法国移民法案市场前景及投资研究报告-外文版培训课件

POLITICS

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SOCIETYFrenchimmigrationbillCHAPTER

01MigrationassessmentofMacronpresidencyNumberoffirstresidencepermitsissuedtonon-EuropeanimmigrantsinFrancefrom2007to2023Numberofnon-EuropeanfirstresidencepermitsissuedinFrance2007-2023350,000300,000250,000323,260318,926277,406273,360258,929247,436230,353223,093217,533210,940205,393196,535194,410193,054

193,120200,000150,000100,00050,0000183,893171,907200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220233Description:InFrancein2023,323,260firstresidencepermitswereissuedtonon-Europeanimmigrants.Thisnumberhasbeenalmostconstantlyincreasingsince2007,exceptin2020wherethenumberoffirstresidencepermitsissuedclearlydecreased,mostlyduetoCOVID-19pandemic.ReadmoreNote(s):FranceSource(s):Observatoiredel'immigrationetdeladémographieNumberoffirstresidencedocumentsdeliveredinFrancein2023,brokendownbyreasonofacceptanceFirstresidencepermitsinFrance2023,byreason120,000103,520100,00091,02080,00060,00040,00020,000054,63047,68026,410StudentsFamilyEconomicalHumanitarianDiverse4Description:ThisgraphpresentthenumberoffirstresidencepermitsdeliveredinFrancein2023,distributedbyreasonofacceptance.Thestatisticshowsthatmorethan91,000firstresidencepermitsforfamilyreasonswereissuedinFrancethisyear.

ReadmoreNote(s):France;2023;*Provisionaldata.Thefiguresconcernresidencepermitsdeliveredforthefirsttimetoadultforeigners(excludingUKnationals).ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)AverageyearlynumberoffirstresidencepermitsissuedduringFrenchpresidenciesfrom2007to2023FirstresidencepermitsissuedduringeachpresidencyinFrance2007-2023300,000250,000274,630217,463200,000150,000100,00050,0000188,820Sarkozypresidency(2007-2012)Hollandepresidency(2012-2017)Macronpresidency(2017-2023)5Description:InFrance,duringtheMacronfirstpresidencybetween2017and2023,theaveragenumberoffirstresidencepermitsissuedperyearwas274,630.Incomparison,theaveragenumberduringtheHollandepresidencybetween2012and2017,was217,463.ThisnumberwasevenlowerduringSarkozypresidencybetween2007and2012,indeedduringthatperiodoftime,theyearlyaveragenumberoffirstresidencepermitsissuedwasaround188,820.

ReadmoreNote(s):France;2007to2023Source(s):Observatoiredel'immigrationetdeladémographieStockofvalidpermitsandprovisionalresidencedocumentsasofDecember2023inFrance,byreasonforstayStockofvalidpermitsandprovisionalresidencedocumentsinFrance20231,600,0001,350,4201,400,0001,200,0001,000,000800,000600,000400,000200,0000934,684593,124400,073386,652338,765StudentFamilyreasonsRenewalbyrightHumanitarianreasonsVisitorsandmiscellaneousEconomicreasons6Description:InFrance,inDecember2023,thestockofvalidpermitsandprovisionalresidencedocumentsforstudentsamountedto338,765.Incomparison,thestockofpermitsforeconomicreasonswasslightlyhigherandamountedto386,652.Finally,thehigheststockofpermitswasfamilyreasons,whichamountedtomorethan1.3million.ReadmoreNote(s):France;December31,2023Source(s):Observatoiredel'immigrationetdeladémographieValidtitlesandprovisionalresidencedocumentsissuedinFrancefrom2018to2022,byleadingnationalitiesNumberofresidencedocumentsissuedinFrance2022,byleadingnationalitiesValidtitlesandprovisionalresidencedocumentsissuedinFrance202220180100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000627,413618,042Algeria587,400Morocco525,509275,710Tunisia232,053227,810Turkey208,786119,311118,765China*101,620Senegal81,905101,49787,846MaliIvoryCoast98,32469,45685,25883,711Ukraine14,727DemocraticRepublicofCongo72,7197Description:InFrancein2022,627,413titlesandprovisionalresidencedocumentswereissuedtoAlgeriannationals,incomparison525,509titleswereissuedtoMoroccannationalsand275,710toTunisiannationals.

ReadmoreNote(s):France;2018to2022;*includingHong-KongReadmoreSource(s):Observatoiredel'immigrationetdeladémographieAverageyearlynumberofexitsofforeignersinirregularsituationinFrancefrom2012to2023,bypresidencyAverageyearlynumberofexitsofforeignersinirregularsituationsinFrance202335,00028,76630,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,000023,338Hollandepresidency(2012-2017)Macronpresidency(2017-2023)8Description:InFrance,duringMacron'sfirstpresidencybetween2017and2023,theyearlyaveragenumberofforeignersinirregularsituationsbeingforcedtoexitFrenchterritorywas23,338.Incomparison,duringHollandepresidencybetween2012and2017,theaveragenumberwasaround28,766.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2012to2023Source(s):Observatoiredel'immigrationetdeladémographieCHAPTER

02Newimmigrationbill:improveintegrationShareofnewimmigrantswhowishtoremainorleaveFrancein2022,bygenderandbyageShareofnewmigrantswhowishtoremaininFrance2022,bygenderandageWouldliketostaypermanentlyinFranceWouldliketostaypartiallyinFrance85%DonotwanttostayinFrance85%Donotknow/Otherproject83%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%84%83%81%9%8%7%7%7%7%6%6%6%6%5%

5%4%

4%Female4%3%3%3%MaleAged22to29Aged30to39Aged40to49Aged50andover10Description:InFrance,in2022,84percentofthefemaleimmigrantsdeclaredthattheywantedtostaypermanentlyinFrance.Ontheotherhand,fourpercentofthemdidnotwanttostayinthecountry.Thatsameyear,81percentofnewimmigrantsagedbetween22and29wantedtopermanentlystayinFrance.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2022;22yearsandolder;Immigrantswhowereissuedafirstresidencepermitofatleastoneyear,in2018Source(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)ShareofnewimmigrantswhowishtoremainorleaveFrancein2022,byeducationlevelShareofnewmigrantswhowishtoremaininFrance2022,byeducationlevelWouldliketostaypermanentlyinFranceWouldliketosatypartiallyandthenmovetoanothercountryWouldliketolivebetweenFranceandabroadDonotknow/Otherproject100%87%86%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%82%81%10%8%7%6%6%5%5%5%4%Baccalaureat*3%3%2%HighereducationdegreeBrevet**Nodiploma11Description:In2022,inFrance,82percentofthenewimmigrantswhograduatedwithahighereducationdegreedeclaredtheywantedtostaypermanentlyinFrance,tenpercentofthemwantedtolivebetweenFranceandabroador,staypartiallyinFranceandleavelater,andfinallyeightpercentofthemsaidtheyhadotherprojects.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2022;6,500respondents;18yearsandolder;Immigrantswhowereissuedafirstresidencepermitofatleastoneyear,in2018;*endofhighschoolofficialexam.

**endofmiddleschoolofficialexam.

ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)GeneralevolutionofnewimmigrantseconomicstatusinFrancefrom2019to2022GeneralevolutionofnewimmigrantseconomicstatusinFrance2019-2022EmployedUnemployedHomemakerStudentOther120%100%80%60%40%20%0%5%4%9%4%6%12%11%13%14%14%15%11%68%60%54%20192020202212Description:InFrance,in2022,68percentofthenewimmigrantsdeclaredthattheywereemployed.Ontheotherhand,11percentofthemwereunemployed.Thatyear,aroundsixpercentofthenewimmigrantswerestudents.Incomparison,in2019,studentsrepresented12percentifimmigrants.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2019,2020and2022;6,500respondents;18yearsandolder;Newimmigrantsin2018,holdersofaresidencepermitofmorethanoneyearSource(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)Generalevolutionofnewimmigrant’sunderstandingofwrittenFrenchfrom2019to2022Generalevolutionofnewimmigrant’sunderstandingofwrittenFrench2019-2022InabilitytocompletethetaskLessthan40%successrate40-60%successrate60-80%successrateMorethan80%successrate120%100%80%60%40%20%0%40%20%44%21%50%20%10%6%10%7%9%6%24%18%16%20192020202213Description:InFrance,in2022,halfofthenewimmigrantsthattookatestrelatedtowrittencomprehensionoftheFrenchlanguagehad80percentormoresuccessrate.Thenumberhasincreasedsince2019,indeedthatyearonly40percentofthenewimmigrantswerehighlysuccessfulwhencompletingthetest,andtheywere44percentin2020.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2019,2020and2022;6,500respondents;18yearsandolder;Newimmigrantsin2018,holdersofaresidencepermitofmorethanoneyearSource(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)Doyouagreewiththefollowingstatement:"IgetasmuchconsiderationasaFrenchperson"?FeelingofintegrationofnewimmigrantsinFrancein2022,byoriginStronglydisagreeDisagreeAgreeStronglyagree120%100%80%60%40%20%0%3%5%20%47%25%26%28%31%13%79%28%26%29%19%30%29%35%27%37%38%29%32%24%27%34%24%22%17%24%24%16%21%17%18%14%24%9%22%18%7%NorthAfrica

Sahelregion

CentralAfrica

AfricaotherAmericaChinaMiddleEastIndiansubcontinentAsiaotherEurope*14Description:InFrance,in2022,themajorityofimmigrantscomingfromChina,thoughtthattheydidnotgetasmuchconsiderationasFrenchpeopledid.Indeed,around79percentoftherespondentscomingfromthatcountryansweredthatway.Ontheotherhand,only14percentofimmigrantscomingfromNorthAfricafelttheywerenotconsideredasmuchasFrenchpeoplewere.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2022;6,500respondents;18yearsandolder;Immigrantswhowereissuedafirstresidencepermitofatleastoneyear,in2018;*excludingEuropeanEconomicAreaandEuropeanFreeTradeAssociationcountriesꢀ

Datahavebeen[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)CHAPTER

03Newimmigrationbill:immigrationcontrolNumberofthirdcountrynationalsrefusedentryattheexternalbordersofFrancefrom2013to2022ThirdcountrynationalsrefusedentryattheFrenchexternalborders2013-202212,00011,31511,03010,86010,2159,88010,0008,0006,0004,0002,00009,5159,1808,5808,2104,240202020132014201520162017201820192021202216Description:In2022,around9,180thirdcountrynationalstriedtoenterFrancebutwererefusedentryattheexternalborders.Since2013,thenumberofthirdcountrynationalsrefusedentryhasslightlydecreased,with11,315personsrefusedentrytoFranceinthatyear.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2013to2022Source(s):EurostatShareofobligationstoleaveFrenchterritorycarriedoutamongtheonespronouncedbytheauthoritiesfrom2003to2022ShareofobligationstoleaveFrancecarriedout2003-202230%25.7%24.2%25%20%15%10%5%23.2%20.6%20.4%19.1%19.1%18.9%17.1%17%16.7%15%14.3%14.1%13.7%12.6%12.2%6.9%6.9%6%0%2003

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202217Description:InFrance,in2022,amongtheobligationstoleaveFrenchterritorypronouncedbytheauthorities,6.9percentwereactuallycarriedout.Incomparison,23.2percentwerecarriedouttenyearsearlier,in2012.TheyearthatsawthehighestshareofobligationstoleaveFrenchterritorybeingcarriedoutwas2006,with25.7percent.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2003to2022Source(s):Eurostat;FondapolNumberofreturnsofforeignersinirregularsituationinFrancebetween2009and2022,bytypeofreturnTypesofreturnsofforeignersinirregularsituationinFrance2009-2022VoluntaryreturnsAidedreturnsEnforcedremovals20,00018,90618,00015,67715,48516,00014,00012,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,000015,16114,98113,38614,27012,96114,07613,90813,58412,54712,03411,70011,81811,41010,0919,9009,1118,4558,2787,9687,6574,8567,7546,8457,2315,2676,7816,7776,2284,6543,3654,4774,2924,2114,2502,5883,7432,9853,6063,4682009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202218Description:ThisgraphshowsthenumberofreturnsofforeignersinirregularsituationinFrancebetween2009and2022,bytypeofreturn.In2022,4,654foreignersinillegalsituationspontaneouslylefttheFrenchterritory.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2009to2022Source(s):DGPN;MinistryoftheInterior(France)CHAPTER

04Newimmigrationbill:otherkeypointsofthedebateNumberofinternationalstudentsinFrancein2021/22,bycountryoforiginMaincountriesoforiginofinternationalstudentsinFrance2022Numberofinternationalstudents05,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,00050,000MorrocoAlgeria46,37131,032China27,479Italia19,185SenegalTunisia15,26413,661Spain11,256IvoryCoastLebanonCameroon10,72510,4699,03720Description:Duringthe2021/2022academicyear,France'shighereducationsystemattractedyoungpeoplefromAfrica,butalsofromAsiaandfromotherEuropeanscountries.Forinstance,inthatyear46,371studentsfromMoroccocametostudyinFrance,amongthesestudents,somewereenrolledinuniversities,othersinbusinessschoolsorengineeringschools.Francealsowelcomed31,032studentsfromAlgeriaand27,479studentsfromChina.

ReadmoreNote(s):France;2021to2022Source(s):CampusFranceShareofnewimmigrantswithsocialsecuritycoverageinFrancein2020and2022,bytypeofcoverageSocialsecuritycoveragetypefornewimmigrantsinFrance2022SocialsecurityPUMaStateMedicalAidNosocialinsurance81%90%80%69%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%27%17%3%2%1%0%2020202221Description:InFrance,in2022,81percentofnewimmigrantswereinsuredwiththeSocialsecurity,meanwhileꢀtwopercentofthemwerenotinsuredwithanytypeofsocialinsurance.Incomparison,in2020therewere69percentofthenewimmigrantswhowereinsuredwiththeSocialsecurity.ReadmoreNote(s):France;2020and2022Source(s):MinistryoftheInterior(France)StateMedicalAidexpenditureinFrancefrom2017to2024(inmillioneuros)StateMedicalAidexpendituretrendinFrance2017-20241,4001,2001,0001,2081,1461,014994939928919867800600400200020172018201920202021202220232024*22Description:InFrancein2023,StateMedicalAidexpenditurewasalmost1.15billioneuros,andwasexpectedtoamounttonearly1.21billioneurosin2024.TheStateMedicalAid(AideMédicaled'EtatinFrench)isadeviceallowingforeignersinanirregularsituationtobenefitfromaccesstocare.Itisgrantedunderconditionsofresidenceandresources.Toapply,afilemustbecompleted,andonceawarded,statemedicalassistanceisgrantedforoneyear.

ReadmoreNote(s):France;2017to2024;*Financebill2024ReadmoreSource(s):Senate(France)CHAPTER

05PublicopinionFrenchopiniononMacron'snewimmigrationbillmainpointsinDecember2023FrenchopiniononMacron'snewimmigrationbillmainpoints2023ShareofrespondentsQuiteopposedVeryfavorableQuitefavorableVeryopposed20%

30%Donotknow40%

50%0%10%60%70%80%90%

100%Nationalitystrippingfordualnationalsconvictedofintentionalhomicide*Theabolitionof"droitdusol"**forforeignnationalsborninFrance,intheeventofconvictionforacrimeTougherconditionsforfamilyreunification***TheintroductionofquotastocapthenumberofforeignersTougheraccesstopersonalizedhousingassistance(APL)****Issuanceofa1-yearresidencepermit,toillegalimmigrantsinshortagesectors*****DeletionofautomaticrighttoFrenchnationalityforpeopleborninFrancetoforeignparentsReinstatementoftheoffenceofillegalresidence******Restrictingtheissuanceofresidencepermitstoforeignerswhoareill,onlyifthereisnoappropriatetreatmentintheircountryoforiginAbanonholdingminorsinadministrativedetentioncenters24Description:AccordingtoasurveyconductedonDecember20th,2023,justaftertheParliamentvotedthenewimmigrationbillthenightbefore,Frenchrespondentsexpressedthemselvesonthebill'smainpoints,and63percentofthosesurveyedwereveryfavorabletonationalitystrippingfordualnationalsconvictedofintentionalhomicideagainstanyrepresentativeofpublicauthority.ReadmoreNote(s):France;December20,2023;1,003respondents;18yearsandolder;*intentionalhomicideagainstanyrepresentativeofpublicauthority.**"droitdusol"i.e.acquisitionofFrenchnationalitybybirthonFrenchterritory.***withresidence[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):BFMTV;ElabeShareofpeoplesatisfiedwiththenewimmigrationbillinFranceinDecember2023,bydemographicFrenchlevelofsatisfactiontowardsthenewimmigrationbillinDecember2023ShareofrespondentsVerysatisfiedQuitesatisfied40%Notreallysatisfied60%Notsatisfiedatall80%Donotknow0%20%100%120%OverallMaleFemale18-2425-3435-4950-6465+25Description:AccordingtoasurveyconductedonDecember20,2023,justaftertheFrenchParliamentvotedinfavorofthenewimmigrationbill,70percentofFrenchrespondentsweresatisfiedwiththebill.Incomparison,theyoungestadultsinthepopulation(18–24yearsold)werenotthatenthusiastic,witharound62percentsatisfiedwiththetextapprovedbytheParliament.Ontheotherhand,foraround76percentofthepopulation'soldestgroup(65+yearsold),thebillwasconsideredsatisfactory.

ReadmoreNote(s):France;December20,2023;1,003respondents;18yearsandolderSource(s):BFMTV;ElabeWhatareyourthoughtsonMacron’smajorityafterpassingthenewimmigrationbill?FrenchopiniononMacron'smajorityafterpassingtheimmigrationbillin2023Shareofrespondents10%0%20%30%40%50%60%70%ThisisamajorcrisisforEmmanuelMacron,hismajorityisfractured65%Itisatemporarycrisis,andthemajoritywillremainunited34%26Description:AccordingtoasurveyconductedonDecember20.2023,justaftertheFrenchParliamentvotedinfavorofanewimmigrationbill,65percentofFrenchrespondentsbelievedEmmanuelMacronandhismajorityweregoingthroughamajorcrisis,withhispoliticalcoalitionbeingfractured.Indeed,asignificant