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1、 中国汽车燃料经济性标准及燃料经济性政策研究 The Automobile Fuel Economy Standards and Fuel Efficiency Promotion Policies of China中国汽车技术研究中心 China Automotive Technology and Research Center2001.8.23第1页,共22页。 重要内容:(Content)1、评价体系建立的内容、问题与计划(Content,question and schedule of establishment of evaluation system)2、技术成本效益分析的内容、问

2、题与计划(Content,question and schedule of technology cost-effectiveness analysis)3、汽车燃油经济性普查内容、问题与计划(Content, question and schedule of universal survey)第2页,共22页。1、评价体系的研究与建立Establishment of Evaluation System第3页,共22页。评价体系的建立-原因? Establishment of Evaluation System-Why?选用类似CAFE的方法限制汽车燃油经济性?(restrain the au

3、to fuel economy by the method of CAFE?)选用类似日本的方法来限制汽车燃油经济性?(restrain the auto fuel economy by the method like Japanese measure?)采用完全不同的新方法?(use entirely different new method?)第4页,共22页。评价体系的建立-欧、美、日的基本情况 Establishment of Evaluation System-The situation in Europe, American and Japan 欧洲(Europe):采用较高的燃油

4、价格,公开汽车燃油耗;但最近也开始考虑采用公司平均法来限制CO2和油耗。(Higher fuel price, publishing vehicle fuel consumption rate to guide vehicle purchase. Recently, consider to restrain fuel consumption together with CO2 emission by means of company average value. )美国(American):公司平均油耗法。(Corporate Average Fuel Economy(CAFE) ) 日本(J

5、apan):将乘用车按重量分为8类,分别要求。(Passenger cars are take into eight categories according to vehicle weight, and the auto fuel economy of different category are restrained by different limit)第5页,共22页。评价体系的建立(1)-CAFE的优点和问题Establishment of Evaluation System(1)-Advantages and question可以从总体上控制汽车的燃油消耗。(may restrai

6、n the auto fuel consumption in total)不对具体车型提出要求,有利于汽车企业的产品调整;(Do not limit on individual auto type. Benefit the adjustment of production in the manufactories) 是否有利于中国汽车向大集团化的发展?(Be helpful to the development of Chinese auto industry to large scale?)问题:中国汽车企业众多,各企业产品单一。( There are too many independen

7、t auto companies, and each of which always owns few types of auto in China)第6页,共22页。评价体系的建立(2)-对汽车分类要求?(1)Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Limitation for Each Individual Auto Category?(1)适合当前中国的企业现状:企业众多、产品单一;(Fit the present situation of Chinese auto industry: There are too many manufactories

8、which always own few types of auto)不能从宏观上控制燃油消耗;(Can not restrain the fuel consumption in total.)第7页,共22页。评价体系的建立(2)-按汽车重量分类?(2)Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Categorizing Auto by Weight?(2)为什么日本选择车重而不是发动机功率或排量作为汽车分类的依据?(Why does Japan choose weight of vehicle other than displacement volume o

9、r engine power as the categorizing specific?)日本是如何决定类别划分值?(How does Japan determine the boundary values?)是否对较重的汽车要求较严?(If the requirement for heavy auto is stricter than that of light auto?) 是否会影响企业对采用轻型材料的的积极性?If this will lead negative influence to the lightening effort of the auto? 第8页,共22页。评价体系的

10、建立(2)-分类要求问题的解决?(3) Establishment of Evaluation System(2)-Answer to the question of Limitation for Each Auto Category(3)通过大量数据的统计分析,努力使分类油耗限值合理;(Make the fuel consumption limits reasonable through statistic of large amount of data concerned with fuel consumption)为了抑制高油耗车辆的增长,从而在一定程度上弥补这种方法对总体油耗控制的不足

11、,可以严格对高油耗汽车的限值要求;(For compensation of the disadvantage of not restraining in total at some extent and restrain the increase of high-FE auto, we can give the stricter limit for these auto.) 也可以通过提高高油耗车辆税率达到以上目的。(The goal may be reached by high-tax for high-fuel consumption cars)第9页,共22页。评价体系的建立(3)-方案

12、确定Establishment of Evaluation System-Determination of Strategy 了解研究国外的方法和经验;(learn the measures and experience abroad)收集数据:CATARC在排放试验时的油耗数据、中国汽车工业年鉴、企业申报数据;(collect data: the fuel consumption data that have been received in the emission test at CATARC, China Auto Manual, declare data from manufactu

13、rers)分析以上数据,发现油耗与哪些汽车参数的相关性最大,明确分类指标,及划分值(analyze and find the best relativity between fuel consumption and auto specifics with these data, and then define the specific of categorizing and boundary limits)同时分析公司平均油耗(analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Consumption at same time) 提出方案,与汽车行业讨论,给出评价体系框架。(

14、Give the strategy of evaluation system, discuss it within auto industry,give the frame work of evaluation system.) 第10页,共22页。评价体系的建立Establishment of Evaluation System-计划(schedule)第11页,共22页。2、技术成本效益分析Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis第12页,共22页。技术成本效益分析-原因Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:rea

15、son预测中国汽车在未来可能采取的技术措施,以及对燃油经济性的改善。(predict the possible adopted technologies by the auto industry in the future, and the improvement for FE)其结果将影响汽车燃油消耗率限值国家标准的制定。(the result will effect the setting up of national standard concerning auto fuel consumption limits)其研究结果有利于汽车厂家先进技术的选择。(the result benef

16、it the chose of the advanced technologies for manufactory) 第13页,共22页。技术成本效益分析-主要工作Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:main task调查中国汽车现在的技术水平以及未来可能采用的技术预测(Survey the current technical situation of Chinese auto industry and the prediction of advanced technologies that would be adopted in future).研究

17、提高汽车能源效率的各项技术措施(study the every technology used for the improvement of EF)分析其效果和成本.(cost-effectiveness analysis)预测中国汽车在未来可能采取的技术措施,以及对燃油经济性的改善.(predict the technologies adopted likely in the future and then the improvement of the FE)提出可能的技术组合方案(give the possible combination of those technologies)第14

18、页,共22页。技术成本效益分析-难点Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:Difficult各种技术的成本预测。(Predict the cost of implementation of technology.)如何考虑技术之间的叠加效应?(How to take into account of the folding effect of these technologies.) 第15页,共22页。技术成本效益分析-时间表Technology Cost-Effectiveness Analysis(schedule)第16页,共22页。3、汽车燃料经

19、济性的普查Universal Survey on Auto Fuel Economy 第17页,共22页。汽车燃料经济性的普查-原因?universal survey on auto fuel economy-reason? 了解中国汽车燃油经济性的现状;(learn the present situation of China auto)为制定燃油消耗率限值国家标准提供基础;(make base data for the establishment of national standard of auto fuel consumption limits)第18页,共22页。汽车燃料经济性的普查-主要工作universal survey on auto fuel economy-main task 汽车制造厂上报各车型油耗。(declare auto fuel consumption by the manufactories) 召开研讨会,介绍普查及统计的意义和经验。(put out meeting, present the meaning and exchange t

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