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2023年6月大学英语六级真题试卷及答案(一)PartIWriting(30minutes)(请于正式开考后半小时内完毕该部分,之后将进行听力考试)Directions:Supposeyouareaskedtogiveadviceonwhethertoattendavocationalcollegeorauniversity,writeanessaytostateyouropinion.Youarerequiredtowriteatleast150wordsbutnomorethan200words.【参考范文】WhethertoAttendaVocationalCollegeoraUniversity?It’sanundisputabletruththatvirtuallyallhighschoolgraduateswillencounterthechoicesbetweenavocationalcollegeandauniversity.Andwhenitcomestothisquestion,students’ideasarenotcutfromthesamecloth.Inpointofwhichtochooseandwhattobetakenintoconsideration,myadvicesareasfollow.Inthefirstplace,weshouldbeconsciousofthefactthatbothofthetwochoiceshaveitsownsuperiorities.Forinstance,avocationalcollegespecializesincultivatinghumanresourceswithpracticalcapabilities;whileauniversityservesasthecradleofacademicresearchersindifferentfields.Thenitdoesfollowthathighschoolgraduatesshouldhaveaclearpictureofthemselves.Thatistosay,theyshouldknowtheirmeritsanddemeritsandtheirchoicesmustgiveplaytotheirstrengthswhilstcircumventweaknesses.Inaddition,interestisthebestteacherandit’salsothepremiseoflearningonone’sowninitiative.Thusinterestmustbetakenintoaccountbecauseitcannotonlydecidehowfaronecanreachacademicallyandprofessionallybutalsohowhappyandfulfilledonewillbe.Inbrief,allabovejustgoestoshowthattherereallyisnoone-size-fits-allanswerforthequestion.Thekeyliesinaclearcognition,accurateself-positioningandtheinterestofoneself.Onlythencaneveryonefindarightpaththatworksbestforus.PartIIListeningComprehension(30minutes)SectionADirections:Inthissection,youwillheartwolongconversations.Attheendofeachconversation,youwillhearfourquestions.Boththeconversationandthequestionswillbespokenonlyonce.Afteryouhearaquestion,youmustchoosethebestanswerfromthefourchoicesmarkedA),B),C)andD).ThenmarkthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet1withasinglelinethroughthecentre.注意:此部分试题请在答题卡1上作答。Questions1to4arebasedontheconversationyouhavejustheard.1.A)Hewouldfeelinsulted.ﻩB)Hewouldfeelverysad.C)Hewouldbeembarrassed. D)Hewouldbedisappointed.2.A)Theyareworthyofaprize. B)Theyareoflittlevalue.C)Theymakegoodreading.ﻩD)Theyneedimprovement.A)Heseldomwritesabookstraightthrough. B)Hewritesseveralbookssimultaneously.C)Hedrawsonhisreal-lifeexperiences. D)Heoftenturnstohiswifeforhelp.4.ﻩA)Writingabookisjustlikewatchingafootballmatch.B)Writersactuallyworkeverybitashardasfootballers.C)Helikeswatchingafootballmatchafterfinishingabook.D)Unlikeafootballmatch,thereisnoendtowritingabook.Questions5to8arebasedontheconversationyouhavejustheard.5.A)Achievementsofblackmaleathletesincollege.B)Financialassistancetoblackathletesincollege.C)Highcollegedropoutratesamongblackathletes.D)Undergraduateenrollmentsofblackathletes.6.A)Theydisplaygreattalentineverykindofgame.B)Theyarebetteratsportsthanatacademicwork.C)Theyhavedifficultyfindingmoneytocompletetheirstudies.D)Theymakemoneyforthecollegebutoftenfailtoearnadegree.7.A)About15%. B)Around40%.C)Slightlyover50%.ﻩD)Approximately70%.8.A)Coacheslacktheincentivetograduatethem. B)Collegedegreesdonotcountmuchtothem.C)Theyhavelittleinterestinacademicwork. D)Schoolsdonotdeemitaseriousproblem.SectionBDirections:Inthissection,youwillheartwopassages.Attheendofeachpassage,youwillhearthreeorfourquestions.Boththepassageandthequestionswillbespokenonlyonce.Afteryouhearaquestion,youmustchoosethebestanswerfromthefourchoicesmarkedA),B),C)andD).ThenmarkthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet1withasinglelinethroughthecentre.Questions9to12arebasedonthepassageyouhavejustheard.9. A)Marketingstrategies.B)Holidayshopping.C)Shoppingmalls.D)Onlinestores.A)About50%ofholidayshoppers.B)About20-30%ofholidayshoppers.C)About136million.D)About183.8million.

11. A)Theyhavefewercustomers.B)Theyfindithardtosurvive.C)Theyarethrivingoncemore.D)Theyappealtoelderlycustomers.ﻫ12. A)BetterqualityofconsumergoodsB)Higheremploymentandwages.C)Greatervarietiesofcommodities.D)Peoplehavingmoreleisuretime.ﻫQuestions13to15arebasedonthepassageyouhavejustheard.A)Theyarenewspeciesofbiginsects.B)Theyareoverprescribedantibiotics.C)Theyarelife-threateningdiseases.D)Theyareantibiotic-resistantbacteria.A)Antibioticsarenowinshortsupply.B)Manyinfectionsarenolongercurable.C)Largeamountsoftaxmoneyarewasted.D)Routineoperationshavebecomecomplex.15. A)Facilities.B)Expertise.C)Money.D)Publicity.SectionCDirections:Inthissection,youwillhearthreerecordingsoflecturesortalksfollowedbythreeorfourquestions.Therecordingswillbeplayedonlyonce.Afteryouhearaquestion,youmustchoosethebestanswerfromthefourchoicesmarkedA),B),C)andD).ThenmarkthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet1withasinglelinethroughthecentre.Questions16to18arebasedontherecordingyouhavejustheard.A)Itisaccessibleonlytothetalented.B)Itimprovesstudents’abilitytothink.C)Itstartsalifelonglearningprocess.D)Itgivesbirthtomanyeminentscholars.A)Theyencourageacademicdemocracy.B)Theypromoteglobalization.C)Theyupholdthepresidents'authority.D)Theyprotectstudents’rights.18.A)Histhirstforknowledge.B)Hiseagernesstofindajob.C)Hiscontemptforauthority.D)Hispotentialforleadership.Questions19to22arebasedontherecordingyouhavejustheard.19.A)Fewpeopleknowhowtoretrieveinformationproperly.B) Peoplecanenhancetheirmemorywithafewtricks.C) Mostpeoplehavearatherpoorlong-termmemory.D)ﻩPeopletendtounderestimatetheirmentalpowers.20.ﻩA)Theypresentthestatesinasurprisinglydifferentorder.B) Theyincludemoreorlessthesamenumberofstates.C) Theyareexactlythesameasisshownintheatlas.D)ﻩTheycontainnamesofthemostfamiliarstates.21.ﻩA)Focusingonwhatislikelytobetested.B)ﻩHavingagoodsleepthenightbefore.C) Reviewingyourlessonswheretheexamistolakeplace.D)ﻩMakingsensibledecisionswhilechoosingyouranswers.22.ﻩA)Discoverwhenyoucanlearnbest. B)Changeyourtimeofstudydaily.C)Giveyourselfadoublebonusafterwards.D)Followtheexampleofamarathonrunner.Questions23to25arebasedontherecordingyouhavejustheard.23.ﻩA)Heisapolitician. B)Heisabusinessman.C)Heisasociologist.ﻩD)Heisaeconomist24. A)Inslums.ﻩB)InAfrica.C)Inpre-industrialsocieties. D)Indevelopingcountries.25.ﻩA)Theyhavenoaccesstohealthcare,letaloneentertainmentorrecreation.B)ﻩTheirincomeislessthan50%ofthenationalaveragefamilyincome.C)ﻩTheyworkextrahourstohavetheirbasicneedsmet.D) Theirchildrencannotaffordtogotoprivateschools.PartIIListeningComprehension(30minutes)SectionADirections:Inthissection,youwillheartwolongconversations.Attheendofeachconversation,youwillhearfourquestions.Boththeconversationandthequestionswillbespokenonlyonce.Afteryouhearaquestion,youmustchoosethebestanswerfromthefourchoicesmarkedA),B),C)andD).ThenmarkthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet1withasinglelinethroughthecentre.Questions1to4arebasedontheconversationyouhavejustheard.1.A)Hewouldfeelinsulted.B)Hewouldfeelverysad.C)Hewouldbeembarrassed.D)Hewouldbedisappointed.【答案】A【解析】题目问假如男士在二手书店中发现了自己写的书,那么男士会感觉如何。男士说到:假如他在二手书店发现了自己的书,他会认为这是种欺侮。因此选A。2.A)Theyareworthyofaprize.B)Theyareoflittlevalue.C)Theymakegoodreading.D)Theyneedimprovement.【答案】B【解析】题目问男士的妻子认为他的书怎么样。男士说到:他最新的一本书是在2023年写的,当时在写的时候给他妻子看了一小部分。妻子认为他写的内容是垃圾。这表白他的妻子认为他写的书毫无价值。因此选B。3.A)Heseldomwritesabookstraightthrough.B)Hewritesseveralbookssimultaneously.C)Hedrawsonhisreal-lifeexperiences.D)Heoftenturnstohiswifeforhelp.【答案】A【解析】题目问当男士在写作的时候,他通常会做什么。在对话中,女士问男士他那本《被埋葬的巨人》为什么被搁置了那么久,显然是过了十年才把这本书写好。男士回答:他写书通常都是写写停停,写到一半就会搁置几年时间再继续写。男士的言外之意是,他很少会一口气把一本书写完。因此选A。4.A)Writingabookisjustlikewatchingafootballmatch.B)Writersactuallyworkeverybitashardasfootballers.C)Helikeswatchingafootballmatchafterfinishingabook.D)Unlikeafootballmatch,thereisnoendtowritingabook.Questions5to8arebasedontheconversationyouhavejustheard.【答案】D【解析】题目问男士提到足球比赛是想表达什么。男士在最后说到,足球运动员在结束的哨声吹响的时候,就意味着比赛已经结束了。但是对于作家来说,永远都没有结束的哨声这一说。因此选D。5.A)Achievementsofblackmaleathletesincollege.B)Financialassistancetoblackathletesincollege.C)Highcollegedropoutratesamongblackathletes.D)Undergraduateenrollmentsofblackathletes.【答案】C【解析】题目问这两个发言者在谈论什么。女士在一开始就引出主题:一份研究表白,在大学中黑人运动员的辍学率特别高。因此选C。6.A)Theydisplaygreattalentineverykindofgame.B)Theyarebetteratsportsthanatacademicwork.C)Theyhavedifficultyfindingmoneytocompletetheirstudies.D)Theymakemoneyforthecollegebutoftenfailtoearnadegree.【答案】D【解析】题目问这份研究对黑人男性运动员有什么新的发现。男士说到:他们是以给学校发明收入的工薪阶层的身份存在的,而不是以受教育的学生的身份存在的。就是说,黑人男性运动员只是学校的挣钱工具,而学校并没有给他们太多接受学术教育的机会。因此选D。7.A)About15%.B)Around40%.C)Slightlyover50%.D)Approximately70%.【答案】C【解析】题目问黑人男性运动员的毕业率是多少。女士回答:在65所学校中只有勉强一半多一点儿的黑人能毕业。因此选C。8.A)Coacheslacktheincentivetograduatethem.B)Collegedegreesdonotcountmuchtothem.C)Theyhavelittleinterestinacademicwork.D)Schoolsdonotdeemitaseriousproblem.【答案】A【解析】题目问根据男士可知,黑人运动员没能取得大学学位的因素是什么。男士在最后说到:所有的动机不是要赢得比赛就是不能输掉比赛。教练缺少让他们毕业的动力。因此选A。SectionBDirections:Inthissection,youwillheartwopassages.Attheendofeachpassage,youwillhearthreeorfourquestions.Boththepassageandthequestionswillbespokenonlyonce.Afteryouhearaquestion,youmustchoosethebestanswerfromthefourchoicesmarkedA),B),C)andD).ThenmarkthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet1withasinglelinethroughthecentre.Questions9to12arebasedonthepassageyouhavejustheard.9.A)Marketingstrategies.B)Holidayshopping.C)Shoppingmalls.D)Onlinestores.【答案】B【解析】题目问说话者重要说了什么。听力材料一开始就提到“America’sholidayshoppingseasonstartsonBlackFriday...Itisthebusiestshoppingdayoftheyear”,因此,不难推断出该篇听力的主题是关于holidayshopping,因此本题选B。10.A)About50%ofholidayshoppers.B)About20-30%ofholidayshoppers.C)About136million.D)About183.8million.【答案】D【解析】题目问有多少人会在网络星期一那天购物。听力篇章中提及,“About183.8millionpeoplewillshoponCyberMonday”,就不难选出本题答案D。11.A)Theyhavefewercustomers.B)Theyfindithardtosurvive.C)Theyarethrivingoncemore.D)Theyappealtoelderlycustomers.【答案】C【解析】题目问关于传统购物中心,《财富》是怎么说的。听力篇章中提及“Fortunesaystheweakestofthemallshaveclosed.Thesectoristhrivingagain”,由此可知,本题答案选C。12.A)Betterqualityofconsumergoods.B)Higheremploymentandwages.C)Greatervarietiesofcommodities.D)Peoplehavingmoreleisuretime.【答案】B【解析】题目是问购物者数量增长的因素是什么。篇章中提到,“…lowerunemploymentandrisingwagescouldgiveAmericansmoremoneytospend”,其中B选项与这句话完全符合,lowerunemployment即higheremployment,故本题选B。Questions13to15arebasedonthepassageyouhavejustheard.13.A)Theyarenewspeciesofbiginsects.B)Theyareoverprescribedantibiotics.C)Theyarelife-threateningdiseases.D)Theyareantibiotic-resistantbacteria.【答案】D【解析】题目问关于超级细菌我们知道什么。篇章中提及,“youmayhaveheardaboutthenewsuperbugswhichareantibiotic-resistantbacteriathathavedevelopedasaresultofoverprescribedantibiotics.",其中D选项与这句话完全符合。14.A)Antibioticsarenowinshortsupply.B)Manyinfectionsarenolongercurable.C)Largeamountsoftaxmoneyarewasted.D)Routineoperationshavebecomecomplex.【答案】D【解析】题目问抗生素用量过度的后果是什么。篇章中提到“seeminglyroutineoperations...arenowmuchmorehazardous...”,D选项与此相符合。15.A)Facilities.B)Expertise.C)Money.D)Publicity.【答案】C【解析】题目问,在说话者看来,为应对严重威胁生命的传染病,什么是最迫切需要的。篇章最后提及:面对严重威胁生命的传染病,却只有1.2%的预算被用于研究上,这与所需的资金相差甚远。由此可知C选项对的。SectionCDirections:Inthissection,youwillhearthreerecordingsoflecturesortalksfollowedbythreeorfourquestions.Therecordingswillbeplayedonlyonce.Afteryouhearaquestion,youmustchoosethebestanswerfromthefourchoicesmarkedA),B),CJandD).ThenmarkthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet1withasinglelinethroughthecentre.Questions16to18arebasedontherecordingyouhavejustheard.16.A)Itisaccessibleonlytothetalented.B)Itimprovesstudents’abilitytothink.C)Itstartsalifelonglearningprocess.D)Itgivesbirthtomanyeminentscholars.【答案】B【解析】题目问说话者是如何描述大学的。听力材料中提到“youareheretounderstandthinkingbetterandtothinkbetteryour-self”,B选项与此相符合。17.A)Theyencourageacademicdemocracy.B)Theypromoteglobalization.C)Theyupholdthepresidents’authority.D)Theyprotectstudents’rights.【答案】A【解析】题目问关于大学,我们可以从说话者的故事中了解到什么。篇章中提到“Butwhatwasreallyimportantaboutthatwastheuniversitiesstandoutasplacesthatreallyareabouttheauthorityofideas.",由此可推断出大学鼓励思想交流,鼓励学术民主,A选项对的。18.A)Histhirstforknowledge.B)Hiseagernesstofindajob.C)Hiscontemptforauthority.D)Hispotentialforleadership.【答案】A【解析】题目是问说话者在挑战他论文的年轻人身上看到了什么。听力篇章中提及“a...youcouldn’tdebatethatyoungman’shungertolearn”,由此可判断选A。Questions19to22arebasedontherecordingyouhavejustheard.19.A)Fewpeopleknowhowtoretrieveinformationproperly.B)Peoplecanenhancetheirmemorywithafewtricks.C)Mostpeoplehavearatherpoorlong-termmemory.D)Peopletendtounderestimatetheirmentalpowers.【答案】D【解析】听力篇章一开始就提及,“Psychologicalresearchshowsweconsistentlyunderestimateourmentalpowers.”,这与D选项完全符合。20.A)Theypresentthestatesinasurprisinglydifferentorder.B)Theyincludemoreorlessthesamenumberofstates.C)Theyareexactlythesameasisshownintheatlas.D)Theycontainnamesofthemostfamiliarstates.【答案】B【解析】听力材料中提到,“Thetwolistswillcontainroughlythesamenumberofstatesbuttheywillnotbeidentical”,由此可知本题答案为B选项。21.A)Focusingonwhatislikelytobetested.B)Havingagoodsleepthenightbefore.C)Reviewingyourlessonswheretheexamistotakeplace.D)Makingsensibledecisionswhilechoosingyouranswers.【答案】C【解析】题目问说话者对如何准备和参与考试有何建议。听力篇章中提及“Ifpossible,youshouldalsotrytolearninformationintheroomwhereitisgoingtobetested”,这与C选项完全符合,故本题选C。22.A)Discoverwhenyoucanlearnbest.B)Changeyourtimeofstudydaily.B)Giveyourselfadoublebonusafterwards.D)Followtheexampleofamarathonrunner.【答案】A【解析】题目问关于学习,说话者给了我们什么建议。听力篇章中曾提及:“Whenyoulearnisalsoimportant”,这表白,要找到最适合自己学习的时间,故A选项对的。Questions23to25arebasedontherecordingyouhavejustheard.23.A)Heisapolitician.B)Heisabusinessman.C)Heisasociologist.D)Heisaneconomist.【答案】C【解析】题目是问说话者是做什么的。听力篇章中提及“Itconcernsnotonlyussociologistsbutalsoeconomists,politiciansandbusinesspeople.”,答案为C选项。24.A)Inslums.B)InAfrica.C)Inpre-industrialsocieties.D)Indevelopingcountries.【答案】D【解析】题目是问说话者说在哪可以发现极度贫穷的情况。听力篇章中提及:“Wheredoesextremepovertyoccur?Well,youcanfinditonlyindevelopingcountries.”,因此本题答案选D。25.A)Theyhavenoaccesstohealthcare,letaloneentertainmentorrecreation.B)Theirincomeislessthan50%ofthenationalaveragefamilyincome.C)Theyworkextrahourstohavetheirbasicneedsmet.D)Theirchildrencannotaffordtogotoprivateschools.【答案】B【解析】题目是问家庭相对贫穷的美国人是什么样的。听力篇章中提及:“intheUnitedStatesafamilycanbeconsideredpooriftheirincomeislessthan50%ofthenationalaveragefamilyincome.”,这与B选项完全符合。PartⅢ ReadingComprehension(40minutes)SectionADirections:Inthissection,thereisapassagewithtenblanks.Youarerequiredtoselectonewordforeachblankfromalistofchoicesgiveninawordbankfollowingthepassage.Readthepassagethroughcarefullybeforemakingyourchoices,Eachchoiceinthebankisidentifiedbyaletter.PleasemarkthecorrespondingletterforeachitemonAnswerSheet2withasinglelinethroughthecentre.Youmaynotuseanyofthewordsinthebankmorethanonce.Questions26to35arebasedonthefollowingpassage.AfterbecomingpresidentofPurdueUniversityin2023,MitchDanielsaskedthefacultytoprovethattheirstudentshaveactuallyachievedoneofhighereducation’smostimportantgoals:criticalthinkingskills.Twoyearsbefore,anationwidestudyofcollegegraduateshadshownthatmorethanathirdhadmadeno(26)_______gainsinsuchmentalabilitiesduringtheirschoolyears.Mr.Danielsneededto(27)_______thehighcostofattendingPurduetoitsstudentsandtheirfamilies.Afterall,thepercentageofAmericanswhosayacollegedegreeis“veryimportant”hasfallen(28)_______inthelast5-6years.Purduenowhasapilottesttoassessstudents’criticalthinkingskills.YetlikemanycollegeteachersaroundtheU.S.,thefacultyremain(29)_______thattheirworkaseducatorscanbemeasuredbya“learning(30)_______”suchasagraduate’sabilitytoinvestigateandreason.However,theprofessorsneednotworrysomuch.Theresultsofarecentexperimentshowedthatprofessorscanuse(31)_______metricstomeasurehowwellstudentsdointhreekeyareas:criticalthinking,writtencommunication,andquantitativeliteracy.Despitethesuccessoftheexperiment,theactualresultsareworrisome,andmostly(32)_______earlierstudies.Theorganizersoftheexperimentconcludedthatfarfewerstudentswereachievingathighlevelsoncriticalthinkingthantheyweredoingforwrittencommunicationorquantitativeliteracy.Andthatconclusionisbasedonlyonstudentsnearinggraduation.Americanuniversities,despitetheirglobal(33)_______ forexcellenceinteaching,haveonlybeguntodemonstratewhattheycanproduceinreal-worldlearning.Knowledge-baseddegreesarestillimportant,butemployersare(34)_______advancedthinkingskillsfromcollegegraduates.Iftheintellectualworthofacollegedegreecanbe(35)_______measured,morepeoplewillseekhighereducation—andcomeoutbetterthinkers.注意:此部分试题请在答题卡2上作答。A)accuratelyB)confirmC)demandingD)doubtfulE)drasticallyF)justifyG)monopolizedH)outcomeI)predominanceJ)presumingK)reputationL)significantM)signifyN)simultaneouslyO)standardized26.【解析】F。空格前的remain为系动词,因此空格处需要填入一个形容词;根据前面的句意“……更有也许坚持做一件事”,可知focused最为符合,表达“保持全神贯注”,因此本题选F。27.【解析】L。根据空格前的to可判断空格处应填入动词原形,根据句意,“使用口头提醒来记忆图像”,可知选项L符合。28.【解析】0。空格前是量词twenty,因此空格处需填入一个名词复数;再由前边的“Inoneexperiment”可知这是一个实验,所以这里选择volunteers(志愿者)最为合适,故本题选0。29.【解析】H。空格前后分别为be动词were和介词to,因此空格处需要填入一个动词的被动语态;根据句意,“一半人被_____要大声地反复他们要找的东西,”可知instructed(告知,指导)最为合适,因此本题答案选H。30.【解析】J。根据句子结构可判断空格处需要填入一个形容词。再由theotherhalf相应的是前边的Half,可知这里的情况和前边的不同,前边说repeatoutloud(大声地反复),后边自然就是要表达“不说话”的意思,keepone’slipssealed即“闭上嘴巴、不说话”的意思,故本题选J。31.【解析】M。空格前的that引导的是宾语从句,空格与后面的名词词组thenameofacommonproduct共同充当宾语从句的主语,因此空格处应填入动词的-ing形式,根据句意可判断uttering更为合适,故本题选M。32.【解析】A。空格所在句是一个现在完毕时态,空格前后组成谓语动词havematured,因此空格处事实上并不缺成分,只也许填入一个副词来修饰动词matured,根据单词意思,这里应选apparently。33.【解析】C。根据空格前边的agreatsignof可知,空格处缺少一个名词;再根据句意,“当你足够成熟时,自言自语并不能显示出你的_____”,可知这里填入brilliance更为合适。故本题选C。34.【解析】D。空格前边是一句完整的话,空格后是that从句,由此判断空格处填入动词的-ing形式,作为前边句子的随着状语,并引导后面的宾语从句;分析选项,动词的-ing形式只剩下claiming这一个词,故本题选D。35.【解析】N。空格处需要填入一个名词,与前边的Atany构成介词词组;结合整篇文章的大意,此处填入volume最为合适,故本题选N。SectionBDirections:Inthissection,youaregoingtoreadapassagewithtenstatementsattachedtoit.Eachstatementcontainsinformationgiveninoneoftheparagraphs.Identifytheparagraphfromwhichtheinformationisderived.Youmaychooseaparagraphmorethanonce.Eachparagraphismarkedwithaletter.AnswerthequestionsbymarkingthecorrespondingletteronAnswerSheet2.ThePriceofOilandthePriceofCarbon[A]Fossilfuelpricesarelikelytostay“lowforlong.”Notwithstandingimportantrecentprogressindevelopingrenewablefuelsources,lowfossilfuelpricescoulddiscouragefurtherinnovationin,andadoptionof,cleanerenergytechnologies.Theresultwouldbehigheremissionsofcarbondioxideandothergreenhousegases.[B]Policymakersshouldnotallowlowenergypricestoderailthecleanenergytransition.Actiontorestoreappropriatepriceincentives,notablythroughcorrectivecarbonpricing,isurgentlyneededtolowertheriskofirreversibleandpotentiallydevastatingeffectsofclimatechange.Thatapproachalsooffersfiscalbenefits.[C]Oilpriceshavedroppedbyover60%sinceJune2023.Acommonlyheldviewintheoilindustryisthat“thebestcureforlowoilpricesislowoilprices.”Thereasoningbehindthissayingisthatlowoilpricesdiscourageinvestmentinnewproductioncapacity,eventuallyshiftingtheoilsupplycurvebackwardandbringingpricesbackupasexistingoilfields一whichcanbetappedatrelativelylowmarginalcost—aredepleted.Infact,inlinewithpastexperiencecapitalexpenditureintheoilsectorhasdroppedsharplyinmanyproducingcountries,includingtheUnitedStates.Thedynamicadjustmenttolowoilpricesmay,however,bedifferentthistimearound.[D]Oilpricesareexpectedtoremainlowerforlonger.Theadventofnewtechnologieshasaddedabout4.2millionbarrelsperdaytothecrudeoilmarket,contributingtoaglobalover-supply.Inaddition,otherfactorsareputtingdownwardpressureonoilprices:changeinthestrategiesbehavioroftheOrganizationofPetroleumExportingCountries,theprojectedincreaseinIranianexports,thescaling-downofglobaldemand(especiallyfromemergingmarkets),thelong-termdropinpetroleumconsumptionintheUnitedStates,andsomedisplacementofoilbysubstitutes.Theselikelypersistentforces,likethegrowthofshale(页岩)oil,pointtoa“lowforlong”scenario.Futuresmarkets,whichshowonlyamodestrecoveryofpricestoaround$60abarrelby2023,supportthisview.[E]Naturalgasandcoal—alsofossilfuels—havesimilarlyseenpricedeclinesthatlooktobelong-lived.Coalandnaturalgasaremainlyusedforelectricitygeneration,whereasoilisusedmostlytopowertransportation,yetthepricesofalltheseenergysourcesarelinked.TheNorthAmericanshalegasboomhasresultedinrecordlowpricesthere.TherecentdiscoveryofthegiantZohrgasfieldofftheEgyptiancoastwilleventuallyhaveimpactonpricingintheMediterraneanregionandEurope,andthereissignificantdevelopmentpotentialinmanyotherplaces,notablyArgentina.Coalpricesalsoarelow,owingtoover-supplyandthescaling-downofdemand,especiallyfromChina,whichbumshalfoftheworld’scoal.[F]Technologicalinnovationshaveunleashedthepowerofrenewablessuchaswind,hydro,solar,andgeothermal(地热).EvenAfricaandtheMiddleEast,hometoeconomiesthatareheavilydependentonfossilfuelexports,haveenormouspotentialtodeveloprenewables.Forexample,theUnitedArabEmirateshasendorsedanambitioustargettodraw24%ofitsprimaryenergyconsumptionfromrenewablesourcesby2023.[G]Progressinthedevelopmentofrenewablescouldbefragile,however,iffossilfuelpricesremainlowforlong.Renewablesaccountforonlyasmallshareofglobalprimaryenergyconsumption,whichisstilldominatedbyfossilfuels—30%eachforcoalandoil,25%fornaturalgas.Butrenewableenergywillhavetodisplacefossilfuelstoamuchgreaterextentinthefuturetoavoidunacceptableclimaterisks.[H]Unfortunately,thecurrentlowpricesforoil,gas,andcoalmayprovidelittleincentiveforresearchtofindevencheapersubstitutesforthosefuels.Thereisstrongevidencethatbothinnovationandadoptionofcleanertechnologyarestronglyencouragedbyhigherfossilfuelprices.Thesameistruefornewtechnologiesforalleviatingfossilfuelemissions.[I]Thecurrentlowfossilfuelpriceenvironmentwillthuscertainlydelaytheenergytransitionfromfossilfueltocleanenergysources.Unlessrenewablesbecomecheapenoughthatsubstantialcarbondepositsareleftundergroundforaverylongtime,ifnotforever,theplanetwilllikebeexposedtopotentiallycatastrophicclimaterisks.[J]Someclimateimpactsmayalreadybediscernible.Forexample,theUnitedNationsChildrenFundestimatesthatsome11millionchildreninAfricafacehunger,disease,andwatershortageasaresultofthestrongestElNino(厄尔尼诺)weatherphenomenonindecades.ManyscientistsbelievethatElNinoevents,causedbywarminginthePacific,arebecomingmoreintenseasaresultofclimatechange.[K]NationsfromaroundtheworldhavegatheredinParisfortheUnitedNationsClimateChangeConference,COP21,withthegoalofauniversalandpotentiallylegally-bindingagreementreducinggreenhousegasemissions.Weneedverybroadparticipationtofullyaddressglobaltragedythatresultswhencountriesfailtotakeintoaccountthenegativeimpactoftheircarbonemissionsontherestoftheworld.Moreover,non-participationbynations,ifsufficientlywidespread,canunderminethepoliticalwillofparticipatingcountriestoact.[L]ThenationsparticipatingatCOP21arefocusingonquantitativeemissions-reductioncommitments.Economicreasoningshowsthattheleastexpensivewayforeachcountryistoputapriceoncarbonemissions.Thereasonisthatwhencarbonispriced,thoseemissionsreductionsthatareleastcostlytoimplementwillhappenfirst.TheInternationalMonetaryFundcalculatesthatcountriescangeneratesubstantialfiscalrevenuesbyeliminatingfossilfuelsubsidiesandlevyingcarbonchargesthatcapturethedomesticdamagecausedbyemissions.Ataxonupstreamcarbonsourcesisoneeasywaytoputapriceoncarbonemissions,althoughsomecountriesmaywishtouseothermethods,suchasemissionstradingschemes.Inordertomaximizeglobalwelfare,everycountry’scarbonpricingshouldreflectnotonlythepurelydomesticdamagefromemissions,butalsothedamagetoforeigncountries.[M]Settingtherightcarbonpricewillthereforeefficientlyalignthecostspaidbycarbonuserswiththetruesocialopportunitycostofusingcarbon.Byraisingrelativedemandforcleanenergysources,acarbonpricewouldalsohelpalignthemarketreturntoclean-energyinnovationwithitssocialreturn,spurringtherefinementofexistingtechnologiesandthedevelopmentofnewones.Anditwouldraisethedemandfortechnologiessuchascarboncaptureandstorage,

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