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CircanaInspire
CPGPrivate
BrandsUpdate
March1,2024
ExecutiveSummary
Theanticipatedgainsofprivatebrands(alsoreferredtoasstorebrandsorprivatelabel)amidhighinflationhavebeenrealized.ThisreportprovidesanupdateontheU.S.$217+billionstorebrandlandscapeandidentifiesretaileropportunitiesto
increasedemandfortheirownbrandandprivatebrandofferings.
CurrentDemandforPrivateBrands
•Totaldollarsalesofprivatebrandsincreased6%in2023,andunitsincreased0.9%.Privatelabelgainedshare
fromnamebrands,increasingfrom24.7%oftotalunitsalesin2022to25.5%in2023.SaleswerehigherforPLF&B,6.7%comparedtononedible5.1%Still,privatebrandsgainedsharefromnamebrands,increasingto24.7%oftotal
unitsales,upfrom25.5%in2022.
•Privatebrandsgrewunitandunitshareacrossgeneralfood,shelfstablebeveragesandrefrigeratedfoods,aswellas
beautyandhomedepartments.WithinF&B,privatebrandsoutperformednamebrandsbasedoncorepantrydollarandunits.
•HouseholdswithchildrenandMillennialandGenXhouseholdswithnochildren,eachrepresentmorethanathirdofprivatebrand
F&Bunitpurchases.Withinthosesamecohorts,middleaffluentshoppersarethemostengagedwithprivatebrandsyetotherafluenciesaregrowing.
•Retailersaretreatingtheirbrandslike“brands”,innovatingwithmorecleanlabels,premiumofferings,andmarketingsupporting.
PrivateBrandOpportunities
•Eveninthesaltysnackaisle,wherenamebrandsdominate,consumersarerecognizingthevalueofprivatebrands.Acommitmenttoincreasinghouseholdpenetrationonecategoryatatime,canpayoffforretailersinthelongrun.
•Retailerscanleaninfurtheronthewaysconsumersarecookingtoday.Demonstratehowprivatebrandsworkwithsmallappliances,likeairfryersandinstantpots,foreasy-to-preparemeals.
•Promotioniskey.Giventhatyoungershoppersaremorelikelytostarttheirshoppingjourneyonline,leveragedigitalmarketingtolockinthesevaluablecohorts.
•Leveragetrustinproductstopromotenewofferingsthatreflectthemissionofthestorebanner.
•Raceisonforstorebrandstoexpandshoppertrialtobuildtrustwithstorebrandsanddeepenengagement.
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse2
Thecumulativeeffectofhigher
pricesfrustratesconsumers
25.0%
Food0.&0beveragepricerealizationYoYandindexedtoQ12019,MULO+withC-store
127.8
128.3
130.0
20.0%
AvgPrice%ChgYAPriceIndexvs2019WageIndexvs2019
119.3
118.1
120.0
15.0%
112.1
12.4%
11.6%
110.0
10.8%
10.0%
9.5%
7.9%
103.7
5.3%
3.7%
2.3%
1.2%
10.0%
100.0
100.0
7.3%
/
100.1
4.4%
5.0%
3.9%
4.2%
3.9%3.9%
90.0
1.9%1.7%1.6%1.7%
80.0
0.0%
Q119
Q219
Q319
Q419
Q120
Q220
Q320
Q420
Q121
Q221
Q321
Q421
Q122
Q222
Q322
Q422
Q123
Q223
Q323
Q423
Source:CircanaPOSMULO+andC-storedataendingDecember31,2023.Note:Pricepervolumechangescalculatedatacategorylevel(forcategoriesthathasequivalizedvolumes)andthendollarweightedtogettotalF&Bandaisles
3
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse
Macroeconomicsarenomatch
forconsumersentiment
76.9inFebruary2024,up10ptsfromYA
TheGOODNews
Easinginflation
Solideconomicgrowth
SpendingremainshealthyEasinggasprices
Socialsecurity-3.2%increaseLowratesofunemployment
TheBADNews
Consumersarepaying~30%more
forgroceriescomparedto2019Highinterestrates
Savingsdepletion
StudentloanrepaymentHighhousingcosts
Creditcarddebt$1trillion+
Source:UniversityofMichiganConsumerSentimentIndex
4
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse
PrivateBrandsarea
retailpowerhouse
$217,000,000,000
Privatebrands’AnnualSales,U.S.TotalStore
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse5
Totalstoreprivatebrandsalesare
upinbothdollarsandunitsvs.YAG
Units(Billions)
Privatebrandsareseeingunitgrowthlagdollargrowth,asimilarpatterntonamebrandproducts.
Dollars(Billions)
+6.3%
$216.8
$204.0
$179.2$180.5
$157.2
20192020202120222023
57.1
53.8
+0.9%53.5
53.1
52.7
20192020202120222023
PANDEMICSTOCKUP
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse6
Privatebrandscontinue
togrowunitshareeveninachallenginggrowthenvironment
UnitShare
25.5%
74.5%
75.3%
24.7%
2022
Namebrands
2023Privatebrands
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
7
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse
Forpublicuse8
Circana,LLC
Acrossthestore,privatebrandfood
andbeveragesalescontinuetogrow
Shiftingtoprivatebrandsisamongthestrategiesconsumersemployduringuncertaintimes.
AllOutletSales($Billions)
+6.7%
$152.0
$142.4
$123.0
$106.7
$123.0
20192020202120222023
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
8
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse
IncreasingF&Bprivatebrandunitandunitshare
demonstratesstrongconsumerdemand
PLF&BUnits(Billions)
45.4
+1.2%43.2
42.7
42.6
41.6
20192020202120222023
F&BPLUnitShare
+1.0pt
26.0%
25.3%25.1%
25.0%
24.4%
20192020202120222023
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
9
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse
Privatebrandscontinuetogaintraction
acrossfoodandbeveragedepartments
GeneralFood
+1.2%
PLUnits
+0.9pt
PLUnitShare
ShelfStableBeverages
+1.2%
PLUnits
+0.7pt
PLUnitShare
Refrigerated
+1.8%
PLUnits
+1.1pt
PLUnitShare
Frozen
-0.5%
PLUnits
+.9pt
PLUnitShare
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse10
Morethanathirdofthecorepantry
spendisonprivatebrands
Thisaccountsaccountingfor40%ofcorepantryunits
CorePantryGrowth
DOLLARS
UNITS
+3.9%O
+1.7%
PRIVATEBRANDS
NAMEBRANDS+3.2%-3.1%
Coreprivatebrandpantryaccountsfor52%dollarshareand45%unitshareoftotalprivatebrandfood&beveragesales.
BreakfastMeatsMeatRFG
Poultry-FRZ/RFG
SeafoodFRZShortening/Oil
Butter/ButterBlends
Cookies
SaltySnacks
SnackNuts/SeedsPastry/DoughnutsFreshBread&RollsBakingNeeds
Coffee
BottledWaterDairyMilk
NaturalCheeseEggs
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse11
Consumersareincreasinglyleaningintoprivate
brandvalueforeverydaycorepantryitems
CorePantryCategories*DollarShare
36.2%
63.8%
35.7%
64.3%
35.2%
64.8%
36.5%
63.5%
36.6%
63.4%
20192020202120222023
NameBrandsPrivateBrands
CorePantryCategories*UnitShare
40.1%
59.9%
39.4%
60.6%
38.6%
61.4%
39.3%
60.7%
40.5%
59.5%
20192020202120222023
NameBrandsPrivateBrands
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
CorePantry:topPrivateBrandCategories-BreakfastMeats,MeatRFG,Poultry-FRZ/RFG,,SeafoodFRZ,Shortening/Oil,Butter/ButterBlends,Cookies,SaltySnacks,SnackNuts/Sees,Pastry/Donuts,FreshBread&Rolls,BakingNeeds,Coffee,Bottled,Water,DairyMilk,NaturalCheese,Eggs
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse12
Agrowingnumberofconsumersarefinding
valueinprivatebrandsacrossthesaltysnackaisle
HHPenetration-PointChange2023vs.YA
NamebrandsPrivatebrands
2.22.22.0
Tortilla/
TostadaChipsPretzelsPotatoChips
-0.6
-1.1
-1.2
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse13
Circana,LLC|Proprietaryandconfidential14
DairyconsumersembracePL
Privatebrandsoutpacenamebrandsin11outof14dairycategories
Cottagecheese
isaTikTokwinforall
UNITGROWTH
+5.7%
PrivateBrand
+11.7%
NameBrand
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
14
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse
Privatebrandsareleaninginto
thewayconsumerscooktoday
NAMEBRAND
PRIVATEBRAND
FRZPotatoes/Onionsunitgrowth
+3.5%
-2.1%
FRZApp&SnackRollsunitgrowth
+0.2%○
-6.5%
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse15
Privatebrandnonedible
salesarealsoincreasingacrossthestore
Yetprivatebrandnonediblesalesareincreasingataslowerpacethanfoodandbeverage
AllOutletSales($Billions)
$61.6
$64.8
$56.2
$57.5
$50.5
+5.1%
20192020202120222023
Nonediblepurchasesaremoresubjecttohouseholdbudgets
thannon-discretionaryfoodandbeverageitems.
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse16
Acrossthestore,nonedibleprivatebrandsalesare
mixed,withunitsdown,butunitshareincreasing
UnitShare
Bothnamebrandsandprivatebrandsareimpactedbyunitconstriction.
Units(Billions)
-0.7%
11.7
11.0
11.1
10.4
10.4
20192020202120222023
+0.5pt
24.1%
24.2%
23.5%
23.4%
23.9%
20192020202120222023
PANDEMICSTOCKUP
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse17
Privatebrandscontinuetogaintraction
acrossnonedibledepartments
Unitsalesaredowningenmerchandhealthdepartments.
Beauty
+2.1%
PLUnits
+0.3pt
PLUnitShare
GeneralMerch
-1.8%
PLUnits
+0.6pt
PLUnitShare
Health
-3.3%
PLUnits
+0.0pt
PLUnitShare
Home
+3.2%
PLUnits
+1.0pt
PLUnitShare
Source:CircanaMULO+,TotalU.S.,YEDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse18
Morethanhalfofshoppers
lookfordealsmoreoften
Shoppersareincreasinglymorelikelytolookforsalesordeals:
45%December2021
55%October2022
55%October2023
Source:CircanaOmnibusSurvey
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse19
Cohortsimportantfordrivingprivate
brandsconsumerdemand
35%
ofprivatebrandF&Bunitpurchasescome fromhouseholdswithchildren
36%
ofprivatebrandF&Bunitpurchasescomefrom
millennialandGenX
householdswithnochildren
Source:CircanaOmniScanPanel,TotalU.S.,yearendingDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse20
Mid-affluentHHswithkidsindexhigheston
purchasesofprivatebrandfoodandbeverage
Yetotheraffluentlevelsalsodrivegrowth
HHwithKidsAges0-11HHwithKidsAges12+
Units
UnitIndex
Units
UnitIndex
LOWER
+14.0%
105
+5.3%
115
MIDDLE
-1.4%
123
+0.7%
130
UPPER+4.0%108-0.9%117
Affluency=householdincomepercapitaSource:CircanaOmniScanPanel,TotalU.S.,yearendingDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse21
Mid-affluentmillennialandGenXhouseholds
withoutkidsindexhigherwithPLfood&beverage
Lower-andupper-affluentmillennialhouseholdswithnokidsarealso
drivinggrowth.
MillennialHHs,NoKidsGenXHHs,NoKids
Units
UnitIndex
Units
UnitIndex
LOWER
+16.2%
106
+1.7%
119
MIDDLE
-1.8%
124
+0.9%
129
UPPER+5.0%110-2.8%115
Affluency=householdincomepercapitaSource:CircanaOmniScanPanel,TotalU.S.,yearendingDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse22
Consumersareleaningintoprivate
brandstomeettheirlifestageneeds
GenXwithnokidsHHpenetrationisincreasingforprivatebrandsacrossthewidestnumberofcategories
Somecategorieswhere householdpenetrationincreased,andthenumberofexclusiveprivatelabelbuyersofthecategoryincreased
HHwithKidsAges0-11HHwithKidsAges12+MillennialHHs,NoKidsGenXHHs,NoKids
RefrigeratedSideDishes
X
X
RefrigeratedEntrees
X
X
FrozenSeafood
X
MexicanSauces
X
OtherSnacks*
X
X
HotCereal
X
X
X
FrozenPlainVegetables
X
X
Butter/ButterBlendsX
*Applecrisps,carob/yogurtcoated,chocolatecoatedsaltysnacks,nutritionalsnacks/trailmixCircanaOmniScanPanel,TotalU.S.,yearendingDecember31,2023
Circana,LLC|Proprietaryandconfidential23
Anevensplit:StoreBrandLoyalists,Predominant
SwitchersandNameBrandLoyalists
Storebrandshareofwalletsegments:Amongalloutletshoppers,onethirdaremostcommittedtostorebrands,anotherthirdaremostcommittedto
namebrands,andathirdhaveagreatertendencytoswitchbetweenstorebrandandnamebrandpurchases.
33%
StoreBrandLoyalist
Storebrands>27%oftotaldollarsspent
33%
PredominantSwitchers
Storebrands>17%and<27%oftotaldollarsspent
33%
NameBrandLoyalist
Storebrands<17%oftotaldollarsspent
Source:CircanaOmniScanPanel,TotalU.S.-AllOutlets,Latest52WeeksOctober2023,NBDaligned
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse24
Consumerstendtoconsiderstorebrands
asgoodorbetterthannamebrands
Particularlyforfoodandbeverageandover-the-countermedications,storebrandsandnamebrandsareconsideredsimilarinquality.
StoreBrandvs.NameBrandSuperiority
%StoreBrandLoyalists
StoreBrandSuperiorSBandNBSimilarNameBrandSuperior
PetFood
LaundryDetergentShampoo/Conditioner
CheesseSaltySnacks
OTCMedications
41%
49%
50%
67%
68%
80%
45%
45%
26%
26%
7%
6%
6%5%
53%
13%
5%
8%
%NameBrandLoyalists
StoreBrandSuperiorSBandNBSimilarNameBrandSuperior
PetFood
LaundryDetergentShampoo/Conditioner
CheeseSaltySnacks
OTCMedications
54%
47%
50%
32%
30%
22%
61%
65%
9%7%
7%
6%
44%
44%
35%
70%
11%
8%
Source:CircanaStoreBrandsThoughtLeadershipSurvey,October2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse25
Consumershopping
behaviorsarefixed,
regardlessofthelevelofloyaltytostorebrands
Purchasedecisionsoftenoccurbeforeshoppersenterastore,withhabitualbranddecisionswidespreadacrossPrivateBrandLoyalistsandNameBrandLoyalists.
55%
Isticktoalistwhengroceryshopping
75%IalmostalwaysbuybrandsI’veboughtbefore
84%IusuallydecidewhatI’mgoingtobuybeforeIgettothestore
Source:CircanaStoreBrandsThoughtLeadershipSurvey,October2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse26
Storebrandsinfluence
wherepeopleshop
Importanceisgrowingamongthosemostcommittedtostorebrands
%WhoFrequentlyorAlwaysChoose
aRetailerBasedonStoreBrandsCarried
Q32021Q32022Q32023
StoreBrandLoyalist
33%
35%
38%
Switcher
27%
29%
29%
NameBrandLoyalist
27%
29%
29%
Source:CircanaStoreBrandsThoughtLeadershipSurvey,October2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse27
Brandtrustisfoundational
forallshoppers,butespeciallyforPrivateLabelLoyalists
ItmustbeabrandItrust:
84%PrivateLabelLoyalists
85%PL/NameBrandSwitchers
77%NameBrandLoyalists
Source:CircanaStoreBrandsThoughtLeadershipSurvey,October2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse28
StoreBrandLoyalistsenjoyshoppingandhunting
forthelowestpricesmorethanothersegments
Feelsoverwhelmedbyshopping
3ptlowerthanbrandnameloyalists
34%
Makesproduct
decisionsquickly
2pthigherthanbrandname
loyalists
62%
24%
Enjoysshopping
6pthigherthanbrandnameloyalists
Sticktoabudgetwhenshopping
2ptlowerthanbrandnameloyalists
Paysattention
tonutritionandingredientlabels
9pthigherthanbrandname
loyalists
65%
43%
67%
Activelysearchesforlowestprice
1pthigherthanbrandnameloyalists
Source:CircanaStoreBrandsThoughtLeadershipSurvey,October2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse29
Commonproduct
attributesrank
highinproductdecision-makingacrossloyalty
e
ng
1.Productperformance
2.Price
1.Productperformance
2.Price
Hom
Cleani
3.BrandItrust
4.PriorExperiencewithBrand
3.BrandItrust
4.PriorExperiencewithBrand
TIED
5.Ingredientlist
5.Ingredientlist
segments
On-trend,lifestyleandhealthandwellnessingredientsthatresonatewithyourtargetshoppersreflectopportunities.
ExtremelyImportanttoBuyingDecision-Top5RankedImportance
PrivateBrandLoyalist
NameBrandLoyalist
Food&
Beverage
1.Taste
2.Price
3.Ingredientlist
4.Priorexperiencewithbrand
5.BrandItrust
1.Taste
2.Price
3.Ingredientlist*
4.BrandItrust
5.Priorexperiencewithbrand
*significanthighervs.2021
NoPrescription
Meds
1.Productperformance
2.Price
3.BrandItrust
4.PriorExperiencewithBrand
5.Ingredientlist
1.Productperformance
2.Price
3.BrandItrust
4.PriorExperiencewithBrand
5.Ingredientlist
Source:CircanaStoreBrandsThoughtLeadershipSurvey,October2023
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse30
Thepercentageofshoppersplanningtoswitch
toprivatelabelmoreoftenishigherthanYAG
Despiteincreasingconsumerconfidenceandeasinginflation,consumersareleaningintoprivatebrands.
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
%ofShoppersPlanningtoSwitchtoPrivateLabelBrandsMoreOften
2023
2022
JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC
SOURCE:CircanaOmnibusSurveys,2022-2023,
Circana,LLC|Forpublicuse31
Circana,LLCCPirapaie,tLaa|nocropnbidliecnisael32
Privatebrandimplications
•Investininnovationthatsupportsthestoremissionandcreatesap
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