494.30第88页表3.9编号货运总量y(万吨)工业总产值x1(亿元)农业总产值x2(亿元)居民非商品支出x3(亿元)116070351.0226075402.4321065402.0426574423.0524072381.2622068451.5727578424.0816066362.0927570443.21025065423.0表3.10国内生产总值GDP和三次产业数据单位：亿元年份GDP第一产业增加值x1第二产业增加值x2第三产业增加值x3199018547.95017.07717.45813.5199121617.85288.69102.27227.019922

16、6638.15800.011699.59138.6199334634.46882.116428.511323.8199446759.49457.222372.214930.0199558478.111993.028537.917947.2199667884.613844.233612.920427.5199774462.614211.237222.723028.7199878345.214552.438619.325173.5199982067.514472.040557.827037.7200089468.114628.244935.329904.6200197314.815411.8487

17、50.033153.02002105172.316117.352980.236074.82003117390.216928.161274.139188.02004136875.920768.172387.243720.6资料来源：2005年中国统计年鉴，未经2005年经济普查修订。第4章表4.1序号储蓄y（万元）居民收入x（万元）xi等级残差ei|ei|残差|ei|等级di126487771169.0169.016-15225210592102-26.626.63-1139099543-104.6104.67-4164131105084-110.5110.58-4165122109795-15

18、9.4159.415-101006107119126-253.4253.423-172897406127477-25.125.1252585031349988.28.217499431142699-129.0129.0900105881552210-78.078.04636118981673011129.7129.71011129501766312102.7102.76636137791857513-145.5145.514-11148191963514-195.3195.319-525151222211631578.478.45101001617022288016413.0413.028-1

19、21441715782412717183.4183.418-111816542560418134.4134.4117491914002650019-195.5195.520-112018292767021134.4134.4129812122002830023452.1452.129-6362220172743020342.8342.827-7492321052956024250.4250.422242416002815022-135.2135.2139812522503210025180.4180.4178642624203250026316.5316.5251127257035250282

20、33.7233.7217492817203350027-468.2468.230-392919003600029-499.8499.831-243021003620030-316.7316.7264163123003820031-286.1286.124749表4.2序号12345678910 x12345678910y149162536496481100第127页表4.11用户XY用户XY1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526276792921012493582115699721891097207818181700747203016434143

21、5412767454355408741543102971014348370.790.440.560.792.703.644.739.505.346.855.845.213.254.433.160.500.171.880.771.390.561.565.280.644.000.314.2028293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152531748138114281255177737023161130463770724808790783406124265817464681114413178735601495222115264.883.487.5

22、82.634.990.598.194.790.511.744.103.940.963.290.443.242.145.710.641.900.518.3314.945.113.853.93表4.12序号xy序号xy12345678910127.3130.0132.7129.4135.0137.1141.1142.8145.5145.320.9621.4021.9621.5222.3922.7623.4823.6624.1024.0111121314151617181920148.3146.4150.2153.1157.3160.7164.2165.6168.7172.024.5424.2825

23、.0025.6426.4626.9827.5227.7828.2428.78表4.13周次销售额y周演出场次x1,周点击率x2,周次销售额y周演出场次x1,周点击率x2,1893.93529227668.3417321091.27525228915.03536031229.97526729565.92434041045.855379301267.9853805997.24531831930.2462856149538423271200.56533133500.7452948747.2442043483.6552209866.43526635982.9463911060

24、3525336722.28427911343.525315371337.44532212472.16271381150.51423113171.794166391514.84636814135.794204401442.08535715925.95533541767.645260161574.015352421020.035298171405.335274431067.49535018971.274333441484.126320191165.2530245957.68422720597.854324461344.91526121490.344327471361.78530322709.595

25、206481424.69626323987.35310491158.21421524954.6630650827.564294251216.89635051803.164288261491.525275521447.466257第5章例题5.1表5.1序号x1（元）x2(%)x3(%)（百万元）181.285.087.07.8282.992.094.08.4383.291.595.08.7485.992.995.59.0588.093.096.09.6699.996.097.010.37102.095.097.510.68105.395.697.010.99117.798.998.011.31

26、0126.4101.5101.212.311131.2102.0102.513.512148.0105.0104.014.213153.0106.0105.914.914161.0109.0109.515.915170.0112.0111.018.516174.0112.5112.019.517185.0113.0112.319.918189.0114.0113.020.5第148页表5.3x1x2x3x4y72666078.5129155274.31156820104.3113184787.675263395.91155922109.2371176102.7131224472.5254182

27、293.12147426115.9140233483.81166912113.31068812109.4例题5.6表5.4年份yx1x2x3x4x5x6x71974172.911246681105.91018341101124291975352.9410335791107.4104143996126936.51976447.6713156607114.41313446891668161977404.026127714110.8150336876221314.751978409.512741991199.4173898636313534.751979619.7125633123191.42171

28、512339435289.519801121.1795684276090.82707516623707521019811506.94105987265186.331827199371259891619821105.79462302105125.335393247879946810.51983933.03371653030107.438823251128247810.519841008.54487872810106.64607924414549368.519851567.56758082649115.7478712297087135619861960.061231283031110.154372

29、244031298846.519872884.883714063644105.86560230531153044519882556.721985693690101.674917378612150335.25第156页表5.5年份农业x1工业x2建筑业x3人口x4最终消费x5受灾面积x6财政收入y19781018.41607.0138.2962592239.1507601132.319791258.91769.7143.8975422619.4393701146.419801359.41996.5195.5987052976.1445301159.919811545.62048.4207.110

30、00723309.1397901175.819821761.62162.3220.71016543637.9331301212.319831960.82375.6270.61030084020.5347101367.019842295.52789.0316.71043574694.5318901642.919852541.63448.7417.91058515773.0443702004.819862763.93967.0525.71075076542.0471402122.019873204.34585.8665.81093007451.2420902199.419883831.05777.

31、2810.01110269360.1508702357.219894228.06484.0794.011270410556.5469902664.919905017.06858.0859.411433311365.2384702937.119915288.68087.11015.111582313145.9554703149.519925800.010284.51415.011717115952.1513303483.419936882.114143.82284.711851720182.1488304349.019949457.219359.63012.611985026796.055040

32、5218.1199511993.024718.33819.612112133635.0458216242.2199613844.229082.64530.512238940003.9469897408.0199714211.232412.14810.612362643579.4534298651.1199814599.633429.85262.012481046405.9501459876.0表5.6x1x2x3x4x5x6y19681051.81503.63.65.85.9587319691078.81486.73.56.74.5785219701075.31434.85.08.44.281

33、8919711107.52035.66.06.24.2749419721171.12360.85.65.44.9853419731235.02043.94.95.95.0868819741217.81331.95.69.44.1727019751202.31160.08.59.43.4502019761271.01535.07.77.24.2603519771332.71961.87.06.64.5742519781399.22009.36.07.63.9940019791431.61721.96.010.64.4935019801480.71290.87.214.93.96540198115

34、10.31100.07.616.63.1767519821492.21039.09.217.50.6741919831535.41200.08.816.01.57923第7章表7.1序号12345678910（1）x11.11.41.71.71.81.81.92.02.32.4（2）x21.11.51.81.71.91.81.82.12.42.5（3）i0.8-0.50.4-0.50.21.91.90.6-1.5-1.5（4）yi16.316.819.218.019.520.921.120.920.322.0第187页表7.5银行不良贷款数据分行编号不良贷款y(亿元）各项贷款余额x1（亿元）本

35、年累计应收贷款x2（亿元）贷款项目个数x3（个）本年固定资产投资额x4（亿元）10.967.36.8551.921.1111.319.81690.934.8173.07.71773.743.280.87.21014.557.8199.716.51963.262.716.22.212.271.6107.410.71720.2812.5185.427.11843.891.096.11.71055.9102.672.89.11464.3110.364.22.11142.7124.0132.211.22376.7130.858.66.01422.8143.5174.612.726117.11510.2

36、263.515.634146.7163.079.38.91529.9170.214.80.6242.1180.473.55.91125.3191.024.75.0413.4206.8139.47.22864.32111.6368.216.832163.9221.695.73.81044.5231.2109.610.31467.9247.2196.215.81639.7253.2102.212.01097.1第8章表8.1FAC1_1FAC2_1FAC3_1FAC4_1FAC5_1-1.28940-1.48100-0.274580.424561.35596-1.15466-1.05109-0.2

37、77130.281881.04786-1.00250-0.574320.25610-0.084160.00132-0.88460-0.315390.27878-0.61988-0.88559-0.796640.064410.82047-0.24731-1.14311-0.676950.604040.994810.38279-0.23507-0.472730.949850.921270.056030.64251-0.233791.074890.107510.199280.56835-0.050870.72689-0.92133-1.38813-1.027690.234030.98323-0.85

38、620-2.108900.067580.594551.83545-1.119740.832751.616440.580790.807780.810172.15283-1.387080.58762-0.84924-1.176010.81898-1.512730.90733-0.99231-2.051510.56883-0.193421.48315-1.021301.28866-1.18053-0.036302.17468-0.761901.19873-0.089031.12098表8.2prin1prin2-2.57600-1.42981-2.30681-1.01476-2.00282-0.55

39、447-1.76727-0.30449-1.591560.06218-1.352420.58316-0.944440.91702-0.467081.03774-0.101630.701760.467540.949251.187801.772011.160320.779861.17396-0.819881.81268-0.958012.96308-0.986004.34463-0.73557表8.3年份199711355.5313.8816074.14227.0311511.41559.832036.90199811670.0013.3216100.00232.7911863.67542.002

40、171.00199912393.0013.6416000.00251.9812539.24567.002356.00200013556.0013.8416300.00272.0013101.48657.002427.00200114808.0214.7216395.87303.2915554.25760.682696.30200216540.0015.5016700.00326.6117084.60850.003050.40200319105.7518.3516959.98350.1521366.68983.583371.20200422033.0921.2317587.33414.60268

41、30.991291.343928.90200525002.6023.5018135.29493.2034375.191450.544544.70200628657.2625.2918476.57585.5341245.191742.965033.20200732815.5326.9218631.82692.4047651.632068.175412.60200834957.6128.0219043.06802.9947824.422170.925098.00200937146.5129.7318948.96852.6955283.462393.465960.90续表8.3574.40725.7

42、62820.9651173.8016630.7010894.209978.93539.37744.003010.0053600.0017194.0311559.0010737.80580.14766.003251.0057300.0017419.7912426.0012109.78667.88834.003186.0059700.0018352.2012850.0013146.00787.96914.373383.0166103.9920964.1215163.4016067.61877.971033.153791.0072500.0023445.5618236.6019251.59945.2

43、71133.563881.3186208.1127702.6022233.6024108.011041.121334.704804.8296681.9937026.1728291.1031975.721239.981421.085177.86106884.7940210.2435324.0037771.141511.781560.035345.05123676.4846574.7041914.9046893.361759.291765.005824.98136117.2553918.0748928.8056560.871926.011854.606028.05142355.7359890.39

44、50305.8060460.291832.371944.776385.01164397.7858574.0757218.2069405.40资料来源：中经网第9章例题9.1表9.2年份tye1991121781.528514.2-6732.739.991992226923.532745.6-5822.0610.201993335333.937604.8-2270.9010.471994448197.943185.15012.7910.781995560793.749593.511200.1911.021996671176.656952.914223.7211.17199777897365404

45、.313568.6711.281998884402.375109.99292.3711.341999989677.186255.83421.3311.4020001099214.699055.6159.0211.51200111109655113755-4099.6111.61200212120333130635-10302.6111.70200313135823150021-14197.9811.82200414159878172283-12404.6211.98200515184937197849-12911.2312.13200616216314227208-10893.7212.282

46、007172658102609244885.9112.4920081831404529964414401.4712.66200919340507344109-3602.3112.74例题9.2表9.3序号Xi1Xi2yi12345678910111213141516171866.29040.96472.99645.01057.20426.85238.12235.84075.79637.40854.37646.18646.13030.36639.06079.38052.76655.9167510645469527435186196632528412614494926649105987714562

47、45133133例题9.3表9.5试验设计与结果实验号EDTAX1（g）无水碳酸钠X2（g）焦亚硫钠X3（g）吸收度y1/y10.00300.61.1600.86220.02381.20.3123.20530.04460.40.3063.26340.06261.01.3180.75950.08340.20.8771.14060.10420.80.1476.80370.12501.40.2044.902表9.6回归变量表x1x2x3x11x22x33x12x13x23y0.000.020.040.060.080.100.12303846263442500.61.20.41.00.20.81.40

48、.00000.00040.00160.00360.00640.01000.0144900144421166761156176425000.3601.4400.1601.0000.0400.6401.9600.000.761.841.562.724.206.000.0000.0240.0160.0600.0160.0800.16818.045.618.426.06.833.670.01.1600.3120.3061.3180.8770.1470.204例题9.4表9.8x123456789y(%)0.52.33.424.054.782.194.896.296.4例题9.5表9.10我国民航国内航

49、线里程数据单位：万公里年份ty年份ty1980111.4119931468.211981213.5519941569.371982313.2819951678.081983412.9219961778.021984515.2819971892.061985617.12199819100.141986721.6719992099.891987824.0220002199.451988924.55200122103.6719891030.55200223106.3219901134.04200324103.42199112385219921353.36例题9.6表9.11

50、我国历年大陆总人口数单位：亿人年份ty年份ty195015.51961978299.6259195125.631979309.7542195235.74821980319.8705195345.879619813210.0072195456.026619823310.1541195566.146519833410.2495195676.282819843510.3475195786.465319853610.4532195896.599419863710.57211959106.720719873810.7241960116.620719883910.89781961126.585919894

51、011.27041962136.729519904111.43331963146.917219914211.58231964157.049919924311.71711965167.253819934411.85171966177.454219944511.9851967187.636819954612.11211968197.853419964712.23891969208.067119974812.36261970218.299219984912.47611971228.522919995012.57861972238.717720005112.67431973248.9211200152

52、12.76271974259.085920025312.84531975269.24220035412.92271976279.371720045512.99881977289.497420055613.0756例题9.7表9.12年份tGDPKLlnGDPlnKlnL197813624.11377.9401528.1953617.22831610.60043197924038.21474.2410248.3035547.29587110.62191198034517.81590.0423618.415787.37148910.65398198144862.41581.0437258.4892

53、877.36581310.68568198255294.71760.2452958.5744627.47318310.72095198365934.52005.0464368.6885387.60339910.74583198477171.02468.6481978.87787.81140610.78305198588964.43386.0498739.1010168.12740510.817241986910202.23846.0512829.2303598.25478910.845119871011962.54322.0527839.3895328.37147410.87394198811

54、14928.35495.0543349.6110148.61159410.9029119891216909.26095.0553299.7356138.71522410.9210519901318547.96444.0647499.8281128.77090511.0782719911421617.87517.0654919.9812728.92492211.0896719921526638.19636.06615210.19019.17326111.0997119931634634.414998.06680810.45269.61567211.1095819941746759.419260.

55、66745510.752779.86581711.1192219951858478.123877.06806510.9764110.0806711.1282219961967884.626867.26895011.1255610.1986611.1411419972074462.628457.66982011.2180510.2561711.1536819982178345.229545.97063711.2688810.293711.1653119992282067.530701.67139411.315310.3320711.1759720002389468.132611.47208511

56、.4016410.3924211.185620012497314.837460.87302511.4857110.5310511.19856200225105172.342355.47374011.5633610.6538511.2083习题9.2表9.14生产率x（单位/周）10002000300003500400045005000废品率y（%）5.26.56.88.110.210.313.0表9.15序号xy序号xy123456784.204.063.803.603.403.203.002.800.0860.0900.1000.1200.1300.1500.1700.19091011121

57、314152.602.402.202.001.801.601.400.2200.2400.3500.4400.6200.9401.620表9.16年份ty年份ty197817.519881159.6197929.819891262.21980311.419901366.51981413.319911472.71982517.219921577.21983620.619931682.41984729.119941785.41985834.619951886.81986947.419961987.219871055.5表9.17年份tCPIGDPKL19781100.003624.11377.94

58、012519792101.903962.91446.74102419803109.544124.21451.54236119814112.284330.61408.14372519825114.534623.11536.94529519836116.825080.21716.44643619847119.975977.32057.74819719858131.136836.32582.24987319869139.657305.42754.051282198710149.857983.22884.352783198811178.028385.93086.854334198912210.0680

59、49.72901.555329199013216.578564.32975.464749199114223.949653.53356.865491199215238.2711179.94044.266152199316273.2912673.05487.966808199417339.1613786.95679.067455199518397.1514724.36012.068065199619430.1215782.86246.568950199720442.1616840.66436.069820199821438.6217861.66736.170637199922432.4818975

60、.97098.971394200023434.2120604.77510.572085200124437.2522256.08567.373025200225433.7524247.09764.973740第10章表10.1序号y（元）x1（万元）x2eidei12352.30-58845523463.21-220-237233652.80-2371-104744683.51-1246-322956582.60-1313-10168673.21301-1851710852.60-886326812363.41-96-2135912382.2079717841013452.812309-6711