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1、介绍国际大银行在决定对信息技术投资时的考虑要点和他们具体的实HowFinancialFirmsDecideonTechnology施过程。HowFinancialFirmsDecideonTechnology(Abstract)Thefinancialservicesindustryisthemajorinvestorininformationtechnology(IT)intheU.S.economy;thetypicalbankspendsasmuchas15%ofnon-interesteexpensesonIT.Apersistentfindingofresearchintothepe
2、rformanceoffinancialinstitutionsisthatperformanceandefficiencyvarywidelyacrossinstitutions.NowhereisthisvariabilitymorevisiblethanintheoutcomesoftheITinvestmentdecisionsintheseinstitutions.ThispaperpresentstheresultsofanempiricalinvestigationofITinvestmentdecisionprocessesinthebankingindustry.Thepur
3、poseofthisinvestigationistouncoverwhat,ifanything,canbelearnedfromtheITinvestmentpracticesofbanksthatwouldhelpinunderstandingthecauseofthisvariabilityinperformancealongwithpointingtowardmanagementpracticesthatleadtobetterinvestmentdecisions.UsingPCbankingandthedevelopmentofcorporateInternetsitesasth
4、ecasestudiesforthisinvestigation,thepaperreportsondetailedfield-basedsurveysofinvestmentpracticesinseveralleadinginstitutionsHowFinancialFirmsDecideonTechnology(PartOne)信息技术对金融服务业的影响正在增加,不仅仅表现在银行的15%无息开支上,而且对金融服务业的运做和战略也有很强的影响。一个对金融机构的长期研究表明,不同的机构的效率和表现也不同。其决定的因素有以下一些其中的一个因素就是对投资的决定和管理。SBS是一个失败的例子,但
5、是成功的公司也不少。本文注重解答以下的问题:1 .银行对IT投资的评估和管理过程?2 .在对IT的管理过程中,理论和实际操作的结合如何?3.IT投资的管理和银行性能的关系如何?1.0IntroductionInformationtechnology(IT)isincreasinglycriticaltotheoperationsoffinancialservicesfirms.Todaybanksspendasmuchas15%ofnon-interestexpenseoninformationtechnology.Itisestimatedthattheindustrywillspendat
6、least$21.1billiononITin1998,andfinancialinstitutionscollectivelyaccountforthemajorityofITinvestmentintheU.S.economy.Inadditontobeingalargecomponentofthecoststructure,informationtechnologyhasastronginfluenceonfinancialfirmsoperatonsandstrategy.Fewfinancialproductsandservicesexistthatdonotutilizecompu
7、tersatsomepointinthedeliveryprocess,andafirms'informationsystemsplacestrongconstraintsonthetypeofproductsoffered,thedegreeofcustomizationpossibleandthespeedatwhichfirmscanrespondtocompetitiveopportunitiesorthreats.Apersistentfindingofresearchintotheperformanceoffinancialinstitutionsisthatperform
8、anceandefficiencyvarieswidelyacrossinstitutions,evenaftercontrollingforfactorssuchassize(scale),productbreadth(scope),branchingbehaviorandorganizationalform(e.g.stockversusmutualforinsurers;banksversussaving&loans).Giventhecentralrolethattechnologyplaysintheseinstitutions,atleastsomeofthisvariat
9、ionislikelytobeduetovariationsintheuseandeffectivenessofITinvestments.WhilesomeauthorshavearguedthatthevalueofITinvestmenthasbeeninsignificant,particularlyinservices,recentempiricalworkhassuggestedthatITinvestment,onaverage,isaproductiveinvestment.Perhapsmoreimportantly,thereappearstobesubstantialva
10、riationacrossfirms;somefirmshaveveryhighinvestmentsbutarepoorperformers,whileotheresinvestlessbutappeartobemuchmoresuccessful.BrynjolfssonandHittfoundthatasmuchashalfthereturnstoITinvestmentareduetofirmspecificfactors.OnepotentiallyimportantdriverofdifferencesinITvalue,andoffirmperformancemorebroadl
11、y,islikelytobethedecisionandmanagementpeocessedforITinvestments.HorrorstoriesofbadITinvestmentdecisionsabound.Considertheexampleofthenewstrategicbankingsystem(SBS)atBancOne(AmericanBanker1997).BancOneCorp.andElectronicDataSystemsCorp.agreedlastyeartoendtheirjointdevelopmentofthisretailbankingsystema
12、fterspendinganestimated$175milliononit.AsstatedintheAmericanBankerarticle,SBS"wasjustsooverwhelmingandsocompletethatbythetimetheyweregettingtomarket,itwasgoingtotaketoolongtoinstallthewholething,"saidAlanRiegler,principalinErnst&Young'sfinancialservicesmanagementconsultingdivision.
13、However,notallthestoriesarenegative.NewITsystemsareplayingavitalroleinreshapingthedeliveryoffinancialservices.Forexample,newcomputer-telephonyintegration(CTI)technologiesaretransformingcallcenteroperationsinfinancialinstitutions.Byinvestingintechnology,moreandmoreinstitutionsaremovingoperationsfromh
14、igh-costbranchoperationstothetelephonechannel,wherethecostpertransactionisone-tenththecostofatellerinteraction.ThisITinvestmentnotonlyreducesthecostofservingexistingcustomers,butalsoextendsthereachoftheinstitutionbeyonditstraditionalgeographicboundaries.Inthispaper,weutilizedetailedcasestudiesofsixr
15、etailbankstoinvestigateseveralinterrelatedquestions:1 .WhatprocessesdobanksutilizetoevaluateandmanageITinvestments?2 .HowwelldoactualpracticesalignwiththeoreticalargumentsabouthowITinvestmentsshouldbemanaged?3 .WhatimpactdoesthatmanagementofITinvestmentshaveonperformance?HowFinancialFirmsDecideonTec
16、hnology(PartTwo)Forthefirstquestion,wedevelopastructuredframeworkforcatalogingITinvestmentpracticesandthenpopulatethisframeworkusingacombinationofsurveysandsemi-structuredinterviews.WethencomparetheresultsofthisexercisewithasynthesisoftheliteratureonITdecisionmakingtounderstandinghowpracticesvaryacr
17、ossfirmsandtheextenttowhichthisisconsistentwith"bestpractices"asdescribedinpreviousliterature.Finally,wewillcomparetheseprocessestointernalandexternalperformancemetricstobetterunderstandwhichsetsofpracticesappeartobemosteffective.Tomakethesecomparisonsconcrete,weexamineboththegeneraldecisi
18、onprocessaswellasthespecificprocessesusedfortworecentITinvestmentdecisions:theadoptionofcomputer-basedhomebanking(PCbanking),andthedevelopmentofthecorporatewebsite.Thesedecisionswerechosenbecausetheywererecentandarerelatedbutprovidesomecontrast;inparticular,PCbankingisafairlywelldefinedproductinnova
19、tion,whilethecorporatewebpresenceismoreofaninfrastructureinvestmentwhichislesswell-definedintermsofobjectivesandbusinessownership.Overall,wefindthatwhilesomeaspectsofthedecisionprocessarefairlysimilaracrossinstitutionsandoftenconformto"bestpractice"asdefinedbypreviousliterature,therearesev
20、eralareaswherethereislargevariationinpracticeamongthebanksandbetweenactualandtheoreticalbestpractice.Mostbankshaveastrongandstandardizedprojectmanagementforongoingsystemsprojects,andformalstructuresforinsuringthatline-managersandsystemspeopleareincontactattheinitiationoftechnologyprojects.Atthesamet
21、ime,manybankshaverelativelyweakprocesses(bothformalandinformal)foridentifyingnewITinvestmentopportunities,allocatingresourcesacrossorganizationallines,andfundingexploratoryorinfrastructureprojectswithlongtermoruncertainpayoffs.Thereminderofthispaperisorganizedasfollows.Section2describesthepreviousli
22、teratureonperformanceoffinancialinstitutionsandtheeffectsofITonperformance.Section3describesthemethodsanddata.Section4describesthecurrentacademicthinkingonvariouscomponentsofthedecisionprocessandcomparesthattoactualpracticesatthebankswevisited.Section5describestheresultsofourin-depthstudyofPCbanking
23、projectsandthesummary,Section6containsasimilaranalysisfortheCorporateWebSiteanddiscussionandconclusionappearinSection7.HowFinancialFirmsDecideonTechnology(PartThree)2.0PreviousLiterature2.1PerformanceofFinancialInstitutionsTherehavebeenanumberofstudiesthathaveexaminedtheefficiencyofthebankingindustr
24、yandtheroleofvariousfactorssuchascorporatecontrolstructure(typeofboard,directors,insiderstockholdings,etc.),economiesofscale(size),economiesofscope(productbreadth),andbranchingstrategy;seeBerger,KashyupandScalise(1995)andHarkerandZenios(forthcoming)forareviewofthebankingefficiencyliterature.Whilethe
25、reissubstantialdebateastotheroleofthesevariousfactors,thereisoneunambiguousresult:thatmostofthe(in)efficiencyofbanksisnotexplainedbythefactorsthathavebeenconsideredinpriorwork.Forexample,BergerandMester(1997)estimatethatasmuchas65-90%ofthex-inefficiencyremainsunexplainedaftercontrollingforknowndrive
26、rsofperformance.Asimilarstoryalsoappearsininsurancewhere"x-efficiency"variessubstantiallyacrossfirmswhensize,scope,productmix,distributionstrategyandotherstrategicvariablesareconsidered.Ithasbeenarguedthatonemustget"insidetheblackbox"ofthebankotconsidertheroleoforganizational,str
27、ategicandtechnologicalfactorsthatmaybemissedinstudiesthatrelyheavilyonpublicfinancialdata.2.2InformationTechnologyandBusinessValueEarlystudiesoftherelationshipbetweenITandproductivityorothermeasuresofperformanceweregenerallyunabletodeterminethevalueofITconclusively.Loveman(1994)andStrassmann(1990),u
28、singdifferentdataandanalyticalmethodsbothfoundthattheperformanceeffectsofcomputerswerenotstatisticallysignificant.Barus,KriebelandMukadopadhyay(1995),usingthesamedataasLoveman,foundevidencethatITimprovedsomeinternalperformancemetricssuchasinventorytrunover,butcouldnottiethesebenefitstoimprovementsin
29、bottomlineproductivity.Althoughthesestudieshadanumberofdisadvantages(smallsamples,noisydata)whichyieldedimprecisemeasuresofITeffects,thislackofevidencecombinedwithequallyequivocalmacroeconomicananlysesbyStevenRoach(1987)implicitlyformedthebasisforthe"productivityparadox".AsRobertSolow(1987
30、)onceremarked,"youcanseetehcomputerageeverywhereexceptintheproductivitystatistics."MorerecentworkhasfoundthatITinvestmentisasubstantialcontributortofirmproductivity,productivitygrowthandstockmarketvaluationinasamplethatcontainsawiderangeofindustries.BrynjolfssonandHitt(1994,1996)andLichten
31、berg(1995)foundthatITinvestmenthadapositiveandstatisticallysignificantcontributiontofirmoutput.BrynjolfssonandYang(1997)foundthatthemarketvaluationofITcapitalwasseveraltimesthatofordinarycapital.BrynjolfssonandHittalsofoundastrongrelationshipbetweenITandproductivitygrowthandtahtthisrelationshipgrows
32、strongeraslongertimeperiodsareconsidered.Collectively,thesestudiessuggestthatthereisnoproductivityparadox,atleastwhentheanalysisisperformedacrossindustriesusingfirm-leveldata.Thedifferencesbetweentheseresultsandearlierstudiesisprobablyduetotheuseofdatatahtwasrecent,morecomprehensice,andmoredisaggreg
33、ated(firmlevelratherthanindustryoreconomylevel).Mostprevioussutdieshaveconsideredtheeffectsoftechnologyacrossfirmsinmultipleindustries,althoughafewstudieshaveconsideredtheroleoftechnologyinspecificallyinthebankingindustry.SteinerandTeixierasurveyedthebankingindustryandarguedthatwhilelargeinvestments
34、intechnologyclearlyhadvalue,littleofthisvaluewasbeingcapturedbythebanksthemselves;mostofthebenefitswerebeingpassedontocustomersasaresultofintensecompetition.AlparandKimexaminedthecostefficiencyofbanksoverallandfoundthatITinvestmentwasassociatiedwithgreatercostefficiencyalthoughtheeffectswerelessevid
35、entwhenfinancialratioswereusedastheoutcomemeasure.PrasadandHarkereexaminedtherelationshipbetweentechnologyinvestmentandperformancefor47retailbanksandfoundpositivebenefitsofinvestmentsinITstaff.WhilethesestudiesshowastrongpositivecontributionofITinvestmentonaverage,theydonotconsiderhowthiscontributio
36、n(orlevelofinvestment)variesacrossfirms.BrynjolfssonandHittfoundthat"firmeffects"canaccountforasmuchashalfthecontributionofITfoundintheseearlierstudies.Recentresultssuggestthatatleastpartofthesedifferencescanbeexplainedbydifferencesinorganizationalandstrategicfactors.BrynjolfssonandHittfou
37、ndthatfirmsthatusegreateroverallITbenefits.Bresnehan,BrynjolfssonandHittfoundasimilarresultforfirmsthathavegreaterlevelsofskillsandthosethatmakegreaterinvestmentsintrainingandpre-employmentscreeningforhumancapital.Inaddition,strategicfactorsalsoappeartoaffectthevalueofIT.FirmsthatinvestinITtocreatec
38、ustomervalue(e.g.improveservice,timeliness,convenience,variety)havegreaterperformancethanfirmsthatinvestinITtoreducecosts.WhilethesestudiesarebeginingtoexplorehowtheperformanceofITinvestmentvariesacrossfirm,particularlyduetoorganizationalandstrategicfactors,littleattentionhasbeenpaidtothetechnologyd
39、ecisionmakingprocess.HowFinancialFirmsDecideonTechnology(PartFour)2.3IT Investment DecisionsWhilethereisnoconcisedefinitionof"bestpractice"inITinvestmentdecisions,thereareanumberofconsistentargumentsadvancedintheITmanagementliteraturethatcanbesynthesizedintoanunderstandingoftheconventional
40、wisdom.ForthepruposesofdiscussionitisusefultosubdividetheprocessofITmanagementintosevendiscrete,butinterrelatedprocesses.Thefirstsixprocessesareorientedaroundtheproposal,developmentandmanagementofITprojects,whilethelastprocessisaboutmaintainingthecapabilitiesoftheITfunctionanditsinterrelationshipswi
41、ththerestofthebusiness:1.1 dentificationofITopportunities2 .Evaluatingopportunities3 .ApprovingITprojects4 .Themake-buydecision5 .ManagingITprojects6 .EvaluatingITprojects7 .ManageandDeveloptheITFunctionThissubdivisionlooselycorrespondstomanyofthemajorissuesinITmanagementsuchasoutsourcing,linemanage
42、ment-ITalignment,softwareprojectmanagement,andevaluatingITinvestments.Inaddition,thislistlooselycorrespondstoframeworksforthemanagementofIT.TheprimarydifferenceisthatthislistviewstheITmanagementprocessasmanagingastreamofprojectsratherthanfocusingonthefunctionoftheITdepartmentoverallortheroleoftheCIO
43、,thetypicalperspectiveinthepreviousliterature.Forexample,acommonframeworkusedtoalignITtobusinessstarategy,thecriticalsuccessfactors(CSF)method,includethreeworkshops:thefirsttoidentifyandfocusobjectives,thesecondtodecideandprioritizeonsystemsinvestment,andthethirdtodevelop,deployandreevaluateprototyp
44、esystems.Boynton,JacobsandZmud(1992)identifyfivecriticalITmanagementprocesses:settingstrategicdirection,establishinginfrastructuresystems,scanningtechnology,transferringtechnologyanddevelopingsystems.Rockart,EarlandRoss(1996)proposeeightimperativesfortheITorganizationwhichcanbegroupedintomanagingthe
45、IT-businessrelationship,buildingandmanagingsystemsandinfrastructure,managingvendors,andcreatingahighperformanceITorganization.Thus,whilepreviousworkhassubdividedtheprocessindifferentways,collectivelythestudiescoverallthesevenprocessesweexamine.Wewilldiscusseachoftheindividualpointsindetailbelow.2.3.
46、1 IdentificantofOpportunitiesHistorically,theITfunctionwasprimarilyreactive,respondingtorequestsbybusinessunits.Abusinessunit.Abusinessunitmanagerwouldidentifyaneedforanewsystemorarepair/enhancementtoanexistingsystemandcommunicatethisneedtotheITfunction.TheITpersonnelwouldthenevaluatetheideafortechn
47、icalfeasibilityanddevelopaprojectproposalincludeaninitialdeterminationofresourceneeds,cost,anddeliverytime.WhilethismakeseffectiveuseofITpersonnelinevaluatingparticularideas,itprovidesonlyalimitedroleforITpersonneltoaidintheidentificationoftechnology-basedbusinessopportunities.Forthatreason,someauth
48、orshavesuggestedthattheITfunctionshouldplayalargerroleintheidentificationoftechnologicalopportunities.Forexample,DavenportandShort(1990)emphasizethatITcapabilitiesshouldinformbusinessneedsaswellasthebusinessunitsplacingdemandsontheITfunction.Fockart,EarlandRossandBoynton,JacobsandZmudidentifytherole
49、of"technologyscanning"and"technologyeducation"asanimportantcomponentofacentralizedITdepartment;theyarguethatinformationsystemsspecialistsshouldbereponsibleforevalustingnewtechnologiesforbusinessapplicabilitysincebusinessunitswillgenerallylacktheresourcesorthetechnologicalcapabili
50、tytoperformtheseevaluationsthemselves.Moreover,centralITisbestpositionedtoeducatetheendusestomakethemgood"custmers"ofthecentralITgroup.Inthebankingindustry,ITmaybeabletoplayanadditionalroleincoordinatingtechnology.Becausebanksandotherfinancialfirmsareoftenmanagedwithlargelyautonomousbusine
51、ssunits(forexample,banksareoftendividedintoproductlines-cashmanagement,investment-oralongcustomersegments-wholesale,commercial,retail)onlythecentralITfunctionwillhaveaperspectiveovertheporfolioofsystemsprojectsandcapabilities.OnecriticalroleinthisrespectistheprovisionanddevelopmentofthesharedITinfra
52、structure(e.g.centralprocessors,networks,softwarestandards,etc.).OftentheseprojectsnaturallyspanbusinessunitssuchthattheonlyralowneristheITfunction;alsotheygenerallytendtobehighlytechnicalandthusthenaturalresponsibilitywouldalsofallontheITdepartment.HowFinancialFirmsDecideonTechnology(PartFive)2.3.2
53、 EvaluatingOppoutunitiesOnceaprojectisatleastinitiallydefined,thereisaprocessbywhichtheinitialideaisconvertedintoaproposalthatcanbeevaluatedbymanagementforapprovalorrejectionoffunding.Inthelasttenyears,ithasbecomemoreorlessstandardpracticestodevelopabusinesscaseorbusinessplanforanysubstantialITinves
54、tment(somesmallmaintenanceprojectsaresimplydoneonrequest),althoughthecontent,sophisticationandformalityofthisprocessvariedsubstantially.Themosttypicaloftheseprojectproposals(assumingamid-sizetolargeproject)taketheformofabusinessplanwhichincludesaqualitiativedescriptionoftheobjectives,competitiveenvi
55、ronment,adescriptionoftheopportunityand,insomecases,animplementationplan.Whiletheformoftheseplansvarieswidely,therearesomegeneralpointsofcomparison.Forthequalitativeportion,themajorissueiswhethertheplanexplicitlyaddresseschangesinthebusinessenvironment,orisprimarilyinwardfocused.Forminorsystemsenhan
56、cementprojectswithnostrategicobjective(orevenmajorinvestmentsthatarenotstrategicsuchasyear2000repairs),itmakessensefortheplantofocusentirelyoninternalissues.However,totheextentthattheinvestmentismadeforcompetitivereasonsorislikelytospurareactionfromcompetitors,itisimportanttoqualitativelyevaluatewhe
57、therthebusinessenvironmentwillremainstaticand,ifnot,examinepossiblescenariosthatarelikelytooccur.TheassumptionofastaticbusinessenvironmentisacommondecisionbiasthatcanparticularlyplaguestrategicITinvestments;Clemens(1991)termsthisthe"trapofthevanishingstatusquo".Forthequantativefinancialeva
58、luation,mostITevaluationmethodshavetheirrootsintraditionalcapitalbudgetingproceduressuchasdiscountedcashflowanalysis(DCF).However,whilethesetechniquescanworkwellforprojectswherecostsandbenefitsarwelldefined(e.g.purchasingoff-the-shelfsoftwareinpursuitofoperationalcostsavings),itisincreasinglyrecogni
59、zedthatsimpleapplicationofDCFapproachesisnotsufficientforITinvestments.ThisisbecausemuchofthevalueofmodernITinvestmentsislikelytobedifficulttoquantify-suchasrevenueenhancementsorcostsavingsthroughimprovedcustomerservice,productvariety,ortimeliness.Onecommonlyusedstategyistovaluenon-quantifiablebenefitsatzero,althoughthisstrategywillsystematicallybiasprojectevaluationstounnecessarilyrejectprojects.RecognizingthelimitationoftheDCFapproach,severalalternativeapproacheshavebeenproposed.Onemethodistobasetghecaseentirelyonqualitativeanalysis;unfortunately,thisapproachof
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