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Topic4
FinancialRatioAnalysisPage
2contents4.1FinancialRatioAnalysis财务比率分析4.2LiquidityRatios流动性比率4.3DebtManagementRatios债务管理比率4.4AssetManagementRatios资产管理比率4.5ProfitabilityRatios盈利比率4.6MarketValueRatios市场价值比率4.7UsesandLimitationsofFinancialRatioAnalysis财务比率分析的使用和限制Page
34.1AnalyzingFinancialRatiosSomepreliminarycommentsarewarranted:1.Financialratiosarenotstandardized.2.Analyzingasinglefinancialratioforagivenyearmaynotbeveryuseful.3.Someofafirm’sfinancialaccountingpracticesorchoiceswillaffectitsfinancialstatementsand,finally,itsfinancialratios.4.Financialratiosdonotprovideanalystswithalloftheanswersaboutafirm’scondition.
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44.2LiquidityRatiosLiquidityratiosindicateafirm’sabilitytopayitsobligationsintheshortrun.Financialmanagersmustpaycloseattentiontoliquidityratiostoensuretheyreflectahighprobabilityofthefirmbeingabletopromptlyandfullypayitsbillswithoutunduestress.Page
54.2.1CurrentratioDenominator分母Numerator分子Page
64.2.1Currentratio(1)Excessivelyhighcurrentratios,however,mayindicatedafirmmayhavetoomuchofitslong-terminvestor-suppliedcapitalinvestedinshort-termlow-earningcurrentassets.Page
74.2.1Currentratio(2)Inaninflationaryenvironment,firmsthatuselast-in,first-out(LIFO)inventoryvaluationwilllikelyhave
?
currentratiosthanfirmsthatusefirst-in,first-out(FIFO).Page
84.2.1CurrentratioWithLIFOinventoryvaluation,firmsdeterminethevalueofcostofgoodssoldontheincomestatementbythecostoftheinventorymostrecentlyproduced;Exceptinsomedecliningcostindustries,inflationwilllikelycausethevalueofthis“older”inventorycarriedonthebalancesheettobelessthanthemorerecentcostofproducingthatinventory.Page
94.2.1CurrentratioThevalueofinventoryreportedonthebalancesheetisfrommorerecentperiodsandwillbebasedonmorerecent(higher)costdatathantheinventorybalanceofsimilarfirmsthatuseLIFO.Yet,ifafirmhasacurrentratiothatislessthanone,thesametransactionwouldleadtoalowercurrentratio.Page
104.2.1Currentratio(3)Equalabsolutechangesinthenumeratoranddenominatormayleadtoapparentimprovementsordeteriorationinratiosthatdonotreflectrealchangesinperformance.Analystsshouldbeawarethatafirm’smanagersmayundertakeyear-endtransactions,suchastheonedescribedabove,tomakecertainratiosappearbetterfollowingaperiodofdisappointingperformance.(windowdressing)Page
114.2.1Currentratio(4)Oneofthefirmsmayhaveasubstantialportionofitscurrentassetstiedupininventories,whiletheotherfirmmayhavelargecashandmarketablesecurities.Managersoranalystscanexamineafirm’scommon-sizebalancesheetovertimetoseerelativechangesinthecompositionofbothcurrentassetsandcurrentliabilitiesandassesschangesordifferencesinliquidity.Page
124.2.2QuickratioacidtestratioTherationaleforexcludinginventoryisthatitistheleastliquidofafirm’scurrentassetsandmaynotbeasreadilyavailabletomeetashort-termmaturingobligationastheothermoreliquidcurrentassets.Page
134.2.2QuickratioForanyfirmcarryinganinventorybalance,thequickratiowillbelowerthanthecurrentratio.Forexample,supposeafirm’scurrentratiohasbeenfairlystableandconsistentwithindustryaveragesoverthepastthreeyears.Butduringthesameperiod,thefirm’squickratiohasdeclinedandisnowbelowindustryaverages.Page
144.2.2QuickratioWhethertheincreaseislikelytemporaryorpermanentHowthefirmfinancestheinventoryHowtherelativeincreasesininventorywillaffectthefirm’sliquidityandoverallperformancePage
154.2.3CashratioAnalyzingacashratio,however,couldbehelpfulforassessingafirm’sliquiditywhenthefirmneedstopaymostorallofitscurrentliabilitieswithcashinthenearterm.Page
164.3DebtManagementRatiosDebtmanagementratioscharacterizeafirmintermsoftherelativemixofdebtandequityfinancingandprovidemeasuresofthelong-termdebtpayingabilityofthefirm.Page
17Leverageratioscharacterizeafirmintermsofitsrelativeamountofdebtfinancing,buttheydonotindicatethefirm’sabilitytomeetitsdebtobligations.LeverageratiosPage
18Whencomputingthedebtratioandthelong-termdebtratio,denominatorinplaceoftotalassets.somemanagersandanalystsusetotalcapitalinthedenominatorinplaceoftotalassets.Page
19InterestCoverageratiomeasurestheextenttowhichoperatingincomecandeclinebeforethefirmisunabletomeetitsannualinterestcost.Notethatearningsbeforeinterestandtaxes,ratherthannetincome,isusedinthenumeratorbecauseinterestispaidwithpre-taxdollars,andthefirm’sabilitytopaycurrentinterestisnotaffectedbytaxes.Page
204.4AssetManagementRatios
Assetmanagementratios,alsoreferredtoasassetutilizationorassetefficiencyratios,measureafirm’sabilitytomanagetheassetsatitsdisposal.Page
21AssetManagementRatios(1)AccountsReceivableTurnoverRatio
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22去waawset55Managersshouldanalyzethetradeoffbetweenanyincreasedsalesfromamorelenientcreditpolicyandtheassociatedcostsoflongercollectionperiodsandmoreuncollectedreceivablestodeterminewhetherchangingthefirm’screditsalespolicycouldincreaseshareholder’swealth.Page
23(2)InventoryTurnoverRatio
Alow,decliningratiomaysuggestthefirmhascontinuedtobuildupinventoryinthefaceofweakeningdemandormaybecarryingandreportingoutdatedorobsoleteinventorythatcouldonlybesoldatreducedprices,ifatall.Page
24Ontheotherhand,amanageroranalystshouldchecktomakesurethatahighratiodoesnotreflectlostsalesopportunitiesbecauseofinadequateinventorylevelscausedbyproductionproblems,poorsalesforecasting,orweakcoordinationbetweensalesandproductionactivitieswithinthefirm.Page
25AssetManagementRatios
(3)AccountsPayableTurnoverRatio
AccountsPayableTurnoverindays(PTD)
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26Whenafirmproducesgoodsoracquiresinventoryforthesaleand/orsellstheitemsonacreditbasis,itwillneedtohaveamplecashduringtheperiodbetweenwhenthefirmmustpayfortherawmaterials,inventoryandlaborandwhenitreceivescashfromthesalesofgoods.Page
27AssetManagementRatios(4)Operatingcycle:营业周期thelengthoftimefromthecommitmentofcashforpurchasesuntilthecollectionofreceivablesresultingfromthesaleofgoodsorservices.
OC=ITD+RTDPage
28(5)Cashcycle:现金周期
thelengthoftimefromtheactualoutlayofcashforpurchasesuntilthecollectionofcashresultingfromsales
CC=ITD+RTD-PTD=OC-PTDPage
29Operatingcycle&cashcycleTheoperatingcycle,byfocusingonITDandRTD,providesasummaryactivity
measure.Themeasureprovidessupplementaryinformationonafirm’s
liquidity
aswell.Arelativelylongoperatingcyclemightbeawarningsignofexcessivereceivablesand/orinventoryandwouldreflectnegativelyonthefirm’strueliquidity.Page
30Operatingcycle&cashcycleThecashcyclereflectsbothoperatingandfinancingdecisionsofafirm.Onemustextremelycarefulintryingtoanalyzethismeasure.Onthesurface,arelativelyshortcashcycleisasignofgoodmanagement.Suchafirmisquicktocollectcashfromsalesonceitpaysforpurchases.Page
31Operatingcycle&cashcycleButthinkaboutafirmthatneverpayitsbillsontime(apoorfinancingdecision),itscashcyclewouldbeloworperhapsevennegative.Theoperatingcycle,byfocusingstrictlyontheeffectsofoperatingdecisionsoninventoryandreceivables,providesclearsignalsfortheanalysttoconsider.Page
32AssetManagementRatios(6)AssetTurnoverRatios
Page
33Thelengthoftheoperatingcycleisthetimefromthepurchaseofinventorytothecollectionofcashfromthesaleofthatinventory;thisintervalisequaltothe
numberofdays’salesininventoryplustheaveragecollectionperiod.Page
344.5ProfitabilityRatios
Profitabilityratiomeasurestheearningpowerofafirm.(1)GrossProfitMargin销售毛利率Page
35ProfitabilityRatios(2)OperatingProfitMargin营业利润率(3)NetProfitMargin销售净利率Page
36ProfitabilityRatios(4)ReturnonAssets(ROA)ReturnonInvestment(ROI)ROAratiosarealsoaffectedbytheageofafirm’splantandequipment,especiallyduringperiodsofmoderatetohighinflation(5)TotalReturnonAssetsPage
37ProfitabilityRatios(6)ReturnonTotalEquity(7)ReturnonCommonEquity
Page
38ProfitabilityRatios(8)DuPontAnalysisofROE
Page
394.5ProfitabilityRatiosHighnetprofitmarginssuggestafirmcancontrolitscostsorhasasolidcompetitivepositionwithinitsindustrythatisnotthreatenedbycost-cuttingcompetitors.Firmsinindustrieswithhighsalesvolumes(likeretailgrocerystores)canoperateprofi
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