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1、题目:模拟技术在供应链管理领域中的应用(1529)嘉宾名字:日期:sept 23, 2015中国供应链与运营管理人Supply Chain & Operations Manager Club学习改变命运, 努力就会!1QQ 怪蜀黍WebChat 怪蜀黍Ralph.yinRalph YinWeibo 梧桐树协议 现任职科公司中国事业部总监,和团队科系统给中国和北亚地区的主要客户。主要从事推动供应链计划和优化SCP&O在中国的普及工作结合中国2025战略提升竞争能力。专业是运筹学,有25年的系统应用在中国企业和机构的推广的经验,工作覆盖市场销售,咨询,架构师和合作伙伴。今天我们会

2、1.模拟技术的发展和应用 - Simulation in practice 2. 供应链计划工作中的Planning模拟- Simulation in Supply Chain供应链领域里的应用模拟场景 - More simulation practice in supply chainmanagement模拟需要的技术要素- Technology on simulation计划模拟支撑智能- Planning simulation in smart manufacturing 3. 供应链领域的 4.问与答 Q&A模拟案例 Case StudyWe help you create t

3、he future.我们助您创未来!“Simulation is the process of designinga mof a real system and conductinexperiments with this mfor thepurpose of either understanding thebehavior of the system and/or evaluating various strategies for the operation of the system.”时间空间复杂程度与群体覆盖实体和各种事物APPLICATIONS应用领域Systems 系统 facil

4、ity 设施 or process 流程, actual 实际 or planned 计划的Examples 例如Aerospace 宇航Product Design设计设施Manufacturing facilityBank operationAirport operations (passengers, security, planes, crews, baggage) 机场运营 (旅客,安检,飞机, 机组, 行李)/物流/分销营运Transportation/logistics/distribution operationHospital facilities (emergency ro

5、om, operating room, admissions) 医院设施 (急救室,手术室,资格准入)Computer network 计算机Freeway system 高速公司系统Business process (insurance office) 业务流程 (保险公司) Criminal justice system (司法系统)Chemical plant (化工厂)Fast-food restaurant (快餐店)Supermarket (超级市场)公园)Theme park (Emergency-response system (应急系统)We help you create

6、the future.我们助您创未来!Systems, Ms, and Simulation 系Ways to study a system模型模Limitations & pitfalls 局限和陷阱Failure to identify objectives clearly up front - 不能明确区分界定目标In appropriate level of detail (both ways) - 选择恰当的层级和详细程度Inadequate design and analysis of simulation experiments - 不足的对模拟体验的设计和分析Inade

7、quate education, training - 不足的培训和教育Failure to account correctly for sources of randomness in the system under consideration - 对系统的考虑上不确定性根源的不能正确考虑Failure to collect good system data, e.g. not enough data to create a good- 不能收集好的数据mWe help you create the future.我们助您创未来!Some Primary Uses of Simulatio

8、n MOperation供s 应链计划营运管理中模拟的首要用途 Find the bottlenecks 发现瓶颈s in How are resources utilized 如何发挥 Capacity planning 能力计划 Impact of configuration changes 配置变更的影响 Understand the system dynamics 理解系统的动态性质利用We help you create the future.我们助您创未来!供应链管理领域有不同应用 大HorizonMeasured ValueCapabilitiesFactory scheduli

9、ng Detailed scheduling Material reservation Batching Slitting optimization Increase throughput Increase yield Improve delivery performance Reduce costs Improve qualityDays ahead, minutes, shifts01/0101/05Master production scheduling Order planning Material planning Optimal loading of wandering bottl

10、enecks Campaign planning Order promising Sales budglocation Improve deliveryperformance Improve customer service Reduce lead times Reduce inventory Increase throughputWeeks ahead, daily01/0102/15部S&OP supplyplanning Product mix optimization Inventory planning Supply chain scenarios Long-term mat

11、erial planning Long-term capacity planning Monthly rolling forecast Accept the most profitable product mix Improve supplier contracts Minimize inventory costs Increase long-term delivery performanceYears ahead, quarterly, monthly01/0112/31端到端的闭环Visibility, fast information flow Þ collaborative

12、planningRMSupplier RMSupplierRMSupplierWarehouseWarehouseWare houseCustomerDistributorDistri butorFactoryFactoryCustomerFactoryFactoryCustomerSynchronised material flow Þ excellence in operationsWe help you create the future. 我们助您创未来!“Closed loop”dynamic system闭环的动态系统We help you create the futu

13、re.我们助您创未来!SourceMakeDeliverWorkforce planningStrategicSupply chain designDemand planningS&OPWe help you create the future.我们助您创未来!Potential application domain of Macro PlannerSchedulingOutbound logisticsDetailed schedulingInbound logisticsMPSOrder promisingDistribution planningMaster production

14、 schedulingInventoryplanningSupply planningIntegrated business planning HorizontalintegrationKey featuresProduction planningConsolidated plans andforecasts across functional domainsFlexible and consistent data integration for sales and operations, logistics and workforce planningEfficient informatio

15、n sharing for robust decision making supportIntegrated business planningTranspor- tation planningWorkforce planningIntegrated business planningVertical integrationHorizontal integration我们助您创未来!We help you create the future.Quintiq offers an integrated planning platform for business planning across f

16、unctional areas. For example integrated S&OP and logistic planning for more reliable supply, inbound/outbound logistics aligned with production and shift plans.Strategic planning Strategic sourcingKey featuresAutomatic evaluation of largenumber of sourcing options(minimum andumcontracted amount,

17、 routings),costs and conditionsManual adjustment of contract volumesStrategic planningNetwork designInventory managementSourcingDemand profileScenario comparison我们助您创未来!We help you create the future.Aligned with inventory strategy and network design determine optimal sourcing strategy by evaluating

18、sourcing options based on contractor conditions, demand, etc. and setting contract volumes.Tactical planning Asset planningKey featuresOptimizer or heuristic supportFlexible definition of transport constraints, e.g. international rules, lead times, etc.Support for different shipment types, e.g. cool

19、ing or dangerous goodsTactical planningAsset planningOrder acceptanceMultimodalSourcingWe help you create the future.我们助您创未来!Determine optimal allocation of assets and assignment to warehouses/hubs given asset and transport constraints. Tactical asset plan serves as a pre-optimized and robust basis

20、for day-to-day operational planning.Operational scheduling Multi resourceschedulingKey featuresFlexibility to configure any set ofresources and collaborationrulesFully adjustable scheduleDecision support for planner with list of suitable resourcesSystematic assignment of tasksto employeesOperational

21、 planningShipping planningMulti resource schedulingMultimodalCross-dockingContract carriersWeLoahdebulipldinygou create tFhlexeiblfeuUtOuMrse.Driving regulations我们助您创未来!Support the scheduling of resources configurations to work together, e.g. trailer swapping, dismount trailer at customer, build rou

22、te for driver shift, assign trip to driver shift, etc. toize resource utilization.Operational scheduling Multimodal supportKey featuresOptimization for cost-effectivemultimodal, multi-leg and multi-hub trip generation.Fully adjustable to enterprise rules, e.g. delivery address or lane characteristic

23、sOperational planningShipping planningMulti resource schedulingMultimodalCross-dockingContract carriersWeLoahdebulipldinygou create tFhlexeiblfeuUtOuMrse.Driving regulations我们助您创未来!Given the type of intermodal transport mode determined on tactical level and its connection entries (time window), assi

24、gn all shipments (order shipments and empty repositioning) to the combination of transport modes (road, rail, air, etc.).Client featuresClient featuresListColumns for attributes, imagesDialog & Basic ComponentsLabel, Edit, Button, Checkbox, DateTimeSelector, Dropdown, etc.and charts,add subtotal

25、ss to sort, filter,Gantt chartRows with nodes in time: machines & tasks, people & shifts, etcCustom DrawFree format drawingChartLine/bar chart, stacked and thresholds我们助您创未来!We help you create the future.Server featuresServer featuresQuillQuintiq Logic LanguageKnowledge BaseTable lookup usin

26、g wildcard matching. KB Editor with versioning and validation rulesRRRRAFFFSIMPLERCOMPLEXAAMing ConstructsCalendarsAvailable capacity during time intervals or calendar rulesPropagatorCalculate consequences efficientlyVarious components with built-inlogicWe help you create the future.我们助您创未来!NodeEdge

27、GraphToolsToolsBusiness Logic EditorApplication to mlogicGUI DesignerApplication to design the visualization and responsesthe businessUser & License AdministratorApplication to define usersConfiguration UtilityApplication to install m industry solutionsSystem MonitorApplication to monitor perfor

28、mance of installations &We help you create the future.我们助您创未来!优化算法的逻辑We help you create the future.我们助您创未来!LevelOrganization requirementsBenefitsDescriptionInteractive automated planning Good data/rule quality Clear optimization goals Good human planners Includes soft goals Increased impact per

29、planner Solve larger puzzles and find better solutions Compares different scenarios Adjusts the optimization results Freezes part of the optimization results Allows re-optimization (e.g. to handle exceptions)Fullyautomatic planning Flawless data/business rules Exact optimization goals Cost reduction

30、 Higher utilization Higher service level Creates plan for day of operations for day x+1 (or x+2, etc.) After accepting the optimization results, the planner will not re-optimize (will only make local changes)Semi-automaticplanning Good human planners Great data quality Find solutions faster Unlock “

31、low-hanging fruit” optimization potential Typically up to 50% of decisions are made by using semi- automated planning, and the rest by manual decision makingDecision support Good data quality Great human planners Increased impact per planner Solve larger puzzles and find better solutions Global over

32、view of status Focus on better planning Tendency towards formalization of data Pro-active instead of reactiveManual planning Excellent planners needed Excel/ERP/TMS Plans are archived Long learning curve Constantly searching for the right information Plans are written on a planboard No insight into

33、global results of local decisions Stress特点可视化& 交互性312优化业务模型& 业务逻辑不同 于支持用户重要的个性化视图对决策至关应用套件中提供的多种优化算法组合考虑不同的应用场景利用优化技术自动建议计划每个公司都有求业务模型必须100的个性化需% 适合公司交互方式必须直观,迅速情况是基础计划 终决策参考自动建议作出最按照合适的粒度覆盖完整供应链计划层次系统自动生成必要信息并直观地显示计划结果我们助您创未来!We help you create the future.Different levels of configurationUs

34、ersKey usersOccasionalQuintiq expertFull timeQuintiq expertWe help you create the future.我们助您创未来!CustomerQuintiqIndustry SolutionCustomerSolutionUser Configuratio nQuintiq architectObject mFlex components & GUI libraryOptimizationQuintiq architectData integrationConstraintsKnowledge tablesBusine

35、ss logicGUI componentsDrag-and-drop interfaceCustom sortingCustom filterView definitionAttribute selectionSubtotalsFormatColor schemePoint and click interfaceCalendar rulesKPI &analysisConfigure columnsImageattributeChart columnsTool tipsKnowledgebaseBIGDATABIGCALCULATIONSDECISIONSUPPORTDATAINFO

36、RMATIONKNOWLEDGEOPTIMIZATIONTIMENONEPERIODICHOURSSECONDSMILLISECONDSPATTERNRECOGNITIONDYNAMICOPTIMIZATIONCALCULATIONSNONESIMPLEOPTIMIZATION中国2025与路借用工业化4.0的概念DriversICTµelectronics4thMobilityQuality of life中国在二,三,四个层面尝试3rdComputer, NC,PLCEngineering SciencesCyber Physical Systems2nd1ststeam eng

37、ineconveyor beltEU2015SmartAutomationUS/EU1954Electronic AutomationUS1913GB1782IndustrializationPower generationMechanical automationWe help you create the future.我们助您创未来!我们的3DEXPERIENCE 体验平台社交和协作应用信息智能应用3D建模应用实时3DEXPERIENCE体验应用我们助您创未来!We help you create the future.虚拟 + 现实象限内容与应用虚拟与现实在此交会We help you

38、 create the future.我们助您创未来!3D象限3D建模应用将理念转化为现实We help you create the future.我们助您创未来!3DEXPERIENCE为我们把握未来提供动力行业价值行业流程体验应用程序用户价值我们助您创未来!We help you create the future.行业解决方案体验在整个供应链的各行各业提供集成的计划模拟物流空通铁路零售海运我们帮助中国客户解决不同的业务生产金属采矿自然主数据信息展示根据组装线配备,区分蓝牙、无线、降噪、普通根据Line的类型及车间中能力,自动判断是否匹配类型信息支持不同在不同车间的倾向性设置We hel

39、p you create the future.我们助您创未来!Possible routingper work centerRoutingStepsInput BOMStocking PointsProductWorkCenterGroup of WorkCenter根据产线能力划分WorkCenter Category根据产线特点划分自动订单计划 1可配置计划KPI从ERP系统导入的最新订单销售订单列表自动订单计划订单计划明细销售订单供应链未承诺订单数量汇总延迟订单数量由于产能造成的订单延误由于采购周期造成的订单延误按时交货率分析自动订单计划 1订单计划完工时间段生产订单、采购订单计划列表订单承诺显示各车间产能占用预估单各自动订单计划 2从ERP系统导入另外一个销售订单自动计划完毕后,显示按照交期要求造成的预计加班情况自动订单计划订单计划总览 各车间(组)产能计划周期跨度由于蓝牙耳机对应销售订单数量较多,虽然倾向于在装配一科安排,由于装配一科蓝牙线能力不足,系统自动建议安排在装备二科及三科蓝牙生产

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