中国住房市场调控政策变迁与干预机制可持续性-基于多源流框架的分析

Inrecentyears,theChinesehousingmarkethasshownhighgrowth,highleverage,andhighvolatility,whichposesahugerisktosocialstabilityandeconomicdevelopment.Therefore,theChinesegovernmenthasbeenactivelyimplementinghousingmarketregulationpoliciestomaintainmarketstabilityandprotectpeople'slivelihoods.However,pastexperiencehasshownthatshort-termsimplepolicyinterventionscaneasilyleadtonewproblems.Therefore,itisveryimportanttoexplorethesustainabilityofthechangesandinterventionmechanismsofhousingmarketregulationpolicies.Thispaperusesamulti-sourceflowframeworktoanalyzepolicytextsandactualoperations,andexploresthecharacteristicsofchangesinChina'shousingmarketregulationpoliciesandthesustainabilityofpolicyinterventionmechanismsfromthreeaspects:policyformulation,policyimplementation,andpolicyevaluation.Theresearchresultsshowthattherearesomeproblemsintheformulationandimplementationofhousingmarketregulationpolicies,whichmakestheeffectivenessofpoliciesnotideal.Atthesametime,thesustainabilityofpolicyinterventionmechanismsneedstobefurtherstrengthened,includingenhancingthetransparencyofrelevantpolicies,coordinatingtheinterestsofvariousrelevantparties,andfullylisteningtopublicopinionandmarketreactionsinthepolicyimplementationandevaluationKeywords:housingmarket,regulationpolicies,sustainability,multi-sourceflowframework波动、高杠杆和高风险也给社会稳定和经济发展带来了巨大风险。为此，中国政府多次出台住房市场调控政策，旨在维护市场稳定和保障民生。然而，过去的经验表明，短期简单的政策干预容易导致新的问题，因此，探究住房市场调控政策变迁与干预机制的可持续性非常重要。中，不同利益方的权力和利益在决策中发挥着重要作用。本文研究发现，中国住房市场调控政策在制定过程中存在以下问题：政策评估的结果可以反映政策实施的效果，为政策执行提供依据。然而，在中国住房市场调控政策的评估中，也存在以下问题：Chen,T.(2015).TheDevelopmentTrendandRiskoftheChineseRealEstateMarket.BusinessandEconomicJournal,6(2),1-7.Jiang,C.(2016).China'sRealEstateRegulationintheAftermathoftheGlobalFinancialCrisis.JournalofHousingEconomics,24,52-59.Wang,J.(2017).TheSustainabilityofChineseHousingMarketRegulation:ASystemDynamicsPerspective.JournalofRealEstateResearch,39(3),327-354.Zhang,H.(2018).AMulti-AgentSimulat