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18July2024|7:35PMEDT
AmericasBanks:Regional:KeyTakeawaysfromKEY,MTB,SNV,BKUandDFS2Q24earnings
KEY:Stillsees10+%NIIgrowthin4Q24andtailwindsinto2025
RyanM.Nash,CFA
+1(212)902-8963|ryan.nash@
KEY’s2Q24EPSresultsweremixed,withaslightbeatonfeesandlowerexpenses
GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
offsettingsofterNIIwhilecreditwaslargelyin-line.ThefocuswasonitsupdatedFY
ChristianDeGrasse,CFA
+1(212)902-8484|
24guidance,whereKEYlargelyreiteratedmostitems(fees,expenses,NCOs)but
christian.degrasse@GoldmanSachs&Co.LLC
didtakedownloangrowthexpectations(andtookupdepositgrowth);however,on
HulashGoyal
thecallKEYnotedthatNIIwaslikelytohitthelowendofitsrange(basedonthe
+1(212)934-6084|hulash.goyal@GoldmanSachsIndiaSPL
forwardcurve)andloangrowthhasn’tyetseenaninflection.Thus,giventheloan
growthtrajectoryremainsuncertainanditseemsmorelikelygivenratesNIIwill
comeatthelowend,sharesunderperformedpeers(-4.01%vs.-1.82%KRE).
Lookingahead,whileKEYcontinuestohavestrongNIItailwinds,wethinkthe
marketisgoingtowanttoseethemcomingtofruitionandthereforeweseeseveralputsandtakes,as:1)NIIcameinsofterthanexpected,andwiththeforward
implyingtworatecutsby4Q24,itwilllikelybringNIIdowntothelow-end(-5%forfull-year)andcouldputits+10%YoYtargetin4Q24atrisk,2)whileKEY’sswapandtreasurytailwindwilllargelyendby1Q25,however,wenoteKEYstillhassome
idiosyncraticdriversofNIIin2025+with$20bnofassetsrepricingin2025ata
blendedrateoflow~3%,withreinvestmentratesinthe5+%range,whichshould
furthersupportNIIand3)whileloangrowthhasbeenelusive,KEYsounded
confidentthatbasedonthepipelinesitisseeing,weshouldseetheinflectioninthenextquarterorsoand4)credithasthusfarremainedcontainedwithNCOsbeingatthelowerendofthe30-40bpsguidefor1H24.GiventhatKEYisguidingtothe
_
high-endofits30-40bpsrange,therecouldbesomeconservatisminthere.So
whenweputittogether,wethinkthenear-termsoftnessinNIIisdrivenbyslower
loangrowth(whichisbeingfeltindustry-widetovaryingdegrees)aswellastheratecuts,andwestillseeKEYhavingtailwindstoPPNRandstrongoperatingleveragein
2025.Thus,withsharestradingat1.0xtangiblebookexAOCI(vs.1.3xpeers)wethinkifKEYcanhititsNIIexpectations,seeareturnofloangrowthandhave
acceleratingoperatingleverage,sharesshouldperformwell.
GoldmanSachsdoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,investorsshouldbeawarethatthefirmmayhaveaconflictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthis
report.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheirinvestmentdecision.ForRegACcertificationandotherimportantdisclosures,seetheDisclosureAppendix,orgoto
/research/hedge.html.Analystsemployedbynon-USaffiliatesarenotregistered/qualifiedasresearchanalystswithFINRAintheU.S.
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
Exhibit1:KEYGuidanceSummary
2024GuidanceTableKEY
2024Medium/Long-term
NII
FeeIncome
ExpensesandTax
Balancesheet
CapitalandCredit
_
Securities
-NIIdown-2-5%withgrowth/accelerationin2H24(notedupLSDvs4Q23annualizedrunrateand10%in4Q24vs4Q23),ifgettwocutswillbeclosertolowerendofrange-Depositbetastoreachmid-50sinahigherforlonger
scenario
-DDAmixpressuretomoderatebutcontinuein2024solongasratesarehigh,
-IfSeptratecut,assumed~20%betain4Q
-Feesup5%+,upsidewithcapitalmarketnormalization(reiterated),expectingbetter2Hvs1H
-ModeratepositiveOLwithmeaningfuloperatingleveragein2H24
-Noninterestexpenserelativelystable(reiterated),ex-FDIC
-Avgloansdown7-8%(vs5-7%prior),EOPdown4-5%(vsrelativelypriorstable)vs.YE23
-StableYoYEOPbalancesimply2-3%growthvs1Q24-Avgdepositsrelativelystablewithclientdepositsup(vsflattodown2%prior)
-AEAtoberelativelyflatrestofyear
-NCOs30-40bpspreviouslyindicatedhigherendgivenlowerloandenominator
-NCOsmodestly/graduallyincreasingvs.currentlevels-ReportedCET1candriftupto~11%
-Paceofincreaseincritstoslowin2H,assumingnomacroworsening
-$2bnofquarterlysecuritiescashflowsrollingoffat~mid2%
-added$750mnofspotpayfixedsecuritieshedgesbringingtotalto$9.4bn
-~$950mnonincrementalann.NIIpick-up
expectedinthenext12monthsfromswapandsecuritiesmaturities
-Sept/Deccutswouldbeneartermheadwind
butexpecttorecapturein2025asdepositbetalagcatchesup
-Puttingonfwdstartingswapsin~4%range,
favorablevsthe1.8%rollingoffin2025andthe2.8%in2026
-$20bnofadditionalassetrepricingnextyearatlow3%including~$5.2bnofswapscomingoffat1.8%.~$11bnofloanscomingoffat4.15%,and~$4.2bnoffixedratesecuritiesat2.75%
-Normalizedrangeofann.capitalmarkets
revenueis$600-$650mn,doubledigitCAGRovertime
-Positiveoperatingleverage-Cashefficiency:LT-54-56%
-2025expensesshouldbeclosertonormalizedrun-rate
-ROTCE:LT-16-19%
-AOCIburndownof$1.9bnor39%byYE26underfwdcurve,$1.7bnexanychangesinrates
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
MTB:ReturningtorepurchaseshareswhileNIIshouldcontinuetohavetailwinds
MTBreported2Q24resultsthatoverallwerebetterthanexpectedasNII,feesand
expensesallcomeinbetterthanitsmid-Juneupdate.Additionally,itscreditwasbetterthanexpectedamidimprovementinNPLsandcriticizedassets,whichhadincreased3straightquarters.Inadditiontocredit,thefocuswasonitsguidance,whereitupdateditsNIIguide($6.85-$6.9bnvs.$6.85bn+/-),whichsomeviewedasconservativegivenlimitedgrowthexpectedin2H24.Giventhesolidguidanceandimprovedcreditmetrics,sharesoutperformedpeers(+1.66%vs.KRE-1.82%).
Lookingahead,whileshareshavebeenstrongYTD,weseeseveralreasonswhy
fundamentalsremainattractiveas:1)NIIcameinstrongerthanexpectedandwhile
18July20242
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
thereweresome1xitems(non-accrualinterest),webelieveitcontinuestohaveseveraltailwindstofurthersupportNIIgrowthincludingfixedrateassetre-pricing,levelingoff
ofdepositcostsandaccretiveforwardstartingswaps.ThisalongwithloangrowthcouldleadtoitsNIIguideprovingconservative,2)criticizedassetsfell~4.2%QoQ(-80bps),
largelydrivenbyCREandgiventheexpectationforfallingrateslaterintheyear,wemayhaveseenthepeakincriticizedassets,whichshouldsupportmorecapitalreturnand
potentialtobringdowncapitalratios(moreonthis)and3)lastly,whileMTB’sinitial
buybackof$400mnin2Hwaslessthanthestreetandappearsconservative(targetingsimilarcapitallevelorhigher),itnotedthatitplanstoparticipateinCCARnextyear(notrequiredto)whichwetookasasignalthatithopesitsSCBcoulddeclineagainandit
canincreasecapitalreturns.Sowhenweputitalltogether,sharestradejustabove10x2025Eand1.65xP/TBV,bothin-linewithpeersdespitestrongercapitalandimproving
credit.Ifthemarketcangetcomfortablewiththetrajectoryofcriticizedassets,NIIcontinuestoinflectanditcanreturnmorecapital,wecouldseeMTBrestorethe
premiumthatitisaccustomedtotradingat.
Exhibit2:MTBGuidanceSummary
GuidanceTable
MTB
3Q242024Medium/Long-term
NII
FeeIncome
ExpensesandTax
LoanGrowth
_
Deposits
-Otherfeescouldcomedownfrom~5-10%2Qrunrate
-CREconcentration(151%)tocontinuetodecline,expecttoreachtargetedlevelin1-2quarters
-FTENIIof$6.85bn-$6.90bnvsatleast$6.85bnpreviously,reflectingtworatecuts
-Onpathforhigh3.5%NIM
-Avgcash~$25bnandsecurities~$30bnin2H24
-Feeincometobein$2.3-2.4bnrange(reiterated)withgrowthintrustincomefromstrongmarketactivity
-Noninterestexpensetobe$5.25-5.3bn(reiterated)(exincrementalFDICassessment)
-Couldseehigheroutsideprocessingandprofessionalservices
-FYavgloansin$134-136bnrangewithgrowthinC&IandconsumeranddeclinesinCREandresimortgage
-Avgdepositsinthe$162-164bnrange,focusingongrowingcustomerdeposits
-Expectdownsidebetastobeinthe30-40%rangeforfirstfewcuts
-WillbelargelyoutofbrokeredCDsbyYE
-Feelgoodaboutdepositcostsflattodowninto2025
-ConfidentaboutabilitytogrowNIIin2025
-Added$5bnoffwdstartinghedgesin1H24thatbecomeactivein2025
CapitalandCredit
Securities
-$200mmofbuyback
-Expecttomaintaincapitalatcurrentlevels-Continuedfocusedonbringingdowncritsandnonaccurals
-$47mmofpreferreddividendsin3Q
-NCOs~40bps(33bpsinFY23),withnormalizationinC&Iandconsumerloanportfolios
-$200mmofbuybacksin3Qand4Q
-Expecttomaintaincapitalratiosatleastatcurrentlevels-Taxratetobe24-24.5%excl.discretetaxbenefitin1Q24-Preferreddividendsof~$47mmin3Qand~$36mmin4Q,reflectingSeriesJissuanceinMayandupcomingSeriesEredemptioninAugust
-$2.8bnofsecuritiesmaturein2H24at2.5%,expecttoreinvestathigheryields(5.16%newmoneyyieldin2Q)targetting3yearduration
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
SNV:LookingforNCOimprovementin2H24
SNVreportedsolid2Q24results,withamodestcorePPNRbeatdrivenbyahigherNII(NIM)andstrongercorefeeswhilecoreexpenseswerein-line.Thefocuswasonfullyearguide,whichimpliedmodestPPNRupsidealthoughitwasbasedonaratecurvewithonecutin2025.WithintheFYguide,whileSNVtookdownitsloananddeposit
18July20243
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
growthexpectations,itraisedPPNRguidanceduetohigherNIIandfees,andpartiallyoffsetbyhigherexpenses.Thisalongwithapositivemessageonimprovingcreditwaswellreceived,withSNVpointingto~HSDbpsofimprovementinNCOsvs.thestreetfor2H24,resultinginsharesmodestlyoutperforming(-1.01%vs.-1.82%KRE)
OverallthiswasadecentquarterforSNV,andlookingahead,whilethereareseveralmovingpieceswecomeoutpositiveonfundamentalsas:1)creditappearstobe
cominginbetterthanexpectedandSNV’sNCOguideofflattodownin2H24(vs.36bpsin1H24)iswellbelowstreetexpectationsoflowtomid40bpsandinadditionSNValsolowereditsACLsignalingconfidenceinitscreditquality.Thiscouldrepresentan
inflectionpointforitscredit,2)excludingthesecuritiesrestructuring,underlyingNII
lookstobecominginalittlesofterthanexpected,andtherecouldbesomedownsidetorevenueastheguideincludesjustaDecembercutandthemarketsareindicating
multiplecuts(includingoneinSeptember),3)whileslowerloangrowthispressuringNIIinthenear-term,SNVhastailwindsin2025fromswaproll-off(~$1.2bnthrough1Q26)
andfixedraterepricingthatshouldprovidesupporttoNIIgrowthintheoutyear.So
whenweputittogether,wethinkthequarterwassolidparticularlywithcredit,andtheNIIguideislikelyaroundtherangeofexpectations.Withsharestradingrelativelyin-linewithpeers(10.0x2025EPS,1.25xP/TBVexAOCIbothin-line),wethinkifSNVcan
demonstratepositiveoperatingleveragewhilekeepingcreditcontainedsharesshouldhaveupsideovertime.
_
18July20244
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
Exhibit3:SNVGuidanceSummary
NII
FeeIncome
Revenue
Expenses
Loans
3Q24
-ExpectNIMexpansionin3Q
-Expect$310mmrangedrivenbyincreaseinpersonelthatislargelyadaycountissue
2024GuidanceTable
SNV
2024
-Peakdepositcostbetaof49%
-NIMexpansiondrivenbyfixedassetrepricingand4Qhedgematurities
-Flatratescenariowouldbeaccretive
-BasedonratecutinDecember,expecttoendtheyearatornear3.30%NIM
--IfpivotedtoSeptratecut,wouldbepressureonmargininSeptandOctoberleadingto$5-7mnNIIimpactbetweenSeptandDecemberratecut
-ExpectMSDadjgrowthsupportedbyrobustcap
marketspipeline;expect2Htobeatorsimilarto1H
-Adjrevenueof-3%to0%(vs-3%to+1%prior)
assuming25bppointratecutinDecember,consistentwithJunedotplot
-Relativelystabletotalcostofdepositsfromcurrentlevels
-Adj.expensegrowthof1-3%(vsrelativelyflatprior)exFDICspecialassessmentsin4Q23,1Q24,2Q24
-Increaseinexpectationsduetotechinvestments,legalcostsfromresolvedproblemcreditsandhigherincentiveaccuralsfromimprovedearningsprojections
-EOPloansup0-2%(vs0-3%prioroff$43bn)
-SNC/thirdpartyconsumerloansarerunningoffat~60mn/qtr
-DeclinesinInstitutionalCREasmarket-activity
paydownsaccelerate,couldsee$800-$900/QrunrateofCREpaydownsin2H
-StabilityinSeniorHousingandNationalAccountsbalances
Medium/Long-term
-Fixedraterepricingtohave~20bpsbenefitby4Q25vs4Q24
-Expectexpensegrowthtobemorenormalized,higherthan2%
Deposits/Funding
CapitalandCredit
Securities
-AverageDDAbalancestodeclinegiven2Qpositionwhichwillbeaheadwind
-ExpecttoseestabilityinACLfollowing2Q
-Realized1/2ofsecuritiesbenefitin2Qandwillseefullbenefitin3Q
-Fixedrateassetrepricingbenefit-Spotyieldof3.32inJune
-EOPCoredepositsup2-4%(2-6%previously)
supportedbyseasonalbenefitsandCoreC&Ibusinesslineexpansion
-Brokereddepositsstabletodecline
-StabletomodestdeclinesinoverallDDAbalancesasseasonalbenefitsandnewaccountproductionsupportbalances
-NIBpressuretoslow
-Depositproductionratesforthequarter3.77%CET1in10-10.5%range(high-end)
-Expectbuybacksthrough2H24-Taxrateof21%
-NCOstobeflattodownvs1H24
-Expect~35%AOCIaccretionby2Q26
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
_
BKU:Trendingtowards30%DDAandexpectingNIMtoexitinthehigh2’s
BKUreportedastrongearningsbeatascorePPNRcamein5%aheadofconsensus
($96.0mnvs$91.5mn)drivenbybetterthanexpectedrevenues($254mnvs$247mn)
andprovisionsalsocameinlowervsexpectationsdrivinganEPSbeat($0.73vs$0.65).BKUbroadlyreiteratedits2024guidancehoweveritwasthequarterlyexpansioninNIM(+15bpsQoQ;+7bpsvsconsensus)andDDAgrowth(+11%QoQ)whichwerein
particularlywellreceived.Additionally,BKUnotedthatitsspotIBdepositcostson6/30wereflatvs.3/31forthefirstquartersinceratesstartedrising.Asaresultofthe
quarterlybeatandpositiveupdateonNIM,sharesoutperformedpeers(+4.47%vs-1.82%KRE).
Overall,thiswasasolidquarterforBKUandcouldcontinuetosupportsharesinthe
near-term.Whilewelargelycomeoutpositivepostresults,thereareseveralmoving
piecesas:1)BKU’sNIMexpanded15bpsto2.72%anditwasdrivenbygrowthinDDA(+11.4%)QoQ)anditsexpectationsarecallingforfurtherexpansionandtoexitinthe
high2’s.ThisshouldsupportcontinuedsequentialNIIexpansionoverthenextfew
quarters,2)BKUsawstrongloangrowthinthequarter,alsooutperformingpeers,and
18July20245
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
thebalancesheetreturningtogrowthcouldbeasolidtailwindtothetop-linein2H24and2025,and3)OfficeNPAsincreasedby~$50mndrivenbytwocredits(~$1.8bn
book,~$309mnofwhichismedical)andthoughbothspecificcreditsarereservedfor,theoverallpathofthereserveislikelyhigher(peershaveofficeACLs5-10%+,thoughBKUbelievesitsbookishigherquality)whichcouldpressurenear-termearningsat
somepoint.Sowhenweputittogether,shareshavehadastrongrun(+27%MTD;
tradeat~0.90xadjTBV)andBKUputupasolidquarterthatcouldprovidesome
near-termsupport.Whilewethinknear-termvaluationisoutpacingthepathhigherinreturns,ifBKUisabletokeepgrowingDDA,returntogrowth,andkeepcredit
contained,returnscouldimproveovertimeandfurthersupportshares.
Exhibit4:BKUGuidanceSummary
2024GuidanceTable
BKU
3Q242024Medium/Long-term
NII
FeeIncome
ExpensesandTax
Balancesheet
CapitalandCredit
Securities
-Spot(6/30)IBdepositrateof3.29%aretrackingflatvs3/31
-Taxrateof26.5%ex-discreteitems
-ExpectNIItogrowMSD-HSD
-ExpectNIMtoexitinhigh-2%range(2.72%in1Q)withexpansionexpectedover2H24vs2Q24
-Leaseincometohave$8-$9mnquarterlyrun-rate
-Expectmodestgrowthinservicechargesandothernon-interestincomedrivenbydrivenbycustomerderivativesbusiness,commercialcardbusinessandsyndicationfees-ExpectexpensestogrowatMSDYoY
-Expensestogrowin2H24vs1H24drivenbyrefurbishmentcotsrelatedtorailcars
-Expectearningassetstoberelativelyflat
-ExpectcommercialloanstogrowatHSDdrivenbydoubledigitgrowthinC&IandlessergrowthinCRE
-CoredepositsexbrokeredtogrowatHSD
-Resi.mortgagetocontinuedecliningatthesamepaceas2023(down~$800mn)
-ACL(%)tocontinuegoingupsteadilytocloseto~1%drivenbycontinueremixing
-Taxrateof26.5%ex-discreteitems
-Securitiesbooktostopdecliningandreturntogrowthatsomepointin2024
-ExpecttoreturntoAEAgrowthin2025
-TargetingDDAmixtobe30%+inMT
-1%ROAanddoubledigitROEonaconsistentbasis
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
_
DFS(NotRated):Updatingestimatespostearnings
WeupdateourearningsestimatesforDFS2Qresultsandupdatedguidance(seebelowfordetailsonguidance),wherewereviseourcoreEPSestimatesfrom
$10.85/$14.60/$16.85to$13.20/14.80/16.50toaccountfor2Qresultsandourupdatedviewsoncreditandrates.WeareNotRatedonDFS.
18July20246
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
Exhibit5:DFSguidancesummary
2024GuidanceTableDFS
2024Medium/LongTerm
NII
Feegrowth
ExpensesandTax
LoanGrowth
Deposits
_
CapitalandCredit
Other
-PrivatestudentloansaleisaccretivetoNIMby~10bps
-ExpectNIMof11.1-11.4%(vs10.7-11.0%prior)drivenbyhighercardyieldswithlowerpromomixbalancemixand
studentloansale
-Each25bpscutreducesNIMby~5bps
-Depositbetainthemid-70sinadecliningrateenvironment
-ExpectsalesvolumestobeflattoslightlynegativeYoY
-Totaloperatingexpensetobeupmidsingledigitsex$799mnexbuildinreserveforcardmisclassificationremediation
-Expectefficiencyratiotobe<40%(excardmisclassification)-Costofcomplianceandriskmgmt,actionstobe~$500mn
withanupwardbias
-Studentloansaleincludes$50mmofNCOgeographydelta
-ExpectloanstobedownLSD(vsupLSDprior)withthedeltabeingdrivenbyprivatestudentloansaleof$10.1bn
-Normalizedloangrowthtobe2-4xGDPgrowth
-Targetdepositfundingtobe70%+
-NCOstopeakandplateauin2H24
-FYaverageNCOrateof4.9-5.2%(remainsunchanged,butstudentloansaleincreasesNCOsby~10bps)
-ACL(%)isatornearpeaklevelsat7.32%
-FutureNCOsfromfuturestudentloanswillgothruOpExratherthancreditlosses
-Latefeeruleisexpectedtohavenegative$600mnpre-taximpact
-SaleofstudentloanstoreduceRWAsby~$10bnandfreeup~$1.5-$2bncapital
-Sharerepurchasessuspendedthroughmergerclosing,dividendnottoexceed$0.70pershare
-ExpectshareholdervoteonmergerlaterthisFall
-Expectmergertobecompletedin4tranchesbyendofyear
Source:Companydata,GoldmanSachsGlobalInvestmentResearch
Valuation:
KEY(Buy):WeareBuyratedonKEYwitha12-month$18pricetarget(vs.$16.50prior)basedonamultipleof12.5x(10.5xprior)2025P/E.Wereviseour24/25/26coreEPS
estimatesfrom$1.07/$1.60/$1.90to$1.10/$1.45/$1.80reflectingupdatedguidanceandourupdatedviewsonbalancesheetoptimization,rates,fundingcosts,credit,andloan
18July20247
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
growth.Keyrisksincludeworsedepositrepricingandmixshift,prolongednegativeoperatingleverage,andhighercreditlosses.
MTB(Neutral):WeareNeutral-ratedonMTBwitha12-month$180pricetarget(vs$175prior)isbasedonamultipleof11.5x2025P/E(11xprior)reflectingourupdatedviewsoncreditandcapitalreturn.Wereviseour24/25/26EPSestimatesfrom
$13.80/$16.25/$18.50to$14.05/$15.70/$18.00,incorporatingnewmanagement
commentaryaswellasourrevisedexpectationsaroundloangrowthandmargin.Keyriskstothedownsideincludedepositcompetitionleadingtohigherthanexpected
betas.Keyupsiderisksincludemixshiftstabilizationandbetterthanexpectedcreditperformance.
SNV(Neutral):WeareNeutral-ratedonSNVwitha$51(from$45prior)12-monthpricetargetbasedonarevised2025P/Emultipleof11x(10xprior)withthechangedrivenbyourupdatedthoughtsoncredit,NII,growth,andrates.Wereviseour24/25/26coreEPSestimatesfrom$2.41/$4.55/$4.85to$4.20/$4.60/$4.90incorporating2Qresults,new
managementcommentaryandourupdatedthoughtsonfundingmix,depositbetas,expenses,rates,andcredit.Keyupsiderisksincludelowcostdepositinflows,better
thanexpecteddepositbetas,positiveoperatingleverage,andprolongedcredit
outperformance.Keydownsiderisksincludeworsethananticipatedcredit,rates,weakerfeeincome.
BKU(Sell):WeareSell-ratedonBKUwitha$33(from$29prior)12-monthpricetargetbasedonarevised2025P/Emultipleof10x(9xprior)withthechangedrivenbyour
updatedthoughtsoncredit,reserves,growth,andrates.Wereviseour24/25/26coreEPSestimatesfrom$2.73/$3.20/$3.35to$2.95/$3.25/$3.45incorporating2Qresults,newmanagementcommentaryandourupdatedthoughtsonfundingmix,deposit
betas,expenses,rates,andcredit.Keyupsiderisksincludelowcostdepositinflows,betterthanexpecteddepositbetas,positiveoperatingleverage,andprolongedcreditoutperformance.
_
DFS(NotRated):WeareNotRatedonDFS.
18July20248
GoldmanSachsAmericasBanks:Regional
DisclosureAppendix
RegAC
We,RyanM.Nash,CFA,ChristianDeGrasse,CFAandHulashGoyal,herebycertifythatalloftheviewsexpressedinthisreportaccuratelyreflectourpersonalviewsaboutthesubjectcompanyorcompaniesanditsortheirsecurities.Wealsocertifythatnopartofourcompensationwas,isorwillbe,directlyorindirectly,relatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisreport.
Unlessotherwisestated,theindividualslistedonthecoverpageofthisreportareanalystsinGoldmanSachs’GlobalInvestmentResearchdivision.
GSFactorProfile
TheGoldmanSachsFactorProfileprovidesinvestmentcontextforastockbycomparingkeyattributestothemarket(i.e.ourcoverageuniverse)anditssectorpeers.Thefourkeyattributesdepictedare:Growth,FinancialReturns,Multiple(e.g.valuation)andIntegrated(acompositeofGrowth,FinancialReturnsandMultiple).Growth,FinancialReturnsandMultiplearecalculatedbyusingnormalizedranksforspecificmetricsforeachstock.The
normalizedranksforthemetricsarethenaveragedandconvertedintopercentilesfortherelevantattribute.Theprecisecalculationofeachmetricmayvarydependingonthefiscalyear,ind
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