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11218HStreetNW,Washington,DC20433lrnof3 CarbonBorderAdjustmentMechanism4e5ekPt6nold7styd8InitiatedijanInitiatedijanCentralAfricanRepublicColombiaDemocraticRepublicofCongoCôted'IvoireUzbekistanWestBankandGazaZimbabweLiberiaianesSouthAfricaVietnamJordanthcomingEasternCaribbean(AntiguaandBarbuda,Dominica,Grenada,St.KittsandNevis,St.Lucia,andSt.VincentandtheGrenadines)y9ydlldooithton00sKKClimateOtiscenariomistic Pess01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000oedlstesgdds50s32210uhnreninganklyngytddrr035305NewZealandUnitedStatesLuxembourg050n3.1.Structuralchangeandsupportivepolicyenvironmentsareneededforsuccessfulandjustclimateactionnle3.2.SectoraltransitionswithprivatesectormobilizationcreateosationandproductivitygrowthBaselineuropeCentralAsiaMiddleEast&uropeCentralAsiaMiddleEast&NorthAfricaTrkiyeIraqJordan60%20%earYearYearYearYearYearYearYearYearb)InstalledcoalcapacityBaseline0Low-carbondevelopmentpathwayNorthAfricalawiNigerSouthAfrica0Allcountrieshaveanenormousopportunitytoexpandrenewableenergytomeetgrowingingthegrowingnstalledcapacityterawattsnstalledcapacityterawattslowre7654321020252030203520402020202520302035YearYearearOilsesultedfromtheselowcarbonanalysesinaggregatebutshouldnotbeinterpretedasa0300MaliMauritaniaNigerSouthAfricaenergygeyncestyn0202020252030203520402045205020552060eeannysBrazil*02004006008001,0001,2001,4001,6001,800 Mauritania sslysa ssnysdnronmentalimpactsdsLLLLe5.4 2060 21.020.718.6BangladeshakistanPeru RwandaTürkiye9.6etnamChinaForthcoming80.2%5%5%81.87.4%% 9.2%6164.8% 31.7%Africa6Africa o%0%stoefficiencyelectrificationsHouseholdconsumption0.180.17470.0901234-2-101230.153.232-2.0-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0Butachievinggrowthbenefitsrequirestherightpolicies,andcountrieswillfacesignificanthecostsofedtollionjobsinthecurrentenergyralSectorElectricityandgasMiningMiningandquarryingWatersupplyandwastemanagementTTransportationandstorageManufacturingIInformationandcommunicationActivitiesofhouseholdsasemployersWWholesaleandretailtradeRealestateactivitiesAccommodationandfoodserviceactivitiesOtherserviceAArts,entertainmentandrecreationFinancialandinsuranceactivitiesPublicPublicadministrationanddefenseConstructionAgricultureAgriculture,forestryandfishingHealthandsocialworkEducEducationProfessional,scientificandtechnicalactivitiesAdministrativeAdministrativeandsupportservice Banglad China PakistaPeru Philippi Türkiye Vietnamtannmtann-6-4-202468ngeedsldedeeg4.1.Innovativeclimatefinancesolutionstomeetadditionalinvestmentneedsd40 a InLaedsectodustryndscaerTrweransportnSahmasd2hedf5044eg.0.8.6.4.2.0pinesEgyptTrkiyenrrkerceddy4.4.Acceleratedinnovationandscalingupkeytechnologiesforadaptationandmitigation

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