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1、讲解内容一、实验经济学方法论的争议二、实验经济学能做什么?三、在国内进行实验研究的优劣点分析四、具体实验研究案例展示之公平的本质研究(结合11月29日听课师生作为被试参与的实验,需实验完成后补充更新此部分PPT)五、具体实验研究案例展示之人类合作之谜研究(结合11月30日听课师生作为被试参与的实验,需实验完成后补充更新此部分PPT )一、实验经济学的方法论争议1.归根到底经济学研究人的决策行为,但是行为决策如何观察得到数据呢?一手数据还是二手数据?:一手数据更容易被接受 蔡洪滨AER论文田野实验柯荣住关于信任的文章:调查数据 李实老师的调查问卷 其二就是LAB 2.关于实验经济学的方法论争议:
2、学生作为被试是否有代表性? 是否反映了其真实的世界行为?等等3.为何实验论文很少用到计量,或者很少用到复杂的计量方法?支持派VS质疑派质疑派:Henrich et al.(2010) The weirdest people in the world Levit and List(2007) What Do Laboratory Experiments Measuring Social Preferences Reveal About the Real World?支持派:Falk and Heckman(2009) Lab experiments are a major source of k
3、nowledge in the social sciences Croson and Gchter (2010) The science of experimental economics 其他如Simth (2010) Gchter (2010) 等等实验经济学方法论的争议举例1实验经济学方法论的争议举例2作为一门成熟学科的标志1:实验经济学经典文献的被引次数Fehr and Schmidt(1999) Quarterly journal of Economics A theory of fairness, competition, and cooperation 4160Rabin (19
4、93) American Economic Review Incorporating fairness into game theory and economics 2759Kahneman and Tversky (1979) Econometrica Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk 19423Holt and Laury (2002) American Economic Review Risk aversion and incentive effects 1369Gth et.al (1982) Journal of
5、Economic Behaviour and Organizations An experimental analysis of ultimatum bargaining 1847Berg et.al (1995) Games and Economic Behavior Trust, reciprocity, and social history 1838Ledyard (1995) The Handbook of. Experimental Economics Public goods: A survey of experimental research 1915作为一门成熟学科的标志2:实
6、验经济学的学术共同体学术团体:ESAusing controlled experiments to learn about economic behavior (1986 Vernon Smith)实验经济学期刊:Experimental Economics (1998)学术会议:经济学实验室 作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例) Vol. 101, No. 1, February 2011Is Tiger Woods Loss Averse? Persistent Bias in the Face of Experience, Competi
7、tion, and High Stakes (pp. 129-57)Devin G. Pope and Maurice E. Schweitzer The Evolution of Cooperation in Infinitely Repeated Games: Experimental Evidence (pp. 411-29)Pedro Dal B and Guillaume R. Frchette Vol. 101, No. 2, April 2011Reference Points and Effort Provision (pp. 470-92)Johannes Abeler, A
8、rmin Falk, Lorenz Goette and David Huffman Contracts as Reference PointsExperimental Evidence (pp. 493-525)Ernst Fehr, Oliver Hart and Christian Zehnder The Economics of Credence Goods: An Experiment on the Role of Liability, Verifiability, Reputation, and Competition (pp. 526-55)Uwe Dulleck, Rudolf
9、 Kerschbamer and Matthias Sutter Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender (pp. 556-90)Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk 作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续2 Vol. 101, No. 2, April 2011Heterogeneity in Risky Choice Behavior in a Broad Population (pp. 664
10、-94)Hans-Martin von Gaudecker, Arthur van Soest and Erik WengstromThe Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation (pp. 695-723)Mohammed Abdellaoui, Aurlien Baillon, Laetitia Placido and Peter P. Wakker Search Dynamics in Consumer Choice under Time Pressure: An
11、Eye-Tracking Study (pp. 900-926)Elena Reutskaja, Rosemarie Nagel, Colin F. Camerer and Antonio RangelCoordination in the Presence of Asset Markets (pp. 927-47)Shimon Kogan, Anthony M. Kwasnica and Roberto A. Weber Real-Time Search in the Laboratory and the Market (pp. 948-74)Meta Brown, Christopher
12、J. Flinn and Andrew Schotter Checkmate: Exploring Backward Induction among Chess Players (pp. 975-90)Steven D. Levitt, John A. List and Sally E. Sadoff 作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续3 Vol. 101, No. 2, February 2011The Willingness to PayWillingness to Accept Gap, the Endowment Effect, S
13、ubject Misconceptions, and Experimental Procedures for Eliciting Valuations: Comment (pp. 991-1011)Andrea Isoni, Graham Loomes and Robert SugdenThe Willingness to PayWillingness to Accept Gap, the Endowment Effect, Subject Misconceptions, and Experimental Procedures for Eliciting Valuations: Reply (
14、pp. 1012-28)Charles R. Plott and Kathryn ZeilerStationary Concepts for Experimental 2 X 2 Games: Comment (pp. 1029-40)Christoph Brunner, Colin F. Camerer and Jacob K. GoereeStationary Concepts for Experimental 2 X 2 Games: Reply (pp. 1041-44)Reinhard Selten, Thorsten Chmura and Sebastian J. Goerg 作为
15、一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续4 Vol. 101, No. 3, May 2011Do Residential Customers Respond to Hourly Prices? Evidence from a Dynamic Pricing Experiment (pp. 83-87)Frank A. Wolak Using Field Experiments in Environment and Resource Economics Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies
16、? The Case of Exogenous Market Experience (pp. 313-17)John A. List The Persistence of Treatment Effects with Norm-Based Policy Instruments: Evidence from a Randomized Environmental Policy Experiment (pp. 318-22)Paul J. Ferraro, Juan Jose Miranda and Michael K. Price Can Tailored Communications Motiv
17、ate Environmental Volunteers? A Natural Field Experiment (pp. 323-28)Omar Al-Ubaydli and Min Lee Using Artefactual Field Experiments to Learn about the Incentives for Sustainable Forest Use in Developing Economies (pp. 329-33)Maarten Voors, Erwin Bulte, Andreas Kontoleon, John A. List and Ty TurleyT
18、eacher Mobility Responses to Wage Changes: Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment (pp. 460-65)Torberg Falch Social Preferences and Fairness Norms as Informal Institutions: Experimental Evidence (pp. 509-13)Pamela Jakiela 作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续5 Vol. 101, No. 4, June 2011Parti
19、cipation (pp. 1211-37)Gary Charness and Martin Dufwenberg Face Value (pp. 1497-1513)Catherine C. Eckel and Ragan Petrie Group Size and Incentives to Contribute: A Natural Experiment at Chinese Wikipedia (pp. 1601-15)Xiaoquan (Michael) Zhang and Feng Zhu Corrigendum: Psychological Pressure in Competi
20、tive Environments: Evidence from a Randomized Natural Experiment (page 1636)Jose Apesteguia and Ignacio Palacios-Huerta Vol. 101, No. 5, August 2011An Experimental Component Index for the CPI: From Annual Computer Data to Monthly Data on Other Goods (pp. 1707-38)Tim Erickson and Ariel Pakes Vol. 101
21、, No. 6, October 2011Nudging Farmers to Use Fertilizer: Theory and Experimental Evidence from Kenya (pp. 2350-90)Esther Duflo, Michael Kremer and Jonathan RobinsonThe Potential of Social Identity for Equilibrium Selection (pp. 2562-89)Roy Chen and Yan Chen 二、实验经济学能做什么?引子Gary Charness, Ninghua Du, an
22、d Chun-Lei Yang,2010,“Trust and Trustworthiness Reputations in an Investment Game”, Games and Economic Behavior实验经济学能做什么?检验经济学理论检验制度或政策的影响测度人们的偏好:时间偏好,公平偏好,风险偏好等等为构建新的经济学理论提供经验证据检验经济学理论示例检验制度或政策的影响示例测度人们的偏好示例实验经济学的研究主题(无法穷尽)市场均衡拍卖实验行为博弈实验社会偏好理论风险决策信任问题合作问题田野实验社会距离实验经济学方法论问题其他如资本市场实验,财政税收等应用性实验Martin
23、 Kocher Sheheryar BanuriJoseph Tao-yi Wang市场均衡 E.H. Chamberlin (1948), “An Experimental Imperfect Market,” Journal of Political Economy, 95108.Vernon Smith (1962), “An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior,” Journal of Political Economy, 70, 111-137.Charles Plott and Shyam Sunder (1982),
24、 “Efficiency of Experimental Security Markets with Insider Information: An Application of RationalExpectations Models,” Journal of Political Economy, 90, 663698.Robert Forsythe, Thomas Palfrey and Charles Plott (1984), “Futures Markets and Information Efficiency: A Laboratory Examination,” Journal o
25、f Finance, 39, 955981.7D. Gode and Shyam Sunder (1993), “Allocative Efficiency of Markets with ZeroIntelligence Traders: Market as a Partial Substitute for Individual Rationality,” Journal of Political Economy, 101, 119137.Charles Plott (1996), “Rational Individual Behavior in Markets and Social Cho
26、ice Processes: The Discovered Preference Hypothesis,” in The Rational Foundations of Economic Behavior, K. Arrow, E. Colombatto, M. Perlaman and C. Schmidt (eds) Macmillan and New York: St Martins Press, 225250.John List (2003) “Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies,” Quarterly Journal o
27、f Economics, 4171.市场均衡行为博弈实验Marwell, G. and R. E. Ames, “Experiments on the Provision of Public Goods. I. Resources, Interest, Group Size, and the Free-rider Problem”, American Journal of Sociology, 1979, 84(6), 13351360.Gth, W., R. Schmittberger and B. Schwarze, “An Experimental Analysis of Ultimat
28、ium Bargaining”, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 1982, 3(4), 367388.Forsythe, R., J. L. Horowitz, N. E. Savin and M. Sefton, “Fairness in Simple Bargaining Experiments”, Games and Economic Behavior, 1994, 6(3), 347369.Berg, J., J. Dickaut and K. McCabe, “Trust, Reciprocity and Social
29、History”, Games and Economic Behavior, 1995, 10(1), 122142.Henrich, J., R. Boyd, S. Bowles, C. Camerer, E. Fehr, H. Gintis and R. McElreath, “In Search of Homo Economicus:Behavioral Experiments in 15 Small-Scale Societies”, American Economic Review, 2001, 91(2), 7378.Camerer, C., Behavioral Game The
30、ory:Experiments on Strategic Interaction. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2003, 11, 167188.社会偏好理论Rabin, M., “Incooperating Fairness into Game Theory and Economics”, American Economic Review, 1993, 83(5), 12811302.Levine, D., “Modeling Altruism and Spitefulness in Experiments”, Review of E
31、conomic Dynamics, 1998, 1(3), 593622.Fehr, E. and K. Schmidt, “A Theory of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999, 114(3), 817868.Bolton, G. E. and A. Ockenfels, “ERCA Theory of Equity, Reciprocity, and Competition”, American Economic Review, 2000, 90(1), 16619
32、3.Andreoni, J., and J. Miller, “Giving According to GARP: An Experimental Test of the Consistency of Preferences for Altruism”, Econometrica, 2002, 70(2), 737753.Charness, G. and M. Rabin, “Understanding Social Preferences with Simple Tests”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002, 117(3), 817869.Dufw
33、enberg, M. and G. Kirchsteiger, “A Theory of Sequential Reciprocity”, Games and Economic Behavior, 2004, 47(2), 268298.Sobel, J., “Interdependent Preferences and Reciprocity”, Journal of Economic Literature, 2005, 43(2), 392436.Falk, A. and U. Fischbacher, “A Theory of Reciprocity”, Games and Econom
34、ic Behavior, 2006, 54(2), 293315.Fehr, E and K. Schmidt, “Theories of Fairness and Reciprocity: Evidence and Economic Applications”, in: M. Dewatripont, L.P. Hansen, S. Turnovski, Advances in Economic Theory, Eigth World Congress of the Econometric Society, Vol. 1, Cambridge: Cambridge University Pr
35、ess, 2003, 208257.Fowler, J., “Altruism and Turnout”, Journal of Politics, 2006, 68(3), 674683.社会福利模型Andreoni/Miller (2002)互利模型Rabin(1993)Dufwenberg/Kirchsteiger(2004)Kohler(2003)Falk /Fischbacher(2006)Charness/Rabin(2002)不平等厌恶模型Fehr/Schmidt (1999)Bolton/Ockenfels (2000)社会偏好理论各模型关系图拍卖实验Kagel JH and
36、Levin D (1986), The Winners Curse and Public Information in Common Value Auctions, American Economic Review, 76, 894-920.John Kagel, (1995), “Auctions: A Survey of Experimental Research,” in Handbook of Experimental Economics, edited by J. Kagel and A. Roth, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Pre
37、ss, 501-535.Klemperer P (1998), Auctions with Almost Common Values: The Wallet Game and its applications European Economic Review, 42, 757-769. Kagel, J. and Levin, D. (1999), “Common Value Auctions with Insider Information,” Econometrica, Vol. 67, No. 5. pp. 1219-1238.Goeree, Holt and Palfrey (2002
38、), “Quantal Response Equilibrium and Overbidding in Private-Value Auctions,” Journal of Economic Theory, 104(1), 247-272 Abbink K et al (2005), An Experimental Test of Design Alternatives for the British 3G/UMTS Auction, European Economic Review, 49, 505-530.Crawford and Nagore Iriberri (2007), “Lev
39、el-k Auctions: Can a Non-Equilibrium Model of Strategic Thinking Explain the Winners Curse and Overbidding in Private-Value Auctions?,” Econometrica 75(6), 17211770. Goeree and Holt (2007), “Hierarchical Package Bidding: A Paper & Pencil Combinatorial Auction”, Games and Economic Behavior, forthcomi
40、ng. 风险决策Holt, Charles and Susan Laury, 2002, “Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects,” American Economic Review, 92-5, 1644-1655 Harrison, Glenn, Eric Johnson, Melayne Mcinnes and Elisabet Rutstrom, 2005, “Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects: Comment,” American Economic Review, 95-3, 897-901Holt, Charl
41、es and Susan Laury, 2005, “Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects: New Data without Order Effects” American Economic Review, 95-3, 902-904Carlsson, F., D., Daruvala, and O. Johansson-Stenman, 2005, Are people nequality-averse, or just risk-averse? Economica, 72: 375-396.Cohen, Alma, and Liran Einav, 20
42、07, “Estimating Risk Preferences from Deductible Choice.” American Economic Review, 97(3): 74588.风险偏好的测度信任问题Berg, Joyce E.; Dickhaut, John W. and McCabe, Kevin F., 1995, “Trust, Reciprocity, and Social History.” Games and Economic Behavior, 10, pp. 122-42.Glaeser, Edward L.; Laibson, David I.; Schei
43、nkman, Jose A. and Soutter, Christine L. 2000, Measuring Trust. Quartery Journal of Economics, 115, pp. 811-46.Cox, J., 2004, “How to Identify Trust and Reciprocity”, Games and Economic Behavior, 46, pp.260281. Gchter, S., Herrmann, B. and Thni, C., 2004, “Trust, voluntary cooperation, and socio-eco
44、nomic background: survey and experimental evidence”, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 55(4), pp.505531.Holm, H. J. and A. Danielson, 2005, “Tropic Trust versus Nordic Trust: Experimental Evidence From Tanzania And Sweden”, The Economic Journal, 115(503), 505532.Karlan, D., 2005, “Using
45、 Experimental Economics to Measure Social Capital and Predict Financial Decisions”, American Economic Review, 95(5), pp. 1688-1699.Bouma, J., Bulte, E., and Soest, V.D., 2008, “Trust and Cooperation: Social Capital and Community Resource Management”, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
46、, 56, pp.155166.信任问题Trust and Trustworthiness合作问题Marwell, G. and Ames, R.E. Experiments on the Provision of Public Goods. I. Resources, Interest, Group Size, and the Free-rider Problem, American Journal of Sociology, 1979, 84(6):13351360Isaac, R.M. and J. M. Walker, “Group Size Effects in Public Goo
47、ds Provision: the Voluntary Contributions Mechanism”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1988, 103(1), 179200.Andreoni, J. Why Free Ride? Strategies and Learning in Public Goods Experiments, Journal of Public Economics, 1988, 37:291304Ledyard, J. Public Goods: A Survey of Experimental Research, in Hand
48、book of Experimental Economics, eds. J. Kagel and A. Roth, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, 1995Fehr, E. and S. Gchter, “Cooperation and Punishment in Public Goods Experiments”, American Economic Review, 2000a, 90(4), 980994.Fehr, E. and Gchter, S. Altruistic Punishment in Humans,
49、Nature, 2002, 415:137140Andreoni, J., Harbaugh, W. and Vesterlund, L. The Carrot or the Stick: Rewards, Punishments and Cooperation, American Economic Review, 2003, 93:893902Sefton, M., Shupp, R. and Walker, J. The Effect of Rewards and Sanctions in Provision of Public Goods, Economic Inquiry,2007,
50、45(4):671-690Carpenter, J. Punishing Free-Riders: How Group Size Affects Mutual Monitoring and the Provision of Public Goods, Games and Economic Behavior, 2007a, 60:3151Carpenter, J. The Demand for Punishment, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2007b, 62(4):522542Nikiforakis, N. S., “Pun
51、ishment and Counter-punishment in Public Goods Games: Can we Still Govern Ourselves?”, Journal of Public Economics, 2008, 92(1-2), 91112.Nikiforakis, N. S. and H.T. Normann, “A Comparative Statics Analysis of Punishment in Public Goods Experiments”, Experimental Economics, 2008, 11(4): 358369.Andreo
52、ni, J. and Croson, R. Partners versus Strangers: Random Rematching in Public Goods Experiments, in: C. R. Plott and V. L. Smith, eds., Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, Elsevier, The Netherlands, 2008Ananish Chaudhuri, “Sustaining cooperation in laboratory public goodsexperiments: a select
53、ive survey of the literature”, Experimental Economics, 2011, 14: 4783合作问题合作问题田野实验Harrison, Glenn W., Morten Igel Lau, E. Elisabet Rutstrm and Melonie B. Williams, 2002, “Estimating Individual Discount Rates in Denmark: A Field Experiment,” American Economic Review 92:5 (December), 1606-1617. Harriso
54、n, Glenn W. and John A. List, 2004, Field Experiments, Journal of Economic Literature, 42(4), pp. 1009-1055.Carpenter, Jeffrey, Glenn Harrison, and John List, 2005 ” Field Experiments in Economics: An Introduction,” In: J. Carpenter, G. W. Harrison & J. A. List (Eds), Field Experiments in Economics.
55、 Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Research in Experimental Economics,Vol. 10: 1-15.Harrison, Glenn W., 2005, ” Field Experiments and Control,” In: J. Carpenter, G. W. Harrison & J. A. List (Eds), Field Experiments in Economics. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Research in Experimental Economics,Vol. 10: 17-50.Ben
56、z, Matthias, and Stephan Meier, 2006, “Do People Behave in Experiments as in Real Life? Evidence from Donations,” Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich, Working Paper 248.List, John A, 2006, Field Experiments: A Bridge between Lab and Naturally Occurring Data, The B.E.
57、Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 6(2 - Advances), Article 8.Levitt, Steven D. and List, John A., 2007, “What Do Laboratory Experiments Measuring Social Preferences Reveal About the Real World?” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 153-174.List, John A. and David Reiley, 2008, Field Experim
58、ents, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume, eds., Palgrave Macmillan Publishing, List, John A. and Michael K. Price, 2009, The Role of Social Connections in Charitable Fundraising: Evidence from A Natural Field Experiment, Journal of Economic Behavior and
59、Organization, 69(2), pp. 160-169.Levitt, Steven D. and John A. List, 2009,“Field Experiments in Economics: the Past, the Present, and the Future, European Economic Review, 53(1), pp. 1-18.Levitt, Steven D., John A. List, and David Reiley, 2010, “What Happens in the Field Stays in the Field: Professi
60、onals Do Not Play Minimax in Laboratory Experiments,” Econometrica, 78(4), pp. 1413-1434社会距离Hoffman, E., K. McCabe, K. Shachat, and V. Smith. Preferences, Property Rights and Anonymity in Bargaining Games. Games and Economic Behavior, 1994, 7(3), pp. 346-380. Hoffman, E., K. McCabe, and V. Smith. So
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