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1、The Strategy and Tactics of Pricing定价的策略和战术7/7/20221The Cost-Plus Delusion加成定价法的谬误Financial prudence出于财务谨慎的考虑How to determine mark-up? 如何决定加成比例?Overpricing in weak markets and under-pricing in strong markets 在疲软市场的过高定价和在强劲市场的过低定价7/7/20222Value By Customers消费者认定的价值Affordable but sufficiently sporty c
2、ar 消费者需要既买得起又潇洒漂亮的跑车In 1964, Ford met the challenge with its Mustang, at a base price of $2,368. 1964年福特推出定价为2368美元的Mustang车来迎接这项挑战Net profits of $1.1 Billion, in 1964 dollars, in just the first two years 在最初的两年间净利达11亿美元7/7/20223Developing an Effective Pricing Strategy设定有效的订价策略customers willingness
3、to pay for the good or service 消费者的购买意愿cost of providing the good or service 生产成本degree of competition 竞争程度7/7/20224Demand Curve, I需求曲线02.5057.50101472demand curve需求曲线Quantity (hamburgers a day)数量(汉堡包每天)Price ($per humburger)价格(美元每个汉堡包)7/7/20225Demand Curve, II需求曲线the maximum price the consumer is w
4、illing to pay / marginal benefit 顾客愿意支付的最高价格/边际利益the more the less desirable / diminishing marginal benefit 越多就越不热切/边际利益递减7/7/20226Demand and Income需求和收入Normal / inferior products 正常/劣等品International and regional business 国际和区域业务expected income 期望收入Irrational exuberance in U.S in the 1990s. 美国90年代末:
5、非理性旺盛Deflation in Japan in the past decade 日本最近十几年:通货紧缩7/7/20227Foe or Friend是互替还是互补Prices of related products 相关产品的价格Substitutes: chicken/beef, video/movie 替代品: 鸡/牛肉, 录像/电影Complements: meat/wine, movie/popcorn 互补品: 肉食/葡萄酒, 电影/爆米花7/7/20228How to secure complements?怎样得到互补品的支持?Dan Ryan & UA Pacific Pl
6、ace 香港太古广场的电影院和芝加哥风味的餐厅Pepsi, AOL 百事可乐, 美国在线PCCW, Softbank 香港电讯盈科,日本软银HK Disneyland 香港迪斯尼乐园7/7/20229Demand for Durable Goods耐用品的需求Expectation about future prices and income 对未来价格和收入的期望Financing costs 融资成本Prices of used models 二手货的价格future value of new good 代表新货物的未来价值substitute for new good 新旧货物的替代关系
7、7/7/202210Factors influencing market demand: 影响市场需求的因素Income level and distribution 收入高低和分布Population and demographics 人口多少及构成 Market saturation 市场渗透率Network externality 外部效用7/7/202211收入, 成本, 和利润7/7/202212利润最大化的条件7/7/202213最优定价Operate at scale where marginal revenue = marginal cost 边际收入 = 边际成本的规模Equ
8、ivalently, set the incremental margin percentage equal to the inverse of absolute value of price elasticity of demand, 设边际毛利率等于需求价格弹性的倒数(price - MC) / price = -1/e7/7/202214自身价格弹性 Own-Price Elasticity定义: 1% 的价格增长所引起的需求的变化量自身价格弹性 =7/7/202215Price Elasticity: Determinants价格弹性: 决定因素availability of dire
9、ct or indirect substitutes 直接或间接替代品的多少Perceived substitutes effect (Woolite) 被认为的替代效应Unique value effect (Heinz ketchup) 独特的价值Difficult comparison effect (brand name products) 不可比较效应(名牌产品)Price-quality effect (doctors, lawyers) 价格质量效应(医生,律师)Inventory effect (canned tomatoes, diapers) 库存效应(罐装西红柿, 纸尿片
10、)7/7/202216More on Determinants of Price Elasticity 再谈价格弹性的决定因素cost / benefit of economizing 寻找替代品的成本及收益Expenditure effect (engine oil) 费用效应(引擎油)End-benefit effect (Baby and Michelin) 终端利益效应(米其林和婴儿)buyers prior commitments 买方是否有事前的投入separation of buyer and payee 购买者和付款者的分离7/7/202217Advantage 竞争优势198
11、1: American Airlines pioneered frequent flyer program 1981年: 美国航空公司推出里程优惠计划 buyer commitment 购买者事前投入 business executives fly at the expense of others 公差7/7/202218Demand Elasticity Under Optimal Pricing最优定价下的需求弹性always set price so that demand is elastic 总是设立价格, 使需求具有弹性if demand more elastic, then lo
12、wer incremental margin percentage (IM%) 如果需求弹性较大,边际毛利率就低(IM%) e = -1.5 IM% = 2/3 e = -2 IM% = 1/27/7/202219Pricing Movies电影票的定价Tuesday Movies 星期二电影Price decreased from $60 to $30 价格从60港币降到30港币Number of tickets increased by 217% 票房上升了217%Revenue for Tuesdays ? 星期二的营业额是否增加?What about other weekdays an
13、d weekends? 其它周日和周末的营业额?7/7/202220摩尔(Moores)法则和计算机成本技术进步固定成本增加边际成本减少(单位计算能力的成本)7/7/202221Relevant Marginal Costs for Pricing 相关的边际成本consider only relevant costs and ignore all other costs 仅考虑相关的成本, 不考虑其它的成本relevant costs may be hidden 相关成本往往被传统损益表忽略irrelevant costs may be shown in accounts 不相关成本则可能出
14、现在传统损益表7/7/202222Wing On Group, 1993永安集团, 1993Revenue 收入HK$2,236 millionExpenses 成本HK$2,210 millionProfit 利润HK$ 26 millionOpportunity cost机会成本HK$ 53 million7/7/202223Shanghai Petrochemical, 1994上海石化,1994Profit: 1.78 billion yuan利润: 17.8亿人民币The company received 4.5 million metric tons of crude at a g
15、overnment-controlled price of 689 yuan (as compared to free-market price of 1100 yuan), the opportunity cost of which is 1.85 billion yuan.公司获得450万吨政府补贴的原油, 机会成本为18.5亿人民币。7/7/202224Opportunity Cost 机会成本definition - net revenue from best alternative course of action 定义:所有被放弃的可能方案中能带来的最大净收益。 7/7/20222
16、5Debt to Equity 债转股Investment by the Singaporean government in a petrochemical plant in the 1980s80年代新加坡政府对石化企业的贷款Stated-owned enterprises in China中国国有企业7/7/202226Economic Value Added经济附加价值任何融资都有成本:借贷要付息, 股权要回报EVA = revenue - all costs (including cost of equity capital) 经济附加价值=收入-所有成本(包括资本金的成本)7/7/2
17、02227Apple Computer 苹果计算机1988年夏: 苹果用每芯片38美元共计几亿美元的代价购买 1Megabit 的DRAM晶片1989年元月: 市场价格跌到23美元; 为给Machitosh定价, 1 Megabit的DRAM库存该是多少成本呢?7/7/202228Sunk Cost沉没成本定义:已经或承诺支出、无法挽回的成本先前的承诺计划期的长短7/7/202229A Common Excuse不敌外来竞争的共同借口:需承担大量退休员工的福利Japanese car manufacturers vis-vis the U.S. auto makers美日汽车公司之间的竞争St
18、ated-owned enterprises versus foreign-invested companies in China中国国企与外资企业之间的竞争7/7/202230DaimlerChrysler: 合并能节省多少?2000十一月: 第三季度报告亏损1999-2002,美国汽车工会协议 无论如何,必须支付合同工资的95% 最初42星期, 由州失业基金会资助7/7/202231广告支出广告的益处提高需求advertising elasticity = % increase in demand from 1% increase in advertising 广告的弹性 = 每增加1%的
19、广告支出所导致的需求增加的百分数7/7/202232Advertising Elasticities广告弹性7/7/202233 利润最大化的广告支出Profit-maximizing advertising/sales = incremental margin x advertising elasticity利润最大化的广告支出/销售量= 边际毛利 X 广告弹性 incremental margin = (price - MC)边际毛利= 价格 - 边际成本7/7/202234Prozac 再普乐: 广告支出Competition from generics would普药带来的竞争会导致r
20、educe incremental margin 边际毛利减少raise advertising elasticity 广告弹性增加7/7/2022351999年2月, 英特尔 (Intel) 英特尔发行奔腾III (Pentium-III)定价高,即边际毛利大与AMD的新K6-III芯片竞争,即广告弹性大 英特尔(Intel)加倍广告支出, 达到3亿美元7/7/202236Uniform Pricing: Shortcomings 单一订价策略的缺点leaves buyers with a lot of surplus 给购买者留下很多剩余does not sell to every pot
21、ential buyer 并没有出售给每个潜在的购买者7/7/202237Complete Price Discrimination完全价格歧视price each unit at buyers benefit and sell quantity where MB = MC 每单位的价格订为购买者的边际利益;卖到边际利益等于边际成本maximum profit (利润最大化)different from MR = MC (与MR=MC不同)implementation: must know entire marginal benefit and marginal cost curves 实施:
22、 必须知道整个边际利益和边际成本的曲线7/7/202238Hysterectomy in Hong Kong香港的子宫切除术price ranging from HK$20,000 to HK$200,000 even for same operation and treatment 同样的手术,但价格却从港币2万元到20万元不等.charging patients according to their means as a HK “ tradition” (Dr. Leong Che-hung, SCMP, April 26, 1999) 根据病人的支付能力收费, 是香港的“传统”7/7/2
23、02239Direct Segment Discrimination直接板块歧视Different incremental margin % to each identifiable segment 对每个不同的市场板块 ,设定不同的边际毛利率Within each segment IM% = -1/eImplementation: 实施:Fixed, identifiable characteristic - basic for segmentation 必须具有固定的, 可识别的特征No re-sale 防止转销 7/7/202240Preventing Resale:“Not for R
24、etail Sale”防止转销:“不得零售” Heinz serves 亨氏institutional customers (food service, restaurants) directly 直接把产品销往机构客户retail customers indirectly through supermarkets and grocery stores 通过超级市场和杂货店间接服务零售客户7/7/202241NYNEX Telephone Service NYNEX电话服务New York City 纽约市residential - $16/month 民用每月16美元business - $
25、23/month 商用每月23美元How is discrimination possible?歧视是如何实现的?7/7/202242Discrimination by Location根据地理位置实行歧视suitable for international business 适用于国际业务price differential parallel imports 价格差异并行进口managing the gray market 灰色市场的管理7/7/202243Asian Wall Street Journal亚洲华尔街日报 年度订阅的价格$59世界范围$871Print: Tokyo东京$17
26、3Print: Singapore新加坡$294Print: Hong Kong香港7/7/202244Which Coca-Cola?哪个可口可乐?Two kinds of Coca-cola sold in Japan.American Coke: $5.50 (wholesale price in American), $11.50 (wholesale price in Japan), and $18.30 (retail price in Japan)Made in Japan: $20.00 (wholesale price in Japan), $27.40 (retail pr
27、ice in Japan)Lucrative Japanese market: 5% volume, but at least 20% profit在日本有两种可口可乐美国可口可乐: 5.5美元(美国批发价格), 11.5美元(日本的批发价格), 18.3美元(日本的零售价)日本制造: 20美元(日本批发价), 27.4美元(日本零售价)可口可乐的日本市场占其总销量5%, 但利润贡献却超过20%7/7/202245Discriminating by Age根据年龄实行价格歧视Discount prices for children and senior citizens, and regula
28、r prices for adults.Movies theatresTheme parksBus and subway service老人和小孩享有折扣价, 成人正规价电影院主题公园交通服务7/7/202246Indirect Segment Discrimination间接板块歧视structure choice to earn different incremental margins from each segment 通过为不同市场板块设计不同的产品来实现价格歧视,赚取利润 Implementation 实施seller controls some variable to which
29、 segments are differentially sensitive 销售商控制一些变量, 不同板块对其具有不同的敏感性buyers cannot circumvent the variable 购买者无法回避这些变量7/7/202247Northwest AirlinesMinneapolis-New York西北航空公司, 明尼宝利士至纽约Business class 商务仓 $ 1711 Unrestricted economy 更改无限制的经济仓 $ 1267 Advance purchase, with penalties 预购且更改需付罚金的经济仓 $ 765 Advanc
30、e purchase, for senior 预购、专为长者的经济仓 $ 692 7/7/202248Chinese Embassy in Singapore中国驻新加坡大使馆Application period申请期1 天3 天7 天Single entry单程$75$60$25Double entry双程$85$70$357/7/202249Pricing Policies: Ranking不同订价策略的比较Profitability赢利性 Policy政策 Information Requirement信息要求 Highest最高 Complete price discriminatio
31、n完全价格歧视 Highest最高 Direct segment discrimination直接板块歧视 Indirect segment discrimination间接板块歧视 Lowest最低Uniform pricing单一订价策略Lowest最低7/7/202250Bundling 捆绑Strategy 策略pure bundling 纯粹捆绑mixed bundling 混合捆绑“ if every segmentwas wild about one thing and hated the rest, they have done their job” (Economist) “
32、 如果每类顾客都对某一产品狂热而讨厌其它产品,捆绑便会是最优订价策略”(经济学家) 7/7/202251 Pricing Cable Television Programs有线电视节目定价Segment板块Education channel教育频道 Music channel音乐频道 Conservative$20$2Middle of Road$11$117/7/202252Pricing Concert Series系列音乐会订价7/7/202253Diplomacy of Price Competition价格竞争的外交术Not winning pricing battles, but
33、preventing those that are not worth fighting 不是赢得价格战,而是避免不必要的价格战evaluating managers not only by their ability to win sales and market share but also by their ability to achieve profitability over the long haul 评估经理们, 不要光看他们赢得销售和市场份额的能力, 还要看他们达到长期赢利的能力7/7/202254Stop the War Before It Starts让价格战胎死腹中Re
34、veal your strategic intentions 披露你的策略意图price-matching policies 价格匹配政策Reveal your cost advantage 披露你的成本优势Standard Oil 标准石油公司Walmart 沃尔玛7/7/202255Responding with Nonprice Actions 非价格竟争的回应Focus on quality 专注于质量Ritz-Carlton in Malaysia 马来西亚的Ritz-Carlton Alert customers to risk of poor quality 提醒顾客劣质的风险P
35、harmaceutical business 制药业Seek help 寻求援助from governments, suppliers, customers, vendors, channel partners, independent sales representatives 从政府, 供应商, 顾客, 技术提供商, 分销伙伴, 独立销售代表那里寻求援助7/7/202256Using Selective Pricing Actions有选择的价格竞争Modify only certain prices 只调低某些价格Northwest v. Sun Country Airlines 西北航
36、空对Sun Country 航空Fight Brands 引进战斗性品牌3MPQingDao Beer 青岛啤酒7/7/202257Consistent Discount Pricing与价格折扣相应的措施Discount be tied to the elimination of the service or feature that the customer claims not to value.取消客户认为没有价值的服务和功能The customer commits to accept a negotiated price if it is approved by the salesp
37、ersons management.客户承诺接受谈判好的价格The customer commits to a long-term purchase agreement in return for gaining a discount. 客户承诺长期的购买协议。7/7/202258Aggressive Pricing进攻性订价Enjoy a substantial cost advantage (Wal-Mart, Standard Oil ) 享有巨大的成本优势Attack companies with large market shares (Sprint v. AT&T;Big v. G
38、illette) 攻击拥有较大市场份额的公司7/7/202259Generic Pricing Strategies普遍适用的定价策略Skimming: setting price high relative to the economic value of most potential customers 撇脂策略: 设定高价格,为少数优质客户服务Penetration: setting price low relative to the economic value in order to gain from high market share or volume簿利多销策略: 以低廉的价
39、格来获取庞大的市场份额或销量Neutral 中性7/7/202260Wine War - Production葡萄酒之战- 生产Australian, American, and Chilean winemakers work in steady, hot weathers that produce regular harvests and consistent wines / free to plant / adding oak chips to wine that is fermenting in steel barrels 持续炎热的气候调节使得澳大利亚,美国及智利的葡萄酒生产商可以有稳
40、定的葡萄收成,制造出的葡萄酒质量也有保障/可以自由种植/用铁桶发酵葡萄酒,但在里面加入橡木片.Bordeaux and Burgundy producers must deal with unpredictable weather / strict limits on what types of grapes can be grown in a particular region and how they are planted and picked / ageing the wine in oak barrels (法国)波尔多和勃艮第的生产商所面对的是多变的气候/对于哪些地区可以种植哪类葡
41、萄,以及如何种植,如何挑选都有严格的限制/用橡木桶发酵葡萄酒7/7/202261Wine War - Marketing葡萄酒之战 - 营销French system of labeling by geographic origin / mystifying labels / Bordeaux alone boasts 20,000 different producers / cannot afford to have the global marketing / emphasize on upper-classes customers who shop in specialized wine
42、 shop 法国以产地作为葡萄酒的标识/这种标识不易辨认/仅波尔多地区就有2万多家不同的生产商/规模不足,无法打入全球市场/重点针对那些在专门的葡萄酒商店购买葡萄酒的高端客户Source: BusinessWeek, September 2001 资料来源: 商业周刊, 2001年9月Label by type of grape / clear-cut labels (eight groupings in New York City) / Three Australian companies dominate 80% of home market / can afford to have gl
43、obal marketing / focus on new drinkers who shop wines in supermarkets 新世界葡萄酒商以葡萄类别作为葡萄酒的标识/这种标识容易区分(纽约市将葡萄酒划分为8大类)/三家澳大利亚的公司占领其国内市场80%的份额/规模足以进军全球市场/针对那些对葡萄酒并不熟悉,在超市购买葡萄酒的客户7/7/202262Beauty-Products Business美容产品LOreal has dominated the $90 billion beauty-products industry by wooing women with Parisi
44、an chic 欧莱雅依仗其“巴黎魅力”获得众多女性的青睐, 在总产值九百亿美元的美容产品行业中占领主导地位P&G, a leader in soap and diaper business, leapfrogged LOreal leading position in mass-market beauty products through the $50 billion takeover of Clairol in 2001 宝洁原来只是肥皂及尿布市场中的佼佼者,但是当它于2001年以500亿美元收购依卡露公司之后, 就超越了欧莱雅在美容产品市场上的地位 7/7/202263LOreal v
45、. P&G欧莱雅与宝洁的较量P&G: the women who speak for its beauty products are unknowns/use no-nonsense comparative advertising in cosmetics 宝洁: 选用的广告模特都是些不知名的人/认为化妆品广告应实实在在,只需要让顾客了解该公司产品与其他公司产品不同之处即可LOreal: employ dozens of models and actresses / In cosmetics, “you have to inform, convince but also seduce cons
46、umers and not just ram facts down their throats.” 欧莱雅: 花钱请来好多有名的模特和演员/认为在化妆品广告中, “你不仅要让顾客了解产品,你还要诱使她们购买产品单纯的讲述事实是不行的.” Just as P&G tried to penetrate the high-end beauty-product market dominated by LOreal, LOreal began to sell more shampoos 宝洁正试图进入由欧莱雅所控制的高端美容产品市场,而同时欧莱雅也正尝试销售更多的洗发水Source: AWSJ, Jan
47、uary 10-12, 2003, A1 资料来源: AWSJ, 2003年1月10日-12日7/7/202264DKNY Deal May Not Fit LVMH收购DKNY对于LVMH来讲可能并非正确决策LVMH, a collection of brand name products such as LV and Christian Dior, failed to acquire Giorgio Armani, and bought DKNY ($643 million in 2001) instead. LVMH旗下原来都是那些非常著名的世界级品牌, 比如LV和Christian Dior, 它也曾经想要收购Giorgio Armani,但是未能成功, 于是它转而收购了DKNY ( 2001年, 以6亿4千3百万美元成交)DKNY sold clothes in discounters (TJ Maxx, M
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