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英语高级视听听力原文Unit5Theglobalwarning英语高级视听听力原文Unit5Theglobalwarning英语高级视听听力原文Unit5Theglobalwarningxxx公司英语高级视听听力原文Unit5Theglobalwarning文件编号:文件日期:修订次数:第1.0次更改批准审核制定方案设计,管理制度Unit5TheglobalwarningTheNorthPolehasbeenfrozenfor100,000years.Butaccordingtoscientists,thatwon'tbetruebytheendofthiscentury.Thetopoftheworldismelting.
There'sbeenadebateburningforyearsaboutthecausesofglobalwarming.Butthescientistsyou'reabouttomeetsaythedebateisover.Newevidenceshowsmaniscontributingtothewarmingoftheplanet,pumpingoutgreenhousegasesthattrapsolarheat.
MuchofthisnewevidencewascompiledbyAmericanscientistBobCorell,wholedastudycalledthe"ArcticClimateImpactAssessment."It'sanawkwardname—butconsiderthefindings:theseasarerising,hurricaneswillbemorepowerful,likeKatrina,andpolarbearsmaybeheadedtowardextinction.
Whatdoesthemeltingarcticlooklike
CorrespondentScottPelleywentnorthtoseewhatBobCorellcallsa"globalwarning."
Towersoficetheheightof10-storybuildingsriseonthecoastofGreenland.It'sthebiggesticesheetintheNorthernHemisphere,measuringsome700,000squaremiles.Buttemperaturesinthearcticarerisingtwiceasfastastherestoftheworld,soalotofGreenland'siceisrunningtothesea.
"Rightnowtheentireplanetisoutofbalance,"saysBobCorell,whoisamongtheworld'stopauthoritiesonclimatechange.Heled300scientistsfromeightnationsinthe"ArcticClimateImpactAssessment."
Corellbelieveshehasseenthefuture."Thisisabellwether,abarometer.Somepeoplecallitthecanaryinthemine.Thewarningthatthingsarecoming,"hesays."In10yearshereinthearctic,weseewhattherestoftheplanetwillseein25or35yearsfromnow."
Overthelastfewdecades,theNorthPolehasbeendramaticallyreducedinsizeandCorellsaystheglacierstherehavebeenrecedingforthelast50years.
Backin1987,PresidentReaganaskedCorelltolookintoclimatechange.He'sbeenatiteversince.
InIceland,heshowed60Minutesglaciersthatweregrowinguntilthe1990sandarenowmelting.Infact,98percentoftheworld'smountainglaciersaremelting.
Corellsaysallthatwaterwillpushsealevelsthreefeethigherallaroundtheworldin100years.
"YouandIsithere,anotherfoot.Yourchildren,anotherfoot.Yourgrandchildren,anotherfoot.Anditwon'ttakelongforsealeveltoinundate,"saysCorell.
"Sealevelwillbeinundatingthelowlandsofvirtuallyeverycountryoftheworld,oursincluded,"Corellpredicts.
Tofindthesightsandsoundsofthearcticmelting,therearefewplacesbetterthanafjordinGreenland,withaglacierjustashortdistanceaway.
Pelleystoodonahugeblockoficethathadsplitofffromtheglacierandhaddroppedintothesea—abigiceberg.
"ThispartofGreenlandismeltingfasterthanjustaboutanyother.Togetasenseoftheenormityofwhat'shappening,considerthis:TheicethatismeltinghereistheequivalentofalltheiceintheAlps,"Pelleyexplained,standingatoptheiceberg.
That'smorethan105millionacresofmeltedicein15years.JustfourminutesafterPelleyclearedoffthisberg,partoftheicecavedin.60Minutesgotabird's-eyeviewofhowunstabletheiceisbecomingonaflightwithglaciologistCarlBoggild.
Boggildanchored10researchstationstotheice.Buteverytimehecomestovisit,theiceandhisstationshavemoved.
Flyingovertheice,Pelleynoticedlotsoffissuresandcrevicesbreakingthroughtheice.
Askedwhatcausesthis,Boggildexplained,"Thisisactuallytheiceflow,whereyouhavesomuchtensionintheicethatitcannotsticktogether.Anditbreaksandopensacrevicewhichgoesabout150,200feetdown."
Theiceisalsomeltingonthesides,Boggildsays.
Highoverhead,Pelleyremarkedthatonecouldhearthewaterrunning.
"It'slikeasmallriver,"Boggildsaid.
Aleadingtheorysaysthoselittleriverslubricatethebottomoftheicesheet,helpingitmoveoffthebedrockandouttosea.
Andtheremaybenostoppingit.Arcticwarmingisaccelerating.It'sachainreaction.Assnowandicemelttheyrevealdarklandandwaterthatabsorbsolarheat.Thatmeltsmoresnowandice,andarounditgoes.
There'slongbeenadebateabouthowmuchofthisisearth'snaturallychangingclimateandhowmuchisman'sdoing.PaulMayewski,attheUniversityofMaine,saystheanswertothatquestionisfrozeninsideanicecorefromGreenland.
WithfundingfromtheNationalScienceFoundation,Mayewskihasled35expeditionscollectingdeepicecoresfromglaciers.Theicecaptureseverythingintheair,layingdownarecordcoveringhalfamillionyears.
"Wecangotoanysectionoftheicecore,totell,basically,whatthegreenhousegaslevelswere;wecantellwhetherornotitwasstormy,whatthetemperatureswerelike,"Mayewskiexplains.
60MinutesbroughtMayewskibacktoGreenland,wherehesayshisresearchhasproventhattheiceandtheatmospherehaveman'sfingerprintsalloverthem.
Mayewskisayswehaven'tseenatemperaturerisetothislevelgoingbackatleast2,000years,andarguablyseveralthousandyears.
Asforcarbondioxide(CO2)levels,Mayewskisays,"wehaven'tseenCO2levelslikethisinhundredsofthousandsofyears,ifnotmillionsofyears."
Whatdoesthattellhim?
"Itallpointstosomethingthathaschangedandsomethingthathasimpactedthesystemwhichwasn'tdoingitmorethan100yearsago.Andweknowexactlywhatitis.It'shumanactivity,"hesays.
It'sactivitylikeburningfossilfuels,releasingcarbondioxideandothergreenhousegases.TheU.S.isbyfarthelargestpolluter.Corellsaysthere'ssomuchgreenhousegasintheairalreadythatmoretemperatureriseisinevitable.
Evenifwestoppedusingeverycar,truck,andpowerplant—stoppingallgreenhousegasemissions—Mayewskisaystheplanetwouldcontinuetowarmanyway."Wouldcontinuetowarmforanother,aboutanotherdegree,"hesays.
That'senoughtomelttheArctic—andifgreenhousegasescontinuetoincrease,thetemperaturewillriseevenmore.Theicethat'smeltingalreadyischangingtheweatherbydisruptingoceancurrents.CorellpointstofloodsintheU.S.,heatwavesinEurope;and60Minuteswantedtoknowaboutthecatastrophic2005hurricaneseason.
"TheonethingIthinkwecansaywithafairlyhighdegreeofconfidenceistheseverityofthestorms,howstrongthestorms,thesecycloniceventslikehurricanesandcyclonesinthePacific,aregoingtoget—they'regonnabemoresevere.Nowonethingthatisindoubtiswhetherthere'llbemoreofthem,"Corellexplains.
"TheoceansoftheNorthernHemispherearethewarmestthey'vebeenonrecord.Whentheygetupinthattemperature,theyspinoffhurricanes.Well,ifitgoesupanotherdegree,it'sgonnaspawnthesewithmoreintensity,"Corellsays.
Thename"arctic"comesfromancientGreekmeaning"LandoftheGreatBear."
Butthewarmingclimateisthreateningthisiconofthearctic,thepolarbear.Flyingabovethesub-arcticregionofHudsonBay,CanadianscientistNickLunnishuntingpolarbearsina30-yearstudythattrackstheirhealth.It'sthejobofhisassistantEvanRichardsontotakethemdownwithatranquilizerdart.
Oncetranquilized,Lunncarefullychecksthebearwithapole,withoutgettingtooclose.
Thepolarbearisthelargestpredatoronland.Nativepeopleintheregionsayhe'llevenhunthumans,butnotonthedayPelleyjoinedLunn:withthetranquilizer,thebearwasawakebutimmobile.
Thescientistsknewthisbearbyhistattoo.Hishistoryiswrittenchapterandverseinthe"bearbible."
"ThisistherecordbookofallthebearsthathavebeenhandledbyusorManitobaConservation,"Lunnexplains.
ThestudybeganattheWapuskNationalPark,becausethebearpopulationwasthoughttobethehealthiestintheworld.
Lunn'sannualPolarbearscanonlyhuntontheice.Lunnsaystheiceisbreakingupthreeweeksearlierthanitdid30yearsgo.He'snowfindingfemalebears55poundslighter—weakermotherswithfewercubs.
Askedhowthebearpopulationhaschangedsincehestartedhisresearch,Lunnsays,"Whenwefirststarteddoingthisresearch,we'vedoneinventoriesinthemid-80s,inthemid-90s.Bothtimeswecameoutwithanestimateofapproximately1,200animalsforwhatisknownasthewesternHudsonBaypopulation.Thenumbersnowsuggestthatthepopulationhasdeclinedtobelow1,000."
Thebearsareunlikelytosurviveasaspeciesifthere'sacompletelossoficeinsummer,whichthearcticstudyprojectswillhappenbytheendofthiscentury.
Thereareskepticswhoquestionclimatechangeprojectionslikethat,sayingthey'renomorereliablethanyourlocalweatherman.ButMayewskisaysarcticprojectionsdonedecadesagoareprovingaccurate.
"Thatsaid,theskepticshavebroughtupsomevery,veryinterestingissuesoverthelastfewyears.Andthey'veforcedustothinkmoreandmoreaboutthedatathatwecollect.Wecanowetheskepticsavoteofthanksformakingourscienceaspreciseasitistoday,"saysMayewski.
OnebigsupporterofclimatescienceresearchistheBushadministration,spending$5billionayear.ButM
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