德尔菲法计算表

一级指标,二级指标,均值M,方差D,标准差,变异系数,满分频率,总数,a,b,c,d,e,f,g,h,i,j,k,l,m,n,o,p,q,r,s,t,,

1.

政策风险,1.

体育产业政策变化,4.100,0.621,0.311,0.076,0.350,82,4,3,5,3,4,5,5,3,4,4,5,5,4,3,5,4,4,4,3,5,6724,6068.41

,2.

政府参与度,4.100,0.516,0.258,0.063,0.300,82,3,5,5,4,3,5,4,4,3,5,4,4,4,4,5,5,3,4,4,4,6724,6068.41

,3.

商圈规划,2.850,1.397,0.699,0.245,0.100,57,1,2,4,2,2,2,2,2,5,3,2,4,3,1,5,4,3,4,3,3,3249,2932.2225

,4.

建设政策变化,4.000,0.421,0.211,0.053,0.200,80,4,4,3,5,4,4,4,4,3,5,3,4,4,3,5,4,4,5,4,4,6400,5776

2.

环境风险,5.

环境污染,3.800,0.379,0.189,0.050,0.100,76,3,3,4,5,3,5,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3,3,4,3,4,4,4,5776,5212.84

,6.

交通干扰,2.850,1.082,0.541,0.190,0.000,57,4,4,3,4,3,4,2,2,3,2,1,3,4,4,3,2,2,4,2,1,3249,2932.2225

,7.

商业体育公众认可度,3.850,0.555,0.278,0.072,0.200,77,4,4,3,4,4,3,4,5,5,4,5,3,3,4,3,4,3,3,4,5,5929,5350.9225

,8.

宏观经济形势,4.000,0.526,0.263,0.066,0.250,80,4,4,5,5,3,4,4,4,5,4,3,4,4,4,5,3,4,3,3,5,6400,5776

,9.

体育产业聚集区变更,4.000,0.526,0.263,0.066,0.250,80,5,4,3,5,5,4,3,4,4,4,4,4,3,4,3,4,3,4,5,5,6400,5776

3.

运营风险,10.

战略制定失误,2.650,2.134,1.067,0.403,0.050,53,1,4,4,1,1,4,1,5,3,1,4,4,2,4,4,4,1,2,2,1,2809,2535.1225

,11.

赛事承载力,3.900,0.411,0.205,0.053,0.150,78,3,4,3,4,4,4,4,4,3,4,4,5,4,5,3,4,4,5,3,4,6084,5490.81

,12.

体育设备维护,3.800,0.695,0.347,0.091,0.250,76,3,3,4,5,5,4,5,4,3,5,3,4,5,3,4,3,3,3,4,3,5776,5212.84

,13.

管理型体育人才短缺,4.450,0.261,0.130,0.029,0.450,89,4,4,4,5,5,4,5,5,4,5,4,4,5,4,4,5,4,5,5,4,7921,7148.7025

4.

市场风险,14.

市场定位偏差,3.200,0.589,0.295,0.092,0.050,64,4,3,3,3,3,3,4,3,3,3,3,3,4,3,2,2,5,2,4,4,4096,3696.64

,15.

市场需求变动,3.350,1.082,0.541,0.161,0.150,67,5,2,2,4,4,5,4,4,3,4,2,3,2,2,3,4,3,3,5,3,4489,4051.3225

,16.

市场竞争,3.850,0.976,0.488,0.127,0.350,77,4,3,5,4,3,3,3,5,5,3,5,3,5,5,2,3,5,4,3,4,5929,5350.9225

,17.

体育与其他业态组合,4.350,0.239,0.120,0.028,0.350,87,5,4,4,4,4,5,5,4,4,4,4,4,5,4,4,5,5,4,4,5,7569,6831.0225

5.

建设风险,18.

工程延期,3.400,1.095,0.547,0.161,0.200,68,5,5,3,2,3,5,3,4,4,3,2,2,4,2,3,3,4,3,5,3,4624,4173.16

,19.

工程成本超支,3.650,0.871,0.436,0.119,0.150,73,4,3,4,5,4,5,4,4,3,4,4,5,2,4,4,2,2,4,3,3,5329,4809.4225

,20.

选址不当,3.150,1.924,0.962,0.305,0.150,63,1,3,2,4,4,4,2,4,4,3,4,3,1,4,5,1,5,5,1,3,3969,3582.0225

,21.

施工安全,3.750,0.724,0.362,0.096,0.200,75,4,3,5,3,3,3,5,4,5,4,4,3,4,3,4,4,5,3,4,2,5625,5076.5625

,22.

勘探资料实际性,2.950,1.418,0.709,0.240,0.050,59,1,3,2,3,4,4,1,3,3,4,4,1,2,2,4,4,4,2,3,5,3481,3141.6025

,23.

大跨度场馆设计,3.850,0.555,0.278,0.072,0.200,77,4,4,4,3,3,5,3,4,4,4,5,5,4,3,3,3,3,5,4,4,5929,5350.9225

6.

融资风险,24.

利率变化,3.350,0.239,0.120,0.036,0.000,67,3,3,3,3,3,4,3,4,3,3,4,4,3,3,3,4,4,3,3,4,4489,4051.3225

,25.

物价水平变化,3.350,0.239,0.120,0.036,0.000,67,3,4,4,3,3,3,4,3,3,4,3,3,3,3,4,4,4,3,3,3,4489,4051.3225

,26.

通货膨胀,3.400,0.253,0.126,0.037,0.000,68,3,4,3,4,4,3,3,4,3,3,3,3,4,3,3,3,4,4,3,4,4624,4173.16

,,93.950,,,,,1879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,138083,124619.9075

,,1879.000,,,,,72.26923077,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

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,,,,,,,,a,b,c,d,e,f,g,h,i,j,k,l,m,n,o,p,q,r,s,t,,

,,,,,,,1,4,0,0,1,1,0,2,0,0,1,1,1,1,1,0,1,1,0,1,2,,

,,,,,,,2,0,2,3,2,1,1,3,2,0,1,3,1,4,3,2,3,2,3,2,1,,

,,,,,,,3,7,10,9,7,11,6,6,4,13,7,6,9,5,10,10,6,8,8,10,7,,

,,,,,,,4,11,12,9,9,10,11,10,16,8,13,12,11,12,10,8,13,10,10,9,10,,

,,,,,,,5,4,2,5,7,3,8,5,4,5,4,4,4,4,2,6,3,5,5,4,6,,

,,,,,,,,1802,2744,1610,1424,2360,2060,1376,4232,2834,2606,2036,2126,1982,2036,1736,2468,1646,1664,1802,1568,,

,,,,,,,,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,26,,

,,,,,,,41592,1776,2718,1584,1398,2334,2034,1350,4206,2808,2580,2010,2100,1956,2010,1710,2442,1620,1638,1776,1542,,

,,,,,,,1,4,0,0,5,5,0,5,0,0,5,5,5,5,5,0,5,5,0,5,5,,

,,,,,,,2,0,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,0,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,,

,,,,,,,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,3,,

,,,,,,,4,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,,

,,,,,,,5,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,,

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