水库防洪调度多目标模糊群决策方法

1、 水 2004 年 12 月 利 学 报 第 12 期 SHUILI XUEBAO 糊判断矩阵。为此，本文首先引入数学转换将决策者给出的模糊判断矩阵转换为满足完全一致性的模糊判 断矩阵；然后通过简单加权集结方法将群体决策集结为单人决策。通过碧流河水库的实例分析，阐明了所 提群体决策方法的具体步骤，并对决策结果进行了分析。 参考文献： 1 Cheng Chuntian,Chau K W.Three-person multi-objective conflict decision in reservoir flood controlJ.European Journal of Operational

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3、35-44. 4 Raju K S,Pillai C R S.Multicriterion decision making in river basin planning and developmentJ.European Journal of Operational Research,1999,112:249-257. 5 陈守煜.防洪调度多目标决策理论与模型J.中国工程科学，2000，(2：47-52. 6 陈守煜.防洪调度系统半结构性决策理论与方法J.水利学报，2001，(11：26-33. 7 陈守煜.系统模糊决策理论与应用M.大连：大连理工大学出版社，1994. Multi-obje

4、ctive fuzzy group decision-making method for reservoir flood control operation HOU Zhao-cheng1, CHEN Shou-yu2 (1. China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100044, China; 2. Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China Abstract: A formula is introduced to transform

5、 the ordered fuzzy judgment matrix into fuzzy judgment matrix with complete consistency. Then,the simple weighted average method is used to aggregate single preference into group preference. The real-time flood control operation of Biliuhe Reservoir is presented to illustrate the application of the proposed method. Key words: floo