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NorthAmericaCreditResearch
8August2023
JPMHigh-YieldandLeveragedLoanMorningIntelligence
--Pre-openrelevantlevels:S&PFutures-20ptsto4518;5-yearTreasury4.10%(-7bpearlyam);10-yearTreasury4.00%(-9bpearlyam);WTICrude-$1.33to$80.6(-$0.88d/d);BrentCrude-$1.49to$83.9(-$0.90d/d);Nikkei+0.38%;ShanghaiComp-0.25%;Euro-Stoxx-1.19%;USHYyields8.63%(-3bpd/d);USHYspreads427bp(-6bpd/d);LoanYTM9.32%(+1bpd/d);LoanSTM526bp(-1bpd/d)
--Monday’sFundFlows:HYETFs-$313mn,HYactivelymanaged+$23mn,LoanETFs+$5mn,Loanactivelymanaged+$13mn.OutflowsforHYandloanfundsweek-to-datetotalanestimated-$614mnand-$26mn,respectively,followingoutflowsthepriorweektotaling-$1.0BNand-$278mn.
--MostActivelyTradedIssuers:F,CCL,DISH,TIBX,QVCN
--TraceandDealerActivity:TheJPMDM$USestimateforHYtradedMondayis$6.3bnvs.$8.4bnYTDavg.ThiscomparestoFINRA'sreported$9.9bnofHYtradedMonday.Dealersnetsold$44mnofbondstoclientsand$1293mnofbondsoverthepast5days.
--DistressedLoans:Thevolumeofdistressedloansisdown$23.2bnthepasttwomonthsandisonly$4bnaboveayear-to-datelow.Specifically,theamountofloanstradingatorbelow$80decreased$9.2bnm/mto$110.0bnor7.7%ofoutstanding.Thisisdownfrom$140bnatYE22andcomparesto$323bninMarch2020.Ofloansclassifiedasdistressed22%isHealthcare,20%isTechnology,and12%isServices.Meanwhile,theuniverseofloanstradingsub-$60andsub-$70changed-$3.9bnand+$2.5bnm/mto$23.7bn(or1.7%)and$58.9bn(or4.1%),respectively.Assuchthesub-$60universeis$18bnbelowJanuary’s32-monthhigh,whilethesub-$70universeis$15.0bnbelowDecember’s31-monthhigh.Thelargestcontributorstothesub-$70loanuniverseareTPORT,LUMN,AIMEGR,RAX,LOGM,SFLY,USRENA,PRETPK,andTELSAT.Notethecombineddistresseduniverseofbonds/loans(STW1000bp+/sub-$80)isnow$209bnor7.6%ofleveragedcredit,whichdecreased-$22.5bnm/m(-10%)andisitan11-monthlow.
--OvernightPriceAction:S&PFuturesaredown40bp,copperpricesease2%,and10yrUSTreasuryyieldsaredown9bp(4.0%)alongsideyieldsacrossEurope(10yrBund-13bp)amidafocusonweakChinaimports,anunexpected40%windfalltaxonItalianBankprofits(link),andMoody’sratingsdowngradesto10smallerUSbanks(link).China’sJulyexportsfellatthesteepestpacesince2020albeitwerelargelyin-linewithexpectations,butimportsdisappointeddown5.8%m/mamidweakdomesticdemand(link).Meanwhile,USsmallbusinessoptimismadvancedtoan8-monthhighinJuly.Today’squietcalendarincludesTradeBalance(8:30am)andFedspeak.Withoureconomistsanticipatingabenign+0.17%m/mriseincoreCPIonThursday,therearecurrentlyonly35%oddstheFedhikesagainbetweennowandyear-end.With431S&Pco.reportingfor2Q,EPSgrowth(-8.2%y/yvs-3.6%1Q)andrevenuetrends(+0.4%vs+4.3%1Q)arebeatingdownbeatconsensus(-12%EPS,+0%Sales).AfterlastFriday’s200bpaverageincreasetoJPMs2H23USforecast,oureconomistshaverevisedEuroarea4Q23forecastup0.25%to0.75%.JPMsglobalassetallocationteamstaysUWequitiesandcreditversuscashand
commodities(link)arguingequityvaluationsarepricinginanevenmoreoptimisticscenariothanasoftlanding.
ThisMorning’sHeadlinesandHighlights:
--China:Julyexportslargelyinlinewithexpectations,butimportsdisappointed;Ng--Moody’sCutsUSBanksonMountingFundingCosts,OfficeExposure;BBG--Italyshocksbankswith40%windfalltaxfor2023;Rtrs--Germaninflationeasesto6.5%inJuly;Rtrs--TheJ.P.MorganView:StayUWequitiesandcreditvs.cashandcommodities;Kolanovic--NewLendingbyMortgageREITsHasDriedUp;WSJ
--High-YieldandLeveragedLoanMarketBrief:High-yieldbondpricesrosemodestlyonMonday(+$0.12d/d,HYG+0.19%)andspreadstightenedalongsidea0.9%gainintheS&P500asequitiesreboundedfromtheirworstweeklydeclinesinceMarch.Aswell,threedealsfor$1.2bnpricedyesterdaywhichhasAugustissuancetotaling$2.6bn(or$0.8bnex-refi)followingonly$6.7bn(or$1.4bnex-refi)ofissuanceinJuly.High-yieldbondyieldsandspreadsdecreased3bpand6bponMondayto8.63%and427bp,whicharenow53bpand20bpabovetheyear-to-datelowand65bpand133bpbelowtheirMarchhigh.Yieldsandspreadsareup16bpand19bpmonth-to-dateand60bpand84bpyear-to-date.Byrating,BByieldsarenow7.19%(-2bpd/d),Byieldsare8.81%(-3bpd/d),andCCCyieldsare13.85%(-7bpd/d).AndBB,BandCCCspreadsof284bp(-5bpd/d,-33bpYTD),445bp(-5bpd/d,-89bpYTD),and943bp(-12bpd/d,-218bpYTD)are14%,15%,and11%belowwiththeirlong-termnon-recessionaryaverages.HY/IGspreadsof305bp(-4bpd/d)are20bpabovelastweek’slowsince4/22/22andare98bpbelow3/24’shighsince10/3/22.Meanwhile,BBB/BBspreadsof134bp(-3bpd/d)are4bpbelowthe12Maverageandare21bpabove7/24/23’slowsince11/7/22.High-yieldbondsareprovidinga-0.44%lossinAugustwithSingleBs(-0.37%)outperformingCCCs(-0.38%)andBBs(-0.48%).AndtheHYindexisprovidinga+6.85%gainyear-to-datewithCCCs(+13.01%)outperformingSingleBratedbonds(+7.48%)andBBbonds(+5.25%).Industriesoutperformingyear-to-dateincludeAutomotive(+12.30%)andHousing(+9.76%)withtheunderperformersBroadcasting(+0.10%)andUtility(+4.45%).High-yieldissuancetotals$104.1bnyear-to-date(or$38.9bnex-refinancing)whichcomparesto$72.9bn(or$39.0bnex-refi)YTD22.
Source:J.P.Morgan
Sources:J.P.Morgan;S&P/IHSMarkit
Leveragedloanpricesincreased+$0.03onMondayto$95.32andlaggedtherallyinequitieswithBBloanpricesincreasing+$0.03to$99.01,SingleBloanspricesincreasing+$0.02to$96.32,andSplit
B/CCCloanpricesincreasing+$0.17to$79.33.Forcontext,theaverageloanpriceof$95.28compareswiththeYTDlowandhighof$92.86and$95.53.Andthesub-$80,$80-$89.99,$90-$94.99,$95-$97.99,$98-$98.99,$99-$99.99,and$100+bucketsforLoansarenowat4.2%,6.4%,8.7%,19.0%,13.6%,41.8%,6.3%.Leveragedloanyieldsincreased1bpandspreadsdecreased1bponMondayto9.32%and526bp,whichare33bpand9bpabovetheirYTDlowand58bpand65bpbelowtheirYTDhigh.Yieldsandspreadsaredown1bpandup4bpmonth-to-dateanddown65bpand66bpyear-to-date,respectively.Byrating,BB,BandCCCloanspreadsof310bp(+2bpMTD,-23bpYTD),513bp(+4bpMTD,-91bpYTD),and1343bp(-8bpMTD,-351bpYTD)are5%below,3%above,and15%abovetheirlong-termnon-recessionaryaverages.Andtheyield-to-maturityforleveragedloanindexof9.32%isnow70bpabovetheHYbondindex(8.63%),whichiscomparabletoanaverage54bpaboveoverthepastyear.TheLeveragedLoanindexisprovidinga+0.10%gaininAugustwithCCCloans(+0.26%).outperformingBBloans(+0.09%)andBloans(+0.08%).OnanYTDbasis,theLeveragedLoanindexisprovidinga+7.93%gainwithCCCs(+11.58%)outperformingSingleBs(+8.80%)andBBloans(+5.94%).Bycomparison,high-yieldandhigh-gradebondsarereturning+6.85%and+2.52%YTD,respectively.Meanwhile,CLOissuanceex-refi/resetstotals$1.9bninAugustfollowing$7.3bninJulywhichincreasesyear-to-dateactivityto$65.2bnvs$87.0bnYTD22.Andmonth-to-dateissuancetotaling$9.8bn(or$1.5bnex-refi/repricing)followsJulyinstitutionalloanissuancetotaling$23.0bn(or$6.2bnex-
refi/repricing).Assuchyear-to-dateinstitutionalloanvolumestotals$168.2bn($38.2bnex-refi/repricing),whichisdownfrom$190.0bn($133.8bnex-refi/repricing)overthesameperiodayearago.
Sources:J.P.Morgan;S&P/IHSMarkit
Sources:J.P.Morgan;S&P/IHSMarkit
Source:J.P.Morgan
Source:J.P.Morgan
Theattachedexcelgraphshistoricalvolumeandpercentageofhigh-yieldbondstradingatorbelow$90,$70,$50,$25andwideof1000bp.Thereisalsoachartattachedwhichincludesthedistressedratio(sub-$70)versusthedefaultrate.High-yieldbondsprovidedsolidgainsinJulythatincludedanothermonthofoutperformancebyCCCs.Assuch,theamountofbondstradingwideof1000bpdecreasedforthesixthtimeinthelastsevenmonthstoalowsinceMay-22.Specifically,thevolumeofbondstrading1000bp+decreasedby-$13bnm/m(-$40bnoverthelast4months)to$99bnor7.5%oftheuniverse.Down$43.2bnyear-to-date,theuniverseofbondstradingwideof1000bpof$99bncomparestoamulti-yearhigh$149bninJune2022andashighas$418bnor32.0%inMarch2020.Notethismetricaveraged10%oftheuniversein4Q19aheadofthepandemic.Healthcarebondsaccountfor19%ofbondstrading1000bp+,whichisfollowedbyTelecom(16%)andCable/Sat.(14%).Thelargestcontributorsofbondstradingwideof1000bpareBHCCN,CSCHLD,NEWLSQ,CVNA,LUMN,DISH,CYH,andSPLS.Theseissuersaccountfor44%oftheuniverse.Historically,a1000bp+bonduniverseof8-12%hasproducedanaverage12Mforwarddefaultrateof2.4%(53examples).Meanwhile,thevolumeofbondstradingatorbelow$70decreasedby-$9bnm/m(-$29bnoverpast2months)to$87.4bnor6.6%ofthenon-defaulteduniverse.NotablythisuniverseisnowatalowsinceAug-22.
Forcontext,thesub-$70universestoodat$24bnatyear-end2020,$75bninFeb-20(pre-pandemic)andreached$226bninMar-20.Healthcarebondsaccountfor22%ofbondstradingatorbelow$70,whichisfollowedbyTelecom(19%)andCable/Sat(18%).Meanwhile,thesub-$50universedecreasedby$5.1bnm/mto$24.7bn(or1.9%oftheuniverse)versus$42bnbefore2020’srecession.Noteaccountingforalmost60%ofthesub-$50universeareNEWLSQ,BHCCN,CSCHLD,LUMN,andRAX.
Meanwhile,theparamountofhigh-yieldbondstradingatorbelow$90decreasedforthesecondconsecutivemonthby$37bnm/mto$555bn(alowsinceJul-22),or41.9%ofthenon-defaulteduniverse.
Thisisabovethe$534bnor40.9%oftheHYuniversewhichtradedsub-$90inMarch2020andiscomingoffahighsince2008’sGFC.Ofcourse,thesurgeinrateshasbeenlargelyresponsiblefortheweaknessinhigh-yieldbondprices.
Source:J.P.Morgan
Source:J.P.Morgan
Industryvolume ($bn)
Source:J.P.Morgan
STW>1000bp
Percentofthe
Totalvolume
Percentoftotal
sector'stotal
($bn)
distresseddebt
outstanding
Automotive
6.0
6.1%
7.1%
84.8
Broadcasting
5.2
5.3%
15.6%
33.6
CableandSatellite
13.9
14.1%
15.7%
89.0
Chemicals
3.3
3.4%
9.6%
34.7
ConsumerProducts
0.6
0.6%
2.2%
28.8
DiversifiedMedia
0.8
0.8%
4.9%
16.7
Energy
0.6
0.6%
0.4%
151.0
Financial
4.2
4.3%
3.9%
107.9
FoodandBeverages
1.4
1.4%
2.9%
49.9
GamingLodgingLeisure
4.0
4.1%
3.5%
114.8
Healthcare
19.2
19.5%
16.2%
118.7
Housing
Industrials
MetalsandMiningPaperandPackagingRetail
ServicesTechnologyTelecommunicationsTransportation
0.0%2.0%0.3%0.5%6.3%4.5%9.6%15.8%0.4%
0.0 1.90.30.56.24.49.515.50.4
0.0% 3.0% 0.8% 1.5%13.9% 6.1%10.9%37.3%1.1%
Utility
0.30.3%1.0%
98.67.5%
Note:Non-DefaultedDomestic$HYbonds
50.065.030.436.244.772.087.341.634.830.6
1,322.5
Source:J.P.Morgan
--AttachmentoftheDay:TheSub-$80LeveragedLoanUniverseisonly$4bnaboveayear-to-datelow
Source:J.P.Morgan
Source:J.P.Morgan
Theattachedexcelincludeshistoricalvolumesandpercentageofinstitutionalloanstradingatorbelow$80,$70,and$60since2010.Alsoincludedisthehistorical%ofleveragedloanstradingsub-$80vs.defaultratesandabreakdownofdistressedloansbyindustry.TheLeveragedLoanindexposteda+1.20%gaininJulywithoutperformancedowninqualityamidstronggrowthdataandmoderatinginflation.WithCCCs/B3soutperforming,thevolumeofdistressedloansdeclinedforthesecondconsecutivemonthandisonly$4.0bnaboveitsYTDlow.Specifically,theamountofloanstradingatorbelow$80decreasedby-$9.2bnm/mto$110.0bnor7.7%ofoutstanding.Forcontext,theamountofsub-$80loansstoodat$140bnatYE22,$323bninMarch2020,and$67bninFebruary2020.Down$23.2bninJuneandJuly,thedistresseduniverseof$110.0bnisstillcomfortablyabovethe$58.8bnwhichstoodinthesub-$80basketinAugust2022.Ofthe$110.0bnofleveragedloansclassifiedasdistressed22%isHealthcare,20%isTechnology,and12%isServices.Historically,inthe25historicalexampleswherethedistresseduniverseaccountedfor8-10%ofoutstanding,theaveragedefaultrate12Mforwardwas
2.5%.DuringtheGFCthe%oftheloanmarketthattradedbelow$80peakedat81%(Dec-08)andduringthe2000-02recessionthe%peakedat17.4%(Oct-02).Meanwhile,theuniverseofloanstradingsub-$60andsub-$70changed-$3.9bnand+$2.5bnm/mto$23.7bn(or1.7%)and$58.9bn(or4.1%),respectively.Assuchthesub-$60universeis$17.7bnbelowJanuary’s32-monthhigh,whilethesub-$70universeis$15.0bnbelowDecember’s31-monthhigh.Thelargestcontributorstothesub-$70loanuniverseareTravelport,LumenTechnologies,AirMedicalGroup,Rackspace,LOGM,Shutterfly,U.S.RenalCare,PretiumPackaging,andTelesatCanada.Notably,theseissuersaccountfor39%ofthedistresseduniverse.Additionally,61%ofthesub-$70universeareloanonlyissuers.Meanwhile,thesub-$90universeofloansdeclinedforthesecondconsecutivemonthfollowingitssecondlargestdecreasesinceMay-20inJune.Specifically,theamountofsub-$90loansdecreased$25.8bnm/mto$225.9bnor16%andissittingatalowsinceAug-22.Meanwhile,thedistresseduniverseofbonds/loansdecreasedinJulytoalowsinceAugust2022.Specifically,thedistresseduniverseofbonds/loanstotals$208.5bn(-$22.4bnm/m)whichequatesto7.6%ofleveragedcreditandcomparesto$549bnor29.1%inMar-20and$214bnor8.9%inFeb-20.Thisrepresentsbondstrading1000bp+andloansbelow$80,andhistoricallyaboutone-thirdofthis7.6%universedefaultsoverthenext12months.
Source:J.P.Morgan
Source:J.P.Morgan
InstitutionalLoans
No.Avg.Changeinvolume
endprice($bn)issuersendprice1mo.6mo.12mo.
$<60
23.7
1.7%
54
41.6
-3.9
-17.7
6.9
60<=$<70
35.1
2.4%
35
64.5
6.47.1
23.7
70<=$<80
51.1
36%
66
75.5
-1162.2
20.1
80<=$<90
115.9
8.1%
135
85.4
-16.6
-29.9
-35.9
90<=$<100
1,098.6
76.6%
961
97.5
-13.6
-78.3
-200.5
$>=100
Total
SecondLienTermLoan
110.4
1,434.9
7.7%
89
1,340
No
100.3
92.6
Avg
37.9
38.5
-1.4
-78.1
Changeinvolume
100.2
-85.4
endprice
($bn)
issuers
endprice
1mo.
6mo.
12mo.
$<60
60<=$<70
70<=$<80
80<=$<90
90<=$<100
$>=100
Total
Source:J.P.Morgan
5.3
5.0
4.5
20.1
30.4
1.8
67.1
7.9%
7.5%
6.6%
30.0%
45.3%
2.7%
25
11
20
50
80
1
187
41.3
63.0
75.5
85.7
94.3
100.1
81.8
-0.4
-0.1
-1.3
-0.7
0.1
1.5
-0.8
-2.3
0.4
-3.4
-1.0
-2.1
1.0
-7.5
0.7
4.1
2.0
1.3
-19.1
0.1
-10.9
--High-YieldBondFlows:Outflowsweek-to-dateforHYbondfundstotalanestimated-$614mn.HYbondfundshadestimatedoutflowstotaling-$285mnonMonday,whichcomparetoinflowsof+$321mnonFriday,inflowsof+$71mnonThursdayandoutflowsof-$1.0BNforthepriorreportingweek.Morespecifically,theHYETFshadoutflowstotaling-$313mnyesterday,whichcomparetoinflowsof+$439mnonFridayandinflowsof+$71mnonThursday.Andactivelymanagedfundshadestimatedinflowstotaling+$28mnyesterday,whichcomparetooutflowsof-$118mnonFridayandinflowsof+$0mnonThursday.
--LeveragedLoanFlows:Outflowsweek-to-dateforleveragedloanfundstotalanestimated-$26mn.Loanfundshadanestimated+$18mninflowsonMonday,+$5mnofwhichwasETFs,whichcomparestoinflowsof+$45mnonFriday,outflowsof-$89mnonThursdayandoutflowsof-$278mnforthepriorreportingweek.OutflowsforLoanfundsYTDtotal-$19.1bn(-$855mnETFs,4%oftotaloutflows),comparedwith+$10.1bnofinflowsoverthesameperiodin2022.
Sources:J.P.Morgan;LipperFMI
--CLOIssuance:Month-to-date,5USCLOshavepricedtotaling$2.3bn($1.9bnex-refinancingand$0.4bnrefinancing)and1EuroCLOhaspricedtotaling€0.4bn(€0.4bnex-refinancingand€0.0bnrefinancing).Year-to-date,155USCLOshavepricedtotaling$67.2bn($65.2bnex-refinancingand$2.0bnrefinancing)and37EuroCLOshavepricedtotaling€14.0bnascomparedwith229USCLOstotaling$108.8bnand58EuroCLOstotaling€23.2bnforthesametimeperiodlastyear.
--TraceVolumes:JPMestimates$6.3bnofDM$USHYtradedMondayvs.a20-dayavg.of$7.3bn.ThemostactivelytradedindustrywasTechnology($0.6bn)followedbyGamingLodgingAndLeisure($0.6bn).AndbyratingcategoryBB(45%),B(42%)andCCC(13%).AccordingtoFINRA,$9.9bnofHYtradedMondayversus$8.6bnthepriorday(combinesbothnon-144Aand144As).AverageHYtradingvolumesare$11.8bnMTDand$12.9bnYTD.FordetailsonTRACEvolumesforindividualbondsseehere/research/content/publication/9001750
Sources:J.P.Morgan;BloombergFinanceL.P.
NelsonJantzen,CFAAC
(1-212)270-1169
nelson.r.jantzen@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
AnalystCertification:TheResearchAnalyst(s)denotedbyan“AC”onthecoverofthisreportcertifies(or,wheremultipleResearchAnalystsareprimarilyresponsibleforthisreport,theResearchAnalystdenotedbyan“AC”onthecoverorwithinthedocumentindividuallycertifies,withrespecttoeachsecurityorissuerthattheResearchAnalystcoversinthisresearch)that:(1)alloftheviewsexpressedinthisreportaccuratelyreflecttheResearchAnalyst’spersonalviewsaboutanyandallofthesubjectsecuritiesorissuers;and(2)nopartofanyoftheResearchAnalyst'scompensationwas,is,orwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedbytheResearchAnalyst(s)inthisreport.ForallKorea-basedResearchAnalystslistedonthefrontcover,ifapplicable,theyalsocertify,asperKOFIArequirements,thattheResearchAnalyst’sanalysiswasmadeingoodfaithandthattheviewsreflecttheResearchAnalyst’sownopinion,withoutundueinfluenceorintervention.
AllauthorsnamedwithinthisreportareResearchAnalystswhoproduceindependentresearchunlessotherwisespecified.InEurope,SectorSpecialists(SalesandTrading)maybeshownonthisreportascontactsbutarenotauthorsofthereportorpartoftheResearchDepartment.
ImportantDisclosures
Company-SpecificDisclosures:Importantdisclosures,includingpricechartsandcreditopinionhistorytables,areavailableforcompendiumreportsandallJ.P.Morgan–coveredcompanies,andcertainnon-coveredcompanies,byvisiting/research/disclosures,calling1-800-477-0406,ore-mailingresearch.disclosure.inquiries@withyourrequest.
AhistoryofJ.P.Morganinvestmentrecommendationsdisseminatedduringthepreceding12monthscanbeaccessedontheResearch&Commentarypageofwhereyoucanalsosearchbyanalystname,sectororfinancialinstrument.
ExplanationofCreditResearchValuationMethodology,RatingsandRisktoRatings:
J.P.Morganusesabond-levelratingsystemthatincorporatesvaluations(relativevalue)andourfundamentalviewonthesecurity.Ourfundamentalcreditviewofanissuerisbasedonthecompany'sunderlyingcredittrends,overallcreditworthinessandouropiniononwhethertheissuerwillbeabletoserviceitsdebtobligationswhentheybecomedueandpayable.Weanalyze,amongotherthings,thecompany'scashflowcapacityandtrendsandstandardcreditratios,suchasgrossandnetleverage,interestcoverageandliquidityratios.Wealsoanalyzeprofitability,capitalizationandassetquality,amongothervariables,whenassessingfinancials.Analystsalsoratetheissuer,basedontheratingofthebenchmarkorrepresentativesecurity.Unlesswespecifyadifferentrecommendationforthecompany’sindividualsecurities,anissuerrecommendationappliestoallofthebondsatthesameleveloftheissuer’scapitalstructure.Wemayalsoratecertainloansandpreferredsecurities,asapplicable.Thisreportalsosetsoutwithinitthematerialunderlyingassumptionsused.
Weusethefollowingratingsforbonds(issues),issuers,loans,andpreferredsecurities:Overweight(overthenextthreemonths,therecommendedriskpositionisexpectedtooutperformtherelevantindex,sector,orbenchmark);Neutral(overthenextthreemonths,therecommendedriskpositionisexpectedtoperforminlinewiththerelevantindex,sector,orbenchmark);andUnderweight(overthenextthreemonths,therecommendedriskpositionisexpectedtounderperformtherelevantindex,sector,orbenchmark).J.P.MorganEmergingMarketsSovereignResearchusesMarketweight,whichisequivalenttoNeutral.NRisNotRated.Inthiscase,J.P.Morganhasremovedtheratingforthisparticularsecurityorissuerbecauseofeitheralackofasufficientfundamentalbasisorforlegal,regulatoryorpolicyreasons.Thepreviousratingnolongershouldbereliedupon.AnNRdesignationisnotarecommendationorarating.NCisNotCovered.AnNCdesignationisnotaratingorarecommendation.
ForCDS,weusethefollowingratingsystem:LongRisk(overthenextthreemonths,thecreditreturnontherecommendedpositionisexpectedtoexceedtherelevantindex,sectororbenchmark);Neutral(overthenextthreemonths,thecreditreturnontherecommendedpositionisexpectedtomatchtherelevantindex,sectororbenchmark);andShortRisk(overthenextthreemonths,thecreditreturnontherecommendedpositionisexpectedtounderperformtherelevantindex,sectororbenchmark).
J.P.MorganCreditResearchRatingsDistribution,asofJuly08,2023
OverweightNeutralUnderweight
(buy)(hold)(sell)
GlobalCreditResearchUniverse*IBclients**
29%61%
55%58%
16%
60%
*Pleasenotethatthepercentagesmaynotaddto100%becauseofrounding.
**Percentageofsubjectcompanieswithineachofthe"Overweight,""Neutral"and"Underweight"categoriesforwhichJ.P.Morganhasprovidedinvestmentbankingserviceswithintheprevious12months.
ForpurposesofFINRAratingsdistributionrulesonly,ourOverweightratingfallsintoabuyratingcategory;ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory;andourUnderweightratingfallsintoasellratingcategory.TheCreditResearchRatingDistributionisattheissuerlevel.IssuerswithanNRoranNCdesignationarenotincludedinthetableabove.Thisinformationiscurrentasoftheendofthemostrecentcalendarquarter.
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OtherDisclosures
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QIBOnly
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