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FinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries
FederalReserveBoard,Washington,D.C.
ISSN1936-2854(Print)
ISSN2767-3898(Online)
WhoisMindingtheStore?OrderRoutingandCompetitioninRetailTradeExecution
XingHuang,PhilippeJorion,JeongminLee,andChristopherSchwarz
2024-080
Pleasecitethispaperas:
Huang,Xing,PhilippeJorion,JeongminLee,andChristopherSchwarz(2024).“WhoisMindingtheStore?OrderRoutingandCompetitioninRetailTradeExecution,”FinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries2024-080.Washington:BoardofGovernorsoftheFederalReserveSystem,
/10.17016/FEDS.2024.080
.
NOTE:StafworkingpapersintheFinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries(FEDS)arepreliminarymaterialscirculatedtostimulatediscussionandcriticalcomment.TheanalysisandconclusionssetfortharethoseoftheauthorsanddonotindicateconcurrencebyothermembersoftheresearchstafortheBoardofGovernors.ReferencesinpublicationstotheFinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries(otherthanacknowledgement)shouldbeclearedwiththeauthor(s)toprotectthetentativecharacterofthesepapers.
1
WhoIsMindingtheStore?OrderRoutingandCompetitioninRetailTradeExecution
XingHuang,PhilippeJorion,JeongminLee,andChristopherSchwarz*,tJuly20,2024
Abstract
Using150,000actualtrades,westudytheU.S.equityretailbroker-wholesalermarket,focusingonbrokers’orderroutingandcompetitionamongwholesalers.Wedocumentsubstantialandpersistentdispersioninexecutioncostsacrosswholesalerswithinbro-kers.Despitethis,manybrokershardlychangetheirroutingandevenconsistentlysendmoreorderstothemoreexpensivewholesalers,althoughthereisconsiderablevariationamongbrokers.Wealsodocumentacasewhere,afteranewwholesalerenters,existingwholesalerssignificantlyreducetheirexecutioncosts.Overall,ourfindingsandtheo-reticalframeworkhighlighttheheterogeneityacrossbrokersandareinconsistentwithperfectcompetitioninthismarket.
*ChristopherSchwarz(correspondingauthor,phone:949-824-0936,email:cschwarz@)andPhilippeJorionareatthePaulMerageSchoolofBusinessattheUniversityofCaliforniaatIrvine.XingHuangisattheOlinBusinessSchool,WashingtonUniversityinSt.Louis.Jeongmin“Mina”LeeisattheFederalReserveBoard,Washington,DC.Theviewsexpressedherearetheauthors’ownanddonotreflecttheviewsoftheFederalReserveSystemoritsstaff.WewishtothankAlyssaMoncriefandSanathNairforresearchassistance.Thispaperbenefitedfromhelpfulcommentsbynumerousfriendsandcolleaguesandconferenceparticipantsatthe2023ESSFMAssetPricingConference,2024MFAConference,2024NortheasternUniversityFinanceConference,SFSCavalcade2024,9thAnnualUniversityofConnecticutFinanceConference,10th“WomeninMicrostructure”Meeting(WiMM),aswellasseminarsatBaruchCollege,ColumbiaUniversity,CornellUniversity,IowaStateUniversity,JohnsHopkinsUniversity,theUniversityofMaryland,NortheasternUniversity,andNotreDameUniversity.Inparticular,wewantedtothankAmberAnand,FatemehAramian,ThomasErnst,DermotMurphy,MehrdadSamadi,ChesterSpatt,MaoYe.Allerrorsareourown.
tAllbrokerageaccountsreferencedwerefundeddirectlybytheauthorswithpersonalmoney.Nooutsidecompensationwasreceivedfromanybrokerorwholesalerforthisstudy.Thispaperrequirednooutsideapproval.JeongminLeedidnotandwillnotcontributeanyfundsorinputtothedesignandexecutionoftrading.SinceJeongminLeeandherspouseanddependentchildrenarenotparticipatinginanyformtothetradingprocess,thepaperdoesnotviolateanyethicsrulesorBoardpolicies.
JELClassifications:G12,G14,G50
Keywords:retailtrading,executionquality,orderrouting,competition,marketmicrostructure,regulation,
broker-dealers,wholesalers
1
1.Introduction
Retailinvestors’accesstoequitymarketshasvastlyimprovedoverthelastfewdecades.IntheU.S.,theadoptionofRegulationNMS(
SEC
(
2005
))ledmostretailbrokerstoroutecustomers’orderstospecializedOTCmarketmakers,called“wholesalers.”Inexchangeforretailorderflows,wholesalersprovidedirectcompensationtomostbrokers,calledpaymentfororderflow(PFOF),andindirectlycompensateinvestorsthroughreducedeffectivebid-askspreadsrelativetothosequotedonexchanges,whichisalsoknownas“priceimprovement.”Further,mostretailbrokerseliminatedcommissionsinlate2019.Thesechangesledtomajorreductionsintradingcosts.Evenso,tradingisnotfree,andtheactualcostsinvestorsincuraredeterminedbytheexecutionqualityprovidedtoretailinvestors.
Inthispaper,westudybrokers’orderroutingandwholesalercompetitiontoprovideinsightintotheexecutionqualityofretailtrades
.1
Ontheonehand,thereareonlyfourmajorplayerscurrently(Citadel,Virtu,G1X,andJaneStreet),whichraisesaconcernthatthewholesalermarketistooconcentratedandhasledtoscrutinyfrompolicy-makers
.2,3
Ontheotherhand,brokersmightbeabletoenforceprice(Bertrand)competitionamongwholesalers.Althoughbrokersdonothaveadirecteconomicstakeinexecutioncosts(whichareentirelybornebyinvestors),theydohavealegaldutyof“bestexecution.”Brokersare
1AnotherelementthatcanaffecttheexecutionqualityisPFOF.However,theliterature(e.g.,
Bartlett
etal.
(2023),
Ernstetal.
(2024),
Levy
(2022),
Schwarzetal.
(2023))haslargelyfoundthatPFOFisnot
relatedtoexecutionqualityforU.S.equitiesandthattheeconomicmagnitudeofPFOFmaybetoosmalltoexplainlargevariationsinexecutionquality.Inaddition,PFOFisthesameacrosswholesalerswithinbrokers,whichshouldnotinfluenceroutingdecisions.
2
HuandMurphy
(2022)arguethatthetwolargestwholesalersinthismarketaccountfor70%ofvolume
. 3In2022,theSECissuedfourproposalsthatwouldfundamentallyrevisetheregulationsgoverningthestructureofU.S.equitymarkets.Theproposedchangesinclude:“DisclosureofOrderExecutionInforma-
tion”(
SEC
(2022a)),whichwasrecentlyadopted(
SEC
(2024)),“OrderCompetitionRule”(
SEC
(2022b)),
“RegulationBestExecution”(
SEC
(2022c)),and“RegulationNMS:MinimumPricingIncrements,Access
Fees,andTransparencyofBetterPricedOrders”(
SEC
(2022d))
.
2
expectedtomonitorthequalityofwholesalerexecutiontoensurethat“orderflowisdirectedtomarketsprovidingthemostbeneficialtermsfortheircustomers’orders”(
FINRA
(
2014
)).
Usingover150,000independently-generatedtrades,wefindresultsinconsistentwithper-fectpricecompetitioninthismarket.MeasuringexecutioncostsaseffectivespreadsdividedbyquotedNBBOspreads(E/Q),wefindsignificantandpersistentdifferencesincostsacrosswholesalersforeachbroker.Moreover,wefindsubstantialheterogeneityintheresponsesofbrokerstopastexecutionquality,withthemajorityofbrokerscontinuingtosendmoreorderstomoreexpensivewholesalers.Lastly,wedocumentacasewhereexistingwholesalerssignificantlylowerexecutioncostsfollowingtheentryofanewwholesaler.Ourtheoreticalframeworkbasedonprice(Bertrand)competitionwithfrictionscollectivelyexplainsourresults.
TradingExperiment.Ratherthanrelyingonpublicdisclosuresthatareaggregatedatahighlevel,weprovideauniquewindowintothisdebatebyusingdatafromanearlytwo-yearlongtradingexperiment.Weplacedtradesonrandomlyselectedstocksatrandomtimesacrossmultiplebrokerageaccounts
.4
Toprovideacontrolledcomparisonacrossbrokers,tradesareplacedinaparallelmanner(i.e.,tradesinthesamestockofthesameordersizeatthesametime).Thissetupisessentialforthefollowingreasons.First,randomizationofourtradescanmitigatetheselectionbiasthatcouldarisefrompotentialstrategicbehaviors
4Wegeneratedatotalofapproximately150,000trades,equivalentto$22.4millioninnotional,overtheperiodfromDecember21,2021,toMay31,2023.OurtradesareexecutedthroughE*Trade,Fidelity,InteractiveBrokers(IBKR,withboththeirProandLiteaccounttypes),Robinhood,Schwab,andTDAmeritrade.Weplacedordersatdifferentbrokersthatwereidenticalintype(marketorders),ticker/symbol(stock),size(dollarsandsharestraded),direction(buyorsell),andsubmissiontime(randomizedacrossbrokers.)Alltradeswereintraday,i.e.,weboughtequitiesafterthemarketopenedandthensoldthemwithin30minutes,withtradingspreadoutthroughouttheday.
3
ofwholesalers
.5
Second,ourapproachallowsustodirectlyconductwithin-brokercompar-isonofexecutioncosts.Focusingondispersionwithinbrokerisimportantsincetherearelargevariationsofexecutioncostsacrossbrokers
(Battalioetal.
(2001)and
Schwarzetal.
(2023))
.Third,becausebrokersmayhaveheterogeneouscriteriaformakingroutingchoices,havingawiderangeofbrokersallowsustoexaminehowdifferentroutingchoicesaffectthecompetitivenessofthewholesalermarketplace.
Ourtradesarebasedonsmallmarketorders
.6
Althoughweshowthatourfindingsarerobusttoalimitedsampleofround-lotorders,wewanttocautionthatouranalysismaybemoreapplicabletounderstandinghowbrokershandlesmallorders,ratherthantheentireorderflow
.7
Nevertheless,smallordersarebecomingincreasinglyimportant
.8
Weconsiderthatthissegmentcanstillprovidevaluableinsightsforhighlightingtherichheterogeneityinthebehaviorofbrokersandwholesalersanduncoveringtheeconomicmechanismsinthisimportantandgrowingmarket
.9
Interestingly,wefindthatbrokersemploytwodistinctroutingstyles.Approximatelytwo-thirdsofourbrokersroutestockstowholesalersusingwhatwecall“proportional”routing.Thesebrokerssimplytakea“slice”oftheiraggregateorderflow,randomizedacrossstocks,
5Wholesalersmighttailortheirexecutionqualitytobrokers’evaluationmetricsthatareverynarrow.Consequently,usingarchivalorpublicdisclosuredatamayinadvertentlybiasthesampletowardsinstanceswherestrategicwholesalersapparentlyoffersuperiorexecution.Ourapproach,incontrast,shouldprovideamoreunbiasedanalysis.
6Eachorderiseitherworthapproximately$100or1sharewhenthestockpriceexceeds$100.
7Moregenerally,weareonlyexaminingonesegmentofabroker’sorderflow.Differentsegments,whethersortedbyspread,size,orothersecuritycharacteristics,maylooksimilarordifferentdependingonthebroker’sexactroutingcriteria.
8Asinvestorsarespreadingoutlargetradesovertime,andsmaller-sizedtradeshavebecomeanaturalresponsetotheabolitionoffixedcommissionsperorder,oddlots(i.e.,lessthan100shares)nowaccountfor60%ofordersandcloseto20%oftradingvolume.Thisprevalenceislikelyevengreateramongretailtradesandhigh-pricedstocks(See
/marketstructure/datavis/ma_overview.html
).Withinourrandomsampleofstocks,oddlotsarealsothesecondlargestsizebinintermsoftotalquotedspreaddollarvolume.
9Inaddition,anumberofauthors,suchas
O’Haraetal.
(2014)and
Bartlettetal.
(2023),haveemphasized
theimportanceofoddlotsintermsofhiddenquotes,aswellaspricediscoveryinformativeness.
4
andsendittoeachwholesaler;theonlyvariationacrosswholesalersisthedollarsizeofeachslice.Incontrast,theremainingone-thirdofbrokersusewhatwecall“selective”routing(“smart-routing”inindustryparlance),wheretheroutingforeachindividualstockisselectedfromstockcharacteristicsaswellastheobservedwholesalerexecutionquality.
MainResults.Ourthreemainresultstestimplicationsofperfectprice(Bertrand)com-petitionandfindotherwise.First,underperfectcompetition,wewouldexpectminimaldis-persioninexecutioncostsacrosswholesalersforanygivenbrokersincemostordersshouldgotowholesalerswithsuperiorexecutionwhenbrokersfrictionlesslyswitchacrosswholesalersbasedonexecutionquality.Instead,wefindasubstantialdispersion.Foragivenbroker,thegapbetweenthemaximumandminimumexecutioncostsvariesfrom42%to151%ofthebrokers’average.Thedispersionismorepronouncedamongproportionalbrokers(70%to151%ofthebroker’saverage)comparedtoselectivebrokers(42%to58%ofthebroker’saverage).Moreover,thisdispersionispersistentbothattheaggregateandstocklevels,implyingthatwithin-brokerexecutionqualityishighlypredictableovertime.
Second,underperfectcompetition,wewouldexpectbrokerstoadjusttheirroutingbasedonexecutionquality,shiftingmarketsharetowardswholesalerswithsuperiorexecution.Instead,despitesignificantandpersistentdispersion,wefindthatproportionalbrokershardlychangetheirroutingbasedonpastexecution,whileselectivebrokersdo.Wealsostudyhowthelevel(notthechange)ofmarketsharerelatestopastexecution.Surprisingly,thereisapositiverelationbetweenmarketshareandpastexecutionforproportionalbrokers,whiletherelationshipflipstonegativeforselectivebrokers.Thus,proportionalbrokersconsistentlyallocatealargerfractionofourorderstomoreexpensivewholesalers.Toillustratethe
5
economicimpactofbrokers’limitedadjustments,wesimulatedynamicroutingstrategiesbasedonpastexecution,directingallorderstothelowest-costwholesalerfromthepreviousmonth.OurhypotheticalroutinglowersE/Qby34%onaverage,withreductionsrangingfrom33%to60%forproportionalbrokersandfrom8%to14%forselectivebrokers.
Third,ifmarketswereperfectlycompetitive,wewouldexpectminimalchangesinexe-cutioncostsfollowingtheentryofanewwholesaler,astheexistingmarginswouldnotallowsignificantreductions.Instead,wedocumentacasewithsignificantreductionsinexecutioncostsamongincumbentwholesalers.JaneStreetenteredasanewwholesalerforRobinhood,ourmostresponsiveselectivebroker,duringoursampleperiodinearly2022.Immediatelyafterthisentry,wefindthatincumbentwholesalersloweredE/Qby14%onaverage,withreductionsvaryingfrom2%to26%
.10
Overall,ourthreemainfindingsshowthatbrokers’responsestoexecutionqualityvarysubstantiallyandareoftenlimitedwhenhandlingsmall,odd-lotorders.Additionally,itappearsthatthereisinsufficientcompetitionamongwholesalers,evenwhenbrokersareresponsive.Theseresultssuggestthatretailinvestorswouldbenefitfrommoreresponsivebrokerroutingandincreasedwholesalercompetition.
TheoreticalFramework.Wedevelopastylizedmodelofprice(Bertrand)competitionwithfrictionstoexplainthepuzzlingresultrevealedbyourempiricalanalysis:proportionalbrokersexhibitapositiverelationbetweenmarketshareandpastexecutioncost,consistentlysendingalargerfractionoftheirorderstomoreexpensivewholesalers.
Inthemodel,abrokeroptimallyroutesorderstotwowholesalers.Torepresentthe
10Thelargeimpactofentrysuggestssignificantbarrierstoentryinthewholesalermarket(e.g.,
Goolsbee
andSyverson
(2008))
.
6
observedlimitedbrokerresponsestoexecutiondifferences,weassumethatthebrokerfacesquadraticswitchingcostswhenchangingmarketsharesacrosswholesalers.Theseswitchingcostsmayrepresentvariousfrictionsthatlimitthebroker’sabilitytoadjustitsrouting
.11
Thepuzzlingpositiverelationbetweenmarketshareandexecutioncosts,observedamongproportionalbrokers,naturallyemergesinequilibrium.Theintuitionisthatthebrokers’limitedadjustmentsgivewholesalerssomescopeforexercisingmarketpower,suchthatthosewithlargermarketsharesalsochargehigherexecutioncosts
.12
Discussion.Wediscussthreemainpoints.First,weshowhowbrokerprioritiesacrossdifferentsegmentscanbeincorporatedintoourtheoreticalframework.Ifabrokerprioritizesonesegmentoveranother,wholesalersrespondbyloweringexecutioncostsfortheprioritizedsegmentandincreasingthemfortheother.Thisresultsinanequilibriumwherethebrokereffectivelyhashigherswitchingcostsforthenon-prioritizedsegment.Thus,switchingcostscanbebroadlyinterpretedtoreflectbrokerpriorities,aswellasvariousreal-worldfrictions.
Second,weexplorehowvaryingcharacteristicsofbrokerorderflows,suchasordertoxi-city,mayexplaintheheterogeneityinaverageexecutionacrossbrokers.Undertheuniformstandard(NBBO)enforcedbyregulation,brokerswithmoretoxicorderflowsandhigherwholesalers’marginalcostsfaceincreasedregulatorypressure,incentivizingthemtochoosesmallerswitchingcosts.Theendogenouschoiceofswitchingcostshelpsexplainapuzzlingrelationshipobservedinthedata:selectivebrokerswithlowerswitchingcoststendtohavehigher(ratherthanlower)overallexecutioncosts.
11Thefrictionsmayincludethetimeandcostsassociatedwithmonitoringexecutionqualityandimple-mentingcomplexroutingchanges,managerialandorganizationalinertia,thedesiretosupplystableorderflowstowholesalers,andsoon.
12Anextensionaccountingforheterogeneousmarginalcostsacrosswholesalersgeneratesanegativerela-tionbetweenmarketshareandexecutioncosts,consistentwithourfindingsforselectivebrokers.
7
Lastly,weexaminehowbrokerheterogeneitycancomplicatetheinterpretationofag-gregatepublicdisclosuresandprovideimplicationsfordisclosurepolicies.Ourdatashowthatwholesalerswithlowerexecutioncostsattractmoreordersfrombrokershandlingmoretoxicorderflows,leadingtohigheroverallexecutioncostsforthesebrokers.Thiscompli-catescomparisonsofexecutioncostsacrosswholesalers.Therefore,detailed,disaggregateddataatthebroker-wholesalerleveliscrucialforaccuratelyassessingwholesalerperformance.Implementingthesepublicdisclosureswouldlikelyincreasepressureonbrokerstoimprovemonitoringandroutingpractices,potentiallyincreasingcompetition
.13
RelatedLiterature.Ourpaperismostcloselyrelatedto
Dyhrbergetal.
(2023)and
Ernstetal.
(2023)
.14
Thesepapersarecomplementarytooursandofferusefulinsightsfromdifferentdatasourcesthatalsocontributetoabetterunderstandingofthismarket.
Dyhrbergetal.
(2023)studythecompetitivenessofthebroker-wholesalermarketplace
usingpublic605formsbymarketcenters,whichprovideexecutioncostsatthewholesalerlevel.Theyfindthatmarketshareandexecutioncostsarenegativelyrelated,orthatthelargestwholesalersofferthelowestexecutioncosts.TheyalsoclaimthatJaneStreet’sentryintothemarketdidnotcausecompetitorstochangetheirpricing,whencomparingtwofixedwindowsaroundJuly2021.
13Undertherecentlyadopteddisclosurerequirements(
SEC
(2024)),the605forms(disclosuresoforder
executioninformationbymarketcenters)willnowalsoberequiredforretailbrokers,notjustwholesalers,andextendedtooddlots.However,theproposalstilldoesnotrequiredisclosingexecutioncostsforeachbroker-wholesalerpair.FordetailsonForm605,see“DisclosureofOrderExecutionInformation”(
SEC
(2005))
.
14
Bartlettetal.
(2023)comparewholesalerexecutionqualitytothatonexchangesandshowthatwhole
-salerexecutionisconsistentlysuperiortoexchanges.Otherwise,previousworkonexecutionqualityhasmostlyfocusedondifferentmarketcentersandtypesoftrades.However,themarketenvironmenthasdras-ticallychangedsincetheadventofzerocommissionsin2019.Forexample,
Battalioetal.
(2016)and
Battalio
(2018)usedatafrom2012and2016,respectively,toexaminefeesandrebatesonexchanges,whererebates
applytolimitorders.
8
Despiteusingdifferentdatasources,weareabletoreplicatetheirmainempiricalfindings.However,ourinterpretationsaremorenuancedbasedonmoregranulardata.Wehighlightbrokerheterogeneityandfindthattherelationbetweenmarketshareandexecutioncostsis,infact,positiveforproportionalbrokers.Wealsofindthatthelower-costwholesalersattractmoretoxicorderflows,complicatingthecomparisonofexecutionqualitybasedonaggregateexecutioncostsduetoSimpson’sparadox.Finally,theentryofJaneStreetoccurredatdifferentpointsintimeforvariousbrokers.Ourdetaileddataallowsustoisolateonespecific(selective)broker,wherewefindsignificantreductionsinexecutioncostsaftertheentry.
Ernstetal.
(2023)studywhetherbrokersimplementbestexecutionusingproprietary
dataprovidedbythreeanonymousbrokers.Theyfindthatbrokersrespondtowholesalerexecutionandthatwholesalersrespondtothebroker’schangeinpriorities.Theirfindingsonbrokerresponsivenessgenerallyalignwithourresultsforselectivebrokersbutnotforproportionalbrokers.
Therearethreemaindifferencesthatmayexplainthis.First,themeasureofwholesalerexecutionisdifferent.Weconsistentlyuseequal-weightedE/Qofourindependentlygener-atedtradesforallbrokers.Theyusedifferentmetricsforeachbrokerbasedontheirowncriteria,includingdifferentsecuritybins,sizecategories,andaproprietaryscoremetric.
Second,thebrokersamplesdiffer.Wehavesixdifferentbrokers(fourproportionalandtwoselective).Theyhavethreeanonymousbrokerswhovoluntarilyprovidetheirdata(onlyoneoftheirbrokersappearstobeproportional).Giventhestarkheterogeneityacrossbrokers,alargersampleofbrokersprovidesabroadercomparisonoforderroutingpracticesacrosstheindustry.Additionally,relyingonavoluntarilydisclosedsamplemaybiasresults
9
towardbetterresponsiveness.
Third,ourdatafocusesonsmall,odd-lottrades,whiletheirdataincludesabroaderrangeofordersizes.Thisimpliesthepossibilitythatournon-responsiveproportionalbrokersmaystillrespondtowholesalerexecutionoflarger,round-lottrades.InSection
6.1
,wediscusshowbrokersprioritizingdifferentsegmentsoforderflowcanleadtovaryingresponsivenessacrosssegmentsandhowthiscanbeincorporatedintoourtheoreticalframework.
Ourpaperisalsorelatedto
Ernstetal.
(
2024
)whoprovideasystematiccomparisonofthecurrent,status-quobroker-routingmarketsystemversusthe
SEC
(
2022b
)proposed“OrderCompetitionRule”(OCR),whichwouldrelyonorder-by-orderauctionsinstead.Theauthorsassumethatcompetitionisensuredinthestatus-quomodelbecausebrokersshouldmonitorexecutioncloselyandrouteordersbasedoneachmarketmaker’saggregateperformance.Inpractice,wefindthatthisisnotnecessarilythecase.
Moregenerally,ourpaperisrelatedtotheindustrialorganizationliterature.Numer-ousstudiesshowhowmarketoutcomesreflecttheexerciseofmarketpowerinaspecificindustry.
15
Here,wefocusonthebroker-wholesalermarket.Weuseswitchingcosts,whichhavebeenlongusedintheliterature,
16
asamodelingdevicetorepresentbrokers’limitedadjustmentsandconnectthemtomarketpowerofwholesalers.Wealsohighlighttheroleofregulationsinprovidingheterogeneousandinsufficientincentivesforbrokerstoreduceswitchingcosts,limitingcompetition.Thisconnectstoearlierstudieslike
Daughety
(1984),
whichshowhowsettingthesamepriceforallfirmsinanindustrycanleadtoinefficiencies.
Therestofthepaperisorganizedasfollows.Section
2
reviewstheinstitutionalback-
15Seeforexample
Porter
(1983),
Bresnahan
(1987),and
Nevo
(2001)
.
EinavandLevin
(2010)providea
comprehensivesurveyoftheempiricalindustrialorganizationliterature,includingstudiesonmarketpower.
16Priorliteraturemostlyfocusesonconsumerbehavior,e.g.,
Klemperer
(1987),
FarrellandKlemperer
(2007)
.
10
ground,inparticularinteractionsbetweenbrokersandwholesalers.Section
3
thendescribesourindependently-generateddataandpatternsintheroutingofindividualstocksfrombro-kerstovariouswholesalers.Next,Section
4
delvesintoourempiricalanalysisaimedatevaluatingthedegreeofcompetitivenessinthewholesalerindustry.Section
5
thenpresentsastylizedmodelexplainingourempiricalfindings,whileSection
6
providesadditionalinter-pretationandimplicationsofouranalysis.Section
7
concludes.
2.InstitutionalBackground
Startinginlate2019,almostallretailbrokerswentcommissionfree,followingRobin-hood’sexamplein2015.Thiswasmadepossiblebecausebrokerscouldroutetheirretailtradesoffexchanges,directlytowholesalersthatexecutetrades,withgenerallybetterpricingforclients.Fromthebrokers’perspective,thissetupcannotonlyprovidePaymentforOrderFlow(PFOF)revenues,butitalsohelpsthemfulfilltheirbestexecutionrequirements
.17
Interestingly,therelationbetweenbrokersandwholesalersisratherloose,reflectingthenatureoftheirprivatearrangements
.18
First,thebrokerselectsapoolofwholesalersthatsatisfyitsduediligencerequirements.Thebrokerthensetsalevelofpaymentfororderflow,whichcanbezero.Itisimportanttonotethatthebrokertypicallysets“level”,oridentical,PFOFratesacrosswholesalersinordertoavoidconflictsofinterestinroutingdecisions.Next,thewholesalercandecidewhethertoacceptornotthebroker’sorders.Therearenoothercontractualobligations:brokerscanrouteorderstoanymarketcenters,
17OneconcernisthatPFOFcouldpotentiallyleadtoworseexecutionforretailtradersduetoitsinherentconflictofinterest.However,recentresearch(e.g.,
BattalioandJennings
(2023),
Ernstetal.
(2024),and
Schwarzetal.
(2023))haslargelyshownthatPFOFdoesnotsignificantlyimpactpriceexecutionforequity
trades.WeshouldnotethatPFOFhasbeencommonfordecades,althoughtoamuchlesserextentthannowadays.
18
Schwab
(2022),forexample,providesanoverviewoforderroutingp
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