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February2024
CaptureCarbon,CaptureValue:AnOverviewofCCSBusinessModels
BassamFattouh,Director,OIES
OIESPaper:CM08
HasanMuslemani,HeadofCarbonManagementResearch,OIESRaeidJewad,PrincipalAdvisor,GaffneyCline
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthor’ssoleresponsibility.Theydonot
necessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyof
itsmembers.
Copyright©2024
OxfordInstituteforEnergyStudies
(RegisteredCharity,No.286084)
Thispublicationmaybereproducedinpartforeducationalornon-profitpurposeswithoutspecial
permissionfromthecopyrightholder,providedacknowledgementofthesourceismade.Nouseof
thispublicationmaybemadeforresaleorforanyothercommercialpurposewhatsoeverwithoutprior
permissioninwritingfromtheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudies.
ISBN978-1-78467-228-7
i
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
Contents
Contents ii
Figures ii
Tables ii
Acknowledgement ii
Introduction 1
1.KeyrisksinvolvedwithCCS 1
2.FrameworkstosupportinvestmentinCCS 4
2.1Supportivelegalandregulatoryframework 4
2.2Mechanismsthatallowstackingofrevenues 5
2.3Diverseapproaches:Experiencesfromdifferentcountries 9
3.CCSBusinessModels 16
3.1Overviewofbusinessmodeltheory 16
3.2CCSbusinessmodels 16
Conclusions 23
Appendix:Casestudies 24
Figures
Figure1:LevelizedcostofCO2avoidedbetweenCCSandunabatedrouteacrosssectors 2
Figure2:VaryingDegreeofGovernmentInvolvementinCCS 10
Figure3:CCSValueChain,OwnershipandFinancing 17
Figure4:FullChainModelConcept 18
Figure5:PartialChainModel–SingleHubConcept 20
Figure6:PartialChainModel–OffshoreCO2TransportConcept 21
Figure7:PartialChainModel–FreeMarket 22
FigureA1:CRCBusinessModel 26
Tables
Table1:SummaryofhurdlesintheCCSSupplyChain 4
Table2:GovernmentfundingsupportmechanismsforCCS 6
Table3:CCSSupportMechanismsinUK 12
Table4:FullChainModelProjects 18
Table5:ExamplesofPartialChain-FreeMarketprojects 22
TableA1:DenburyBusinessModel 25
TableA2:CRCBusinessModel 26
Acknowledgement
TheauthorsacknowledgethereviewandvaluableinputsofTobyLockwoodattheCleanAirTaskForce(CATF)intothiswork.
ii
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
Introduction
Becauseofthescalewithwhichitcouldbeapplied,carboncapture,andstorage(CCS)isidentifiedasacriticaltechnologytoreduceCO2emissionstoachieveglobalclimategoal
s1.
Particularly,CCScanreduceemissionsfromexistingassets(suchasgasprocessingplants,powerplants,chemicalplants)decreasingtheriskofstrandedassetsinacarbon-constrainedworld;reduceemissionsfromhard-to-abatesectors(suchascementandsteel)wheredecarbonizationtechnologiesarelimitedandhavenotbeenscaledup;enabletheproductionoflow-carbonhydrogenwhichrepresentsakeypillarofdecarbonization;andenabletheremovalofCO2fromtheatmospherewhichisneededtoreachglobalclimateobjectivesviatechnologiessuchasDirectAirCarbonCaptureandStorage(DACCS)andBioenergywithcarboncaptureandstorage(BECCS
)2.
ThepotentialofCCSasmitigationtechnologycouldbesubstantial.IntheIEA’sNet-ZeroEmissionsby2050Scenario(NZE),installedcapacityofcapturedCO2increasesfromthecurrentlevelofaround45MtCO2peryearto1.2GtCO2peryearin
20303
,andupto7.6GtCO2in
20504
.AccordingtotheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange(IPCC),theroleofCO2captureandstorageisevenmoresignificantthanIEA’sNZEwiththeIPCC’s1.5°Cscenarioshavingamedianofaround15GtCO2peryearcapturedin205
05.
Similarly,theEnergyTransitionCommission(ETC)estimatesthatby2050,between6.9Gt(basecase)and10.1Gt(highdeploymentcase)ofcapturedCO2peryearisrequiredtomeetnetzerotarget
s6.
Accordingtothe
IEA7,
totalannualcapacitycapturecapacityin2023amountedto45MtCO2andalthoughdeploymentmomentumhasimproved–witharound200newcaptureplantsannouncedtobeinoperationby2030–evenifalloftheseareimplemented,thetotalannualcapacitywillonlyincreasetoroughly400MtCO2by2030,wellbelowthelevelsrequiredtoachieve2050netzeroobjective
s8.
ThisraisessomefundamentalquestionsaboutthecharacteristicsofCCSprojectswhichmakethemchallengingforfinancingandscaling,eventhoughthetechnologyhasbeenappliedfordecadesparticularlyintheoilandgasindustry.
Thispaperseekstoidentifythemaincommercialandnon-commercialrisksassociatedwithCCSandanalyzeincentivemechanisms,regulatoryandlegalframeworks,typesofindustryandownershipstructures,andpublic-privatepartnershipsthatarelikelytoemergeindifferentpartsoftheworldtomitigatetheserisksandenableviablebusinessmodelstoscaleupthetechnology.Giventhatcountrieshavedifferentnaturalresourceendowments,regulatoryframeworks,andeconomicstructuresandasCCScanbeappliedtodifferentindustries(e.g.cement,steel,oilandgas,power,andchemicals),emergentbusinessmodelscandiffersubstantiallyacrosscountries.
1.KeyrisksinvolvedwithCCS
TheCCSvaluechainconsistsofthreemainactivities:CO2capture,transport,andstorage.CapturingCO2oftenconstitutesthebiggestcostcomponentforCCSandiswheresignificantcostreductions,efficiencygainsandfurthertechnologicalinnovationscouldbeachieved.AkeyfactorinthecostofCO2captureistheconcentrationandoverallvolumesofCO2inthesourcegas,withcoststypicallydecreasingwithincreasedconcentrationandvolumesofCO2inthefluegasflow.Insomeapplicationssuchasethanolproductionor
1Seeforinstance,Bui,M.,Adjiman,C.,Anthony,E.etal.(26moreauthors)(2018)Carboncaptureandstorage(CCS):Theway
forward.EnergyandEnvironmentalScience,11(5).pp.1062-1176.ISSN1754-5692;IPCC,ClimateChange2014:Mitigationof
ClimateChange.WorkingGroupIIIContributiontotheFifthAssessmentReportoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange,CambridgeUniversityPress.
2IEA(2020),EnergyTechnologyPerspectives2020SpecialReportonCarbonCaptureUtilizationandStorage:CCUSincleanenergytransition.
3IEA(2023).Crediblepathsto1.5C.Fourpillarsforactioninthe2020s.
4IEA(2021),NetZeroby2050:ARoadmapfortheGlobalEnergySector.
5(IPCC)(2018),SpecialReportonGlobalWarmingof1.5°C(SR15),
https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/
6ETC(2022),CarbonCapture,Utilisation&StorageintheEnergyTransition:VitalbutLimited,July2022,
https://www.energy-
/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/ETC-CCUS_Executive-Summary_final.pdf
7/reports/carbon-capture-utilisation-and-storage-2
8IEA(2023).CCUSpoliciesandbusinessmodels.
1
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
naturalgasprocessing,CO2concentrationisquitehigh(>95%).Incontrast,inapplicationssuchaspowergeneration,CO2isquitedilutedandthereforeitismorechallengingandcostlytocaptureit(Figure1).Currently,themostexpensiveapplicationiscapturingCO2directlyfromair(DirectAirCapture
)9.
Figure1:LevelizedcostofCO2avoidedbetweenCCSandunabatedrouteacrosssectors
Source:FigureextractedfromInternationalEnergyAgency(2023),CCUSPoliciesandBusinessModels:BuildingaCommercialMarket.Notes:Notes:BF=blastfurnace;CCGT=combinedcyclegasturbine;FCC=fluidcatalyticcracker;NGP=naturalgasprocessing;PC=pulverisedcombustion.
CO2transportationtechnologiesarematureespeciallyviapipelines,asmanypipelinesarealreadyinoperationlinkedwithenhancedoilrecovery(EOR
)10.
Large-scaletransportationofCO2viashipsislessestablished,butthegasindustryhasplentyofexperienceintransportinggaseousfuelsandthisisunlikelytopresentatechnicalbarrierespeciallyasthetechnologyrequiredisalreadyinuseforthetransportofothercryogenicliquidssuchasLPGand
LNG11.
ThefinalstageintheCCSsupplychainisinjectingandstoringCO2underground.CO2canbestoredinsalineformationsandindepletedoilandgasfields.AccordingtotheGlobalCCSInstitute,storageinsalineaquifershasTechnologyReadinessLevel(TRL)of9andexistingprojectshaveshownthatCO2couldbeinjected,monitored,andstoredpermanentl
y12.
StorageindepletedoilandgasfieldshasalowerTRL(5-8)asprojectsareyettooperateatacommercialscal
e13.
WhilestorageofCO2scoreshighinTRL,thedelayandunderperformanceofsomekeyprojectssuchastheGorgonCCSprojecthavecausedsomeobserverstodoubtwhetherthedeploymentofCO2storageatalargescaleandacrosstheglobecouldbeachieve
d14.
Duringthisstage,monitoring,reportingandverification(MRV)iske
y15.
TheinjectionprocessneedstobedocumentedandvolumesofinjectedCO2needtobeverified.ItisalsoimportanttodemonstratewithappropriatemonitoringtechniquesthatCO2remainscontainedintheintendedstorageformation.Thishasalsosafetyandenvironmentaldimensions.Systemsmustbeputinplacetomonitorleakageandprovide
9CostsofDACCScanvarywidelyfrom400-1000$/tCO2.Source:Webbetal.(2023).ScalingDAC:Amoonshotorthesky’sthelimit?
10InternationalEnergyAgency(2023),CCUSPoliciesandBusinessModels:BuildingaCommercialMarket.
11SmallscaleCO2shippingalreadyexistsundermediumpressureconditions.
12GCCSI(2021).TechnologyreadinessandcostsofCCS.
13Bui,M.,Adjiman,C.S.,Bardow,A.,Anthony,E.J.,Boston,A.,Brown,S.,...&MacDowell,N.(2018).Carboncaptureandstorage(CCS):thewayforward.Energy&EnvironmentalScience,11(5),1062-1176.
14IEEFA(2022).IfChevron,ExxonandShellcan’tgetGorgon’scarboncaptureandstoragetowork,whocan?
15InternationalEnergyAgency(2023),CCUSPoliciesandBusinessModels:BuildingaCommercialMarket.
2
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
earlywarningsofanyseepageorleakagethatmightrequiremitigatingactionandtoassessenvironmentaleffects.
SeveralcharacteristicsandrisksmakefinancingCCSprojectschallengingforgovernmentsandtheprivatesectoralike.Theseinclude:
Riskofinsufficientrevenues:Formanyprojects,thedeploymentofCCSwillexclusivelybedrivenbyclimatechangemitigationgoalsandloweringemissions.InsuchprojectswhereCO2iscapturedandstoredundergroundand/orinbuildingmaterialssuchascementandconcrete,thereareno,orverylimitedrevenuestreamsassociatedwithCCSthatcancompensateforthehighupfrontcapitalcostsandhighoperationcosts(incontrast,forinstance,tothecaseofrenewableelectricitygeneration).Theseoperationalcostsinclude:
•ThecostofcapturingandconditioningCO2
•Thecostofcompressing/liquefyingCO2fortransport
•ThecostoftransportingCO2viapipelinesandships(ortrucksincaseofshortdistancesandsmallvolumes)
•ThecostofinjectingCO2intostoragesites,and
•ThecostofmonitoringandverifyingtheamountofCO2stored.
Thecostofeachoftheseactivitiesvarieswidelydependingonprojectspecificfactors(location,plantsize,typeofactivity,thetechnologyinuse,tomentionafew)andtheliteraturereportsaverywiderangeofestimatesofthesecosts.
RiskoflowandvariableCO2price/tariffs:Incountriesthathaveestablishedcarbonpricing,eitherthroughemissiontradingsystems(ETS)orcarbontaxes,theseinstrumentscanprovideplayerswitheconomicincentives,eitherthroughavoidingcostsorasrevenue(e.g.fromsaleofallowancesinanETS)thatwouldhelpthemrecouppartofthecapitalinvestmentandoperatingcosts.However,suchsignalsmaynotbestable,andtherevenuesnotlargeenoughtoprovideincentiveforinvestmentinCCS.
Riskofinterdependency:Onewaytoreducerisksistodisaggregatethecapture,transport,andstoragecomponentsoftheCCStechnologychain.Ontheonehand,thisallowsdifferentmarketactorswithdifferentstrengthandriskappetitestocollaborateonCCSandtoallocaterisksmorebroadlyacrossthechain.Ontheotherhand,thiscreatesinterdependency/cross-chainrisksaseachpartofthechaindependsontheperformanceofothercomponents.Forinstance,ifanindustrialplayerinvestsinCO2capture,itisimportantthatthetransportandstorageinfrastructureisinplace.Itisalsoimportantthatthoseplayerscontrollingthetransportandstorageinfrastructuredonothaveunilateralmarketpowertochargeexcessivefees.Atthesametime,investorsinthetransportandstorageinfrastructuremustensurethatthereissufficientandregulardemandfortheirservicestorecoupcapitalandoperationalcosts.
Riskofliability:AlthoughtheprobabilityofCO2leakagefromwell-selectedandmanagedstorageisverylow,thisriskcannotbeeliminated.Ifthisriskisnottransferredtothegovernmentorthroughinsurance,theprojectownerwouldbeliablefortheriskofleakageforanindefiniteperiod,withthecontingentliabilitymostlikelytoincreaseinvalueovertime.
Otherrisks:ThereareotherkeyrisksthatfaceinvestorsinCCSincludingplantintegrationrisk,technologyrisks(especiallywhenitcomestothecapturetechnology)andfinancingrisk.ThereisalsoapublicperceptionandstakeholderacceptanceriskasmanyremainskepticalabouttheroleofCCSasaclimatemitigationtechnology,citingfactorssuchashighcost,uncertaintysurroundingviability,andfearsaroundthesafetyandpermanenceofstorage.SkepticsarguethatCCScanalsoperpetuatetheuseoffossilfuelsanddiscouragechangeinsocietalbehaviorandreinforceexistingdependencie
s16.
ItisalsoarguedthatCCScoulddivertfundsawayfromcleantechnologie
s17.
Table1summarizesthehurdlesfacedbyplayersthroughvariouspartsoftheCCSvaluechain.
16Parmiter,P.&Bell,R.(2020).PublicperceptionofCCS:AreviewofpublicengagementforCCSprojects.
17IEA(2020).AneweraforCCUS.
3
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
Table1:SummaryofhurdlesintheCCSSupplyChain
Capture
Transport
Storage
CAPEX
CAPEX
CAPEX
OPEX
OPEX
OPEX
LowandvariableCO2priceorcompensationforCO2avoidance
Pricerisk(tariffsforCO2transport)
Pricerisk(tariffsforstorage)
Volumerisk(volumeofCO2transported)
Volumerisk(volumeofCO2stored)
Decommissioningrisk
Safetyandstorageliabilities(CO2leakage)
Publicperceptionrisks
2.FrameworkstosupportinvestmentinCCS
IndesigningframeworkstosupportinvestmentandscalingupofCCS,thefollowingkeyelementsareessentialtomitigatesomeoftheaboverisksandgenerateastreamofrevenuestomakeprojectsattractiveforprivatesectorinvestment:
•Stableandsupportivelegalandregulatoryframeworks
•Mechanismsthatallowstackingofrevenuesforoperatorsinthesupplychain,and
•VaryingdegreesofgovernmentparticipationintheCCSsupplychaintoenablerisk-sharingandriskmitigation.
2.1Supportivelegalandregulatoryframework
Atthemacrolevel,thegovernmentcancreateanenablingregulatoryandlegalframeworkforCCS.Keyelementsinclude:
•Settingnational/regionalCCStargetstosignalthegovernments’commitmentforCCSasamitigationtechnology.Forinstance,intheEU,theNZIAestablishesanEU-wideobjectivetoachieveanannualCO2storagecapacity/injectiontargetof50MtCO2by2030,280MtCO2by2040,andupto450MtCO2by2050
.18
IntheUK,thegovernmenthasatargettodeliverfourcarboncaptureusageandstorage(CCUS)clusterscapturing20to30MtCO2peryearby2030.ThesetargetsareintendedtoreassureentitiesthatwishtoinvestinCO2capturethatstoragewillbeavailable.
•Establishingregulatoryframeworksthatincentivizeinvestmentinlow-carbontechnologies.Carbonpricingisthemainmarket-basedinstrumentinthepolicytoolboxtoreduceCO2emissions.Carbonpricingcouldbeimplementedeitherthroughataxoncarbonemissionsorviaanemissiontradingscheme(ETS),andbothoptionsarepresentlyinuse.Governmentscanalsointroducespecificincentiveschemessuchasthe45QtaxcreditsforCCSprojectsundertheInflationReductionAct(IRA)intheUSandtheinvestmenttaxcredit(ITC)inCanada.
•Establishingaregulatoryandlicensingframeworktoaddressissuesofoperation,permitting,licensingofstorageandCO2transportanddecommissioning.Forinstance,theUKintroducedtheEnergyAct2023thatestablishesaneconomicregulationmodelforCO2transportandstorage,includinganeconomiclicensingframeworkunderwhichCO2transportationbypipelineforgeologicalstorageoperationswillrequirealicence.Thelicenceallowstheeconomicregulatortoaddressmarketfailuresassociatedwiththenaturalmonopolycharacteristicsofthisnetworkinfrastructure.IntheEU,theDirectiveonthegeologicalstorageofCO2(2009/31/EC),orcolloquiallytheCCSDirective,aimstoestablishalegalframeworkforenvironmentallysafegeologicalstorage
18EuropeanCommission(2024).Industrialcarbonmanagement–carboncapture,utilisationandstoragedeployment.
4
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oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
ofCO2.TheCCSDirectiveiscomprehensiveandcoversareassuchasselectionofstoragesitesandexplorationpermits,storagepermits,obligationsforoperatingandclosingstoragesites,andthird-partyaccess(MemberStatesmustensurethatpotentialusershaveaccesstoCCSinfrastructure).TheCCSDirectivemustbeimplementedinthenationallegislationwithnationalauthoritieshavingsomechoiceonhowtoimplementtheDirective.Similarly,intheUS,theUndergroundInjectionControl(UIC)programregulatestheinjectionandlong-termstorageofCO2intodeeprockformationssuchasClassVIwells.InAustralia,thegovernmentintroducedtheOffshorePetroleumandGreenhouseGasStorageAct2006.TheActcoversmanyaspectsincludingthegrantingoftherighttoexplore,appraise,injectandstoreaGHGsubstance,setsoutabasicframeworkofrights,duties,obligations,entitlementsandresponsibilitiesofgovernmentsandindustry,andensuressafe,secureandpermanentstorageofGHGsubstanc
e19.
•Establishingand/oradoptingCCSmethodologies.Methodologiesareneededtoensurethequalityandaccuracyofmonitoringdata,thecredibilityofthecreditingbaseline,andwhetherimpactsareaccuratelyquantifiedusingconservativeandtransparentmethodologiesandwhichaccountforpotentialleakageandreversalsandavoiddoublecounting.Forinstance,theETSDirectiveintheEUhasdevelopeditsrulesforthemonitoringandreportingofGHGemissionsthroughRegulation2018/2066,alsoknownastheMonitoringandReportingRegulation(MRR).MRRestablishescomplianceproceduresandincludesreportingandmonitoringrequirements
.20
•Establishingabodytocoordinateactivitiesacrossthesupplychainifthevaluechainisnotintegrated.Forinstance,inNorway,thegovernmentestablishedastateentityGassnovatoactasaprojectintegratorfortheCCSLongshipproject.
•DevelopingalegalframeworkwhichallowsforCO2tobetransportedacrossbordersifthecountryplanstoestablishitselfasaregionaloraglobalstoragehub.
2.2Mechanismsthatallowstackingofrevenues
WhileutilizationofCO2couldprovidealimitedstreamofrevenuesinsomecontext
s21,
governmentsupportandincentivesarecentraltomakeCCSprojectsviable.Also,sincetheCCSvaluechainmayincludevariousplayerswithdifferentincentivestructureandskillsanddifferentappetiteforrisk,thequestionofwhoshouldbeincentivizedinthevaluechaincomesintofocus.Forinstance,anindustrialplant(anemitter)canbeincentivizedwiththerevenuespassedthroughthesupplychain.Also,sincethecostsandthetechnology/commercialreadinesslevelsvariesacrossthesupplychain,theamountandtypeofsupportwilldifferacrossthevariouscomponents.
ThebulkofrevenuestreamsforCCScomeseitherthroughpublicfundingsupportmechanisms–whichisthemainfundingprocessforthetimebeing–orthroughmarket-basedmechanisms,whicharelikelytogrowfurtherinthefutureasCCStechnologyandbusinessmodelsmature.
Governmentfundingsupportmechanisms
GovernmentfundingsupportplaysacrucialroleinovercomingbarriersandmitigatingriskswhichareparticularlyinherenttoFirst-of-A-Kind(FOAK)CCSinfrastructure,beyondsimplyreducingtheinvestmentcontributionrequiredfromtheprivatesector.Supportcanbeprovidedinseveralformsandatvariousstagesthroughoutthedevelopment,executionandoperationoftheCCSproject.Thissupportisrequiredtoovercomethebarriersandmitigatetherisksoftechnology,valuechaincoordination,lowandvolatilecarbonpricing,environmentalriskfromCO2leakage,counter-partyriskandthecostofcapitalforfinancingtheprojects.Intermsofpolicies,incentivesandleverswhicharecurrentlybeingemployedbygovernmentsglobally,theycanbecategorizedintothreemainbuckets:
19AustralianGovernment,NationalOffshorePetroleumTitlesAdministrator,‘OffshorePetroleumandGreenhouseGasStorageTitles:AnintroductiontotheGreenhousegas(GHG)storagelegislativeframework’,May2023,
.au/
_documents/guidelines/Introduction-to-the-offshore-petroleum-and-GHG-titles-framework.pdf20MRRdealspartiallywithCCUwheretheCO2convertedintoproductsmustbereported.
21Thispaperdoesnotfocusontheutilizationoptions.TheIEAnotesthat‘themarketforCO2useisexpectedtoberelativelysmallin
theshortterm,butalsoacknowledgesthat‘earlyopportunitiescanbedeveloped’.See:IEA(2019),PuttingCO2intoUse:CreatingValuefromEmissions.
5
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
•SubsidiesforspecificCCSprojects,throughelementssuchastaxincentives/breaks,supportagreements,competitionsanddirectCO2storageprocurement,
•Emitter-targetedpolicieswhichdrivedemandforCO2captureandstoragesuchascarbonpricingandETSs(asnotedearlier,representinganincentiveforoperatorstoreducetheiremissionstoavoidpayingthecarbontaxand/orallowoperatorstotradeemissionreductioncertificatesandgeneraterevenuesinthemarket),and/orimpartingproducerresponsibilitytosequesterCO2,and
•Publicsectorlow-carbonprocurementrequirements,privatesectorprocurementcommitments,andstandard-settingandregulationsforlow-carbonproducts.
Table2summarizesfourmaingovernmentfundingmechanismthatarecurrentlybeingutilizedbygovernmentssupportingthedevelopmentanddeploymentofCCSglobally.Eachmechanismpossessesspecificadvantagesbutalsoconstraints.
Table2:GovernmentfundingsupportmechanismsforCCS
Governmentfunding
support
mechanism
Description
Advantages
Disadvantages
Directcapitalgrantsubsidy
DirectsubsidyoftheCCSprojectCAPEXtothe
investor/projectsponsor(notrequiredtobepaidback)
Reducesprivatesector’sCAPEXinvestment
requirements.
Reducesprojectcostofcapital(WACC)throughrisksharing.
Improvesbankability
throughthesharingoftheprojectexecutionrisk
betweenthegovernmentandtheprivatesector.
Developmentriskandexpenditureretainedbyprojectsponsorand
thereforeCCSdevelopment
contingentonsecuringsubsidywhichendsuppotentially
constrainingtheCCSvaluechainpipeline.
Publicfinancesareexposedto
downsideriskwithnopotentialforupsidebenefitfromtheproject.
Limitedscalabilityinthatfinite
amountofcapitalgrantsubsidyisavailablewhichultimatelyendsuplimitingthenumberofprojectsandconstrainsscalability.
Fewerprojectscanbedeployedandthereforelimitedeconomiesofscaleandcostoptimization
potential.
Lengthyprocesscoupledwith
uncertaintysincepublicfunding
processestendtobebureaucraticandsubjecttochangesin
governmentpolicy,andthereforehasthepotentialtoincreasethelead-timeanduncertaintytoFinalInvestmentDecision(FID).
Technologyrisk;subsidy
paymentsarenotdrivenbytheperformanceofCCStocaptureandsequesterCO2butalignedwithprojectexecutionmilestonedeliverables.
6
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oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
Revenue
support
(OPEX/tariff
subsidy)
Governmentpaymentmadeeithertothe:
Capturingentity:SubsidypaidtotheemittercapturingtheCO2atapredeterminedrateforapredetermined
periodbasedupontheCO2capturedandsequestered,tocontributetooperationalcostsand/ortomitigate
uncertainty/volatilityinthecompliancecarbonmarketprice.
Transport&storage
operator:PaymentmadetoT&Soperator/companyto
mitigatethecoordinationriskofdelay,shortfallornon-
paymentoftransportandstoragefeefromthe
emitters.
Performancedependent:ifthereisnocaptureand
sequestration,therewillbenopayment.
Sharingoftechnologyandoperationalriskbetweenthegovernmentandthe
privatesector.
Redu
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