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GlobalHealthcarePrivateEquity
Report2024
Thisworkisbasedonsecondarymarketresearch,analysisoffinancialinformationavailableorprovidedtoBain&Companyandarangeofinterviewswithindustryparticipants.Bain&CompanyhasnotindependentlyverifiedanysuchinformationprovidedoravailabletoBainandmakesnorepresentationorwarranty,expressorimplied,thatsuchinformationisaccurateorcomplete.Projectedmarketandfinancialinformation,analysesandconclusionscontainedhereinarebasedontheinformationdescribedaboveandonBain&Company’sjudgment,
andshouldnotbeconstruedasdefinitiveforecastsorguaranteesoffutureperformanceorresults.Theinformationandanalysishereindoesnotconstituteadviceofanykind,isnotintendedtobeusedforinvestmentpurposes,andneitherBain&Companynoranyofitssubsidiariesortheirrespectiveofficers,directors,shareholders,employeesoragentsacceptanyresponsibilityorliabilitywithrespecttotheuseof
orrelianceonanyinformationoranalysiscontainedinthisdocument.ThisworkiscopyrightBain&Companyandmaynotbepublished,transmitted,broadcast,copied,reproducedorreprintedinwholeorinpartwithouttheexplicitwrittenpermissionofBain&Company.
Copyright©2024Bain&Company,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Contents
HealthcarePrivateEquityMarket2023:YearinReviewandOutlook 2
GenerativeAIWillTransformHealthcare 12
HealthcareITHitsaSpeedBump 17
LifeSciences:NavigatingShiftsintheInnovation,
Regulatory,andOperationalTerrains 24
India’sHealthcareIndustryComesofAge 31
HealthcarePrivateEquityMarket2023:YearinReviewandOutlook
Macroeconomicchallengeshaveexactedatollonhealthcarebuyouts,
butgreenshootsindealactivityreflecttheindustry’sstrongfundamentals.
ByNiradJain,KaraMurphy,DmitryPodpolny,Franz-RobertKlingan,VikramKapur,andAlexBoulton
AtaGlance
Investorscontinuetryingtounlockliquidityandraisecapitalforhealthcaredeals,inachallengingfund-raisingenvironment.
Biopharmadealsrepresentthebiggestshareofhealthcarebuyouts,whilenewmodalitiesandinnovativetherapiessuchasGLP-1stransformtheinvestmentlandscape.
AsinvestorslooktodiversifytheirAsia-Pacificbuyoutactivity,Indiaisviewedasaplacetodeployhealthcarecapitalatscale.
PrivateequityinvestorscontinuetopursuehealthcareITdeals,withrisingcompetitionfromtechspecialistsandcorporateinvestors.
Thehealthcaresectorcontinuedtobeahubofprivateequity(PE)dealactivityin2023,relativetoallPEdealsacrosstheworld,despitehigherglobalinterestrates,inflationarypressures,andbroadergeopoliticaluncertainty(seeFigure1).
Figure1:Healthcarehelditsowninatepidoveralldealmarket
Globalbuyoutdealvalue,$billions(excludingadd-ondeals)
Otherbuyouts
Healthcarebuyouts
Dec2023forecast
1,012
295
300
372
$222
230
219
2010
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23E
9%
8
9
10
8
9
11
13
15
15
21
20
15
15
339
430
484
480
501
654
444
Healthcare
aspercentageoftotal
dealcount
Notes:Excludesspin-offs,add-ons,loan-to-owntransactions,specialpurposeacquisitions,andacquisitionsofbankruptassets;basedonannouncementdate;includesannounceddealsthatarecompletedorpending,withdatasubjecttochange;dealvaluedoesnotaccountfordealswithundisclosedvalues;valuesupdatedbasedonDealogic2020sponsorclassifications;valuesincludenetdebtwhererelevant;2023EannualizedassumingtheaverageratioofJanuary–NovembertoDecemberfrom2019to2022,basedondatathroughNovember30,2023
Sources:Dealogic;AVCJ;Bainanalysis
Acrossallregions,anumberofcommonthemesemerged.Tostart,biopharmadealsalongwithtransactionsinvolvingrelatedservices,suchascontractresearchorganizations(CROs)andcontractdevelopmentandmanufacturingorganizations(CDMOs),madeupthelargestshareofglobaldealvalueat48%(seeFigure2).Meanwhile,inthehealthcareinformationtechnology(HCIT)space,dealsforelectronicmedicalandhealthrecordprovidersunderscoredtheimportanceofnext-generationITinhealthcare.Wealsotrackedthecontinuedriseofglucagon-likepeptide-1agonists(GLP-1s),whichwillhaveimplicationsacrossthesector,includingsupportingcontinuedgrowth
inthesterilefillfinishmarket,wheretheleader,BaxterBioPharmaSolutions(nowSimtra),wasacquiredbyWarburgPincusandAdventInternational.
Figure2:Biopharmacomposedthelargestshareofhealthcaredeals
Percentageofglobalhealthcarebuyoutdealvalue(excludingadd-ondeals)
100%
80
60
40
20
0
200102 03
04 05
06 07
08 09 10 11
1213
14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
2223E
Providerandrelatedservices
Biopharmaandrelatedservices
Medtechandrelatedservices
Payerandrelatedservices Lifesciencestoolsandrelatedservices
Notes:Excludesspin-offs,add-ons,loan-to-owntransactions,specialpurposeacquisitions,andacquisitionsofbankruptassets;basedonannouncementdate;includesannounceddealsthatarecompletedorpending,withdatasubjecttochange;dealvaluedoesnotaccountfordealswithundisclosedvalues;valuesupdatedbasedonDealogic2020sponsorclassifications;valuesincludenetdebtwhererelevant;2023EannualizedassumingtheaverageratioofJanuary–NovembertoDecemberfrom2019to2022,basedondatathroughNovember30,2023;2010valueincludes$1billionofuncategorizeddeals
Sources:Dealogic;AVCJ;Bainanalysis
Theyearsawsixdealsinexcessof$2billion—thelargestbeingthetakingprivateofSyneosHealthbyElliottInvestmentManagement,PatientSquareCapital,andVeritasCapital—comparedwith
13in2022and14in2021,thoughwithsomelargedealsinflux.Therehavealsobeenaround375dealsbelowthe$2billionmark,atestamenttohighlevelsofactivityatthemiddleandsmalllevels.
WithinNorthAmerica,announceddealvaluescameinaround$29billion,withbiopharmaaccountingfor25%ofdealactivityand54%ofdealvalue(seeFigure3).Activityinproviderbusinesses(historicallyalargeshareofUSdeals)slowedasthosebusinessesexperiencedinflationaryandlabormarketpressures.Nonetheless,anumberofproviderdealsclosedacrossspecialtiessuchasoncology,orthopedics,andcardiologywiththeopportunitytodriveancillaryexpansionsrelativelyinsulatedfrombroaderhealthcareandmacroeconomicpressures.Caseinpoint:TPGandCencora’s(formerlyknownasAmerisourceBergen)acquisitionofOneOncologyfromGeneralAtlanticfor$2.1billion.
InEurope,announceddealvaluefellapproximately44%yearoveryearfrom$25billionin2022to
$14billionin2023.ExcludingEQT/Luxinva’sacquisitionofDechraPharmaceuticals,theannounceddealvaluewouldhavedeclinedbyabout70%.Constrainedcreditmarketsandcontinueddisruptionfromlaborandcostinflationdampenedactivityintheretailhealthandprovidersectors.Europealsosawseveralannouncedprocessesthatdidnotresultinatransaction,asbuyersandsellersfailedtoalignonvaluations.
Figure3:NorthAmericastillhoststhehighestvalueofhealthcaredeals
Healthcarebuyoutdealvalue,2018–22,$billions(excludingadd-ondeals)
$263
Healthcarebuyoutdealvalue,2023E,$billions(excludingadd-ondeals)
14
14
2
$29
103
79
1
NorthAmerica Europe Asia-Pacific Restofworld NorthAmerica Europe Asia-Pacific Restofworld
Providerandrelatedservices Biopharmaandrelatedservices MedtechandrelatedservicesPayerandrelatedservices Lifesciencestoolsandrelatedservices
Notes:Excludesspin-offs,loan-to-owntransactions,specialpurposeacquisitions,andacquisitionsofbankruptassets;basedonannouncementdate;includesannounceddealsthatarecompletedorpending,withdatasubjecttochange;dealvaluedoesnotaccountfordealswithundisclosedvalues;valuesupdatedbasedonDealogic2020sponsorclassifications;valuesincludenetdebtwhererelevant;2023EannualizedassumingtheaverageratioofJanuary–NovembertoDecemberfrom2019to2022,basedondatathroughNovember30,2023
Sources:Dealogic;AVCJ;Bainanalysis
DiversificationofinvestmentsintheAsia-Pacificregion
IntheAsia-Pacificregion,dealactivitywasslightlylowerthan2018–22levels,withannounceddealvalueataround$14billion(seeFigure4).Chinaremainsveryrelevantforinvestment,whileIndiarepresentedthelargestshareofannounceddealvalue.Thatsaid,investorsseekingtomanagegeopoliticalriskbegantobroadentheirhorizonstootherAsia-Pacificcountries.India,inparticular,hasseenalong-termriseinbiopharma-relatedactivity(forexample,ingenericsandactivepharmaceuticalingredientmanufacturing),albeitwithaslowdownyearoveryear,whilealso
seeinggrowthindomesticdemanddrivenbyanexpandingmiddleclassandgovernmentinsuranceprograms(seeFigure5).Thesemacroeconomicdynamics,coupledwithanumberofsuccessfulexitsfromearlyinvestorsinIndia—suchasTPG’ssaleofacontrollingstakeinCareHospitalstoBlackstone—havepropelledprivateequitysponsorstoregardIndiaasaplacetodeployhealthcarecapitalatscale.
Figure4:DealactivityhasprovedtobemoreresilientinAsia-Pacificrelativetootherregions
Globalhealthcarebuyoutdiscloseddealvalue,$billions(excludingadd-ondeals)
151
79
87
63
66
60
43
30
30
36
$15
21
16
23
2010 11 12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19 20
21 22
23E
NorthAmerica
Europe
Asia-Pacific
RestofworldDec2023forecast
Notes:Excludesspin-offs,add-ons,loan-to-owntransactions,specialpurposeacquisitions,andacquisitionsofbankruptassets;basedonannouncementdate;includesannounceddealsthatarecompletedorpending,withdatasubjecttochange;dealvaluedoesnotaccountfordealswithundisclosedvalues;valuesupdatedbasedonDealogic2020sponsorclassifications;valuesincludenetdebtwhererelevant;2023EannualizedassumingtheaverageratioofJanuary–NovembertoDecemberfrom2019to2022,basedondatathroughNovember30,2023
Sources:Dealogic;AVCJ;Bainanalysis
Figure5:IndiahastakenanincreasinglyimportantroleinAsia-Pacific’shealthcaremarket
Healthcarebuyoutdealvalue,$billions(excludingadd-ondeals)
Healthcarebuyoutdealcount(excludingadd-ondeals)
100%$5 3
7 16 11
17 18 17 14
100%23
52 61
88 68
156
179 92
128
80 80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0
201516
17 18
19 20
21 22
23E
0
201516 17
18 19
20 21
22 23E
India
China
RestofAsia
Notes:Excludesspin-offs,loan-to-owntransactions,specialpurposeacquisitions,andacquisitionsofbankruptassets;basedonannouncementdate;includesannounceddealsthatarecompletedorpending,withdatasubjecttochange;dealvaluedoesnotaccountfordealswithundisclosedvalues;valuesupdatedbasedonDealogic2020sponsorclassifications;valuesincludenetdebtwhererelevant;2023EannualizedassumingtheaverageratioofJanuary–NovembertoDecemberfrom2019to2022,basedondatathroughNovember30,2023
Sources:Dealogic;AVCJ;Bainanalysis
Responsestoliquiditychallenges:valuecreationandsecondarytransactions
Sponsorsfacedachallengingfund-raisingenvironmentin2023,atatimewhenoverallexitvolumewasdecreasingandcompetitionforfreshcapitalwasincreasing.InlinewiththeoverallPEmarkets,sponsorexitsinhealthcaredeclinedin2023,settingupPEfundsforaconflictin2024betweenprolongingholdingperiodsandthedesireamonglimitedpartnersforliquidity.
Fundsponsorshavebeenstrategizingabouthowtooffsettheimpactontheinternalrateofreturnfromlongerholdingperiodsviatwomechanisms:first,byinvestinginincrementalvalue-creationopportunities,withanemphasisoncommercialexcellence,pricing,andmarginexpansion,andsecond,byexploringalternativeavenuesforliquidity,bothforthefundsandtheirlimitedpartners.Thelatterapproachhastriggeredariseintheexplorationofsecondarytransactions(partial/earlyexits)includingcontinuationvehicles.
In2023,manybuyoutfundsinitiatedsecondary-dedicatedfunds;notably,Blackstoneraised
$24.9billion,$2.7billionofwhichisearmarkedtoitsinauguralGP-ledcontinuationfundstrategy.
Inaddition,Ardian,LexingtonPartners,andGoldmanSachscollectivelyfund-raisedmorethan$50billionfortheirsecondaryvehicles.Severalfactorsmaketheseinstrumentsattractive:
secondariesprovideGPsanearly,oftenpartialexitopportunity,allowingthemtosecureliquiditytofinancegrowthambitionsorreturncapitaltoinvestors,andboostingafund’sdistributions
topaid-incapital.
Continuationfunds,anotherformofsecondarytransaction,buytimeuntilthemarketappropriatelypricesaholding’spotential.Moreover,bid-askspreadsforsecondarymarketcontinuationfunds,wherethesellerisoftenapartialbuyer,tendtobenarrowerthanthebid-askspreadsinprimarymarkets.
PEfirmshavealsosoughttonavigatethecurrentenvironmentbyjoiningwithotherfirmstotacklelargertargets,inadditiontoseekingpartnershipswithandcapitalfromsovereignwealthfunds
(asintheacquisitionofDechraPharmaceuticals).PEfirmsarenotimmunetobroaderfund-raisingchallenges:Preqinestimatesthatin2023therehasbeen$3.3trillionofglobalprivatecapitaltargetedbyfunds,butonly$1trillionraised.Largefundsarecapturingagreatershareofallocations,benefitingfromstrongfundstrategies,commercialmotions,differentiatedpitches,andsector-specializedinvestmentteams.
CorporateM&A:Strategics’accesstolower-costcapitalenabledsustainedbiopharmadealactivity
HealthcarecorporateM&Avaluewasupfrom2022,buckingheadwindsonbiopharmafromtheInflationReductionAct(IRA)intheUS.PfizerannounceditsacquisitionofSeagenforjustunder
$45billioninthelargestacquisitioninbiopharmasinceAbbvie’sacquisitionofAllerganfor
$63billionin2019.Strategics,especiallylarge-capbiopharmas,haveretainedaccesstolower-costcapital,whichhasfueledhigherlevelsofactivitycomparedwithbuyoutfunds.ThislevelofactivityoccurreddespiteintensifiedscrutinyfromtheFederalTradeCommission(FTC),asseeninsuitsoverAmgen’sacquisitionofHorizon,adealannouncedin2022andclosedrecently.
InreactiontoheightenedFTCscrutiny,strategicsappeartobeprioritizingmoremodestacquisitionsthatadvancespecificstrategicgoalsandarelesslikelytoarouseantitrustscrutiny—forexample,Merck’sacquisitionofPrometheusBiosciences(seeFigure6).Thatsaid,corporatehealthcareM&Ahasseen19dealsinexcessof$2billioninthefirstthreequartersof2023.
Figure6:Thevalueofdealsbystrategicbuyersedgedupin2023,asstrategics’accesstofinancingallowedthemtododealslargeenoughtomovetheneedle
Globalhealthcareandlifesciencesstrategicdealvalue,$billions
543
417
446
418
393
315
275
305
253
272 274
$203 198
148
2010 11
12 13
14 15
16 17
18 19
20 21
22 23E
TotalactivityQ42023forecast
Notes:Q42023dealvalueisastraight-lineextrapolationusingQ1–Q3data;strategicM&AincludescorporateM&Adeals(whichincludePEexits)andadd-ons,excludesspecialpurposeacquisitioncompanies/blankcheckcompaniesdefinedbydealtechnique(SPACacquisition),excludesventurecapital/corporateventurecapitaldefinedbydealtechnique(fundinground)oracquirerbusinessdescription(venturecapital),excludesotherstrategicPEbuyers’dealsclassifiedasstrategicbuthavingtheacquirer’sspecificindustrygroupasdefinedbyDealogic:finance-acquisitions/restructurings,finance-capitalpoolcompanies,orfinance-governmentsponsoredentities/creditagencies
Source:Dealogic
Macroeconomicheadwindsbuffethealthcare
HealthcarePEhasoutperformedothersectorsacrossmultiplemarketcyclesandrecessionaryperiods;however,thereasonsforthisresiliencehavevariedfromcycletocycle.Overthepastdecade,dealreturnsweredrivenbyrevenuegrowthandmultipleexpansion—thelatterabyproductoflowinterestratesandabundantcredit.Bycontrast,thecurrentinflationaryclimatehastaken
aheavytollonlabor-intensivebusinesses,aslaborshortageschallengemanyhealthcaresectors.
Still,weseepositivemomentumgeneratedfrominnovationtriggeredbythepandemic,whichhasledtoarangeofnewhealthcaredeliverymodelsandmodalities(suchasremotephysiologicandtherapeuticmonitoringandat-homecare),andnewlife-sciencescapabilities(suchasCDMOs’supplyexpansionandCovidvaccinedistribution).Segmentspropelledbythisinnovationhavecontinuedtopowerdeals,whilesegmentswithamorechallengingcoststructurelookforways
toimprovemarginprofile.Notwocyclesarethesame,buttherearereasonsforoptimismaboutthefutureofhealthcareinvesting.
Weseepositivemomentumgeneratedfrominnovationtriggeredbythepandemic,whichhasledtoarangeofnewhealthcaredeliverymodelsandmodalities(suchasremotephysiologicandtherapeuticmonitoringandat-homecare),andnewlife-sciencescapabilities(suchasCDMOs’supplyexpansionandCovidvaccinedistribution).
Whattolookforin2024andbeyond
Followingaslowstartto2023,growthsignalshavereemergedinthebuyoutmarket(seeFigure7).Inmanygeographies,inflationiscoolingastheimpactofhigherinterestratestakeeffect;
atthesametime,elevatedmaterialandlaborcostsareshowingupashigherreimbursementsforhealthcaregoodsandservices.Increditmarkets,ratesareprojectedtoremainelevated
through2024.Asinvestorsadjusttotheserealities,weexpectsponsor-to-sponsorandsecondarytransactionstoincreasein2024.Meanwhile,take-privates,carve-outs,andsecondarieswillcontinuetorepresentanelevatedshareofdealactivityasinvestorsseektounlockvalue.
Followingaslowstartto2023,growthsignalshavereemergedinthebuyoutmarket.
Figure7:Healthcaredealvalueclusteredinthemiddleof2023
Globalhealthcarebuyoutdealvalue2023,$billions(excludingadd-ons)
12 13
Globalhealthcarebuyoutdealcount2023
(excludingadd-ons)
40
30
$3
1 1
20
6 6
5
3 3 10
2
0
January February March April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovember
Providerandrelatedservices Biopharmaandrelatedservices Medtechandrelatedservices
Payerandrelatedservices
Lifesciencestoolsandrelatedservices
Dealcount
Notes:Excludesspin-offs,add-ons,loan-to-owntransactions,specialpurposeacquisitions,andacquisitionsofbankruptassets;basedonannouncementdate;includesannounceddealsthatarecompletedorpending,withdatasubjecttochange;dealvaluedoesnotaccountfordealswithundisclosedvalues;valuesupdatedbasedonDealogic2020sponsorclassifications;valuesincludenetdebtwhererelevant;2023EannualizedassumingtheaverageratioofJanuary–NovembertoDecemberfrom2019to2022,basedondatathroughNovember30,2023
Sources:Dealogic;AVCJ;Bainanalysis
Givenanimprovingmacroeconomicbackdrop,investorsshouldconsiderthesequestionsfor2024andbeyond:
WhenwillgenerativeAItransformthehealthcaresector?CurrentpilotsofgenerativeAItoolshavefocusedonrepetitiveorexpensivetaskssuchasdocumentation.Whenthesetoolsmovetowidespreadrolloutsthattouchonthecorecompetenciesoforganizations,theeffectswillbesignificantandwidelyfelt.
HowwilltheHCITlandscapeshakeout?HCITremainsanimportantleverforhealthcareandlifesciencesorganizationsseekingtooffsetmacroheadwindsandmakebetteruseofdataandanalytics.Inthisenvironment,bothprovidersandbiopharmacompaniesarestrikingabalancebetweenadoptingplatformsvs.best-of-breedsolutions.WithinHCIT,Epiccontinueditsexpansioninseveralofferings,suchasitspayerplatform.Thecompetitionforassetsisintensifying,withtraditionallynonhealthcareinvestorsenteringthespace,underscoring
theneedforstrongplaybooksinHCIT.
Howwilllifesciencesinnovationcontinuetoaffectinvesting?Duringthepastfewyears,wesawstronggrowthinnewmodalitiessuchasmRNAandtherapeuticclassessuchasGLP-1s.Whilethedirectimplicationsofgrowthareclear,therearesignificantdownstreameffectsofincreasedGLP-1agonistuptakewithinpharma,healthcare,andbeyond.
HowwillIndia’sroleinAsia-Paciftcplayout?InvestmentsinandstrategiesfocusedonAsia-Pacificareevolving,andIndia’sfavorablemacrotailwindshavemadeitaleadingdestinationforcapital.Indiahastraditionallyseeninvestmentsinbiopharmaandproviders,anditisstilltoosoontoknowwhethergreenshootsinotherareassuchashealthinsurancetechnologyfirmsachievecomparableprominence,andwhetherthesefirmscanparlaytheirsuccessinIndia
toexpandacrossAsia-Pacific.
Howcanftnancialsponsorseffectivelyrespondtoliquiditypressuresfromtheirinvestors?Sponsor-ledsecondarytransactions,especiallycontinuationfunds,haveincreaseddramaticallyinthepastdecade.However,therecordamountofcapitalraisedforsecondariesislikelytoincreasecompetitioninthisspaceaswell.
Giventhemountainofcapitalwaitingonthesidelines,competitionforin-marketdealsisexpectedtoremainstrong.Internalratesofreturnhistoricallyhavebeendrivenbyrevenueandmultipleexpansion,whichwillbemorechallengingtoachieve.PEsponsorswillneedtoestablishhigherconfidenceinvaluecreationopportunitiesearlier,suchthattheycancommitgreatercapital.
Itiscriticalforsponsorstothinkbeyondpurecommercialdiligenceandevaluateawidersetofoperational,technological,andotherfactorssuchasenvironmental,social,andgovernanceconsiderationsearlyintheirprocesstocreatevaluequickly.Onlyaclearfundstrategypairedwithstronginvestmentscreening,integrateddiligence,focusedteams,andpost-acquisitionvaluecreationplanswillsetthemostsuccessfulinvestorsapartintheyearahead.
GenerativeAIWillTransformHealthcare
Aonce-in-a-generationtechnologysurgesintoacenturies-oldindustry.
ByEricBerger,NiradJain,KaraMurphy,DmitryPodpolny,Franz-RobertKlingan,VikramKapur,andAlexBoulton
AtaGlance
GenerativeAIpromisestodrivesignificantproductivitygains,improvepatientandproviderexperience,andultimatelyleadtobetterclinicaloutcomes.
Thetechnologycouldloweradministrativecosts,speedbiomedicalresearchanddrugdevelopment,improveclaimsmanagement,andhelpdevelopnext-generationdiagnosticequipment.
BigtechnologycompaniesarepartneringwithhealthcareorganizationstoapplygenerativeAI,andinvestorsaredeployingcapitalinnascentcompaniesbuiltaroundthetool.
InvestorsneedtoconsidergenerativeAI’sdisruptivepotentialonportfoliocompaniesandnewinvestments,andidentifyopportunitiestotakeadvantageofthetechnology.
Foundationmodels,largelanguagemodels(LLMs),andgenerativeartificialintelligence(AI)capturedtheattentionofproviders,biopharmas,payers,andinvestorsoverthepastyear,driven
bythepromiseofmakinghealthcaredeliverymoreefficient,innovative,andeffective(seeFigure1).Whiletraditional,analyticalAIhasbeenusedinhealthcareformanyyears,generativeAIisdistinguishedbyitsabilitytocreatenewcontent,summarizeandtranslateexistingcontent,
and,ultimately,to“reasonandplan.”
Thetechnologyhaspotentialacrossmanyusecases,includingthese:
Forprovidersandincaredelivery,itpromisestocutthetimespentondocumentingpatientvisitsandreimbursement-relatedcommunications,whichwouldreduceclinicianburnoutandloweradministrativecosts.Indeed,organizationssuchasHCAHealthcarearepursuingtheseopportunitiesviapartnershipswithtechcompaniessuchasGoogle,inpartbecausepatientsmayalreadybechangingtheirbehavior,usingoff-the-shelftoolstounderstandandinformtheirinteractionswithclinicians.
Inbiomedicalresearchanddrugdevelopment,generativeAIisspeedinginnovation,asevidencedbythestrategicalliancebetweenSanofiandBioMap,whereSanofiwilluseBioMap’sAIplatformtooptimizetheprocessofdrugdiscovery.Molecularbiology-specificLLMsarealsosupportingpredictivemodelingofproteinstructureandtarget-bindingaffinity,inadditiontothecreationoftherapeuticcandidatesthemselves.
InsurersandotherpayershavelongmadeuseofAIindataanalytics,claimsmanagementautomationandadjudication,andqualityandriskmanagement.Now,theyareimplementinggenerativeAIformembernavigation,anexamplebeingUnitedHealthGroup’svirtualassistantforpatientcommunication.
Medtechcompanies,meanwhile,arefocusingtheirinvestmentsonnext-generationdiagnosticequipmenttodetectdiseasesviaAI-enabledhardware,surgicalrobotswithAI-poweredsystems,orsmartremote-monitoringdevices.Forexample,PhilipsispartneringwithAmazonWebServicestodevelopgenerativeAItoadvancethecompany’sPACSimageprocessingandenhanceradiologyworkflows,aspartofitsbroaderAIeffortsindiagnosisandtreatment,connectedcare,andpersonalhealth.
Asfoundationmodels,computervision,andotherareascontinuetomature,alltypesofhealthcareorganizationswillfindopportunitiestoapplygenerativeAItosupportoperationsacrossthevaluechain(suchassupplychainmanagementandback-officeactivities).
Ultimately,generativeAImayreshapehealthcareinstitutions’corefunctionalareas,presentinganopportunityforinvestorstoservechangingmarketsandadjustoperationswithinexistingportfoliocompanies.
Figure1:NewsheadlinesaboutgenerativeAIinhealthcaresurgedin2023
NumberofpressreleasesongenerativeAIinhealthcare Top20biopharmaceuticalfirms
associatedwithgenerativeAIpressreleasesin2023
42
45
ChatGPTbecomesavailableforpublicuse
32 32
26
26
16
11
12
1
2 2
2
5
Haspressreleases
Nopressreleases
100%
Oct2022
Nov
Dec
Jan2023
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
80
60
40
20
0
Nov
Notes:Left-handsiderepresentsresultsfromaFactivasearchforpressreleaseswiththekeywords“GenerativeAI”or“GenAI”or“Generativeartificialintelligence”or“GenAI,”in“Healthcare/
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