时间序列及其它预测案例

实用标准文案季度（1）19921

t(2)23

销售额3017.63043.54

四项平均（4）－－2

居中平均（5）－－2

Y/TC=SI（6－－75.513

长期趋势（7）－－2852.96

周期变动C（8－－97.2143445

2094.35

741.333773.4833722820.699.618

42891.91

0797.5331993

6

2

805.6332

52

8

871

7

809.84

2838.063115.3882930.87

96.83328

3274.8

835.5682

63

3639

3

2867.399110.3182969.82

96.55141

163.28

840.5582

87

0319941

01

2114.31

2894.24900.82572.8862907.41251

3008.782

96.4119521

3

2989.96984.685102.5733047.73

96.750精彩文档1995

31421

024.573327.48

实用标准文案335602071.365030.663109.7933086.6998.1843187.92383125.64861

321

3493.48

3277.32129.643111.625533232.6253164.59

100.127934

2

319.2583

75.47849

102.14941

439.93

3

298.289105.8363203.55

41996

5

3

303.8833311.574

3

102.9571

1

490.79

33111.2783242.50

226

3

296.073299.9789

8

102.12931

685.08

3337.213

110.9473281.46

947

3

3

316.6411

2

100.56419971

18

661.232

347.198371.71203342.2041

3320.416

299.886321

378.43

413.1853

103.5113359.37

99.48839

3

3

380.191113.8871

981998

420

459.553

444.678393398.323428.931107.9395

99.466391

2

849.63

501.9353

83437.27

99.7572132

3701.18

3473.30676.076553.4053527.6779

93476.23

1399.91542

2

33101.6394

78精彩文档实用标准文案1999

2

642.38

599.925576.6659

3515.18100.3551

3

3

3725.923

114.0358

122585.523662.92333554.14

100.63334

4

791.1583

106.6653

742

078.66

3

758.5391

3593.09

101.9432000

5

3

851.5433821.3575.254

7

31

2

907.06

3873.543

25

3632.05

103.48226

2

3

862.541107.0171

532

828.46

872.3253

23671.00

104.09547

4089.5

3872.933112.3516

52001

2

4

848.0283

2

3709.96104.1121

8

339.61

3810.27

860.176107.1173748.91

722

4148.6

3

3829.158

4

103.3083943

2916.45

3801.413

3805.843

75.55225

3787.869

1101.9082002

0

4

3789.313795.36

106.6723826.82

91

3

084.64

3818.781

2

3

100.06020031

21334233

4242.4283997.583909.522881.0154036.233982.314360.338

3804.0493864.1563945.92

111.4712105.328175.7353

3865.7773904.7323943.68

898.449697.1990396.459精彩文档实用标准文案233443536373

4360.534029.23172.184111.734223.7684690.484195.224694.4853342.354237.764577.6384965.464326.235026.055

14005.7594070.4694153.4814216.496

6104.4531110.5022108.856577.93157

63982.6414021.5954060.5494099.504

2297.0249898.1183298.6506699.291758

3470.144394.984282.00

101.6924138.45

100.36339

4525.944477.875258.713

14360.60

111.2412

84177.41

100.93564

5189.584509.828

109.632

2

101.55604

3596.764496.893881.68

4439.426

876.6487

4216.367

7102.4741

4570.214493.84

2

4255.32

2424

4611.0934642.74

64503.359

103.1828110.494

14294.275

103.3102103.7063

8

4533.55

7

4333.23644

4481.663

44590.65

111.6067

4372.184

103.0002精彩文档4

实用标准文案－176.54344411.13

102.7755

4626.928

8

1464748

4562.205－

98.59037113.6547113.7516－－

4450.0934489.0474528.0024566.956

103.1586103.0713100.7554－－4605.91Syyy3043.542094.351=2741.333yy353043.542809.843274.844=2805.633精彩文档实用标准文案2805.6332

2773.483运用按季平均法求季节指数

单位：%年份

一季度115.3886109.7938111.278988790353112.3512111.471250222412110.4947113.6547

二季度31886255110.9471107.939866511178105.328185656328111.6067113.7516

三季度75.5133772.8865175.478471.7120176.0767975.2542575.5522575.7353677.9315776.6487276.54348

四季度99.61852102.5735105.8364103.511101.6399107.0172106.6722104.4531101.692103.182898.59037精彩文档实用标准文案同季合计同季平均季节指数

1234.1112.1909112.1397

1203.79109.4354109.3855

829.332775.3938875.35947

1134.787103.1625103.1154tT中精彩文档实用标准文案T

YTSC时间序列分解预测法的应用tttttttttCCY精彩文档实用标准文案