争创中国2023：中国对能源安全的追求推动风能和太阳能的发展 A Race to the Top CHINA

EnergyMonitor

Global

ARacetotheTop

CHINA

ARACETOTHETOP:CHINA2023

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

2

Global

Energy

Monitor

ABOUTGLOBALENERGYMONITOR

sonnGfoiltroombraailstiSaoonnlaoornnPpeornwoefeirrtgTryerpsaercoakjreecrchtason

l

WindPowerTracker

projects,GlobalEnergyMonitor

providesannualupdatesonutility-scalesolarandwind

powerfacilities.GlobalEnergyMonitordataisusedbytheInternationalEnergyAgency(IEA),theOECDEnvironmentDirectorate,UNEnvironmentProgramme,U.S.Treasury

Department,andtheWorldBank.Formoreinformation,visit

.

AUTHORS

DorothyMeiisaprojectmanageratGlobalEnergyMonitor.MartinWeilisaresearcheratGlobalEnergyMonitor.

ShradheyPrasadistheprojectmanagerfortheGlobal

WindPowerTracker.KasandraO’Maliaistheprojectman-agerfortheGlobalSolarPowerTracker.IngridBehrsinisthedirectoroftheRenewables&OtherPowerprogramatGlobalEnergyMonitor.

ABOUTTHECOVER

ThecoverphotoshowsaphotovoltaicplantandawindturbineinDongtaipondlocatedinYancheng,JiangsuProvince,China.ImagefromiStockwithcreditto

shenjungong.

EDITINGANDPRODUCTION

EditingcontributionsprovidedbyTedNace,XingZhang,LauriMyllyvirta,FloraChampenois,DavidHoffman,

andCarolinaChau.CopyeditsbyAmandaDeBord.MapsandfiguresdevelopedbyShradheyPrasadandKasandraO’Malia.DesignandpagelayoutsbyDavidVanNess.

copyrightholders.Copyright©June2023byGlobalEnergyMonitor.

FURTHERRESOURCES

Foradditionaldataonproposedandexistingsolarprojects,see

SummaryData

oftheGlobalSolarPowerTracker.ForlinkstoreportsbasedontheGlobalSolarPowerTracker

data,see

Reports&Briefings

.ToobtainprimarydatafromtheGlobalSolarPowerTracker,see

DownloadData

.

Foradditionaldataonproposedandexistingwindprojects,see

SummaryData

oftheGlobalWindPowerTracker.ForlinkstoreportsbasedontheGlobalWindPowerTracker

data,see

Reports&Briefings

.ToobtainprimarydatafromtheGlobalWindPowerTracker,see

DownloadData

.

Supplementaryinformationonthemethodologyusedincalculationsforthisreportcanbefoundonour

methodologywikipage

.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

ThisreportwasmadepossiblewithsupportfromtheQuadratureClimateFoundation.

MEDIACONTACT

DorothyMei

ProjectManager,GlobalEnergyMonitor

+1408-609-6041

dorothy.mei@

PERMISSIONS/COPYRIGHT

Thispublicationmaybereproducedinwholeorinpart

andinanyformforeducationalornonprofitpurposes

withoutspecialpermissionfromthecopyrightholders,

providedthatacknowledgementofthesourceismade.

Nouseofthispublicationmaybemadeforresaleorother

commercialpurposewithoutthewrittenpermissionofthe

Global

Energy

Monitor

ARacetotheTop:China

CHINA'SQUESTFORENERGYSECURITY

DRIVESWINDANDSOLARDEVELOPMENT

DorothyMei,MartinWeil,ShradheyPrasad,KasandraO’Malia,andIngridBehrsin

SUMMARY

Withitsfocusonrenewableenergydevelopmentoverthepast15years,Chinahasbecometheglobalrenewableenergyleader,hostingnearlyhalfoftheworld’stotaloperating

wind

and

solar

capacity.Thisambitiouspushhasbeengeographically

widespread:everyprovinceandmostcountiesaredevelopinglargeutility-scale1solarandwindpower.Megawindandsolarbases,primarilysituatedinChina’snorthernandnorthwestdeserts,anchorChina’srenewableenergyambitions

andboastaprospectivecapacitygreaterthanthe2022totaloperatingwindandsolar

capacity

oftheUnitedStates.ThesebaseswillserveasthecenterpieceofChina’srenewableenergyexpansionandacornerstoneofthecountry’soverallenergysecuritystrategy.Chinahasskyrocketedtothetopoftheglobalwindandsolarleaderboardthroughacombinationofincentivesandregulatorymeasures.Asitlookstothefuture,thecountryispoisedtomaintainitsleadershippositionbyimplementingambitiousinitiativesthatembraceinnovativeapproachesto

addresstheintermittentandvolatilenatureofwindandsolarpower,thusensur-ingamoresecureenergyfuture.

KeyTakeaways:

■China’soperatinglargeutility-scalesolarcapacityhasreached228GW—morethantherestoftheworldcombined.ThemajorityoftheseinstallationsareconcentratedinthenorthernandnorthwestprovincesofChina,withShanxi,Xinjiang,andHebeirankingasthetopthreeprovincesintermsoflargeutili-ty-scalesolarcapacity.

■China’scombinedonshoreandoffshorewindcapacityhasdoubledfromwhatitwasin2017andnowsurpasses310GW.Thehighestconcentrationofoperat-ingwindcapacityinChinaisinthenorthernandnorthwesternregions.InnerMongolia,Hebei,andXinjiangarethetopthreeprovincesintermsofoperat-ingwindcapacity.

1.GEMcatalogsallsolarinstallationsgreaterthan20MWandallwindinstallationsgreaterthan10MW.

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|3

ARACETOTHETOP:CHINA2023

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

4

■Operatingoffshorewindcapacityhasreached31.4GW,andaccountsfor

approximately10%ofChina’stotalwindcapacityandexceedstheoperatingoffshorecapacityofallofEurope.

■Approximately379GWofprospectivelargeutility-scalesolarcapacityandthebulkofthe371GWofprospectivewindcapacityidentifiedarescheduledforinstallationbytheendof2025.Itisthereforehighlylikelythattheprovincialtargets(approximately1,371GWforwindandsolar)willbeachieved,surpass-ingthecentralgovernment’stargetof1,200GWwellaheadof2030.Thispro-spectivecapacityisenoughtoincreasetheglobalwindfleetbynearly50%andgrowgloballargeutility-scalesolarinstallationsby85%overcurrentlevels.

■Chinaisnowactivelypromotingpowerstorageinconjunctionwithnewwindandsolarfarms,exploringintegratedgeneration,storage,andloadmanage-mentsystems,andbuildingdozensofgreenhydrogenplantsusingrenewableenergyasthepowersource.

■Whileallthesetechnologieshavethepotentialtomitigatetheintermittencyofwindandsolarpowergeneration,thecurrentpaceandscalearenotyetsuffi-cienttoensurethatcoalbecomesatruly“supporting”powersource.Ascur-

rentlyconceived,thenewrenewablesmega-basesinthenorthwestarelikelytobundlewindandsolargenerationwithclosetoequalamountsofelectricityfromnewlybuiltcoal-firedstations.

1.REGIONALBACKGROUND

Despitebeingtheworld’s

largest

energyconsumer

andgreenhousegasproducer,Chinahasemergedasagloballeaderinrenewableenergyinrecentyears.

Chinanowholdsthetoppositionforboth

wind

and

solar

energy,witheachaccountingformorethanone-thirdoftheworld’stotalcumulativeinstalledcapacity.

Sincetheearly2000s,theChinesegovernmenthas

heavilyinvestedinrenewableenergyasawayto

addressthecountry’sgrowingenergydemandsand

pollutionissues.Asreportedby

BloombergNEF,

globalinvestmentinrenewableenergyin2022approachednearlyhalfatrillionUSdollarsforthefirsttime,withChinaaccountingfor55%oftheworld’stotal.Spe-

cifically,Chinahasinvested

$164billion

innewsolarinstallationsand

$109billion

innewwindinstalla-tions,surpassingthecombinedinvestmentfigure

fromboththeUSandEurope.

Toachieveitsstatedgoalofpeakingcarbonemis-

sionsbefore2030andachievingcarbonneutrality

before2060,Chinaisacceleratingitspushtowards

renewableenergy.GlobalEnergyMonitor’s

Global

SolarPowerTracker

and

GlobalWindPowerTracker

haveidentifiedapproximately379GWofprospective2largeutility-scalesolarpowercapacityand371GW

ofprospectivewindpowercapacity,whichisroughlyequaltoChina’scurrent

installed

operatingcapac-

ity.Themajorityoftheseprojectsareexpectedtobecompletedwithinthe

14thFive-YearPlan

(2021-2025),3withsomeadditionallarge-scaleinitiativesanticipatedtobefinalizedbefore2030.Withsuchasubstantial

pipelineofprojectsunderway,China’sworld-leadingrenewableenergydriveissettonotonlycontinue,butlikelyeventoaccelerate.

2.Prospectiveprojectsareanyprojectsthatareeitherannounced,inpre-construction,orunderconstruction.

3.The14thFive-YearPlanreferstothefive-yeareconomicandsocialdevelopmentplanofChinacoveringtheperiodfrom2021to2025.

ARACETOTHETOP:CHINA2023

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

5

2.OPERATINGLARGEUTILITY-SCALESOLARANDWINDCAPACITYINCHINA

Nationaloperatingcapacityoverview

Asofthefirstquarterof2023,GEM’sGlobalSolar

PowerTrackercatalogsnearly

228GW

4ofoperatinglargeutility-scalesolarcapacity,establishingChinaasthecountrywiththemostoperatingsolarcapacityworldwide.Thisfigurerepresentsapproximately75%ofthecombinedlargeutility-scalesolarcapacityoftheentireAsianregionand52%ofthegloballarge

utility-scalesolarcapacity.

China’scombinedonshoreandoffshorewindcapac-ityhaveexceeded

310GW,

5whichisroughlyequal

tothewindcapacityoftheother

top

seven

countries

globally

,combined.Notably,operatingoffshorewindcapacityhasreached

31.4GW,

representingapproxi-mately10%ofChina’stotalwindcapacity,andnearlyequivalenttotheUnitedStates’prospectiveoffshorewindcapacity(36GW).

Althoughbothsolarandwindcapacitiesareincreas-ingannually,therateofgrowthforlargeutility-scalesolarismorethantwicethatofwind.In2022,the

growthofcommissionedlargeutility-scalesolarwasroughly22%,whilewindexperiencedagrowthof9%(Figures1and2).

Figure1:Totaloperatinglargeutility-scalesolarcapacitybyyear

CumulativeInstalledCapacity(GW)

250

200

150

100

50

0

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

Q12023

Figure2:Totaloperatingonshoreandoffshore

windcapacitybyyear

4.Chinareportedatotalof

392GW

ofcumulativeoperatingsolarinstalledattheendof2022.Thisfigureisforallsizesofsolarinstallations,

includingrooftop,commercial/industrial,andsmaller-scaleutilityaswellaslargeutility-scale.GEM’ssolartrackeronlyincludeslargeutility-scalesolarfarmphaseswithacapacityof20MWorgreater.

5.Chinareportedatotalof

365GW

ofcumulativeoperatingwindinstalledattheendof2022.Thisfigureisforallprojectsregardlessofsize.GEM’swindtrackerisspecificallyfocusedonwindprojectswithacapacitythresholdof10MWorgreater.

ARACETOTHETOP:CHINA2023

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

6

Provincialdistributionoflargeutility-scalesolarandwindcapacity

Mostoperatinglargeutility-scalesolarinstallations

areconcentratedinChina’snorthandnorthwestprov-inces(Map1,onthenextpage).Shanxi,Xinjiang,andHebeioccupythetopthreepositions.Shanxiprovince,formerlyknownasChina’s

coal

capital,nowleadsthecountryintermsofoperatinglargeutility-scalesolarcapacity.Remarkably,ithostsnearly19GWofcom-

missionedlargeutility-scalesolarcapacity.XinjiangandHebeiprovinces,both

abundant

inrenewable

energyresources,areclosebehind,contributing

approximately17GWand16GWofoperatingcapac-ity,respectively.Thecombinedcapacityofthesetopthreeprovincesamountsto52GW,surpassingthe

totaloperatinglargeutility-scalesolarcapacityoftheUnitedStatesin2022.

China’snorthernandnorthwesternregionsfeaturethemostoperatingwindcapacity(Map2,onthenextpage).Asofthefirstquarterof2023,InnerMongolia

leadsChina’sprovinceswithapproximately41GWofoperatingonshorewindcapacity.HebeiandXinjiangsecurethenexttwopositions,eachproviding22.9GWofoperatingwindcapacity.Thecombinedcapacityofthetopthreeprovincesalone(approximately87GW)exceedsthecombined

capacity

(62GW)ofoperatingwindinstallationsinBrazil,Spain,andCanada.

Intermsofoffshorewind,themajorityofthecapacity(75%)islocatedintheprovincesofJiangsu,Guang-

dong,andFujian.Amongtheseprovinces,Jiangsu,whichisalsohometothelargestoffshorewindfarminChina(

JiangsuQidongoffshorewindfarm

),standsoutasthelargestcontributor,accountingforabout

12GW,or37%ofthetotal.GuangdongandFujian

comeinsecondandthird,withtheseprovincescon-tributing8.5GWand3.5GW,respectively,toChina’stotaloffshorewindcapacity.

Figure3:Operatinglargeutility-scalesolarandwindcapacitybyprovince

ShanxiXinjiang HebeiQinghaiNingxia

InnerMongolia

ShaanxiGuangdong Guizhou GansuHubei

Anhui Shandong Guangxi Jiangxi Zhejiang Jiangsu Henan YunnanHeilongjiangJilin

Hunan Sichuan Liaoning Tibet Tianjin Hainan FujianChongqing ShanghaiBeijing

Capacity(GW)

05101520

ngLargecaleSolar

OperatiUtility-s

InnerMongolia

Hebei Xinjiang Shandong Jiangsu Shanxi GansuGuangdong Henan Ningxia Yunnan Liaoning JilinHeilongjiang Hunan Shaanxi Guangxi QinghaiFujian

Hubei Sichuan Guizhou Jiangxi Anhui Zhejiang TianjinChongqing Shanghai Hainan BeijingTibet

Capacity(GW)

010203040

ind

ind

eratingOeratingO

nshoreWffshoreW

OpOp

ARACETOTHETOP:CHINA2023

Map1:Operatinglargeutility-scalesolarcapacityinChina

Map2:OperatingwindcapacityinChina

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|7

ARACETOTHETOP:CHINA2023

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

8

3.PROSPECTIVELARGEUTILITY-SCALESOLARANDWINDCAPACITYINCHINA

Nationalprospectivecapacityoverview

InDecember2020,PresidentXiJinpingintroduced

acommitmenttobuildover

1,200GW

ofsolarand

windpowerby2030andtoachieve

25%

non-fossilfuelusageinitsprimaryenergyby2030.Inpractice,meet-ingthe25%target

requires

muchmorethan1,200GWofwindandsolar.Nonetheless,thiswasacrucial

movetowardachievingChina’s“

dualcarbon

”commit-ment,whichaimstopeakcarbondioxideemissions

before2030andachievecarbonneutralitybefore2060.

Toachievethesegoals,boththecentralgovernmentandprovincialgovernmentshavemappedoutambi-tioussolarandwindtargetsforthe14thFive-Year

Plan.Thenational14thFive-YearPlanhasreassertedChina’sdedicationtoachievingitsrenewableenergytargetsbyrampingupthedeploymentofsolarand

windprojects,whileprovincialgovernmentsthrough-outthecountryhaveestablishedmorespecificand

ambitioustargetsforwindandsolar6energy,aim-

ingtoachievethemby2025.Combiningtheactualtargetsreleasedbymostprovinceswithestimates7forprovinceswithvagueorundisclosedtargets,thecumulativeprovincialwindandsolartargets,acrossallthresholds,amounttoapproximately1,371GWby2025,asshowninTable1(onthenextpage).

Asofthefirstquarterof2023,GEMhasidentified

approximately371GWofprospectivewindcapacity

and379GWofprospectivelargeutility-scalesolar

capacity.Thesefiguresarecontinuouslygrowingas

newprojectsareannouncedandpublicized.Chinahasdemonstratedatrack

record

ofsurpassingitsrenew-ableenergydevelopmentgoalsinthepreviousthreeFive-YearPlans(11thFYP,12thFYP,and13thFYP).

Giventhishistoryandthecommitmenttomeetthe“dualcarbon”targets,theannouncedprojectsarehighlylikelytobesuccessfullyimplemented.

Ifallprospectiveprojectsarebuiltandcommissionedasplanned,inadditiontothealreadyoperating

capacitythatGEMhasidentified(largeutility-scalesolar228GW,wind310GW)Chinawilllikelyachieveandpotentiallysurpassits2030targetof1,200GWofcumulativewindandsolarcapacityfiveyearsaheadofschedule.8

Figure4:China’soperatingandforecastedsolarandwindcapacityinrelationtoits2030CentralGovernmentTarget9

Capacity(GW)

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

1600

CentralGovernment

2030Target

GEMProspectiveSolar

AdditionalOperatingSolarGEMOperatingSolar

GEMProspectiveWind

AdditionalOperatingWindGEMOperatingWind

6.Theprovincialtargetsforsolarenergyencompasscumulativecapacityacrossallsizesandscales,fromlarge-scaledowntorooftopinstallations.7.Forfurtherdetailspleaseseeour

MethodologyPage

.

8.BecauseGEMonlytracksprojectsthatmeetacapacitythresholdof20MW,thetotalamountofallscalesofsolarinstalledby2025,shouldalllargeutility-scaleprojectscometofruition,willbesignificantlylargerthanwhathasbeenidentifiedbyGEM.

9.Forfurtherdetailsonthisfigurepleaseseeour

MethodologyPage

.

Table1:WindandsolarcapacityinChina:Operatingcapacity,prospectivecapacity,and14thFiveYearPlantargets,listedalphabeticallybyprovince10,11

Province

Solar

Operating

Capacity(MW)12

Solar

Prospective

Capacity(MW)12

China14thFYP

Cumulative

SolarTarget13

Wind

Operating

Capacity(MW)

Wind

Prospective

Capacity(MW)

China14thFYP

Cumulative

WindTarget(MW)

China

227,761

378,622

771,551

310,274

371,075

599,080

Anhui

9,956

7,692

28,000

4,306

5,273

8000

Beijing

51

20

2,510

236

0

300

Chongqing

425

400

1,850

1,093

750

1850

Fujian

451

45

5,000

7,085

6,068

9000

Gansu

11,364

20,393

41,690

18,377

20,746

38530

Guangdong

11,677

16,532

28,000

13,580

37,413

32000

Guangxi

7,241

19,603

15,000

7,286

28,817

24500

Guizhou

11,492

14,885

31,000

4,777

12,173

10800

Hainan

1,105

100

7,458

248

6,900

12300

Hebei

16,018

28,314

54,000

22,910

12,631

43000

Heilongjiang

3,614

2,765

10,500

8,540

9,640

19000

Henan

4,477

2,590

33,330

12,282

13,274

27000

Hubei

11,287

5,738

22,000

5,707

3,898

10000

Hunan

2,791

26,110

13,000

7,862

23,460

12000

InnerMongolia

14,569

34,214

45,000

40,584

69,653

89000

Jiangsu

5,731

7,556

35,000

19,519

3,209

28000

Jiangxi

6,326

9,081

24,000

4,314

1,774

7000

Jilin

3,131

1,031

8,000

8,830

8,667

22000

Liaoning

2,145

3,869

10,000

10,469

17,744

17800

Ningxia

15,087

20,925

32,500

11,824

6,351

17500

Qinghai

15,488

19,915

45,800

7,228

4,672

16500

Shaanxi

12,810

18,963

31,962

7,564

8,414

25000

Shandong

9,685

33,088

57,000

21,528

6,736

25000

Shanghai

132

44

4,648

1,048

1,106

2600

Shanxi

18,829

13,900

50,000

18,776

7,915

30000

Sichuan

2,225

1,540

10,000

5,085

3,734

10000

Tianjin

1,241

8,315

5,600

1,313

5,278

2000

Tibet

1,385

70

10,000

72

150

NotFound

Xinjiang

17,098

56,422

33,540

22,908

31,640

52000

Yunnan

3,730

3,121

47,163

10,883

7,969

NotFound

Zhejiang

6,203

1,381

28,000

4,042

5,022

6400

10.Forfurtherdetailsandreferencesonthistablepleaseseeour

MethodologyPage

.

11.Theprovincialtargetsforsolarandwindenergyarefromofficialsourceswhereavailable.Provincialtargetshighlightedinorangecolorwereestimatedwhereofficialprovincialtargetswereunavailableorunspecified.Forfurtherdetailspleaseseeour

Methodology

Page

.

12.GEM’ssolarcapacityvaluesarefromlargeutility-scaleprojectsanddonotincludeanycapacitiesfrominstallationsbelow20MW.13.Theprovincialtargetsforsolarenergyencompasscumulativecapacityacrossallsizesandscales,fromlarge-scaledowntorooftopinstallations.

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|9

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

10

Solarsurge:Leadingthewayto1,200GW

Solarenergyisexpectedtoplayaleadingrolein

achievingthe2030targetof1,200GWofsolarand

windpower,asabout772GWofcombinedcumulativecapacitytargetshavebeenannouncedbyChina’spro-vincialgovernments(seeTable1).14Asof2022,Chinahasachievedacumulativecapacityofabout

392GW

ofsolarenergyatallscalesfromrooftoptolarge-scaleutility.Thismeansthatabout380GWofsolarcapacityneedstobeinstalledinordertoreachthecombinedtarget.With379GWofprospectivelarge-scaleutility

capacityidentifiedbytheGlobalSolarPowerTracker,ifdistributedandsmall-scaleutilityinstallationskeeppacewiththelargerprojects,theprovincialgovern-

mentsarepoisedtofarexceedtheirtargets.379GW

representsthreetimestheprospectivecapacityoftheUnitedStatesand1.7timestheprospectivecapacityofallofEurope.Themajorityoflargeutility-scalesolarfarmsaresituatedinthenorthernregionsofChina

(Map3).

Map3:Prospectivelargeutility-scalesolarcapacityinChina

Capacity(MW)

14.Theprovincialtargetsforsolarenergyencompasscumulativecapacityacrossallsizesandscales,fromlarge-scaledowntorooftopinstallations.

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

11

Thetopthreeprovinceswiththelargestpipelineof

prospectivelargeutility-scalesolarcapacityareXinji-ang,InnerMongolia,andShandong,withover

56GW,

34GW,and33GW

respectively.Hebeiprovince,whichranksasoneofthetopplayersintermsofoperatingsolarcapacity,haslinedupover

28GW

ofprospectivelargeutility-scalesolarprojects,securingthefourth

position.WhilemostofthesolarfarmsinHunanare

relativelysmallercomparedtothoseinthenorthernregions,itisnoteworthythat,accordingtotheGlobalSolarPowerTracker,Hunanhasthe

largestnumber

oflargeutility-scalesolarfarmstobedeveloped

duringthe14thFive-YearPlanperiod,makingitoneofthetopfiveplayersintermsofprospectivelargeutility-scalesolarcapacity(seeFigure5).

Figure5:Prospectivelargeutility-scalesolarcapacitybyprovince/status

(construction,pre-construction,announced)

InnerMongolia

Hebei Xinjiang Shandong Jiangsu Shanxi GansuGuangdong Henan Ningxia Yunnan Liaoning JilinHeilongjiang Hunan Shaanxi Guangxi QinghaiFujian

Hubei Sichuan Guizhou Jiangxi Anhui Zhejiang TianjinChongqing Shanghai Hainan BeijingTibet

Capacity(GW)

0102030405060

Constr

Pre-co

Annou

uction

nstructionnced

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

12

Surpassingthetarget:China’sprospectivewindcapacityoutpaces14thFYP

goals

Provincial14thFYPwindcapacitytargetsamount

toapproximately599GW(seeTable1).Asof2022,

theoperatingcapacityofwindenergyinChinawas

approximately

365GW

,includingalllevelsofcapacity.Thismeansthatanadditional234GWofwindcapacityneedstobeinstalledinordertoreachthetarget.Asofnow,theoperatingcapacityofwindenergyinChina,asrecordedbyGEM,hasreachedapproximately

310GW,resultinginagapofapproximately289GWtoreachtheprovincialtarget.However,theprospectivecapacityidentifiedbytheGlobalWindPowerTracker(372GW)asofthefirstquarterof2023alreadyexceedsthisamountby29%.

AccordingtoGlobalEnergyMonitorwinddata,

approximately

311GW

ofprospectiveonshorewind

Map4:ProspectivewindfarmcapacityinChina

andaround

60.5GW

ofprospectiveoffshorewind

capacityarescheduledtocomeonlinebefore2025and2030.Whiletheseprospectiveprojectswillbedistrib-utedthroughoutthecountry,onshorewindinstalla-

tionsareanticipatedtobepredominantlysituatedinthenorthernandnorthwesternregions,including

InnerMongolia,Xinjiang,andGansu,whileoffshorewindfarmsareexpectedtobelocatedalongtheeastandsoutheastcoastalareas,suchasGuangdong,Zheji-ang,andHainan(seeMap4).

Intheonshorewindpowersector,InnerMongoliaisforecastedtomaintainitscurrentlead,withalmost70GWofprospectivecapacityinthepipeline.Thiscanbeattributedtothemegawindandsolarbasesunderconstructionanddevelopmentinthisregion.

Capacity(GW)

Offshore

Onshore

GLOBALENERGYMONITORREPORT|JUNE2023|

13

Construction

Pre-Construction

Announced

Xinjiang,whichhassetthehighest2025renewableenergytargetamongChina’sprovinces,rankssecondintermsofprospectiveonshorewindcapacity,withplanstoaddapproximately32GWofonshorewindfarms.Guangxiranksthird,withplanstoaddmorethan29GWofonshorewindcapacity.

China’soffshorewindpowersectorissettomaintainitsstrongmomentum.OfChina’scoastalprovinces(seeMap4),Guangdongleadswithapproximately

China’smeg