剑桥商务英语教程-Unit18-Future-trendsVIP

Unit18FuturetrendsAIMS1.Expresspredictionoffuturetrends2.Expressdegreesofcertainty3.Futuretimewillfutureforforecastsandpredictions4.Degreesofcertainty18.1MakingpredictionsPrediction

[prɪ‘dɪkʃən]n.预报；预言Ifyoumakea

prediction

aboutsomething,yousaywhatyouthinkwillhappen.Eg：Hewasunwillingtomakeapredictionforthecomingyear.他不愿对来年作出预言。Weatherpredictionhasneverbeenaperfectscience.天气预报从来都不是一门准确无误的科学。Earthquakeprediction

地震预测;地震预报;Predictionmarket

预测市场;A.PresentationOurpredictionfornextyeararethatunemploymentwillfallandwageswillincrease.Ifyouwanttobuyahouse,doitnowashousingcostswillrisenextyear.Thegoodnewsisthatpetrolpriceswilldecrease[dɪ'kris]vt.减少，减小

nextyear,butfoodpriceswillgoup.AnswersHousingcostsFoodpricesUnemploymentWagesPetrolpricesAnswers1T2F3T4F5FB.LanguagefocusWill(forecastsandpredictions)PetrolpricesUnemploymentWagesFoodpricesHousingcostswillwon’tincreaserisegoup/downdecreasefallslightlyslowlyrapidly[‘ræpɪdlɪ]迅速的dramatically

[drə‘mætɪkli]显著地Answers:1willrise2willincrease3didn’trise4willgoup5willgodown6willfallC.ListeningNewwords:Economicsn.经济学Economicsexpert经济专家Indicator['ɪndɪkeɪtə]n.指示器；[试剂]指示剂；Inflation[ɪn'fleɪʃ(ə)n]n.膨胀；通货膨胀Currency['kʌr(ə)nsɪ]n.货币；通货Export[ˈekspɔːt]n.输出,出口Importn.进口，进口货Interviewer:TodaywehaveBobGreen,aneconomicsexpert,inthestudiowithus.Bob,couldyoutellussomethingabouttheeconomicforecastsfornextyear?Forexample,whatwillhappentoinflation?Green:Well,Ipredictthatinflationwillriseslightly,byabout4%.Wageshavegoneupthisyear,andthisusuallymeanspricesrise,too.I:OK,andwhataboutinterestrates?G:Asyouknow,wheninflationgoesup,interestratesusuallygoup,too,totrytocontrolit.So,yes,I’mafraidthatifyouwanttobuyahouseoracar,it’llcostyoumorenextyear.I:That’stoobad-nonewcarformenextyear!Nowwhataboutproduction?G:Well,thisisallpartofthecycle:wagesgoup,inflationgoesup,interestratesgoup,soproductionusuallyfalls.And,ofcourse,withrisinginflation,wewon’tbuyasmuchourselves,either!Wepredictthatproductionwillfallnextyearbyabout5%becauseourcurrencywillbestronger.Thismeansthatfewerpeopleabroadwillbuyourgoodsbecausetheyaretooexpensive.Exportswillfall,sowewillnotneedtoproduceasmuch.I:Fallingproduction,fallingexports-thatallsoundsratherbad!Whataboutimportsthen?G:Well,wepredictthatthesewillriseby7%.Peoplemightnothavesomuchmoneytospend,butwhattheydobuywillprobablybeelectronicgoods,andwewillimportmoreofthesetomeetdemand.I:Finally,whataboutinvestment?G:Wethinkthatinvestmentwillincreasenextyear.Companieshavetoputmoremoneyintocomputersystemsandintomakingtheirfactoriesmoremodern.I:MrGreen,thankyouverymuchforyourtime.G:Thankyou.AnswersEconomicindicator↑/↓ReasonInflation↑WageshavegoneupInterestrates↑TocontrolinflationProduction↓Inflationup-wecan’t

affordtobuythingsExports↓Strongcurrency-peopleabroadcan’taffordtobuyourproductsImports↑Peoplewillbuymore

electronicgoodsInvestment↑Companieswillbuycomputersystemsandmodernizefactories18.2TalkingaboutthefutureA.VocabularyIllustration[ɪlə‘streɪʃ(ə)n]n.说明；插图；例证；图解Smartcard智能卡Serviceindustry服务业Electronicimmigrant电子移民Answers1serviceindustries2electronicimmigrants3cash4smartcards5informationB.ReadingNewwords:Raten.比率；速度Transaction[træn'zækʃ(ə)n]n.交易；事务microprocessor[maɪkrə(ʊ)‘prəʊsesə]n.[计]微处理器Memory[计]存储器

Identification[aɪ,dentɪfɪ'keɪʃ(ə)n]n.身份证明commodity[kə'mɒdɪtɪ]n.商品，货物；日用品

coaln.煤；煤块

leisureindustry娱乐产业；休闲服务业

telecommutevt.（利用电脑终端机）远距离办公

Answers1cash2smartcards3information4serviceindustries5electronicimmigrantsC.LanguagefocusandlisteningExpressingcertaintyaboutfutureevents100%I’mcertainitwillhappen.↓Iexpectitwillhappen.50%It’spossibleitwillhappen.↓Idon’tthinkitwillhappen.0%I’m

sureitwon’thappen.Answers1I’msurecashwill…2Iexpectsmartcardswill…3I’mcertaininformationwill…4Idon’tthinkmanypeoplewill…5Iexpectwewill…1W:Doyouthinkcashwillbecomeunnecessaryinthenextcentury?M:Oh,I’msureitwill.Peoplewillusecreditcardsorotherformsofplasticmoney,sonoonewillneedcashaswell.2W:Iexpectsmartcardswillreplaceallthecardswehaveatpresent.M:Really?Whydoyouthinkthat?W:Well,allyouwillneedisonecard-it’llhavealltheinformationstoresneed.3M:I’mcertaininformationwillbethemostimportantcommodityofthefuture.Ifyoudon’tbelieveme,justlookhowpopulartheInternethasbecomeinthepastfewyears!4W:Theypredictthat95%ofpeoplewillworkinserviceindustries.Idon’tthinksomanypeoplewillworkintheseindustries.M:Whynot?W:Thenumber’stoohigh.Someonehasstillgottobuildthings-roads,cars,aircraft,buildings,computers-youcan’tbuildthembycomputer!5M:Iexpectmanypeoplewillbeelectronicimmigrantsinafewyears’time.I’dcertainlyliketoworkfromhomewithacomputer.W:Really?Whydoyouthinkthat?M:Well,it’llbecheaperforthebigcompaniestopayworkerstostayathome.W:Butwhat’llhappenifthere’sapowercut?M:You’llhaveadayoff!

18.3ChangingthewayweworkA.DiscussionDoyouhaveanyofthesethingsathome?Doyouusethemforworkorforpleasure?COMPAQ(康柏）notebookNEC（日本电器有限公司）desktopfax

machineHaveyougota…?Whatdoyouuseitfor?Iuseitfor–ing.Ineeditto….B.ReadingNewwords:Telecommute[,telikə‘mjuːt]vt.（利用电脑终端机）远距离办公Telecommutingn.远程办公；远程交换Telecommuter[,telikə‘mju:tə]远程工作者Expanding扩大、扩展Answers111million2aworkersaremoreproductive;itallowscompaniestoattractandkeepworkersbflexibilityofwheretheywork;abletobewithfamilyclesspollutionC.Listening1I’macomputerconsultant顾问.IusedtoworkforIBM,butnowIhavemyownbusiness.I’mbasedinConnecticut[kə‘netikət]美国康乃迪克州,butItelecommutewithclientsallovertheStatesandinLondonandParis,too.Ispendabout100nightsayearontheroad,butImanagetokeepintouch.Hotelscanbeabitofaproblem.Someofthemdon’tunderstandthekindofthingsIneed,youknow,adeskwithgoodlighting照明设备,aphonejack听筒插口,andsomewheretoplug插入theequipmentin.Butit’smuchbetterthanwhenIfirststarted.Infact,mostofthemarereallycomputer-friendly精通电脑的，善于使用电脑的now.2IworkforaninvestmentcompanyinNewYorkCity.WhenIhadthebabylastyearIworkedfull-timefromhomeforfivemonths.Ithenworkedasapart-timetelecommuterforanothersixmonths.Itwasgreat.Icouldworkbetterathome,becausetherewerenodistractions干扰.Noonecominginandwantingtochat.WhatIlikedbestwasthatIcouldworkforseveralhoursatatime.ThenIcouldtakeabreakandbewithmychild.I’venowgonebacktoworkfull-time,butIstillliketousemyhomeofficeforovertimework.Idosomework-ups诊断检查atnightandIuseitfo