MAPARegionHotMarketsMAPA区域市场热点

MAPARegionHotMarketsMAPA区域市场热点第1页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsDiscussion第2页/共55页NationalTrends

第3页/共55页NationalTrendsAIAArchitecturalBillingIndex

第4页/共55页NationalTrends

第5页/共55页Hotel/MotelSegment

第6页/共55页OfficeVacancy

第7页/共55页MallVacancy

第8页/共55页ApartmentVacancy

第9页/共55页Office/Hotel/RetailInvestment

第10页/共55页SmallBusinessOptimism

第11页/共55页SmallBusinessHiring

第12页/共55页NationalForecastsAIAConsensusConstructionForecast

/aiarchitect/2011/charts/consensus-survey/july/july.html#第13页/共55页NationalPrecastSalesYear

%Growth

PrecastSales($B)

2006

3%

5.2

2007

5%

5.5

2008

-15%

4.7

2009

-42%

3.4

2010

0%

3.4

2011

5%

3.6

2012

15%

4.1

2013

10%

4.5

2014

3%

4.6

Source:PCIMetricsCommittee第14页/共55页NationalPrecastSales第15页/共55页National2009PrecastMarketsOtherincludesstores,hospitals,multifamily,religious,sportcomplexes,government,hotels,andresidential第16页/共55页MAPA2010PrecastMarkets

Otherincludesamusement,boardwalk,bridge,stadia,transportation,andothernon-residentialwork第17页/共55页ForecastsbyState

OverallConstructionState 2011Change 2012Change2010MarketSize$MNewYork +3% +9% $46,553Virginia -2% +15% $25,954Pennsylvania +3% +10% $32,075NewJersey -1% +11% $24,824Maryland +10% +9% $18,505Overall -1.3%

+10.8%

$147,911Source:GlobalInsightsPut-in-Placeforecasts第18页/共55页MAPAPrecastMarkets

Parking2012Change+13%2013Change+15%2013MarketSize:$225MPut-in-Placein$M第19页/共55页MAPAPrecastMarkets

Educational2012Change+8.5%2013Change+7.4%2013MarketSize:$30.5BPut-in-Placein$M第20页/共55页MAPAPrecastMarkets

Government2012Change-1.3%2013Change+4.6%2013MarketSize:$6.6BPut-in-Placein$M第21页/共55页MAPAPrecastMarkets

Healthcare2012Change+7.8%2013Change+5.7%2013MarketSize:$10.1BPut-in-Placein$M第22页/共55页MAPAPrecastMarkets

Commercial2012Change+21.4%2013Change+21.9%2013MarketSize:$19.4BPut-in-Placein$M第23页/共55页MAPAPrecastMarkets

Multi-Family2012Change-9.1%2013Change-1.0%2013MarketSize:$3.9BPut-in-Placein$M第24页/共55页CompositeForecastPut-in-Placein$M第25页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclientsDiscussion第26页/共55页MAPA2012MarketsForecast

ParkingStructures Up+Offices Up+Hotel/Motel Up+Retail UpK-12(new)

UpHigherEducation

Up+Multi-family DownHealthcare UpGovernment DownBlue=MAPAmarketingfocus第27页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsCurrentTrends&ForecastingSummary…orbestguessfor2012MarketsbySegmentPrecaststrengths&weaknessesPotentialclients第28页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsParkingStructuresWashingtonDCmetroarea: WatchDCdevelopers.Watchfor developmentaroundMetrostationsHigherEducation: Collegecampuses…greenroofsa hottrendCIPstillverycompetitiveduetolaborrates第29页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsParkingStructureOpportunitiesBethesdaNavalHospitalDrexelUniversity–267carsCityofLansdale(PA)–291carsEllisMedicine(AlbanyNY)BernsteinCompanies:BethesdaMDWestinBethesdaChaseBrextonHealthServicesDowntownBaltimoreheadquarters第30页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsParkingStructureOpportunitiesCityofWatertonNYCityofMillvilleNJPenzanceProperties:WashingtonDCIntegrated300KsfofficeandparkingMosaicDistrictCommunityDevelop.FairfaxVA:FourparkingdecksCityofMillburnNJ第31页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsOfficesOfficerentalsinNYCandWashingtonheatingup.Philadelphia,Richmond,Pittsburghlagging.Historiclowinterestrates—ifbanksloanSelectivecityperimeteropportunities;Sellmulti-usecapabilitiesofprecastwithintegratedparking;quickerection.第32页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsOfficeOpportunitiesBernsteinCompanies:BethesdaMD

Integratedhotel/office/parkingPenzanceProperties:WashingtonDC officebuilding&parkingdeck第33页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHotel/MotelTrendtowardsmaller100-200roomhotelsoutsidemajorcities.Woodframingistoughcompetitioninthismarket.PAmulti-familyfireresistancelegislationhassponsors…butlittleprogress.Muchoftheforecastworkmayberenovation/renewalwork.第34页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHotel/MotelOpportunitiesBernsteinCompanies:BethesdaMD

Integratedhotel/office/parking WestinBethesdaprojectCityofMillvilleNJ(hotel/parkingdeck)

第35页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsRetailArchitecturalprecastopportunitiesfornewbigboxfacadesPossibilitiesforfront/rearone-storypanelsforupgradedstripcentersMarketaesthetic/functionalflexibilityofstripcenterpanels Knockouts/thin-brick/watertable stone第36页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsRetailOpportunitiesCityofLansdale(PA)-downtowndevelop.BoroughofFt.Lee(NJ)-downtowndevelop.BJ’sLAFitnesshhgreg,Inc.TJXCompanies(TJXandMarshalls)BestBuys第37页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12TremendousbacklogofrenovationandnewconstructionworkMuchofthenewconstructiononholdduetoinabilitytopassbondreferendumsMayloosenupin2012…butnotmuchWatchforlong-spanopportunitieswithadditions,suchasgymnasiums/cafeterias/auditoriums第38页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:Virginia AlbemarleCounty ChesterfieldCounty CulpeperCounty FairfaxCounty FluvannaCounty Frederick GreeneCounty HenricoCounty KingGeorgeCounty

LoudounCounty LouisaCounty

PrinceWilliamCounty RoanokeCity RoanokeCounty SpotsylvaniaCounty

StaffordCounty VirginiaBeach Williamsburg/JamesCityCounty第39页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:Maryland

AnneArundel BaltimoreCity BaltimoreCounty CalvertCounty

FrederickCounty

第40页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:Delaware

Appoquinimink Christina LakeForest MotCharter Seaford

第41页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:NewJersey•Elizabeth

‐AcademicMagnetHighSchool•LongBranch

‐CatramboneElementarySchool(Elberon)•Bridgeton–CherryStreetElementarySchool•JerseyCity–PS20ElementarySchool•JerseyCity–ElementarySchool3•NewBrunswick–A.ChesterRedshawElementarySchool•Newark–OliverStreetElementarySchool•Paterson–Marshall&HazelElementarySchool•Paterson–PSNumber16ElementarySchool•WestNewYork–HarryL.BainElementarySchool 第42页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsK-12Opportunities:PennsylvaniaGulenCharterSchoolsDowningtonAreaSchoolsPennHillsPennsylvaniahasproposedallowinglocalschooldistrictstocreatecharterschoolswithintheirdistrict

第43页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHigherEdStatefundingisdeclining,college-agepopulationisflat,competitionmorefierceforstudentsCollegesutilizingpublic/privatepartnershipstofinancerevenuegeneratingprojects(dorms/dining),butalsoincludingacademicandsportsfacilities第44页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHigherEdOpportunitiesDrexelUniversity(PA)dormsPaceUniversity(NY)dormsChristopherNewport(VA)newbldgs.VirginiaCommonwealth–3dorms第45页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsMulti-familyOpportunitieslimitedinapartment/condoconstructionToomuchaffordablesingle-familyhousingstock;predominantlywoodframeconstructionCondominiumshavehighliability第46页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsMulti-familyOpportunitiesNotawareofindividualopportunities

第47页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHealthcareTrendtowardcreatingmoreambulatorycarefacilitiesremotefrommaincampusTendtobeonetotwostorybuildings,rangingfrom50Kto300Ksquarefeet.MarketMNL116panelsandhollowcore/doubleteesforroof.Hollowcorefloorsnothighlyregardedduetofrequentinteriorlayoutandplumbingchanges.Slowandsteadygrowthinsmallerseniorcarecommunities:assistedliving/dementiacare…tendtobelight-framing,residentialcharacter第48页/共55页MAPARegion2012HotMarketsHealthcareOpportunitiesCooperCancerInstituteComprehensiveCareCenter:CamdenNJ/$100MCorningHospitalReplacement:CorningNY/$100MAmbulatorySurgeryCenter:FranklinLakesNJ/$3.7MNorthShore-LIJCenterforComprehensiveCare:NewYorkNY/$100MSouthNassauCommunitiesHospital-CenterforCardiova