下载本文档
版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领
文档简介
statisticianaveragetechnicalpublishedindependentwhateverillustratedaccuratephenomenonwisdomeffectobtainexperimentcapitalizessignificantestimationerrorsunderestimateconductedcrowdsoverestimatewillingresponsepotentialdominantreasoningimplicationlimitationdecisionenormouscauseoccasionalrelativelyfocusonprocessattitudedismissivedoubtfulapproving一、讲前自测:请写出下列单词的意思限时训练:请在8分钟内完成阅读理解,并把每一题的答题来源在文章中划出来,标明题号OnMarch7,1907,theEnglishstatisticianFrancisGaltonpublishedapaperwhichillustratedwhathasetobeknownasthe“wisdomofcrowds”effect.Theexperimentofestimationheconductedshowedthatinsomecases,theaverageofalargenumberofindependentestimatescouldbequiteaccurate.Thiseffectcapitalizesonthefactthatwhenpeoplemakeerrors,thoseerrorsaren’talwaysthesame.Somepeoplewilltendtooverestimate,andsometounderestimate.Whenenoughoftheseerrorsareaveragedtogether,theycanceleachotherout,resultinginamoreaccurateestimate.Ifpeoplearesimilarandtendtomakethesameerrors,thentheirerrorswon’tcanceleachotherout.Inmoretechnicalterms,thewisdomofcrowdsrequiresthatpeople’sestimatesbeindependent.Ifforwhateverreasons,people’serrorsbeecorrelatedordependent,theaccuracyoftheestimatewillgodown.ButanewstudyledbyJoaquinNavajasofferedaninterestingtwist(转折)onthisclassicphenomenon.Thekeyfindingofthestudywasthatwhencrowdswerefurtherdividedintosmallergroupsthatwereallowedtohaveadiscussion,theaveragesfromthesegroupsweremoreaccuratethanthosefromanequalnumberofindependentindividuals.Forinstance,theaverageobtainedfromtheestimatesoffourdiscussiongroupsoffivewassignificantlymoreaccuratethantheaverageobtainedfrom20independentindividuals.Inafollowupstudywith100universitystudents,theresearcherstriedtogetabettersenseofwhatthegroupmembersactuallydidintheirdiscussion.Didtheytendtogowiththosemostconfidentabouttheirestimates?Didtheyfollowthoseleastwillingtochangetheirminds?Thishappenedsomeofthetime,butitwasn’tthedominantresponse.Mostfrequently,thegroupsreportedthatthey“sharedargumentsandreasonedtogether”.Somehow,theseargumentsandreasoningresultedinaglobalreductioninerror.AlthoughthestudiesledbyNavajashavelimitationsandmanyquestionsremain,thepotentialimplicationsforgroupdiscussionanddecisionmakingareenormous.1.Whatisparagraph2ofthetextmainlyabout?A.Themethodsofestimation. B.Theunderlyinglogicoftheeffect.C.Thecausesofpeople’serrors. D.ThedesignofGalton’sexperiment.2.Navajas’studyfoundthattheaverageaccuracycouldincreaseevenif________.A.thecrowdswererelativelysmall B.therewereoccasionalunderestimatesC.individualsdidnotmunicate D.estimateswerenotfullyindependent3.Whatdidthefollowupstudyfocuson?A.Thesizeofthegroups. B.Thedominantmembers.C.Thediscussionprocess. D.Theindividualestimates.4.Whatistheauthor’sattitudetowardNavajas’studies?A.Unclear. B.Dismissive. C.Doubtful. D.Approving.重点句子分析OnMarch7,1907,theEnglishstatisticianFrancisGaltonpublishedapaperwhichillustratedwhathasetobeknownasthe“wisdomofcrowds”effect.请指出主句的主谓宾,划出从句部分并判断2个从句类型,最后翻译句子Theexperimentofestimationheconductedshowedthatinsomecases,theaverageofalargenumberofindependentestimatescouldbequiteaccurate.请分析句子并且进行翻译Thiseffectcapitalizesonthefactthatwhenpeoplemakeerrors,thoseerrorsaren’talwaysthesame.请指出此处的that引导的从句是__________从句Whenenoughoftheseerrorsareaveragedtogether,theycanceleachotherout,resultinginamoreaccurateestimate.Ifpeoplearesimilarandtendtomakethesameerrors,thentheirerrorswon’tcanceleachotherout.Inmoretechnicalterms,thewisdomofcrowdsrequiresthatpeople’sestimatesbeindependent.Ifforwhateverreasons,people’serrorsbeecorrelatedordependent,theaccuracyoftheestimatewillgodown.请翻译段落Thekeyfindingofthestudywasthatwhencrowdswerefurtherdividedintosmallergroupsthatwereallowedtohaveadiscussion,theaveragesfromthesegroupsweremoreaccuratethanthosefromanequalnumberofindependentindividuals.请指出两处that引导的从句分别是什么从句并且进行翻译Forinstance,theaverageobtainedfromtheestimatesoffourdiscussiongroupsoffivewassignificantlymoreaccuratethantheaverageobtainedfrom20independentindividuals.划出主句的主谓宾,并翻译Inafollowupstudywith100universitystudents,theresearcherstriedtogetabettersenseofwhatthegroupmembersactuallydidintheirdiscussion.请指出what引导的从句的类型,并且解释为什么这里填what,而不是which或者that。AlthoughthestudiesledbyNavajashavelimitationsandmanyquestionsremain,thepotentialimplicationsforgroupdiscussionanddecisionmakingareenormous.翻译句子语法填空OnMarch7,1907,theEnglishstatisticianFrancisGaltonpublishapaperwhichillustratedwhathasetobeknown_______the“wisdomofcrowds”effect.Theexperimentofestimationhe_______________(conduct)showedthatinsomecases,theaverageofalargenumberofindependentestimatescouldbequiteaccurate.Thiseffectcapitalizesonthefact___________whenpeoplemakeerrors,thoseerrorsaren’talwaysthesame.Somepeoplewilltendtooverestimate,andsometounderestimate.Whenenoughoftheseerrorsareaveragedtogether,theycanceleachotherout,___________(result)inamoreaccurateestimate.Ifpeoplearesimilarandtendtomakethesameerrors,then_______(they)errorswon’tcanceleachotherout.Inmoretechnicalterms,thewisdomofcrowdsrequiresthat___________(people)estimatesbeindependent.Ifforwhateverreasons,people’serrorsbeecorrelatedordependent,the____________(accurate)oftheestimatewillgodown.Butanewstudy_________(lead)byJoaquinNavajasofferedaninterestingtwist(转折)onthisclassicphenomenon.Thekeyfindingofthestudywasthatwhencrowdswerefurtherdividedintosmallergroupsthat____________(allow)tohaveadiscussion,theaveragesfromthesegroupsweremoreaccuratethanthosefromanequalnumberofindependentindividuals.______instance,theaverageobtainedfromtheestimatesoffourdiscussiongroupsoffivewas______________(significant)moreaccuratethantheaverageobtainedfrom20independentindividuals.
温馨提示
- 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
- 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
- 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
- 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
- 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
- 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。
最新文档
- 药用甘草项目营销计划书
- 肚脐穿孔器械项目运营指导方案
- 空贵金属制粉饼盒细分市场深度研究报告
- 自行车曲柄市场发展前景分析及供需格局研究预测报告
- 医用抗真菌霜产品供应链分析
- 成比例的模型车产品供应链分析
- 尿素合成塔产业链招商引资的调研报告
- 家用电净水器产品供应链分析
- 牛奶均质机项目营销计划书
- 冰球守门员用保护垫产品供应链分析
- 城区绿化病虫害防治服务投标方案
- CASES-仿真分析规范编制指南V1.0版
- 孕妇学校质量管理评价标准(100分)
- 2023年融媒体中心建设工作方案
- 老年友善医院创建汇报PPT
- 园林景观施工技术交底大全
- 交叉作业安全规程
- 个人二手牵引车转让合同范本
- 多学科联合门诊的实践与探索课件
- 护理部防跌倒、坠床护理评价表
- 《高等数学》教案 03 泰勒公式
评论
0/150
提交评论