未来无线通信发展趋势 毕业论文外文翻译.doc

the future development trend of wireless communicationrecently, the british ofcom release entitled trend in future wireless communications research report, put forward in the six important problems to be solved before communication development in 2028, pointed out the direction for the development of the next period of time the communication industry.1、comprehensive considerationthis report is at the end of 2008, ofcom held a wireless communication in the future development trend of the seminar on on the basis of the finishing results, more than 10 members to participate in the seminar experts are communication related fields and senior professionals, including cambridge and other british famous university professor, who is responsible for the bbc broadcasting research and innovation department, senior researchers at microsoft, bt, vodafone, orange and other communications giant strategy researchers etc.ofcom hosting this symposium aims, to determine the next 10 to 20 years the most important communication technology, analysis the technical development and new business application may bring benefits, key points, main obstacles and schedule, determine the future development of the focus of the work of ofcom.this seminar is not confined to the communication field of technical analysis, but starting from three broad dimensions of social, environmental and economic, analysis should be the direction in the communication industry macro environment.experts say, the next 10 to 20 years, each field of the society will have some great changes in social development trend, which is mainly manifested in the following aspects: people spending on cars, robots are used more widely, the human development of bionics, city trend, big city increase, serious integrity problems, in the home office is more common. environmental trend is shown in the following aspects: ecological factory, more popular company promises utilization of renewable resources, a breath of fresh air into the new demand. economic trends are: the world more open, human recessive cost higher thinking again, water supply is becoming increasingly tight, the economic crisis still exists, the data center on ip.change brings opportunity has five main aspects: from people looking for work to work for someone; robot let people have more leisure time, but people may not have enough cash to support; increase the big city which makes people from the salt water and contaminated water in clean drinking water; large remote data center a small, localized and high flexibility of the data center instead of.challenges also exist, mainly in the following aspects: the growing gap between city and countryside; poverty, increasing elderly population, the shortage of social pension reserve; in developed countries, the economic pressure makes most people want to work at the age of 70; intellectual property can no longer be sold for money, people think it should be free to enjoy the rise in oil prices to restrict peoples travel;, more and more people choose to work at home.in addition, 20 years after the society also faces such problems: environment and stable development threatens the economic pressure; energy consumption problem is increasingly outstanding, will increase the energy use restrictions.ofcom requires experts elected in 2018 and 2028 the whole society are facing the most important opportunities and challenges, the emphasis is how to explain these opportunities and challenges to influence the world, but not how to solve these problems, the results are as shown in the table.2、the establishment of the six areas of concernbased on the above analysis, the experts to discuss and suggest that ofcom in the next 10 to 20 years research and development focused on the following issues.first, network architecture and protocol of ip/ngn era. ip due to the transmission according to the bit, the energy consumption efficiency is low, at the same time, the ip address resources will eventually be exhausted, communication mode, the ideal is not the ip/ngn, ofcom must think about what the future instead of ip/ngn.second, a measure of new analysis method of communication. the existing measure of means of communication is too narrow and too simple, the future should be to measure the communication with new tools and methods, need to consider the effect of various aspects, including cost, traffic, energy consumption, social benefits, environmental impact.third, the future communication needs of aging society satisfaction problem. in 2028, the aging problem will be more serious, because the elderly in the ability to understand than the poor young man, the future how to meet the communication needs a large number of the elderly, including communication tools, information content, the elderly health, aging on microeconomic effects, should be taken into account.fourth, how to meet the needs of the future development of communication of microcosmic economy. social economic operation after 20 years may change a lot, such as work allocation and payment methods are very different and now, great changes that will bring technology, society and regulation, will affect a series field. therefore, the communication industry needs to understand and adapt to social changes of microcosmic economy.fifth, the communication industry is committed to reducing the energy consumption. the energy problem in the next 20 years will be more prominent, has become a major social problem, so the communication industry must pay close attention, it is necessary to consider the communication field energy use, distribution to industrial energy consumption, find can reduce the energy consumption in hand, but also concern about the industry situation, analysis of digital economy and communication technology areas in which implementation can greatly reduce energy consumption.sixth, the digital access to the universal service. ofcom should understand the demand for digital access and services, across geographical and social sectors, to find the implementation of every citizen to universal access.译文：未来无线通信发展趋势近日，英国ofcom发布题为未来无线通信发展趋势的研讨报告，提出在2028年前通信发展要解决的六个重要问题，为今后一段时间英国通信业的发展指明了方向。1、全方位综合考虑 这份报告是在2008年底ofcom召开的“未来无线通信发展趋势”专题研讨会基础上进行整理的结果，参与研讨会的10多位成员均是通信相关领域的专家和资深人士，包括剑桥等几所英国著名大学的教授，bbc广播研究和创新部门的负责人，微软的高级研究人员，bt、沃达丰、orange等通信巨头的战略研究人员等。 ofcom举办这次专题研讨会的目的在于，确定未来1020年最重要的通信技术，分析这些技术发展和新业务应用可能带来的利益、关键点、主要障碍点和时间表，确定ofcom未来研发工作的重点。这次研讨会并没有局限于通信领域进行纯技术性的讨论，而是从社会、环境和经济三个更广的维度入手，分析在宏观环境下通信业应朝什么方向发展。专家们认为，未来的1020年，社会的各个领域都将发生一些巨大变化，其中社会发展趋势主要表现在如下方面：人们压缩对汽车的开支、机器人得到更广泛的运用、人类仿生学发展、城市化趋势明显、特大城市增多、诚信问题严重、在家办公更为普遍。环境趋势表现在以下方面：生态工厂普及、更多公司承诺应用可再生资源、呼吸新鲜空气成为新的需求。经济趋势表现在：世界更加开放、人类对ip进行再思考、水资源供应日益紧张、经济危机仍然存在、数据中心的隐性成本较高。变化给社会带来的机会主要有五个方面：从人们找工作到工作找人;机器人让人们有了更多休闲时间，但人们可能没有足够的现金来支撑;特大城市的增加使得人们必须从盐水和污染水源中净化可饮用水;大型远程数据中心被小型、本地化和高灵活性的数据中心替代。挑战同样存在，主要表现在以下方面：城市和农村差距越来越大;贫困、老年人口增多，社会退休金储备不足;在发达国家，经济压力使得大多数人要工作到70岁;知识产权不再能卖到钱，人们认为应该免费享受;油价上升限制人们旅行，越来越多的人选择在家办公。此外，20年后的社会还会面临这样一些问题：环境压力威胁经济稳定发展;能源消费问题日益突出，对能源使用的限制会增加。ofcom要求专