大战略性技术 课件

CarlClaunchTop10StrategicTechnologiesThesematerialscanbereproducedonlywithGartner’sofficialapproval.Suchapprovalsmayberequestedviae-mail--quote.requests@.Notesaccompanythispresentation.PleaseselectNotesPageview.CarlClaunchTop10StrategicTTheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsMaturingin18to36MonthsWiderApplicabilityLoweredRiskIssuesResolvedCopyright©2003Conclusion:Top10TechnologiesTheTop10Maturingin18to361. WhatarethetrendsanddriversshapingITstrategyduringthenextthreeyears?2. WhichtechnologieswillreachhighenoughlevelsofmaturityandadoptiontoimpacttheITlandscapethrough2005?3. HowwillITarchitecturesevolvetosupportenterprisegoals?Copyright©2003KeyIssues1. WhatarethetrendsanddriValues:PresenceserviceReal-timeNorewindLowoverheadOtherIssues:LackofaudittrailQoSlimitationsPoorintegrationcapabilityLostrecordofdecisionsTextfocused,limitedmediaSecurityConcerns:DataprotectionPrivacyTamperresistanceCopyright©2003InstantMessagingintheEnterpriseValues:OtherIssues:SecurityCRFIDTagCurrentApplicationsTollpasssystemsPetidentificationAccesscardsRetailtheftprotectionElectronicparoleetrackingPhotossourceTexasInstrumentsSuccessortoBarCodesCanreadevencoveredCanreadwhilemovingCanscanatdistanceSurviveswater,heat,paintingPricedroppingtolowlevelsRemaininproductforlifePotentialApplicationsLocatecommonobjectsImprovedassetcontrolReal-timeretail-shelfinventoryMovetofasterorself-checkoutImprovemanufacturingandsupply-chainefficiencyAfter-saleservicesofferingsCopyright©2003RFIDTagCurrentApplicationsPhHoneyPots,ApplicationTracesandForensicsFirewallsIDSVAGatewayAVSecurityPlatformIntheCloudMSSIntrusionPreventionAppliancesAnti-spamContentScanningSub-

100MbGigabit+200220042006??PoliciesandParametersUnified*ManagementCopyright©2003NetworkSecurityPlatformHoneyPots,ApplicationTracesTechnologiesRFIDBluetoothCellphonetowerGPSPossibilitiesEmergencyPromotionsNavigationCyber-overlaySmartcontextCopyright©2003Location-BasedServicesTechnologiesPossibilitiesCopyrApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerBCopyright©2003GRIDComputingApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerToolkitsandEnablersUnitedDevices,Avaki,DataSynapse,etc.Globus,OGSA,GlobalGridForumWebservicesandotherstandardsCorbaCustomapproachesSignificantintegrationrequiredCurrentApplicationsLargecomputationsLimiteddatainterchangePartitionablealgorithmEngineeringScientificresearchOptimizationandsimulationUniversalorNiche?HighlydependentonproblemandapplicationSecurity,economicandQoSissuesremainBreakthroughperformancevs.cost-efficiencyAdoptionrateofutilitymodelofcomputingDiffusiondependsonturnoverinexistingplantCopyright©2003GRIDComputingToolkitsandEnablersCurrentAGeneraltextentryCommandandcontrolCallcenteruseSuccessFactorsLimitedvocabularyandhighcontextDialog-oriented,interactiveapproachAcceptablerateoferrorsCopyright©2003SpeechRecognitionGeneraltextentryCommandandReportActivateDeliberateAssimilateFormulateCommunicateSenseCaptureFilterTrackImplementReviseEventBusinessResponseAwarenessActionDecisionBusinessstrategyfirstReducedelaysReducederrorratesInformationprecisionandtimelinessRicher/More-appropriateinformationLowerwasteFasterreactionCopyright©2003Real-TimeEnterprise--RTEReportActivateDeliberateAssimiTroughofDisillusionmentSlopeofEnlightenmentPlateauofProductivityTechnologyTriggerPeakofInflatedExpectationsReal-timeAnalyticsWebServicesMassRFIDTaggingMEMSsensorsWirelessWebWirelessLANRTIntegrationbrokersWirelessMessagingDataWarehouseBusinessProcessManagementLanguagesContentManagementInfantAdolescentMatureWebcastingRulesEnginesHomeBroadbandAutomatictextcategorisationEventMgt.CommercialGridInfrastructureSelf-healingInfrastructureCopyright©2003MaturityofRTETechnologiesTroughofSlopeofPlateauofTecVoIPonWANissuesQoScontrolEconomicsvscarriertrendsIPvariablelatencyStandardsandinteroperabilityIPtelephonyissuesFeaturesvsPBXScalabilityReliabilityQoSandsharingnetworksInteroperabilitySomeMissingFeaturesAttendantconsoleLeastcostroutingBusyoverrideTrunkcallbackqueuingBlindtransferLessthen500phones;VoIPoverWANLargeIPTelephony(500ormorephones)VeryLargeIPtelephony(2,000ormorephones)Copyright©2003IPTelephonyVoIPonWANissuesIPtelephonyConceptsToolsDevelopDeployService-

OrientedArchitecture(SOA)Service-OrientedDevelopmentofApplications(SODA)Web

ServiceArchitecture(WSA)InterfaceSeparationWrapping(Reflection)DescriptionDynamismAssemblyCompositionDiscoveryOrchestrationContractsMessagesRepositoryServersProg.ModelPlatformStandardsOrganizationWebServiceProducerPlatforms(WSPP)SODASOACopyright©2003ServiceOrientationtoSoftwareConceptsToolsDevelopDeployServCommonInternetprotocols(e.g.,TCP/IPHTTP)ExtensibleMarkupLanguage(XML)SimpleObjectAccessProtocol(SOAP)WebServicesDefinitionLanguage(WDSL)UniversalDescription,DiscoveryandIntegration(UDDI)WS-Transaction,BPEL4WS,WSCIInplaceKey:Liberty,PassportWS-Security,SecurityAssertionsMarkupLanguage(SAML)WebServicesforRemotePortals(WSRP),

WebServicesUserInterface(WSUI)FormatTransportMessageDescriptionSearch&FindCoordinationUserInterfaceIdentifyingStandardNeedBusiness

SemanticsebXML,RosettaNetEmergingEstablishedEntrenchedSecurityTrustIdentityCopyright©2003EmergingWebServicesStandardsBuildingTrustCommonInternetprotocols(e.g

ApplicationsInspection SurveysForms AnnotationPersonalizationofe-mail NotetakingEmbeddedinOSasextensionFocusoninknotrecognitionTwoformfactorsTablet(niche)ConvertibleNotebook

(pricepremiumanduncertainacceptance)Copyright©2003TabletPCs ApplicationsEmbeddedinOSasTheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsExaminepotentialvalueoftechnologiesforyourenterprise.Selectrighttimetoexploitthem.Determineleadtimerequired.Investigateandpilotasneeded.Addressup-frontallunresolvedissuesandlargeriskfactors.Copyright©2003RecommendationsTheTop10ExaminepotentialvaCarlClaunchTop10StrategicTechnologiesThesematerialscanbereproducedonlywithGartner’sofficialapproval.Suchapprovalsmayberequestedviae-mail--quote.requests@.Notesaccompanythispresentation.PleaseselectNotesPageview.CarlClaunchTop10StrategicTTheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsMaturingin18to36MonthsWiderApplicabilityLoweredRiskIssuesResolvedCopyright©2003Conclusion:Top10TechnologiesTheTop10Maturingin18to361. WhatarethetrendsanddriversshapingITstrategyduringthenextthreeyears?2. WhichtechnologieswillreachhighenoughlevelsofmaturityandadoptiontoimpacttheITlandscapethrough2005?3. HowwillITarchitecturesevolvetosupportenterprisegoals?Copyright©2003KeyIssues1. WhatarethetrendsanddriValues:PresenceserviceReal-timeNorewindLowoverheadOtherIssues:LackofaudittrailQoSlimitationsPoorintegrationcapabilityLostrecordofdecisionsTextfocused,limitedmediaSecurityConcerns:DataprotectionPrivacyTamperresistanceCopyright©2003InstantMessagingintheEnterpriseValues:OtherIssues:SecurityCRFIDTagCurrentApplicationsTollpasssystemsPetidentificationAccesscardsRetailtheftprotectionElectronicparoleetrackingPhotossourceTexasInstrumentsSuccessortoBarCodesCanreadevencoveredCanreadwhilemovingCanscanatdistanceSurviveswater,heat,paintingPricedroppingtolowlevelsRemaininproductforlifePotentialApplicationsLocatecommonobjectsImprovedassetcontrolReal-timeretail-shelfinventoryMovetofasterorself-checkoutImprovemanufacturingandsupply-chainefficiencyAfter-saleservicesofferingsCopyright©2003RFIDTagCurrentApplicationsPhHoneyPots,ApplicationTracesandForensicsFirewallsIDSVAGatewayAVSecurityPlatformIntheCloudMSSIntrusionPreventionAppliancesAnti-spamContentScanningSub-

100MbGigabit+200220042006??PoliciesandParametersUnified*ManagementCopyright©2003NetworkSecurityPlatformHoneyPots,ApplicationTracesTechnologiesRFIDBluetoothCellphonetowerGPSPossibilitiesEmergencyPromotionsNavigationCyber-overlaySmartcontextCopyright©2003Location-BasedServicesTechnologiesPossibilitiesCopyrApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerBCopyright©2003GRIDComputingApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerToolkitsandEnablersUnitedDevices,Avaki,DataSynapse,etc.Globus,OGSA,GlobalGridForumWebservicesandotherstandardsCorbaCustomapproachesSignificantintegrationrequiredCurrentApplicationsLargecomputationsLimiteddatainterchangePartitionablealgorithmEngineeringScientificresearchOptimizationandsimulationUniversalorNiche?HighlydependentonproblemandapplicationSecurity,economicandQoSissuesremainBreakthroughperformancevs.cost-efficiencyAdoptionrateofutilitymodelofcomputingDiffusiondependsonturnoverinexistingplantCopyright©2003GRIDComputingToolkitsandEnablersCurrentAGeneraltextentryCommandandcontrolCallcenteruseSuccessFactorsLimitedvocabularyandhighcontextDialog-oriented,interactiveapproachAcceptablerateoferrorsCopyright©2003SpeechRecognitionGeneraltextentryCommandandReportActivateDeliberateAssimilateFormulateCommunicateSenseCaptureFilterTrackImplementReviseEventBusinessResponseAwarenessActionDecisionBusinessstrategyfirstReducedelaysReducederrorratesInformationprecisionandtimelinessRicher/More-appropriateinformationLowerwasteFasterreactionCopyright©2003Real-TimeEnterprise--RTEReportActivateDeliberateAssimiTroughofDisillusionmentSlopeofEnlightenmentPlateauofProductivityTechnologyTriggerPeakofInflatedExpectationsReal-timeAnalyticsWebServicesMassRFIDTaggingMEMSsensorsWirelessWebWirelessLANRTIntegrationbrokersWirelessMessagingDataWarehouseBusinessProcessManagementLanguagesContentManagementInfantAdolescentMatureWebcastingRulesEnginesHomeBroadbandAutomatictextcategorisationEventMgt.CommercialGridInfrastructureSelf-healingInfrastructureCopyright©2003MaturityofRTETechnologiesTroughofSlopeofPlateauofTecVoIPonWANissuesQoScontrolEconomicsvscarriertrendsIPvariablelatencyStandardsandinteroperabilityIPtelephonyissuesFeaturesvsPBXScalabilityReliabilityQoSandsharingnetworksInteroperabilitySomeMissingFeaturesAttendantconsoleLeastcostroutingBusyoverrideTrunkcallbackqueuingBlindtransferLessthen500phones;VoIPoverWANLargeIPTelephony(500ormorephones)VeryLargeIPtelephony(2,000ormorephones)Copyright©2003IPTelephonyVoIPonWANissuesIPtelephonyConceptsToolsDevelopDeployService-

OrientedArchitecture(SOA)Service-OrientedDevelopmentofApplications(SODA)Web

ServiceArchitecture(WSA)InterfaceSeparationWrapping(Reflection)DescriptionDynamismAssemblyCompositionDiscoveryOrchestrationContractsMessagesRepositoryServersProg.ModelPlatformStandardsOrganizationWebServiceProducerPlatforms(WSPP)SODASOACopyright©2003ServiceOrientationtoSoftwareConceptsToolsDevelopDeployServCommonInternetprotocols(e.g.,TCP/IPHTTP)ExtensibleMarkupLanguage(XML)SimpleObjectAccessProtocol(SOA