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MarketMicrostructure
Investingisa3-stepprocess:investmentresearch,portfoliomanagement,andtrading.
Portfoliomanager
Professionaltrader Client
MarketMicrostructure:OrderTypes
Tradeoffbetweentradeexecutionspeedandobtainingthebestprice.
Marketorder:tradeimmediatelyatthebestpossibleprice.
Speedofexecution,priceuncertainty
Limitorder:tradeatthelimitpriceorbetter.
Priceofexecution,speeduncertainty
MarketMicrostructure:MarketTypes
Threemaincategoriesofsecuritiesmarket:
Quote-driven(dealer)market:everyonewithdealer
Order-drivenmarket:directbetweentraderswithoutdealer
Brokeredmarket:relyonbrokertofindcounterparty
Afourthmarket,Hybridmarkets:Combinationoftheotherthreemarkets.
e.g.NYSE
Inquote-drivenmarkets,traderstransactwithdealers(a.k.a.marketmakers)
whopostbuyandsellprices.
Bidprice:priceatwhichthedealerwillbuyasecurity.
Askprice:priceatwhichthedealerwillsellasecurity.
Inside/MarketBid:highestandbestbidpricefromthetrader’sperspective.
Inside/MarketAsk:lowestandbestaskpricefromthetrader’sperspective.
Inside/marketquote:bestbidpriceandthebestaskpriceinthemarket.
Inside/marketbid-askspread:bestaskprice–bestbidprice
Importantrolesofdealer
Adealermaintainsaninventoryofsecuritiesforwhichhepostsbidandaskprices.
Marketsthattradeilliquidsecurities(e.g.bondmarkets)areorganizedasdealermarketsbecausethelevelofnaturalliquidity(tradingvolume)islow.
Bid
Ask
Dealer
Timeentered
Price
Size
Dealer
Timeentered
Price
Size
A
10:21a.m.
98.85
600
C
10:21a.m.
100.49
800
B
10:21a.m.
98.84
500
A
10:21a.m.
100.51
1000
C
10:19a.m.
98.82
700
B
10:19a.m.
100.55
500
Quote-DEfrfecitviveespnreadMselalorrdkeret2mid-quoteexecutionprice
EffectiveSpread:comparesthetransactedpriceagainstthemid-quoteofthemarketbidandaskprices.
Midquote:averageofinsidebidandaskprice
Effectivespreadbuyorder2executionpricemid-quote
Effectivespreadsellorder2mid-quoteexecutionprice
Effectivespreads<marketspreadpriceimprovement
Effectivespreads>marketspreadmarketimpact
Supposeatraderisquotedamarketbidpriceof$11.50andanaskof$11.56.Calculateandinterprettheeffectivespreadforabuyorder,givenanexecutedpriceof$11.55.
Answer
Thequotedspread:$0.06=$11.56–$11.50
Themid-quoteofthequotedbidandaskprices:$11.53=(11.50+11.56)/2.
Theeffectivespreadforthisbuyorderis:2x($11.55–$11.53)=$0.04
Aneffectivespreadthatislessthanthebid-askedspreadindicatestheexecutionwassuperior(lowercost)tothequotedspreadoraveryliquidmarket.
Supposetherearethreesellordersplacedforastockduringaday.FigureAshowsbidandaskquotesatvariouspointsintheday.
Time
BidPrice
BidSize
AskPrice
AskSize
10a.m
$12.10
300
$12.16
400
1p.m
$12.00
300
$12.07
400
2p.m
$11.80
300
$11.88
400
At10a.m.,amarketordertosell100shareswasexecutedat$12.11.
At1p.m.,amarketordertosell300shareswasexecutedat$12.00.
At2p.m.amarketordertosell600shareswasexecutedat$11.75.
Calculatetheaveragequotedandaverageeffectivespread.
Answer
Time
AskMinusBidPrice
QuotedSpread
10a.m.
$12.16–$12.10
$0.06
1p.m.
$12.07–$12.00
$0.07
2p.m.
$11.88–$11.80
$0.08
Theaveragequotedspreadisasimpleaverageofthequotedspreads
($0.06+$0.07+$0.08)/3=$0.07.
Answer
Time
Midquote
Effectivespread
10a.m.
($12.16+$12.10)/2=12.13
2x($12.13–$12.11)=0.04
1p.m.
($12.07+$12.00)/2=12.035
2x($12.035–$12.00)=0.07
2p.m.
($11.88+$11.80)/2=11.84
2x($11.84–$11.75)=0.18
Theaverageeffectivespread:($0.04+$0.07+$0.18)/3=$0.0967.
Theweightedaverageeffectivespread:N=100+300+600=1000(100/1,000)($0.04)+(300/1,000)($0.07)+(600/1,000)($0.18)=$0.133.
Order-DrivenMarket
Order-drivenmarket:traderstransactwithothertraders.
Electroniccrossingnetworks:ordersarebatchedandcrossedatspecificpointintime;mainlyforinstitutionalinvestors;executionpricearetakenfromothermarket.
Avoidinformationleakage;lowcommission;
Noguaranteetofindacounterparty;nopricediscovery
Auctionmarket:ordersofmultiplebuyerscompeteforexecution;classifiedbyperiodic/batchauction&continuousauction.
Pricediscoverysothatlesspartialfillsproblem
Automatedauction:operatecontinuouslywithinthedayusingaspecifiedrulestoexecuteorders.(e.g.electroniccommunicationnetworks)
Anonymityandcomputerbased;pricediscovery
BrokeredMarkets
Inbrokeredmarket,brokersactasbuy-sidetraders'agentstofindcounterpartiestotheirtradesandcollectcommission.
Usuallypublicmarketissmallanddifficulttofindliquidity.
Helptolocateacounterpartytoa“blockorder”.
Ensuretofindareputationalcounterparties(confidentialinformation).
Brokeredmarketsareparticularlyimportantincountrieswherepubliccapitalmarketsarenotwelldeveloped.
Brokervs.Dealer
RolesofBrokers
Roleofdealers
Representtheorder
Findtheoppositesideofatrade
Supplymarketinformation
Providediscretionandsecrecy
Provideothersupportinginvestmentservices
Supportthemarketmechanism
Provideliquiditybytakingtheoppositesideoftradeorders
Helpmarketoperatecontinuously
Setpricesindealer-drivenmarkets
Asecuritymarketshouldprovide:
Liquidity
Transparency
Assurityofcompletion
Liquidity:tradewithoutdelayatlowcostandinlargequantities.
Markethaslowbid-askspread.
Marketisdeep:bigtradestendnottocauselargepricemovement.
Marketisresilient:differencesbetweenmarketpriceandintrinsicvalueare
minimizedquickly.
Factorscontributetomakingliquidity
Manybuyersandsellers
Diversityofopinions,informationandneeds
Convenience
Marketintegrity
Transparency:availabilityoftimelyandaccuratemarketandtradeinformation
Pre-tradetransparency:obtainaccurateinformationaboutquotesandtradesquickly,easily,inexpensively.
Post-tradetransparency:detailsoncompletedtradesarequicklyandaccuratelyreportedtothepublic.
Assurityofcompletion:thecounterpartywillupholdtheirsideofthetradeagreement.
ExecutionCost
ExecutionCostcanbebrokendowninto:explicitandimplicitcosts.
ExplicitCosts:commissions,taxes,stampdutiesandfees.
Implicitcosts:thebid-askspread,market/priceimpactcosts,opportunitycosts,anddelay(slippage)costs.
Marketimpactcost:theeffectofanorderonmarketprices.
Opportunitycosts:orderisnotfilledandthesecuritypricelatermovessuchthatthetraderwouldhaveprofited.
Delay/slippagecosts:inabilitytocompletethedesiredtradeimmediatelyduetoitssizeandliquidityofmarkets.
Volume-WeightedAveragePrice
Whenpreciseinformationsuchastime-of-trademidquoteismissing,thepricebenchmarkissometimestakentobevolume-weightedaverageprice(VWAP)
VWAP:asecurityistheaveragepriceatwhichthesecuritytradedduringtheday,whereeachtradepriceisweightedbythefractionoftheday’svolumeassociatedwiththetrade.
Example:Volume-WeightedAveragePrice
GoogleInc.islistedonNASDAQ.Atradersold100sharesofGOOGon27September2011at12:42atapriceof$542.23pershare.AssumethatthetradesforGOOGbelowencompassalltradesforthatday.
Time
TradePrice
SharesTraded
9:30
$538.20
300
12:42
$542.23
200
13:58
$549.34
500
Example:VWAP
Answer
Thetotalnumberofsharestradedis1,000,sotheVWAPis:
$538.20
VWAP300
200 $542.23
500 $549.34
$544.58
1,000 1,000 1,000
Executionprice<VWAPsellorder
Implicitcost$544.58$542.23100$235.00
ShortcomingsofVWAP
Itisnotusefulifatraderisasignificantpartofthetradingvolume.
Tradercan“game”thismeasurebyenoughestimateastimeapproachingtheendoftheday.
VWAPdoesnotconsidermissedtrades.
Implementationshortfall:thedifferencebetweentheactualportfolio'sreturnandahypotheticalpaperportfolio'sreturnoftradesexecutedatnocost.
Thereturnonthepaperportfolioisbasedonthedecisionprice.
Thedecisionprice(arrivalprice/strikeprice)isthemarketpriceofthesecurityatthetimethedecisiontotradeismade.
Ifthedecisiontotradeismadeafterthemarketclosesitistakentobethe
previousclosingprice.
Fourelementsofimplementationshortfall:
Explicitcosts:commissions,taxes,fees,etc.
Realizedprofit/loss:thepricemovementfromtherevisedbenchmarkprice(usuallypreviousday’sclose)toexecutionpriceforpartofthetradeexecutedonthedayitisplaced.
Delaycosts:costfromnotbeingabletofilltheorderduringthetradingdaywhentheorderisinitiated.
Missedtradeopportunitycost:thedifferencebetweentheclosingpriceonthedaytheorderiscancelledandtheoriginaldecisionprice.
OnWednesday,thestockpriceforMclosesat$20ashare.(Thispricewillbeusedasthebenchmarkprice)
OnThursdaymorningbeforemarketopen,theportfoliomanagerdecidestobuyMandsubmitsalimitorderfor1,000sharesat$19.95.Thepriceneverfallsto
$19.95duringtheday,sotheorderexpiresunfilled.Thestockclosesat$20.05.
OnFriday,theorderisrevisedtoalimitof$20.06.Theorderispartiallyfilledthatdayas800sharesareboughtat$20.06.Thecommissionis$18.Thestockclosesat$20.09andtheorderfortheremaining200sharesiscancelled.
Gainonthepaperportfolio
Theinvestmentmadebythepaperportfolio:1,000x$20.00=$20,000.
Theterminalvalueofthepaperportfolio:1,000x$20.09=$20,090.
Thegainonthepaperportfolio:$20,090–$20,000=$90.
Gainontherealportfolio
Theinvestmentmadebytherealportfolio:(800x$20.06)+$18=$16,066.
Theterminalvalueoftherealportfolio:800x$20.09=$16,072.
Thegainontherealportfolio:$16,072–$16,066=$6.
Thetotalimplementationshortfall:
implementationshortfall$90$6
$20,000
0.42%
Decompose:
explicitecost $18 0.09%
$20.001,000
realizedloss($20.06$20.05)800
$20.001,000
0.04%
0.09%0.04%0.20%0.09%
0.42%
delaycost($20.05$20.00)800
$20.001,000
0.20%
missdtradeopportunitycost($20.09$20.00)2000.09%
$20.001,000
ImplementationShortfall
Market-adjustedimplementationshortfall
ERiiiERM
Ifmarketreturnis0.8%,ßis1.2
ERi0.8%1.29.6%
market-adjustedIS0.42%0.96%-0.54%
Suppose1,000sharesofAcmeCo.stockareorderedtobeboughtonMondaywithabenchmarkpriceof$10.00.
OnMonday,600sharesarepurchasedat$10.02pershare.Commissionsandfeesare$20.Theclosingpriceis$9.99pershare.
OnTuesday,100moresharesarepurchasedat$10.08pershare.Feesandcommissionsare$12andclosingpriceonTuesdayis$10.01pershare.
Theremainingsharesarenotpurchased,andtheorderiscanceledonWednesdayjustasthemarketclosesat$10.05pershare.
A.Calculatetheimplementationshortfallforthistrade.
B.Calculatethecomponentsoftheimplementationshortfallforthistrade.
AnswerA
Gainonthepaperportfolio:
Costonrealportfolio:
Gainontherealportfolio:
$10.05$10.001,000$50
Monday:600$10.02$206,032Tuesday:100$10.08$12$1,020
700$10.05$6,032$1,020$17
Implementationshortfall: $50$17
1,000$10.00
0.67%
AnswerB
Explicitcost:
Realizedloss:
$20$12$10.001,0000.32%
Monday:($10.02$10.00)600$10.001,0000.12%Tuesday:($10.08$9.99)100$10.001,0000.09%
Monday:($10.00$10.00)600 $10.001,0000.00%
Delaycost:
Tuesday:($9.99$10.00)100$10.001,000-0.01%
Opportunitycost: ($10.05$10.00)300$10.001,0000.15%
VWAPvs.ImplementationShortfall
Advantage
Disadvantage
VWAP
Easilyunderstood.
Computationallysimple.
Appliedquicklytoassisttraders.
Mostappropriateforcomparingsmalltradesinnontrendingmarkets(whereamarketadjustmentisnotneeded).
Notinformativefortradesthatdominatetradingvolume.
Canbegamedbytraders.
Notevaluatedelayedorunfilledorders.
Doesnotaccountformarketmovementsortradevolume.
Portfoliomanagerscanseethecostofimplementingtheirideas.
Recognizesthetradeoffbetween
IS immediacyandprice.
Decomposesandidentifiescosts.
Canbeusedinanoptimizertominimizetradingcostsandmaximizeperformance.
Notsubjecttogaming.
Maybeunfamiliartotraders.
Requiresconsiderabledataandanalysis.
EconometricModelsforCosts
Econometricmodelscanbeusedtoforecasttransactioncosts.
Securityliquiditycharacteristics(e.g.tradingvolume,marketcap,spread)
Sizeofthetraderelativetoliquidity
Tradingstyle(e.g.moreaggressivetradingresultsinhighercosts)
Momentum(e.g.morecostlytobuyinanupthaninadownmarket)
Risk
Theusefulnessofeconometricmodelsistwofold.
Tradingeffectivenesscanbeassessedbycomparingactualtradingcoststoforecastedtradingcostsfromthemodel.
Assistportfoliomanagersindeterminingthesizeofthetrade.
TypesofTradersandPreferredOrder
Information-motivatedtraders:haveinformationthatistimesensitive.
Tradewithadealertoguaranteeexecutionspeed,willingtobearhighertradingcosts,usemarketorder.
Value-motivatedtraders:useinvestmentresearchtouncovermis-valuedsecurities.
Patient;uselimitordersbecauseprice,notspeed,istheirmainobjective.
Liquidity-motivatedtraders:converttheirsecuritiestocashorreallocatetheirportfoliofromcash.
Theyutilizemarketorders.
Passivetraders:tradeforindexfundsandotherpassiveinvestors,tradingtoallocatecashorconverttocash.Morefocusedonreducingcosts.
Patient;uselimitorders;forlowcommission,lowmarketimpact,pricecertainty.
TypesofTradersandPreferredOrder
Trader
Motivation
Preference
Order
Information-motivated
Newinformation
Time
Market
Value-motivated
Perceivedvaluationerrors
Price
Limit
Liquidity-motivated
Reallocation&liquidity
Time
Market
Passive
Reallocation&liquidity
Price
Limit
Daytradersanddealers:dealersseektoearnthebid-askedspreadandshort-termprofits.Daytradersaresimilarinthattheyseekshort-termprofitsfrompricemovements.
Liquidity-at-any-cost:thetradermusttransactalargeblockofsharesquickly.
Need-trustworthy-agent:thetraderemploysabrokertoskillfullyexecutealargetradeinasecurity,whichmayhethinlytraded.
Costs-are-not-important:thetraderbelievesthatexchangemarketswilloperatefairlyandefficientlysuchthattheexecutionpricetheytransactatisatbestexecution.
Advertise-to-draw-liquidity:thetradeispublicizedinadvancetodrawcounterpartiestothetrade.
Low-cost-whatever-the-liquidity:thetraderplacesalimitorderoutsideofthecurrentbid-askquotesinordertominimizetradingcosts.
Focus
Uses
Advantages
Weakness
Liquidityatanycost
(Imusttrade)
Immediateexecutioninblocksize(informationmotivated)
Quick
Guaranteesexecution
Highpotentialformarketimpact
Maybehighcommission
Informationleakage
Needtrustworthyagent
Large-scaletrades,low-leveladvertising
Usebroker’sskill&timetoimproveprice
Highercommission
Possibleleakageofinformation
Losesdirectcontroloftrade
Costsarenotimportant
Certaintyofexecutionatmarketprice
Quick,competitive
Market-determinedprice
Maycreateimpact
Cedesdirectcontroloftrade
Mayignoretacticswithlowercost
Advertisetodrawliquidity
Largetradeswithlowerinformationadvantage
Market-determinedpriceforlargetrades
Moredifficulttoadminister
Highoperational&organizationalcosts
Possibleleakagetofront-runners
Lowcostwhatevertheliquidity
Non-informationaltrading;indifferenttotiming(value-motivated,passive)
Lowcommission
Opportunitytotradeatfavorableprice
Highersearchandmonitoringcosts
Uncertaintyoftrading
Possiblytradingintoweakness
AlgorithmicTradingStrategies
Algorithmictradingistheuseofautomated,quantitativesystemsthatutilizetradingrules,benchmarks,andconstraints.
Themotivationforalgorithmictradingistoexecuteorderswithminimalriskandcosts.
Itcanbeusedinaliquidvenue.
Classificationofalgorithmicexecutionsystems:
Logicalparticipationstrategies
Opportunisticparticipationstrategies
Specializedstrategies
AlgorithmicTradingStrategies
Logicalparticipationstrategies
Simplelogicalparticipationstrategy:tradewithmarketflowsoastonotbecomeoverlynoticeabletothemarketandtominimizemarketimpact.
VWAPstrategy:splitanorderovertimetomatchorimprovetheday’sVWAP.
TWAPstrategy:orderisspreadoutevenlyoverthewholedayanditisusefulforathinlytradedstockwithunpredictableintradaytradingvolume.
Percentofvolumestrategy:orderistradedinproportiontooverallvolume.
Implementationshortfallstrategies:tradeheavilyearlyinthedaytoensureordercompletiontominimizeopportunitycost.
Opportunisticparticipationstrategies:tradepassivelyovertimebutincreasetrading
whenliquidityispresent.
Fourcharacteristicsofbestexecution
Bestexecutioncannotbejudgedindependentlyoftheinvestmentdecision.
Bestexecutioncannotbeknownwithcertaintyexante.
Althoughbestexecutioncanbemeasuredexpostovertime,itcannotbemeasuredforasingletrade.
Relationshipsandpracticesareintegraltobestexecution.
Problemswithdefiningabestexecution
Difficulttodefineagoodbenchmark.
Hardtomeasureimplicitcosts(marketimpact/andopportunitycosts).
Institutionsbreaklargeblocktradesoverdifferentsmalltrades,makingitdifficulttoassesstheirexecution.
Difficulttodefine“best”forallkindsoftrading.
R30MonitoringandRebalancing
Monitoring&Rebalancing
ReasonsforMonitoring
Changesininvestorcircumstances
Changesinanyoneoftheinvestor’sobjectivesand/orconstraints(RRTTLLU)
Changesinmarket/economicconditions
Assetriskattributes;marketcycles;centralbankpolicy;yieldcurve;inflation
Changesintheportfolio
Thedifferentassetallocationsmaygrowatdifferentratesandtheallocationcouldchangesignificantly.
BenefitsandCostsofRebalancing
BenefitofRebalancing
Maintainingtheinvestor’sdesiredriskexposure.
Rebalancingalsoprovidesdiscipline.
CostsofRebalancing
Transactionscosts:explicitcost(e.g.commission)andimplicitcost(e.g.bid-askspread,marketimpactcost)
Taxcostgeneratedbysellingassetthathaveappreciatedinvalue.
CalendarRebalancing:rebalanceonapredetermined,regularbasis(e.g.,monthly,quarterly).
Benefit:providesdisciplinewithouttherequirementforconstantmonitoring.
Drawback:portfolioallocationcoulddiffersignificantlyfromitsoptimalweightsbetweenrebalancingdates.
Percentage-of-portfolio/intervalrebalancing:rebalancingistriggeredby
changesinvalueratherthancalendardates.
Themanagersetstolerancebandsorcorridorsthatareconsideredoptimalforeachassetclass.
corridor=T±(PxT)
Benefit:minimizethedegreetowhichassetclassescanviolatetheirallocationcorridors.
Drawback:needtoconstantlymonitortheportfolio.
Factorsofoptimalcorridorwidth(positivecorrelation)
Transactionscosts
Thehigherthetransactionscosts(thelowertheliquidity)foranassetclass,tradingcanbequiteexpensive,thewideroptimalcorridors.
Risktolerance
Thehigheraninvestor'srisktolerance(lessriskaverse),thelowertheimpactondeviationsfromtargetweights,thewideroptimalcorridors.
Correlationofreturnswithotherassetclasses
Themorecorrelatedtheassetsinaportfolio,thelessfrequentlytheportfoliowillrequirebalancing,thewideroptimalcorridors.
Factorsofoptimalcorridorwidth(negativecorrelation)
Volatilityofassetclassreturns
Greatervolatilityofassetclassreturnsmakedeviationsfromtargetweightspotentiallymorecostly,narroweroptimalcorridorwidths.
Volatilityofotherassetsclassreturns
Greatervolatilityofthereturnsontheotherassetsinaportfolio,narrower
optimalcorridorwidths.
Factor
Effectoncorridorwidth
Explanation
PositiveEffect
Transactioncosts
Highertransactioncosts,wideroptimalcorridor
Hightransactioncostssetahighhurdlerateforrebalancingbenefitstoovercome
Risktolerance
Higherrisktolerance,wideroptimalcorridor
Highrisktolerancemeanstolerancefordivergencesfromtarget
Correlationwithrestofportfolio
Highercorrelation,wideroptimalcorridor
Highcorrelationmeansdivergencefromtargetsislesslikely
Negative
Volatilityofassetclass
Higherassetclassvolatility,narroweroptimalcorridor
Highvolatilityrelativetotherestmeansmorelikelihoodtodivergefromoriginalallocation
Effect
Volatilityofrestofportfolio
Highervolatilityofrestofportfolio,narroweroptimalcorridor
Highvolatilityoftherestmeansmorelikelihoodtodivergefromoriginalallocation
Rebalancingtotargetweightsvs.rebalancingtotheallowedrange
Rebalancetotargetweight:requiremoreorlessconstanttrading,hightransactioncostandtimeintensive.
Rebalancetotheextentnecessary:moveassetclassweightsbackwithintheallowedrange.
DynamicRebalancingStrategies
BuyandHold:oncetheinitialallocationismade,norebalancingisdone.
Constant-Mix:rebalancetheportfoliotoitstargetweights.
Constant-Proportionportfolioinsurance(CPPI):targetweightinequitiesvariesdirectlywiththedifferencebetweentheportfoliovalueandsomeminimumvalue(floorvalue).
Buy-and-holdstrategyisapassivestrategy;norebalancingisrequired(i.e.,itisa"do-nothing"strategy).
Ifequitiesincrease(decrease)invaluetheweightinequitiesincreases(decreases).
Investmentinstocks=Cushion=Portfolio–Floorvalue(T-bill)
Linearrelationshipbetweentheportfolioreturnandstockreturn
Portfolioreturn=stockratioxreturnonstock
Investor’srisktoleranceispositivelyrelatedtowealth.
Constant-mixstrategy:keepaconstantratioofstockstototalassets.
Targetinvestmentinstocks=mxportfolio
mistargetproportioninstocks(0<m<1)
Asstockpricesrise(fall),stockratioincreases(decreases),sostocksmustbe
sold(purchased).
Thereductionintheequityallocationasequityvaluesincreasereducestheincreaseinportfoliovalue.concaverelationship.
Ifstockscontinuetodecline,moreandmorecashisusedtopurchasestocks.Attheextreme,theportfoliogoestozero.
Investor’srisktoleranceisincreasesproportionatelytowealth.
Constant-proportionportfolioinsurance(CPPI)strategies:
targetequities=mx(portfoliovalue–floorvalue)=mxcushion
m>1.0anddoesnotchangeonceselected.
Asequitiesincrease(decrease)invalue,thecushionincreases,andtheweightofequitiesintheportfolioisincreased(decreased)asaresult,sostocksmustbepu
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