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InterestRatesandBondValuationChapter8Copyright©2010bytheMcGraw-HillCompanies,Inc.Allrightsreserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin公司理财-英文版-第八章InterestRatesandBondValuat1KeyConceptsandSkillsKnowtheimportantbondfeaturesandbondtypesUnderstandbondvaluesandwhytheyfluctuateUnderstandbondratingsandwhattheymeanUnderstandtheimpactofinflationoninterestratesUnderstandthetermstructureofinterestratesandthedeterminantsofbondyields公司理财-英文版-第八章KeyConceptsandSkillsKnowth2ChapterOutline8.1 BondsandBondValuation8.2 GovernmentandCorporateBonds8.3 BondMarkets8.4 InflationandInterestRates8.5 DeterminantsofBondYields公司理财-英文版-第八章ChapterOutline8.1 Bondsand38.1BondsandBondValuationAbondisalegallybindingagreementbetweenaborrowerandalenderthatspecifiesthe:Par(face)valueCouponrateCouponpaymentMaturityDateTheyieldtomaturityistherequiredmarketinterestrateonthebond.公司理财-英文版-第八章8.1BondsandBondValuationA4BondValuationPrimaryPrinciple:Valueoffinancialsecurities=PVofexpectedfuturecashflowsBondvalueis,therefore,determinedbythepresentvalueofthecouponpaymentsandparvalue.Interestratesareinverselyrelatedtopresent(i.e.,bond)values.公司理财-英文版-第八章BondValuationPrimaryPrincip5TheBond-PricingEquation公司理财-英文版-第八章TheBond-PricingEquation公司理财-6BondExampleConsideraU.S.governmentbondwithas63/8%couponthatexpiresinDecember2013.TheParValueofthebondis$1,000.Couponpaymentsaremadesemiannually(June30andDecember31forthisparticularbond).Sincethecouponrateis63/8%,thepaymentis$31.875.OnJanuary1,2009thesizeandtimingofcashflowsare:公司理财-英文版-第八章BondExampleConsideraU.S.go7BondExampleOnJanuary1,2009,therequiredyieldis5%.Thecurrentvalueis:公司理财-英文版-第八章BondExampleOnJanuary1,20098BondExample:CalculatorPMTI/YFVPVNPV31.875=2.51,000–
1,060.17101,000×0.063752Findthepresentvalue(asofJanuary1,2009),ofa63/8%couponbondwithsemi-annualpayments,andamaturitydateofDecember2013iftheYTMis5%.公司理财-英文版-第八章BondExample:CalculatorPMTI/Y9BondExampleNowassumethattherequiredyieldis11%.Howdoesthischangethebond’sprice?公司理财-英文版-第八章BondExampleNowassumethatth10YTMandBondValue800100011001200130000.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.1DiscountRateBondValue63/8WhentheYTM<coupon,thebondtradesatapremium.WhentheYTM=coupon,thebondtradesatpar.WhentheYTM>coupon,thebondtradesatadiscount.公司理财-英文版-第八章YTMandBondValue80010001100111BondConceptsBondpricesandmarketinterestratesmoveinoppositedirections.Whencouponrate=YTM,price=parvalueWhencouponrate>YTM,price>parvalue(premiumbond)Whencouponrate<YTM,price<parvalue(discountbond)公司理财-英文版-第八章BondConceptsBondpricesandm12InterestRateRiskPriceRiskChangeinpriceduetochangesininterestratesLong-termbondshavemorepriceriskthanshort-termbondsLowcouponratebondshavemorepriceriskthanhighcouponratebonds.ReinvestmentRateRiskUncertaintyconcerningratesatwhichcashflowscanbereinvestedShort-termbondshavemorereinvestmentrateriskthanlong-termbonds.Highcouponratebondshavemorereinvestmentrateriskthanlowcouponratebonds.公司理财-英文版-第八章InterestRateRiskPriceRisk公司13MaturityandBondPriceVolatilityCConsidertwootherwiseidenticalbonds.Thelong-maturitybondwillhavemuchmorevolatilitywithrespecttochangesinthediscountrate.DiscountRateBondValueParShortMaturityBondLongMaturityBond公司理财-英文版-第八章MaturityandBondPriceVolati14CouponRatesandBondPricesConsidertwootherwiseidenticalbonds.Thelow-couponbondwillhavemuchmorevolatilitywithrespecttochangesinthediscountrate.DiscountRateBondValueHighCouponBondLowCouponBondParC公司理财-英文版-第八章CouponRatesandBondPricesCo15ComputingYieldtoMaturityYieldtomaturityistherateimpliedbythecurrentbondprice.FindingtheYTMrequirestrialanderrorifyoudonothaveafinancialcalculatorandissimilartotheprocessforfindingrwithanannuity.Ifyouhaveafinancialcalculator,enterN,PV,PMT,andFV,rememberingthesignconvention(PMTandFVneedtohavethesamesign,PVtheoppositesign).公司理财-英文版-第八章ComputingYieldtoMaturityYie16YTMwithAnnualCouponsConsiderabondwitha10%annualcouponrate,15yearstomaturity,andaparvalueof$1,000.Thecurrentpriceis$928.09.Willtheyieldbemoreorlessthan10%?N=15;PV=-928.09;FV=1,000;PMT=100CPTI/Y=11%公司理财-英文版-第八章YTMwithAnnualCouponsConside17YTMwithSemiannualCouponsSupposeabondwitha10%couponrateandsemiannualcouponshasafacevalueof$1,000,20yearstomaturity,andissellingfor$1,197.93.IstheYTMmoreorlessthan10%?Whatisthesemi-annualcouponpayment?Howmanyperiodsarethere?N=40;PV=-1,197.93;PMT=50;FV=1,000;CPTI/Y=4%(IsthistheYTM?)YTM=4%*2=8%公司理财-英文版-第八章YTMwithSemiannualCouponsSup18CurrentYieldvs.YieldtoMaturityCurrentYield=annualcoupon/priceYieldtomaturity=currentyield+capitalgainsyieldExample:10%couponbond,withsemi-annualcoupons,facevalueof1,000,20yearstomaturity,$1,197.93priceCurrentyield=100/1197.93=.0835=8.35%Priceinoneyear,assumingnochangeinYTM=1,193.68Capitalgainyield=(1193.68–1197.93)/1197.93= -.0035=-.35%YTM=8.35-.35=8%,whichisthesameYTMcomputedearlier公司理财-英文版-第八章CurrentYieldvs.YieldtoMat19BondPricingTheoremsBondsofsimilarrisk(andmaturity)willbepricedtoyieldaboutthesamereturn,regardlessofthecouponrate.Ifyouknowthepriceofonebond,youcanestimateitsYTMandusethattofindthepriceofthesecondbond.Thisisausefulconceptthatcanbetransferredtovaluingassetsotherthanbonds.公司理财-英文版-第八章BondPricingTheoremsBondsof20ZeroCouponBondsMakenoperiodicinterestpayments(couponrate=0%)TheentireyieldtomaturitycomesfromthedifferencebetweenthepurchasepriceandtheparvalueCannotsellformorethanparvalueSometimescalledzeroes,deepdiscountbonds,ororiginalissuediscountbonds(OIDs)TreasuryBillsandprincipal-onlyTreasurystripsaregoodexamplesofzeroes公司理财-英文版-第八章ZeroCouponBondsMakenoperio21PureDiscountBondsInformationneededforvaluingpurediscountbonds:Timetomaturity(T)=Maturitydate-today’sdateFacevalue(F)Discountrate(r)Presentvalueofapurediscountbondattime0:公司理财-英文版-第八章PureDiscountBondsInformation22PureDiscountBonds:ExampleFindthevalueofa15-yearzero-couponbondwitha$1,000parvalueandaYTMof12%.公司理财-英文版-第八章PureDiscountBonds:ExampleFi23BondPricingwithaSpreadsheetTherearespecificformulasforfindingbondpricesandyieldsonaspreadsheet.PRICE(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Yld,Redemption,Frequency,Basis)YIELD(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Pr,Redemption,Frequency,Basis)SettlementandmaturityneedtobeactualdatesTheredemptionandPrneedtogivenas%ofparvalueClickontheExceliconforanexample.公司理财-英文版-第八章BondPricingwithaSpreadshee248.2GovernmentandCorporateBondsTreasurySecuritiesFederalgovernmentdebtT-bills–purediscountbondswithoriginalmaturitylessthanoneyearT-notes–coupondebtwithoriginalmaturitybetweenoneandtenyearsT-bonds–coupondebtwithoriginalmaturitygreaterthantenyearsMunicipalSecuritiesDebtofstateandlocalgovernmentsVaryingdegreesofdefaultrisk,ratedsimilartocorporatedebtInterestreceivedistax-exemptatthefederallevel公司理财-英文版-第八章8.2GovernmentandCorporateB25After-taxYieldsAtaxablebondhasayieldof8%,andamunicipalbondhasayieldof6%.Ifyouareina40%taxbracket,whichbonddoyouprefer?8%(1-.4)=4.8%Theafter-taxreturnonthecorporatebondis4.8%,comparedtoa6%returnonthemunicipalAtwhattaxratewouldyoubeindifferentbetweenthetwobonds?8%(1–T)=6%T=25%公司理财-英文版-第八章After-taxYieldsAtaxablebond26CorporateBondsGreaterdefaultriskrelativetogovernmentbondsThepromisedyield(YTM)maybehigherthantheexpectedreturnduetothisaddeddefaultrisk公司理财-英文版-第八章CorporateBondsGreaterdefault27BondRatings–InvestmentQualityHighGradeMoody’sAaaandS&PAAA–capacitytopayisextremelystrongMoody’sAaandS&PAA–capacitytopayisverystrongMediumGradeMoody’sAandS&PA–capacitytopayisstrong,butmoresusceptibletochangesincircumstancesMoody’sBaaandS&PBBB–capacitytopayisadequate,adverseconditionswillhavemoreimpactonthefirm’sabilitytopay公司理财-英文版-第八章BondRatings–InvestmentQual28BondRatings-SpeculativeLowGradeMoody’sBaandBS&PBBandBConsideredspeculativewithrespecttocapacitytopay.VeryLowGradeMoody’sCS&PC&DHighlyuncertainrepaymentand,inmanycases,alreadyindefault,withprincipalandinterestinarrears.公司理财-英文版-第八章BondRatings-SpeculativeLow298.3BondMarketsPrimarilyover-the-countertransactionswithdealersconnectedelectronicallyExtremelylargenumberofbondissues,butgenerallylowdailyvolumeinsingleissuesMakesgettingup-to-datepricesdifficult,particularlyonasmallcompanyormunicipalissuesTreasurysecuritiesareanexception公司理财-英文版-第八章8.3BondMarketsPrimarilyover30TreasuryQuotations8Nov25 132:23 132:24 -12 5.14Whatisthecouponrateonthebond?Whendoesthebondmature?Whatisthebidprice?Whatdoesthismean?Whatistheaskprice?Whatdoesthismean?Howmuchdidthepricechangefromthepreviousday?Whatistheyieldbasedontheaskprice?公司理财-英文版-第八章TreasuryQuotations8Nov25 31CleanversusDirtyPricesCleanprice:quotedpriceDirtyprice:priceactuallypaid=quotedpriceplusaccruedinterestExample:ConsiderT-bondinpreviousslide,assumetodayisJuly15,2009Numberofdayssincelastcoupon=61Numberofdaysinthecouponperiod=184Accruedinterest=(61/184)(.04*1,000)=13.26Prices(basedonask):Cleanprice=1,327.50Dirtyprice=1,327.50+13.26=1,340.76So,youwouldactuallypay$1,340.76forthebond.公司理财-英文版-第八章CleanversusDirtyPricesClean328.4InflationandInterestRatesRealrateofinterest–changeinpurchasingpowerNominalrateofinterest–quotedrateofinterest,changeinpurchasingpowerandinflationTheexantenominalrateofinterestincludesourdesiredrealrateofreturnplusanadjustmentforexpectedinflation.公司理财-英文版-第八章8.4InflationandInterestRat33RealversusNominalRates(1+R)=(1+r)(1+h),whereR=nominalrater=realrateh=expectedinflationrateApproximationR=r+h公司理财-英文版-第八章RealversusNominalRates(1+34Inflation-LinkedBondsMostgovernmentbondsfaceinflationriskTIPS(TreasuryInflation-ProtectedSecurities),however,eliminatethisriskbyprovidingpromisedpaymentsspecifiedinreal,ratherthannominal,terms公司理财-英文版-第八章Inflation-LinkedBondsMostgov35TheFisherEffect:ExampleIfwerequirea10%realreturnandweexpectinflationtobe8%,whatisthenominalrate?R=(1.1)(1.08)–1=.188=18.8%Approximation:R=10%+8%=18%Becausetherealreturnandexpectedinflationarerelativelyhigh,thereisasignificantdifferencebetweentheactualFisherEff
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