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CHAPTER7FUTURESANDOPTIONSONFOREIGNEXCHANGE
SUGGESTEDANSWERSANDSOLUTIONSTOEND-OF-CHAPTER
QUESTIONSANDPROBLEMS
QUESTIONS
1.Explainthebasicdifferencesbetweentheoperationofacurrencyforwardmarketandafuturesmarket.
Answer:TheforwardmarketisanOTCmarketwheretheforwardcontractforpurchaseorsaleofforeigncurrencyistailor-madebetweentheclientanditsinternationalbank.Nomoneychangeshandsuntilthematuritydateofthecontractwhendeliveryandreceiptaretypicallymade.Afuturescontractisanexchange-tradedinstrumentwithstandardizedfeaturesspecifyingcontractsizeanddeliverydate.Futurescontractsaremarked-to-marketdailytoreflectchangesinthesettlementprice.Deliveryisseldommadeinafuturesmarket.Ratherareversingtradeismadetocloseoutalongorshortposition.
2.Inorderforaderivativesmarkettofunctionmostefficiently,twotypesofeconomicagentsareneeded:hedgersandspeculators.Explain.
Answer:Twotypesofmarketparticipantsarenecessaryfortheefficientoperationofaderivativesmarket:speculatorsandhedgers.Aspeculatorattemptstoprofitfromachangeinthefuturesprice.Todothis,thespeculatorwilltakealongorshortpositioninafuturescontractdependinguponhisexpectationsoffuturepricemovement.Ahedger,on-the-other-hand,desirestoavoidpricevariationbylockinginapurchasepriceoftheunderlyingassetthroughalongpositioninafuturescontractorasalespricethroughashortposition.Ineffect,thehedgerpassesofftheriskofpricevariationtothespeculatorwhoisbetterable,oratleastmorewilling,tobearthisrisk.
3.Whyaremostfuturespositionsclosedoutthroughareversingtraderatherthanheldtodelivery?
Answer:Inforwardmarkets,approximately90percentofallcontractsthatareinitiallyestablishedresultintheshortmakingdeliverytothelongoftheassetunderlyingthecontract.Thisisnaturalbecausethetermsofforwardcontractsaretailor-madebetweenthelongandshort.Bycontrast,onlyaboutonepercentofcurrencyfuturescontractsresultindelivery.Whilefuturescontractsareusefulforspeculationandhedging,theirstandardizeddeliverydatesmakethemunlikelytocorrespondtotheactualfuturedateswhenforeignexchangetransactionswilloccur.Thus,theyaregenerallyclosedoutinareversingtrade.Infact,thecommissionthatbuyersandsellerspaytotransactinthefuturesmarketisasingleamountthatcoverstheround-triptransactionsofinitiatingandclosingouttheposition.
4.HowcantheFXfuturesmarketbeusedforpricediscovery?
Answer:TotheextentthatFXforwardpricesareanunbiasedpredictoroffuturespotexchangerates,themarketanticipateswhetheronecurrencywillappreciateordepreciateversusanother.BecauseFXfuturescontractstradeinanexpirationcycle,differentcontractsexpireatdifferentperiodicdatesintothefuture.Thepatternofthepricesofthesecontractsprovidesinformationastothemarket’scurrentbeliefabouttherelativefuturevalueofonecurrencyversusanotheratthescheduledexpirationdatesofthecontracts.Onewillgenerallyseeasteadilyappreciatingordepreciatingpattern;however,itmaybemixedattimes.Thus,thefuturesmarketisusefulforpricediscovery,i.e.,obtainingthemarket’sforecastofthespotexchangerateatdifferentfuturedates.
5.Whatisthemajordifferenceintheobligationofonewithalongpositioninafutures(orforward)contractincomparisontoanoptionscontract?
Answer:Afutures(orforward)contractisavehicleforbuyingorsellingastatedamountofforeignexchangeatastatedpriceperunitataspecifiedtimeinthefuture.Ifthelongholdsthecontracttothedeliverydate,hepaystheeffectivecontractualfutures(orforward)price,regardlessofwhetheritisanadvantageouspriceincomparisontothespotpriceatthedeliverydate.Bycontrast,anoptionisacontractgivingthelongtherighttobuyorsellagivenquantityofanassetataspecifiedpriceatsometimeinthefuture,butnotenforcinganyobligationonhimifthespotpriceismorefavorablethantheexerciseprice.Becausetheoptionownerdoesnothavetoexercisetheoptionifitistohisdisadvantage,theoptionhasaprice,orpremium,whereasnopriceispaidatinceptiontoenterintoafutures(orforward)contract.
6.Whatismeantbytheterminologythatanoptionisin-,at-,orout-of-the-money?
Answer:Acall(put)optionwithSt>E(E>St)isreferredtoastradingin-the-money.IfStEtheoptionistradingat-the-money.IfSt<E(E<St)thecall(put)optionistradingout-of-the-money.
Loan Firstloanpayment(9%) Secondpayment
initiated andfuturescontractexpires andprincipal
9/20/99 12/20/99 3/20/00
a.FormulateJohnson’sSeptember20floating-to-fixed-ratestrategyusingtheEurodollarfuturecontractsdiscussedinthetextabove.Showthatthisstrategywouldresultinafixed-rateloan,assuminganincreaseintheLIBORrateto7.8percentbyDecember20,whichremainsat7.8percentthroughMarch20.Showallcalculations.
Johnsonisconsideringa12-monthloanasanalternative.Thisapproachwillresultintwoadditionaluncertaincashflows,asfollows:
Loan First Second Third Fourthpayment
initiated payment(9%) payment payment andprincipal
9/20/99 12/20/99 3/20/00 6/20/00 9/20/00
b.DescribethestriphedgethatJohnsoncoulduseandexplainhowithedgesthe12-monthloan(specifynumberofcontracts).Nocalculationsareneeded.
CFAGuidelineAnswer
a.Thebasispointvalue(BPV)ofaEurodollarfuturescontractcanbefoundbysubstitutingthecontractspecificationsintothefollowingmoneymarketrelationship:
BPVFUT=ChangeinValue=(facevalue)x(daystomaturity/360)x(changeinyield)
=($1million)x(90/360)x(.0001)
=$25
Thenumberofcontract,N,canbefoundby:
N=(BPVspot)/(BPVfutures)
=($2,500)/($25)
=100
OR
N =(valueofspotposition)/(facevalueofeachfuturescontract)
=($100million)/($1million)
=100
OR
N =(valueofspotposition)/(valueoffuturesposition)
=($100,000,000)/($981,750)
wherevalueoffuturesposition=$1,000,000x[1–(0.073/4)]
102contracts
ThereforeonSeptember20,Johnsonwouldsell100(or102)DecemberEurodollarfuturescontractsatthe7.3percentyield.TheimpliedLIBORrateinDecemberis7.3percentasindicatedbytheDecemberEurofuturesdiscountyieldof7.3percent.Thusaborrowingrateof9.3percent(7.3percent+200basispoints)canbelockedinifthehedgeiscorrectlyimplemented.
Ariseintherateto7.8percentrepresentsa50basispoint(bp)increaseovertheimpliedLIBORrate.Fora50basispointincreaseinLIBOR,thecashflowontheshortfuturespositionis:
=($25perbasispointpercontract)x50bpx100contracts
=$125,000.
However,thecashflowonthefloatingrateliabilityis:
=-0.098x($100,000,000/4)
=-$2,450,000.
Combiningthecashflowfromthehedgewiththecashflowfromtheloanresultsinanetoutflowof$2,325,000,whichtranslatesintoanannualrateof9.3percent:
=($2,325,000x4)/$100,000,000=0.093
ThisispreciselytheimpliedborrowingratethatJohnsonlockedinonSeptember20.RegardlessoftheLIBORrateonDecember20,thenetcashoutflowwillbe$2,325,000,whichtranslatesintoanannualizedrateof9.3percent.Consequently,thefloatingrateliabilityhasbeenconvertedtoafixedrateliabilityinthesensethattheinterestrateuncertaintyassociatedwiththeMarch20payment(usingtheDecember20contract)hasbeenremovedasofSeptember20.
b.Inastriphedge,Johnsonwouldsell100Decemberfutures(fortheMarchpayment),100Marchfutures(fortheJunepayment),and100Junefutures(fortheSeptemberpayment).Theobjectiveistohedgeeachinterestratepaymentseparatelyusingtheappropriatenumberofcontracts.TheproblemisthesameasinPartAexceptherethreecashflowsaresubjecttorisingratesandastripoffuturesisusedtohedgethisinterestraterisk.Thisproblemissimplifiedsomewhatbecausethecashflowmismatchbetweenthefuturesandtheloanpaymentisignored.Therefore,inordertohedgeeachcashflow,Johnsonsimplysells100contractsforeachpayment.Thestriphedgetransformsthefloatingrateloanintoastripoffixedratepayments.AswasdoneinPartA,thefixedratesarefoundbyadding200basispointstotheimpliedforwardLIBORrateindicatedbythediscountyieldofthethreedifferentEurodollarfuturescontracts.ThefixedpaymentswillbeequalwhentheLIBORtermstructureisflatforthefirstyear.
7.JacobBowerhasaliabilitythat:
hasaprincipalbalanceof$100milliononJune30,1998,
accruesinterestquarterlystartingonJune30,1998,
paysinterestquarterly,
hasaone-yeartermtomaturity,and
calculatesinterestduebasedon90-dayLIBOR(theLondonInterbankOffered
Rate).
Bowerwishestohedgehisremaininginterestpaymentsagainstchangesininterestrates.
Bowerhascorrectlycalculatedthatheneedstosell(short)300Eurodollarfuturescontractstoaccomplishthehedge.Heisconsideringthealternativehedgingstrategiesoutlinedinthefollowingtable.
InitialPosition(6/30/98)in
90-DayLIBOREurodollarContracts
StrategyA StrategyB
ContractMonth (contracts) (contracts)
September1998 300 100
December1998 0 100
March1999 0 100
a.ExplainwhystrategyBisamoreeffectivehedgethanstrategyAwhentheyieldcurve
undergoesaninstantaneousnonparallelshift.
b.DiscussaninterestratescenarioinwhichstrategyAwouldbesuperiortostrategyB.
CFAGuidelineAnswer
a. StrategyB’sSuperiority
StrategyBisastriphedgethatisconstructedbyselling(shorting)100futurescontractsmaturingineachofthenextthreequarters.Withthestriphedgeinplace,eachquarterofthecomingyearishedgedagainstshiftsininterestratesforthatquarter.ThereasonStrategyBwillbeamoreeffectivehedgethanStrategyAforJacobBoweristhatStrategyBislikelytoworkwellwhetheraparallelshiftoranonparallelshiftoccursovertheone-yeartermofBower’sliability.Thatis,regardlessofwhathappenstothetermstructure,StrategyBstructuresthefutureshedgesothattheratesreflectedbytheEurodollarfuturescashpricematchtheapplicableratesfortheunderlyingliability-the90dayLIBOR-basedrateonBower’sliability.ThesameisnottrueforStrategyA.BecauseJacobBower’sliabilitycarriesafloatinginterestratethatresetsquarterly,heneedsastrategythatprovidesaseriesofthree-monthhedges.StrategyAwillneedtoberestructuredwhenthethree-monthSeptembercontractexpires.Inparticular,iftheyieldcurvetwistsupward(futuresyieldsrisemorefordistantexpirationsthanfornearexpirations),StrategyAwillproduceinferiorhedgeresults.
b.ScenarioinWhichStrategyAisSuperior
StrategyAisastackhedgestrategythatinitiallyinvolvesselling(shorting)300Septembercontracts.StrategyAisrarelybetterthanStrategyBasahedgingorrisk-reductionstrategy.OnlyfromtheperspectiveoffavorablecashflowsisStrategyAbetterthanStrategyB.Suchcashflowsoccuronlyincertaininterestratescenarios.ForexampleStrategyAwillworkaswellasStrategyBforBower’sliabilityifinterestrates(instantaneously)changeinparallelfashion.AnotherinterestratescenariowhereStrategyAoutperformsStrategyBisoneinwhichtheyieldcurverisesbutwithatwistsothatfuturesyieldsrisemorefornearexpirationsthanfordistantexpirations.UponexpirationoftheSeptembercontract,Bowerwillhavetorollouthishedgebyselling200Decembercontractstohedgetheremaininginterestpayments.ThisactionwillhavetheeffectthatthecashflowfromStrategyAwillbelargerthanthecashflowfromStrategyBbecausetheappreciationonthe300shortSeptemberfuturescontractswillbelargerthanthecumulativeappreciationinthe300contractsshortedinStrategyB(i.e.,100September,100December,and100March).Consequently,thecashflowfromStrategyAwillmorethanoffsettheincreaseintheinterestpaymentontheliability,whereasthecashflowfromStrategyBwillexactlyoffsettheincreaseintheinterestpaymentontheliability.
8.UsethequotationsinExhibit7.7tocalculatetheintrinsicvalueandthetimevalueofthe97SeptemberJapaneseyenAmericancallandputoptions.
Solution:Premium-IntrinsicValue=TimeValue
97SepCall2.08-Max[95.80–97.00=-1.20,0]=2.08centsper100yen
97SepPut2.47-Max[97.00–95.80=1.20,0]=1.27centsper100yen
9.AssumespotSwissfrancis$0.7000andthesix-monthforwardrateis$0.6950.Whatistheminimumpricethatasix-monthAmericancalloptionwithastrikingpriceof$0.6800shouldsellforinarationalmarket?Assumetheannualizedsix-monthEurodollarrateis3½percent.
Solution:
NotetoInstructor:Acompletesolutiontothisproblemreliesontheboundaryexpressionspresentedinfootnote3ofthetextofChapter7.
CaMax[(70-68),(69.50-68)/(1.0175),0]
Max[2,1.47,0]=2cents
10.Doproblem9againassuminganAmericanputoptioninsteadofacalloption.
Solution:PaMax[(68-70),(68-69.50)/(1.0175),0]
Max[-2,-1.47,0]=0cents
11.UsetheEuropeanoption-pricingmodelsdevelopedinthechaptertovaluethecallofproblem9andtheputofproblem10.AssumetheannualizedvolatilityoftheSwissfrancis14.2percent.ThisproblemcanbesolvedusingtheFXOPM.xlsspreadsheet.
Solution:
d1=[ln(69.50/68)+.5(.142)2(.50)]/(.142).50=.2675
d2=d1-.142.50=.2765-.1004=.1671
N(d1)=.6055
N(d2)=.5664
N(-d1)=.3945
N(-d2)=.4336
Ce=[69.50(.6055)-68(.5664)]e-(.035)(.50)=3.51cents
Pe=[68(.4336)-69.50(.3945)]e-(.035)(.50)=2.03cents
12.Usethebinomialoption-pricingmodeldevelopedinthechaptertovaluethecallofproblem9.
ThevolatilityoftheSwissfrancis14.2percent.
Solution:ThespotrateatTwillbeeither77.39¢=70.00¢(1.1056)o
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