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UnitThreePropertyBoom1/701.Lead-in2.TextA:BetweenaRockandaLivingSpace3.TextB:BuildingExcitement2/70Lead-in3/70Lead-inThesearepicturesofthetopsixskyscrapersintheworld.Canyourecognizethem?Matchthepictureswiththeirnames.1)2)3)5)4)6)4/70Lead-inBURJDUBAITheworld’stallestbuildingsituatedinthecityofDubai-828mTaipei101FormerlyknownastheTaipeiWorldFinancialCenter:theworld'stallestfromto-509mSWFCShanghaiWorldFinancialCenterthesecondtallestbuildinginChina-492mThePetronas(马石油)TwinTowersSkyscrapersandtwintowersinKuala(河口)Lumpur(吉隆坡),Malaysia-452mTheSears(西尔斯百货)TowerTheworld’sfifthtallestbuildinginthecityofChicago-442mIFCHongKongInternationalFinancialCenterthetallestbuildinginHongKong-420m4)1)2)3)6)5)5/70房地产英语惯用词汇
按揭贷款mortgageloan
按揭购房tobuyahouseonmortgage;tomortgageahouse
房屋空置率housingvacancyrate
安居工程ComfortableHousingProject
板楼,板式楼slab-typeapartmentbuilding
搬迁户arelocatedunitorhousehold6/70炒房者realestatespeculator
房改housingsystemreform
房管realestatemanagement
房产市场realestatemarket城镇住房公积金urbanhousingprovidentfund
低价住房low-costhousing
二手房second-handhouse
房产估价师realestateassessor
房产证propertyownershipcertificate7/70UsefulExpressionA:Whatisthesquareareaofyourproperty?Howmanybedroomsandlivingrooms?你单位面积有多大?有多少间睡房和客厅?
B:Itsgrossareaisapproximatelyninehundredsquarefeet.There'sonelivingroom,onediningroom,onemasterroomandtwobedrooms.建筑面积约九百平方英尺,有一个客厅、一个饭厅、一间主人套房和两间睡房。8/70
B:MayIknowthesize,thelayoutofthehouse?可否告诉我那个单位面积、间格怎样?
A:Sure.Theareaofthisflatisaroundninehundredsquarefeet.Itisdesignedasonelivingroom,onediningroom,onemasterbedroomandtwobedrooms.当然能够。房子面积约九百平方英尺,单位设计为一个客厅、一个饭厅、一个主人套房和两个睡房。9/70B:Howaboutthepriceandthebankmortgage?售价和银行贷款怎样?
A:TheaverageunitpriceisfivemillionHongKongdollars.Thereareeightdifferentbanksthatwillprovideaseventypercentmortgageloan.Also,thedeveloperwillofferanothertenpercentmortgagetopurchasers.平均售价约港币五百万元,。有八间银行提供七成按揭贷款,而发展商亦可提供另外一成按揭给认购者。10/70TextABetweenaRockandaLivingSpace11/70'SubprimeMortgage'
Atypeofmortgagethatisnormallymadeouttoborrowerswithlowercreditratings.Asaresultoftheborrower'slowered
creditrating,a
conventionalmortgage
isnotofferedbecausethelenderviewstheborrowerashavingalarger-than-averageriskofdefaultingontheloan.Lendinginstitutionsoftenchargeintereston
subprime
mortgagesataratethatishigherthanaconventionalmortgageinordertocompensatethemselvesforcarryingmorerisk.
12/70TheU.S.
subprimemortgagecrisis
wasanationwidebankingemergencythatcoincidedwiththeU.S.recessionofDecember–June.Itwastriggeredbyalargedeclineinhomeprices,leadingtomortgagedelinquencies(按揭拖欠)andforeclosures(止赎)andthedevaluationofhousing-relatedsecurities.Declinesinresidentialinvestmentprecededtherecessionandwerefollowedbyreductionsinhouseholdspendingandthenbusinessinvestment.Spendingreductionsweremoresignificantinareaswithacombinationofhighhouseholddebtandlargerhousingpricedeclines.
13/70Thecrisishadsevere,long-lastingconsequencesfortheU.S.andEuropeaneconomies.TheU.S.enteredadeeprecession,withnearly9millionjobslostduringand,roughly6%oftheworkforce.Oneestimateoflostoutputfromthecrisiscomesto"atleast40%ofgrossdomesticproduct".U.S.housingpricesfellnearly30%onaverageandtheU.S.stockmarketfellapproximately50%byearly.Europealsocontinuedtostrugglewithitsown
economiccrisis,withelevatedunemploymentandseverebankingimpairmentsestimatedat€940billionbetweenand14/70BetweenaRockandaLivingSpacebetween___and___betweenthedevilandthedeepseabetweenarockandahardplace进退维谷,进退两难15/70StructuralAnalysisPara.MainTopicsPara.1-3Anintroductionofthecurrentsituationofpropertyboomandabriefanalysisofreasonsandlessonslearnt.Para.4-15Adetaileddiscussionofwhatpolicymakersandfinancialregulatorscoulddotocontrolthepropertybubblesandavoidthecrisis.Para.16-20AsummaryoftheeconomicsituationbothintheUSandintheEuropeaftertheburstingofthebubblesandwhatcanwelearnfromit.16/70unprecedented(Line.7,Para.1)
adj.neverhavehappenedbefore…example:anunprecedentedexpansioninpopulationandindustrySuchamoveisrare,butnotunprecedented.
PartI
WordsandExpressions17/70lunatic(Line7,Para.1)adj.
insane,veryfoolishandpossiblydangerous疯狂,愚蠢地example:Hepleadsforsanity
(明智;头脑清楚)ina
lunatic
world.The
man’s
lunatic
behavior
isa
menace
to
society.PartI
WordsandExpressions18/70underwriting(Line3,Para.2)underwrite
v.
Ifaninstitutionorcompanyunderwritesanactivity,theyagreetoprovideanymoneyneededtocoverlosses为…提供经济担保example:Thegovernmentwillhavetocreateaspecialagencytounderwritesmallbusinessloans.
underwritern.保险企业,担保人PartI
WordsandExpressions19/70odds(Line.9,Para.2)
n.(pl.)
theprobabilityofaspecifiedoutcome可能性,几率
example:Whatarethe
odds
offindingaparkingspacerightoutsidethedoor?The
odds
arethatyouaregoingtofail.PartI
WordsandExpressions20/70Someotherphrasesusing“odds”againstalloddssth.
happensorsucceedsalthoughitseemedimpossibleorveryunlikely
尽管困难重重Somewomendomanagetoachievebusinesssuccessagainstall
odds.
atodds
disagreeingorquarrellingwitheachother不和,有矛盾Hewasat
odds
withhisPrimeMinister.PartI
WordsandExpressions21/70default(Line.9,Para.2)
n.actoffailingtomeetafinancialobligation违约,不推行
example:Thecompanyisin
default
ontheloan.Thecorporationmaybechargedwithdefaultonitscontractwiththegovernment.PartI
WordsandExpressions22/70PartI
QuestionsaboutPartI
Q1.WhatdoestheRobertShiller’sindextellus?ItisanindexshowingthefluctuationofrealhousepricesinAmerica.Accordingtoit,thehousepricesdidnotchangemuchduringthe100yearsbetween1890-1990,however,startingfromthelate1990s,housepricesnearlydoubledwithinadecade,whichwasquitedramatic.23/70PartI
QuestionsaboutPartIQ2.Whatlessonscanwelearnfromthecrisis?
Theriskmanagementandunderwritingpracticesshouldbechanged,withmoreemphasisonaffordability,morerigorousstress-testing,andbetterpricingforborrowerswithmoreequitytoputin.24/70PartI
QuestionsaboutPartI
Q3.Whatarethereasonsforthispropertyboom?Propertymarketisveryattractiveforbanksforseveralreasons.First,theloanstopropertyarerelativelylightoncapitalandguaranteedbyrealassets;Second,themortgagesarethoughttotightenalong-termrelationshipwithcustomers;Third,lendingoncommercialpropertywillhelpthesalesteamsofabanktomeettheirtargeteasily.25/70
…heisworkingonwaystorelatecustomers’creditscorestothemacroeconomicenvironmentsothatlenderscanjudgehowtheoddsofdefaultchangewhen,say,unemploymentgoesupordown.(Line7,Para.2)
Heisanalyzingtherelationbetweencustomers’creditscoresandthemacroeconomicsituation.Therefore,withtheinformationofchangeinunemploymentrate,bankscanfindoutthepossibilitiesofwhetheraborrowerwouldrepayordefaultthebankloan.PartI
SentenceInterpretation26/70
Lendingoncommercialpropertyislumpyenoughforasinglebigdealtogetsalesteamstotheirtargets.(Line4,Para.3)
Lendingoncommercialpropertyusuallyinvolvesalargeamountofcapital,thereforeasingledealisbigenoughforthesalesteamstomeettheirsalestargets.PartI
SentenceInterpretation27/70fare(Para.4)v.proceedorgetalong进展,经历example:
Hefaredwellonhistrip.ItisunlikelythattherealestateindustrywillfareanybetterinSeptember.PartII
WordsandExpressions28/70recourse(Para.6)n.actofturningtoforassistanceorsth/someoneturnedtoforassistanceorsecurity求援,求援对象,(商业,法律)追索权Synonym:resortexample:
Hisonlyrecoursewasthepolicy.ThefoundingoftheUnitedNationsenableditsmemberstosettletheirdifferenceswithoutrecoursetowar.PartII
WordsandExpressions29/70subdue(Para.6)v.Putdownbyforceorauthority制服
to~feelingsmeanstomakethemlessstrong抑制(情感),抑制example:
Seniorgovernmentofficialsadmittheyhavenotbeenabletosubduetherebels.Heforcedhimselftosubdueandovercomehisfears.PartII
WordsandExpressions30/70fiscal(Para.6)
adj.involvingfinancialmattersorsththatrelatedtogovernmentmoneyorpublicmoney,especiallytaxes会计,财政example:
fiscaldeficit财政赤字fiscalpolicy财政政策fiscalrevenue财政收入fiscalyear财政年度PartII
WordsandExpressions31/70disentangle(Para.7)v.Separatefromthingsthataretwistedorknottedaround,ormakeiteasiertounderstandormanagetounderstandit,byclearlyrecognizingeachseparateelement解开,摆脱或者了解(复杂情况)example:
Shakeyourropeandletitdisentanglegradually.It’simpossibletodisentanglethemythfromreality.PartII
WordsandExpressions32/70liquidity(Para.8)n.Infinance,acompany’sliquidityistheamountofcashorliquidassetsithaseasilyavailable流动资产,资产折现力,偿债能力example:
marketliquidity
市场流动性excessliquidity
流动性过剩HongKong'sfinancialmarketsarecharacterizedbyahighdegreeof
liquidity.
PartII
WordsandExpressions33/70legitimate(Para.12)
adj.lawful,basedonknownstatementsorinaccordancewithrecognizedoracceptedstandardsorprinciples正当,正当,合理example:
Sicknessisa
legitimate
reasonforaskingforleave.TheNewYorkTimeshasa
legitimate
claimtobeanationalnewspaper.
PartII
WordsandExpressions34/70speculative(Para.13)
adj.itisusedtodescribeactivitieswhichinvolvebuyinggoodsorshares,orproperties,inthehopeofbeingabletosellthemagainatahigherpriceandmakeaprofit.投机example:
speculativebusiness投机生意Thehotelwasbuiltasa
speculative
venturebutnevercompleted.
PartII
WordsandExpressions35/70Q1.Whatarethethreeleversthatpolicymakerscanpulltomakepropertysafe(Para.5-13)?Thefirstleveristheinstitutionalframework–thingsliketaxbreaks,housingsubsidies,landsupplyandthelawsonrecourseintheeventofdefault.Thesecondleveristhesystemofmortgagefinancing.Thethirdleveristheideamacroprudentialregulationwhichisalreadycommoninsomepartsoftheworld.PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII36/70Q2.
WhatarethecharacteristicsoftheDanishsystem?(Para.8-11)
Itfeaturesspecializedmortgagelendersthatobservestrictloan-to-valuelimits.Italsoprotectsborrowersfrominterest-rateriskbyofferinglong-termfixed-ratemortgages.Ithasanimplicitgovernmentguarantee.PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII37/70Q3.
Whatmightbetheconsequencesofimposingrigidlimitsontheamountpeoplecanborrow?(Para.12)Itdeprivesfirst-timebuyersandtheself-employedoftheirrighttoraiseabankloan.Or,itrisksencouragingthemtoseekmoreexpensiveandunsecuredmethodoffinancing.
Somelendersalsofretthatifunderwritingbecomestoodirective,borrowersarerelievedoftakingresponsibilityfortheirownactions.
PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII38/70Q4.
Whymacroprudentialregulationishardtoimplement?(Para.14)Firstitisdifficulttospotthebubblesbeforetheyburst.Andassoonasthepropertyboomsgetgoing,theyarehardtocalmdown.Alsothiskindofregulationmightbemoresuitableforemergingmarketsthandevelopedmarkets.PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII39/70
thefirstistheinstitutionalframeworkthatiscontrolledbygovernments–thingsliketaxbreaks,housingsubsidies,landsupplyandthelawsonrecourseintheeventofdefault.(Line1,Para.6)Thefirstleverthatpolicymakerscanpullisbyadjustingtheoverallsystem–thingslikepreferentialpoliciesontax,housingsubsidies,landsupplyandthelawstoresorttoifsomeonefailstofulfillhisfinancialobligation.PartII
SentenceInterpretation40/70
Disentanglingthevariouscausesofthepropertybubbleisextremelydifficult,butfewwoulddisputethateasycreditplayedapartindrivinguppricesandmakingthebustworse.(Line1,Para.7)Itisverydifficulttoanalyzeandfindoutthevariouscausesofthepropertybubble,butonethingisclearthateasyonlendingbybanksplayedanimportantpartindrivinguphousingpricesandmakingresultoftheburstevenworse.PartII
SentenceInterpretation41/70
Thathasundoubtedappealforpolicymakersincountrieswherefloating-ratemortgagesexposeborrowerstotheriskofpaymentshocksasratesrise.(Line4,Para.9)
Withthefloating-ratemortgages,borrowersneedtopaymorewheninterest-raterises,whichmightbequickashockforthem.ThereforetheDanishsystemoffixed-ratemortgagesseemsveryattractive.PartII
SentenceInterpretation42/70
Thesearelegitimateworries,buttheycarryalarmingechoesofargumentsputforwardbybankersattheheightofthehousingboomjustgone.(Line7,Para.12)Thesearereasonableworries,butweshouldbealarmedthatduringthehousingboomwhichhadjustburst,alotofbankersalsoarguedagainstrigidlimitsonhowmuchpeoplecanborrowandhaddifferentopinionsaboutthem.PartII
SentenceInterpretation43/70leverage(Line2,Para.19)
n.investingwithborrowedmoneyasawaytoamplifypotentialgains(attheriskofgreaterlosses)杠杆效应,举债经验example:
leverageeffectfinancialleverageOneofthedefinitionofleverageistheabilitytodomorewithless.PartIII
WordsandExpressions44/70discretionary(Line8,Para.19)
adj.discretionarythingsarenotfixedbyrulesbutaredecidedonbypeopleinauthority,whoconsidereachindividualcase.
酌情决定example:
Thecommissionhasdiscretionarypowertoawardextrafunds.OfcourseIhavediscretionaryincome(可随意支配收入).PartIII
WordsandExpressions45/70Q1.
WhatisthecurrentsituationinAmericaafterthepropertycrisis?(Para.16)?
TheworsteffectsareprobablyoverinAmerica.Themostaffectedbanksaresmallerlendersandthegovernmentiswillingtoprovidesupporttoresidentialmarkets.Althoughthedroppinghousingpricemightslowdowntheeconomicrecovery.PartIII
QuestionsaboutPartIII46/70Q2.
WhataboutEurope?(Para.17)
Thelong-termeffectsmightlingerforyearsinEurope.Housingpricecontinuestofall;certainEuropeanbanksandgovernments’abilitytocopewithlossesarereallydoubtfulandtheriskofinterest-raterisesgraduallyoccurs.PartIII
QuestionsaboutPartIII47/70
Aspropertyweighsdownbanks’balance-sheets,first-timebuyers’struggletogetonthehousingladderandbuildingsinsecond-ratelocationsslowlydecay.(Line5,Para.17)
Aspropertyloanstakeupalargeproportionofbanksassets,ononehandfirst-timebuyershavetostruggletopayfortheloanandrisinginterests,ontheotherhandbuildingsinnotsofavorablelocationswillbeleftwithoutbuyers.PartIII
SentenceInterpretation48/70
Uppingtheamountofequitythatbankshavetoholdisonewayofkeepingdowntheamountofdebtthatfindsitswayintoproperty.(Line2,Para.19)Increasingtheamountofnetassetsthatbankshavetoholdasguaranteeisonewayofkeepingdowntheamountofdebtthatisinevitableinpropertyfinancing.PartIII
SentenceInterpretation49/70III.Paraphrasing1.Rewriting:Rewritetheunderlinedpartofeachsentenceinyourownwords.1)Itisnoteasytofindoutthereasonsforthepropertybubble,butfewwoulddisputethateasycreditplayedapartindrivinguppricesandmakingthebustworse.2)Imposingrigidlimitsonhowmuchpeoplecanborroweitherdisenfranchisessome—first-timebuyersandtheself-employedtendtosuffermost—orincreasesthe
risksforthoseresortingtoamoreexpensive,unsecuredwayoffinancinginordertobypasstheregulation.3)DespitetheevidenceofMr.Shiller‘schart,lotsoffinanciersandpoliticianstriedto
convincethemselvesthatthingswerenotthatbadthistime.4)Still,itisrelativelyeasytocooldownthepropertyboomsinemergingmarkets,wherethereareusuallymorepeopletohelpintohomesthanthereareexistinghomeowners.5)Thereforefinancialregulatorsshouldbegivenclearauthorizedpowertoresistthepressurestheywillfacewhenthenextboomisunderway.50/702.SentenceTransformation:Completethefollowingsentencesbasedonthestructuresgiven.1)Onlyifbasicguaranteestandardscontinuetobemet,canmoreliberalfinancingregimesbeagoodthing(askanyyoungItalianwhowantstobuyahome).2)long-termfixed-ratemortgagesareadoptedbytheDanishsystem,justliketheAmericanone,toprotectborrowersfromtherisksofinterest-ratefluctuation.3)Itisalsoworriedbysomelendersthatifbanksimposetoostrictrulestoguarantee
thepaymentofloans,theborrowerswouldnotbearresponsibilityfortheirown
actions.4)Differentfromtheuniversalexcessivenessofpropertyeverywhere,thepolicy
responsetothepropertyboomsinthepastdecadewillandshouldnotbethesamein
differentcountries.5)Inordertolowertheamountofdebtwhichisunavoidableinproperty,bankshavetoincreasetheamountofequitytheyhold.51/70IV.Translation1.SentenceTranslation1)在银行零售业务中,抵押贷款被认为是一项能有利于银行与客户建立长久关系业务。而商业房地产贷款则因为数额巨大能够一次性地使销售团体到达他们目标。2)第一个杠杆是由政府控制体制框架——像税收减免、住房津贴、土地供给和相关违约追诉法律等等。3)依据意在削减美国预算赤字而起草提案,抵押贷款利息所享受税务优惠将会降低。4)许多经济观察家热情推荐丹麦模式,这种模式特点在于由专业从事抵押贷款业务银行对放贷比率进行严格控制。5)中国、新加坡以及其它国家和地域政府和调控部门好像一直都在采取调整放贷比率,限制用于投机性房产购置贷款数量,对在一定时限内抛售房产征税等办法。52/702.PassageTranslationForthepasttwodecadesormore,urbanizationinChinahascomerelativelyeasily.Asthecountryproudlyclaims,slumsandshantytownsarerarecomparedwithotherdevelopingcountries.Butensuringacontinuingnetinflowofmigrantsintothecitiesastheyoungestcohortshrinkswillmeangivingworkersfromthecountrysidemoreincentivestostaypermanently(suchasaffordablehousingandschooling).Moremoneyisbeingspentonthese,butnotyetenough.Citiessaytheywelcomemigrants,butsomefindroundaboutwaysofkeepingthemfromsettling.Beijingrecentlylaunchedasetofextraordinarymeasurestotamepropertypricesandeasetrafficcongestionthatincludedallbutbanningmigrants(one-thirdofthecity‘spopulation)frombuyinghomesorcars.
Inthenameofimprovingsafety,ithasstartedclosingdownbasementdwellingswheremigrantsoftenlive.53/70
TextBBuildingExcitement--CanChinaavoidabubble?54/70 什么是合理房价,国外惯用房价收入比概念来界定,即房屋总价与居民家庭年收入比值。尽管房价收入比是一个全球通用指标,但其合理范围却没有严格界定。世界银行认为,合理房价收入比应该为3-6倍55/70 图1
1998-年全国商品住宅房价收入比情况(来自新浪财经)56/70StructuralAnalysisPara.MainTopicsPara.1-3Abriefillustrationofthedifferenceinpropertymarketbetweentherich-worldandtheemergingmarket.Para.4-7AdetailedexplanationofwhymanypeoplearenervousaboutthestateoftheChinesepropertymarket.Para.8-15ReasonsforChineseoverheatedpropertymarketandmeasurestakenbythegovernmenttocoolitdown.Para.16-17AcomparisonbetweensomeplacesinChinaandplacessuchasDubai.57/70I.DiscussionQuestions1.Whatarethetwoprimaryworriesforforeigninvestorsconcerningemergingmarkets?Howtoavoidtherisksofoversupply?Exercises
I.Speaking58/70Legalissuesandtherushofnewsupply.Onewaytomanagetheriskofoversupplyistotakecapitaloutofemergingmarketsasquicklyaspossible.Anotheristogoforthelesscrowdedpartsofthemarket,suchasthelogisticssectororshoppingcenters.Exercises
I.Speaking59/702.WhatphenomenahavebeennoticedbyanalystssuggestingacrashofChina’spropertymarket?Exercises
I.Speaking60/70InJanuarythreeofthetenbiggestshortpositionsinHongKong-listedmainlandcompanieswereheldinpropertyfirms.Nationally,incomesinChinahavelargelykeptpacewithrisingprices,butanIMFreportinDecembersaidthatinsomebigcit
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