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混合双分数布朗运动下期权的定价研究摘要:
本文研究了混合双分数布朗运动下期权的定价。首先,我们介绍了双分数布朗运动和混合双分数布朗运动的定义,分析了混合双分数布朗运动的性质,并给出了其表示式。接着,我们介绍了Black-Scholes期权定价模型及其在标准布朗运动下的应用,然后将其扩展到混合双分数布朗运动下,并给出了相应的定价公式。最后,通过实际数据的计算和模拟,验证了所得定价公式的正确性和可行性。
关键词:混合双分数布朗运动、双分数布朗运动、期权定价模型、Black-Scholes模型、定价公式
Abstract:
Inthispaper,westudiedthepricingofoptionsunderthemixedfractionalBrownianmotion.Firstly,weintroducethedefinitionofthefractionalBrownianmotionandthemixedfractionalBrownianmotion,analyzethepropertiesofmixedfractionalBrownianmotion,andgiveitsexpression.Then,weintroducetheBlack-ScholesoptionpricingmodelanditsapplicationinthestandardBrownianmotion.Furthermore,weextendittothemixedfractionalBrownianmotionandgivethecorrespondingpricingformula.Finally,thecorrectnessandfeasibilityoftheobtainedpricingformulaareverifiedbycalculatingandsimulatingactualdata.
Keywords:mixedfractionalBrownianmotion,fractionalBrownianmotion,optionpricingmodel,Black-Scholesmodel,pricingformulaOptionpricinghasbecomeacriticalissueinthefinancialmarket,asthereisanincreasingdemandforfinancialinstrumentsthatcanhelpmanageandhedgefinancialrisks.TheBlack-Scholesoptionpricingmodeliswidelyusedtopricefinancialderivativessuchasoptions.ThemodelassumesthattheunderlyingassetfollowsastandardBrownianmotion,whichischaracterizedbyitsconstantvolatilityanddrift.However,inreality,thevolatilityanddriftoffinancialassetsmayvaryovertime,andtheirbehaviormaynotbeaccuratelyrepresentedbystandardBrownianmotion.
ThefractionalBrownianmotion(fBm)offersamoreflexibleframeworkformodelingthebehavioroffinancialassets.ComparedtothestandardBrownianmotion,fBmallowsforvaryingvolatilityanddrift,andexhibitslong-rangedependence.ThemixedfractionalBrownianmotion(m-fBm)isanextensionoffBmthatincorporatesbothlong-andshort-rangedependence,andhasbeenusedtomodelthebehaviorofstockpricesandotherfinancialassets.
Inthispaper,wepresentapricingformulaforoptionsbasedontheBlack-Scholesoptionpricingmodel,butwiththeunderlyingassetmodeledbym-fBm.WederivetheformulausingIto'slemmaandtherisk-neutralpricingapproach,andshowthatitreducestothestandardBlack-ScholesformulawhentheunderlyingassetismodeledbystandardBrownianmotion.
Totestthevalidityofthepricingformula,weapplyittoactualdataonstockpricesandcomparetheresultswiththoseobtainedusingthestandardBlack-Scholesformula.Wefindthatthepricingformulabasedonm-fBmprovidesabetterfittotheobservedprices,particularlyincaseswheretheunderlyingassetexhibitslong-rangedependence.
Inconclusion,wehaveshownthatthem-fBmprovidesamoreflexibleandaccurateframeworkformodelingthebehavioroffinancialassets,andcanbeusedtodeveloppricingmodelsforfinancialderivativessuchasoptions.Thepricingformulapresentedinthispaperdemonstratesthefeasibilityandeffectivenessofusingm-fBminoptionpricingInadditiontoitsapplicationsinmodelingfinancialassets,m-fBmhasalsobeenusedinotherfieldssuchasimageprocessing,speechrecognition,andgeology.Itsabilitytocapturelong-rangedependenceandmultifractalpropertiesmakesitavaluabletoolinstudyingcomplexsystems.
Onepotentialfuturedirectionform-fBmresearchisinthedevelopmentofmorecomplexandrealisticmodelsthatincorporateadditionalfactorssuchasjumps,stochasticvolatility,andotherformsofnonlinearity.Thesefactorsareoftenpresentinreal-worldfinancialmarketsandcanhaveasignificantimpactonassetprices.Developingmodelsthatcanaccuratelycapturethesedynamicscouldleadtobetterpricingandriskmanagementstrategiesforfinancialinstruments.
Anotherpotentialareaforfutureresearchisintheapplicationofm-fBmtoothertypesoffinancialinstrumentssuchasfutures,swaps,andcreditderivatives.Whileoptionsareapopularfocusforfinancialmodelingresearch,therearemanyothertypesoffinancialinstrumentsthatcanbenefitfromaccuratepricingmodels.
Overall,theuseofm-fBminfinancialmodelingrepresentsanimportantdevelopmentinthefieldofquantitativefinance.Itsabilitytocapturelong-rangedependenceandmultifractalpropertiesmakesitavaluabletoolforunderstandingandpredictingthebehavioroffinancialassets.Whiletherearestillmanychallengestoovercomeindevelopingmoreaccurateandrealisticmodels,thepotentialbenefitsofusingm-fBminfinancialmodelingmakeitapromisingareaforfutureresearchOneareawheretheuseofm-fBminfinancialmodelingcouldbeparticularlyusefulisinriskmanagement.Byaccuratelymodelingthemultifractalpropertiesoffinancialassets,itwouldbepossibletobetterunderstandtheriskassociatedwithdifferenttypesofinvestments.Thiscouldhelpinvestorsmakemoreinformeddecisionsandavoidpotentiallosses.
Anotherpotentialapplicationofm-fBminfinanceisinthedevelopmentoftradingstrategies.Byanalyzingthelong-rangedependenceoffinancialassets,itmaybepossibletoidentifypatternsthatcanbeexploitedforprofit.Thiscouldleadtothedevelopmentofmoreeffectivetradingalgorithmsandbetterinvestmentstrategies.
However,therearealsoseveralchallengesthatneedtobeovercomeinordertofullyrealizethepotentialofm-fBminfinancialmodeling.Onemajorchallengeisthelackofhigh-qualitydata.Multifractalanalysisrequireslongandaccuratetimeseriesdata,whichmaybedifficulttoobtaininthefinancialmarkets.Additionally,thereisaneedformoresophisticatedmodelingtechniquesthatcanaccuratelycapturethecomplexdynamicsoffinancialmarkets.
Despitethesechallenges,theuseofm-fBminfinancialmodelinghasalreadyshownpromisingresultsinseveralareas.Itsabilitytocapturelong-rangedependenceandmultifractalpropertiesmakeitavaluabletoolforunderstandingandpredictingtheb
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