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? i ? ? ! ?#$?%?#$? 078?a?bc?de?f?ghij?*%b6q? ?0? 78?;b6q?0#$?h?0? ?6q?0?#z?0?xy/?0i$?6qdst ?q?m?w?w?w?0!d0ij$? dbf/?bi$6q?4?b?“z+:k/ vfl ?:?s?“gh?“”p?“ ?“?i$6q?*6 q?6q?i$6q?vi $6q?xy?q?6?%v?d?t”b?i$6 q?4?0em“?i$bc ?x?_?6?%b6q? vfl 0b6q?v4? ?%r?6q?i$6q? ?b?wa4?v?4i$6q?b?4i$ 6q?/ ?% the present situation of our country?s aging industry is the second part,which introduces the meaning and characteristics and the present situation of the aging industry and the meaning of developing the aging industry;third,the paper indicates the problems that our country?s aging industry is facing and analyses the reasons impacting on the development of aging industry from three aspects,such as government,enterprise and the elderly people; the four part analyses the potential of our abstract iii country?s aging industry on basis of those predecessors?s theories from four aspects,such as economical environment,the quantity and purchasing power and desire to purchase of the elderly people;and brings forward some countermeasures and advices on how to develop our aging industry.at last,i hope these countermeasures and advices has the better instruction function to the development of the aging industry of our country. in view of many disagreements on the aging industry in academic and political fields,this paper carries on the elementary theory of the aging industry and is based on those predecessors? s theories:the research particularly emphasizes the analyses of the meaning of the aging industry ,analyzing the reas ons that can restrict china ?s aging industry development, forecasting its development prospects from the multi-angle,so as to bring forward the countermeasures which can promote chinas aging industry prospers. keywordspopulation agingaging industry market potential ? 1 ? 1 ? 1 ? 1.1? 1.1.1? ?$?;?st$?st? 60 ? 60 ?%?m?f$?ebr:%5*%?x6q?%?fx?y?jz/ b6q4“b?4i$6q? 3?m/j?7c_?78?;a/?;b6 qeb?y?0?ct78fl .?eec6q?“6 q?d?_?78?;b6q?jz?%jb6q ? 2 0?/$?b?njq?6r9q0?6q ?6q?s#?s?9? ?:a6?t?uv56?b w?xyfl ._0s?d? 6yi?6.s? ?;m?yim?e?b6q?4 “/?”bc?f$?b6q?njxy?“s?q ?6q?“?c6.bc?6?bc?o? ?6?bcnj?xy#/20 1 90 ?s?”bc?f$?06.bc? ?6?bc?“”?*b?w?”?“?vwjzb6? ?6q?“/?1956 ?7,?1;%eb?*sj c6.bc?”?w,9? ? 1960?7:$6?“? ?,?6?78”bc?” ?1976 ?,?bc?h? ?6?bc?4? 1996 ?h?,?6bc? ?h?!?_n?k?0s?/?i$?; jc6q?q“n? ?”bc?f$?jc6.bc?”?“e b? ?“?ld?i$6q?“?:6 q“?!?v?d?t?5/?ol 1997 ?: 6q“?!? o?:o$?jc6q?“r?u?i$ ?4“?!?(+?/ ?!?6q?“?d?m? ?“rdm?c4s!?f? ?dt?“kb6q? “ml?9/$?l 1997 ? 2000 ?dtyt?:6q“? v?/0ds?h?vw?y6q?vxy?!?xy/ ds?“?h?fx?“rh?|?h?jz6q?!w”? “v?zh?cw./?dt?“d?0(+? !?w?/=?o?: 2001 ?“?c6q“ ?t? ?/ds?h?jz6q“?aw?8?9w? 6q?pqvw?jz/ ?jzvwz?bi$6q? 4?!?w“/ d?“r?9?;06q“?0i?v ?s?:6q?c?q?:6?%?|?:6? ?q/?:6q?c?”?8?:$q? q?q:6?%#?md? ?nb?r?/?06q?”?n?:6 q?cs?q?wq?/?:6qe z?6?:6?d?6?%?a?(d6? ? 4 bc!? ?)/ 2. 6q?wxy 6q?wxy?z?;?s? ?06q?c eww?d?eww?/ m?“?:6qa?ew /?6?z?: ew?ew6q?+,?/ 7? v?: :6?t?nb?t?*6qnm?w?e w/ 8?v 6q#?m?ew?/ 9m “?6q?a?w:/?fl ?: 6 qstq?=?qw:#?ww?:/ 10dm ?:6qu?|?ww?ex?meww? zm ?ww?/?$?v ?8?07?q?|?6 ?6?c?ww? 7?q?me?)?|?cew w?m(+?nv?6?”?:?7?q?me? )?x?|?mew?m?w/ 11 3. %?a?bcad3e*fgh?ij kl?mnop q?a?rstg+uvw ? qxyrdzw ?_ a? _ ?a? ? 1 ? ? 5 ?pq?:;?p? 18 t”/15a?li$6 q?:?q?ub?q?c?q?deq?q?o q?f/ 16?ghi?zli$6q?pq4*ex? jk 17 18 ?jci$6qa?pq/?lmnv?6 ?q?6?qa?r:6q?#?/19 5. 6q?9 ?jb$?q?9”mo*?ro5?/ ?p?: 6q?(?i$?na?6q?/20?:? ?ma?q?q?d?i$6q?=?/ 21 ?fl ?: a ?rs?6q?p3?78.?t$?6q4# ?/ 22 su?v*?v?w?x?y5?z%? ?i$6q?/23 ?i$6q?“s*srz?c?9?$6q?“ kmsr?34?l?6q“?!?_?9?$6 qem?“rd?0iea?s?i$?6q“?m? (?i$?$?i$a()? bc6?%0jc6q?;?6q?wxy?6?bc!? j?c6qkjlwxy?*:6?%? ?|6?qpq?e?:6?%?|? ?q#?q? ?:6?%?|6?qz06q? ?d?p?csq?:6?%?|b?q0?*/ ?:6q?cs?q?wq?/? ?;#?md?“?nb?r?su?:?6q s?”q#?v?qa6?%?bw?xy?w_ ?q?/ 28 29?”*6?%9:?”/ ? 2 ? 8bstg*9:cd 9 ?z?:6q?cs?”q?wq? ?06q?”?n?/ ?d?0?”6?%?jz?s*s?/ ? c?#?var?78?”a?kl?6?e?)/u?2008 ?mq? ?g ?*+? 2008 ?, ?i$?f6?e?)m 35632 t?f? 234.5 2? 2007 ?56 10.2?%m? ?0$?7=?t/ ?0_?y?j?ii$6?mqz0a? ?6?%b46?”? /*+ 2008 ?,?i$?f6?6? ?eb?* 4 2?0?f? 430 ?2%?s.=06?m q?#z?*kl?9?0?6?%e=4?g?1s6? ?f? 130 ?2%/i$6?mqeb!;5?.?3.?cd/ ?6?7?6?q”?0s?e?c?v ? 2 ? 8bstg*9:cd 13 ?i$%? 0i$?7c6qst?q?qq?es%b6qa b?*f?bc?6q?6q0? ?w?%lt6?%v?bbby?o6q?l? ?xy?*i$6q?/?q?d?q?d m?0i$?6q?w?w? b6q?jzeb? ?| ? ?6?q:6?%?|?6?d6?e?6?%? !?_?1e?a6?%uv56?bw?xyfl ._/?nj”5*%fi bci$6q?h?mi? s?:i$6? %bc?h?/?i$e?8 e$?|?v? ?8h?e?g?f$?jc6q?4?b f?f$?4?q4?9/?”?f$?6qez:6?%? v?!?|*r/?bw?z?4*q()?”c?.?:$?bc ?z5*?c?/?”?f$?06q?q?v?f? ?$?7? ?uv?6?%?p$6?%u?v? ?qq?uv?$?6?”ebk *?ru?bf? i$6q?d?”?f$?06q”ru ?bf?mk?/ 4.1.2 ?ez56?6?%? ?g#?+u?1;f?k0r9?6?%?p?/ ?bcjz?i?m?a ?t? ?d?aez56?6?%?)?6q?=? t?/ 4.1.4 ?*f?6qdsfl 0q?wa?! ?njq?q?6q?klw?8w? q?bkly?6qds?q#? ch/?i$6 q?l?6qk5?78?bwfl (?xyfl (?78? #/?a?4s!?b?#?%?$6?%?v?p?7?a?kl mqn6?o6?p6?fl ?=?sd? a?eb?=?t?c6q?d=? es d?:6q? ?q?8?b?=?6?7? ?7?a?rsh?6?%?7?”#?ep6?%?sh? 6?i!d?f?i?g?g ?46?%?gh?-?6?%c?c?c? ?kl?46q?/ 4.2.2 ?=?23?y?(?s?x?d ?i$6q?st?zi$6?%bc%5?%.? ? ?a?m?/?6?%bc%5?6?%?a?bw?m a?bc?ez? gdp ? 5?$?bc!a?!?78?u ?uv0?78)*+,?”-.m?p?sfl ?1998p79? 34 /01?stgp21 “lb*?23+,j?4?5?1999?(5) p65-68? 35 2007 alb6789a!m?plb67fl ?2007? 36 : ;?dzstg*9j?dzr9rj? xyrdz? 2000? 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