橡胶制品制造项目环境影响评价报告

清水橡胶（南通）有限公司橡胶制品制造项目环境影响报告书目录TOC\o"1-2"\h\u31187第1章概述 式中：pHj ——j断面的pH监测均值；pHsd——水质标准中pH下限；pHsu——水质标准中pH上限。（4）监测结果及分析监测方法详见表4.3-12，地表水监测统计结果见表4.3-13。表4.3-12地表水监测项目分析方法表检测项目分析方法及标准号pH值水质pH值的测定玻璃电极法GB/T6920-1986化学需氧量水质化学需氧量的测定重铬酸盐法HJ828-2017悬浮物水质悬浮物的测定重量法GB/T11901-1989氨氮水质氨氮的测定纳氏试剂分光光度法HJ535-2009总磷水质总磷的测定钼酸铵分光光度法GB/T11893-1989溶解氧水质溶解氧的测定电化学探头法HJ506-2009五日生化需氧量水质五日生化需氧量(BOD5)的测定稀释与接种法HJ505-2009总氮水质总氮的测定碱性过硫酸钾消解-紫外分光光度法HJ636-2012石油类水质石油类的测定紫外分光光度法（试行）HJ970-2018水温水质温度的测定温度计或颠倒温度计测定法GB/T13195-1991表4.3-13雨水接纳水体水质监测统计结果采样地点采样日期采样时间样品状态检测项目pH值CODSS氨氮总磷总氮BOD5溶解氧石油类水温单位无量纲mg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/Lmg/L℃南侧河道上游2019.03.1109:36无色、无嗅、清6.6210180.7390.050.842.229.600.0311.113:21无色、无嗅、清6.7111150.7320.040.842.599.860.0114.12019.03.1209:13无色、无嗅、清6.7412200.7740.050.862.209.960.055.313:33无色、无嗅、清6.7713160.7590.050.892.419.800.027.6南侧河道下游2019.03.1110:21无色、无嗅、清6.8015210.8400.150.953.878.110.0212.315:04无色、无嗅、清6.7718250.8520.120.963.688.400.0413.22019.03.1210:01无色、无嗅、清6.8517220.8280.120.963.657.850.045.715:09无色、无嗅、清6.9016260.8400.140.943.448.210.017.3Ⅲ类标准6-920301.00.21.0450.05/由表4.3-13可知，项目南侧雨水接纳水体监测断面中各水质监测因子均能满足《地表水环境质量标准》（GB3838-2002）Ⅲ类标准要求，说明周边地表水环境质量较好。4.3.4地下水环境质量现状评价为了解本项目周边地下水体的水环境现状，本次环评编制期间委托无锡诺信安全科技有限公司于2018年9月3日对厂界周边的地下水水质进行监测。监测内容及评价结果如下：（1）监测点布设监测点布设：在项目所在地及附近水井采样，共布设6个监测点，对拟建区域地下水进行现状监测。表4.3-14地下水环境监测点一览表测点编号测点名称与本项目的距离地下水水位m监测项目D1新河村102m3.6水位、pH值、氨氮、挥发酚、总硬度、溶解性总固体、铁、铅、高锰酸盐指数、氟化物、硝酸盐、亚硝酸盐；K+、Na+、Ca2+、Mg2+、CO32-、HCO3-、Cl-、SO42-。D2新河村西侧730m3.3D3英雄村260m3.3D4项目地北侧150m3.5水位D5项目地西侧1000m4.1D6项目地南侧600m3.7（2）监测采样及方法采样分析方法：按《地下水环境监测技术规范》（HJ/T164-2016）有关规定和要求执行，具体见下表。表4.3-15地下水监测项目分析方法表检测项目分析方法及标准号K+、Na+GB/T11904-1989水质钾和钠的测定火焰原子吸收分光光度法Ca2+、Mg2+GB/T11905-1989水质钙和镁的测定原子吸收分光光度法CO32-、HCO3-酸碱指示剂滴定法《水和废水监测分析方法》（第四版）国家环保总局（2002年）硫酸根离子、氯离子、硝酸盐、氟化物HJ84-2016水质无机阴离子（F-、Cl-、NO2-、Br-、NO3-、PO43-、SO32-、SO42-）的测定离子色谱法亚硝酸盐GB/T7493-1987水质亚硝酸盐氮的测定分光光度法pH值GB/T6920-1986水质pH值的测定玻璃电极法氨氮HJ535-2009水质氨氮的测定纳氏试剂分光光度法挥发酚HJ503-2009水质挥发酚的测定4-氨基安替比林分光光度法总硬度GB/T7477-1987水质钙和镁总量的测定EDTA滴定法铅石墨炉原子吸收法《水和废水监测分析方法》（第四版）国家环保总局（2002年）铁GB/T11911-1989水质铁、锰的测定火焰原子吸收分光光度法溶解性总固体GB/T5750.4-2006生活饮用水标准检验方法感官性状和物理指标高锰酸盐指数GB/T11892-1989水质高锰酸盐指数的测定（3）评价结果地下水监测结果见表4.3-16。表4.3-16地下水评价结果一览表采样日期检测项目检测结果质量类别D1新河村D2新河村西侧D3英雄村2018.9.1K+浓度（mg/L）10.19.058.78/摩尔浓度（mol/L）2.59×10-42.32×10-42.25×10-4Na+浓度（mg/L）96.391.256.3/摩尔浓度（mol/L）4.19×10-33.96×10-32.45×10-3Ca2+浓度（mg/L）124110111/摩尔浓度（mol/L）3.10×10-32.75×10-32.78×10-3Mg2+浓度（mg/L）33.833.731.6/摩尔浓度（mol/L）1.41×10-31.40×10-31.32×10-3CO32-浓度（mg/L）000/摩尔浓度（mol/L）000HCO3-浓度（mg/L）4.755.005.07/摩尔浓度（mol/L）7.79×10-58.2×10-58.3×10-5SO42-浓度（mg/L）55.945.338.6/摩尔浓度（mol/L）5.82×10-44.72×10-44.02×10-3Cl-浓度（mg/L）75.215477.2/摩尔浓度（mol/L）2.12×10-34.34×10-32.17×10-3氟化物（mg/L）0.4680.4040.510Ⅰ类硝酸盐氮（mg/L）14.415.826.6Ⅳ类亚硝酸盐氮（mg/L）0.0460.0450.042Ⅱ类pH值（无量纲）7.117.087.14Ⅰ类氨氮（mg/L）1.261.171.02Ⅳ类挥发酚（mg/L）NDNDNDⅠ类总硬度（mg/L）316328396Ⅲ类铅（mg/L）6×10-34×10-35×10-3Ⅲ类铁（mg/L）0.420.350.29Ⅳ类溶解性总固体（mg/L）454497398/高锰酸盐指数（mg/L）2.681.361.62/备注“ND”表示未检出，挥发酚的检出限为3.0×10-4mg/L。由表4.3-16监测结果可知，监测期间，本项目附近各监测点地下水氟化物、PH值以及挥发酚指标可达到《地下水环境质量标准》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅰ类标准；亚硝酸盐氮指标可达到《地下水环境质量标准》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅱ类标准；总硬度、铅指标可达到《地下水环境质量标准》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅲ类标准；硝酸盐氮、氨氮、铁指标可达到《地下水环境质量标准》（GB/T14848-2017）中的Ⅳ类标准。4.3.5土壤环境质量现状评价根据《土壤环境质量建设用地土壤污染风险管控标准》（GB36600-2018）和《环境影响评价技术导则土壤环境（试行）》（HJ964-2018），本项目行业类别属于其他行业，项目类别为Ⅳ类，可不进行土壤环境质量现状监测。但为了解本项目周边土壤环境现状，本次环评编制期间委托无锡诺信安全科技有限公司于2018年9月3日对项目所在地土壤现状进行监测。监测内容及评价结果如下：（1）监测点：清水橡胶（南通）有限公司厂址。（2）监测方案监测项目：pH、铜、镍、铬、铅、镉、汞、砷；监测时间：2018年9月3日进行监测。（3）采样与分析方法：监测方法见下表。表4.3-17监测方法检测项目分析方法及标准号pH值土壤pH的测定NY/T1377-2007总铬土壤总铬的测定火焰原子吸收分光光度法HJ491-2009总铜土壤质量铜、锌的测定火焰原子吸收分光光度法GB/T17138-1997总铅、总镉土壤质量铅、镉的测定石墨炉原子吸收分光光度法GB/T17141-1997总汞土壤质量总汞、总砷、总铅的测定原子荧光法第1部分：土壤中总汞的测定GB/T22105.1-2008总砷土壤质量总汞、总砷、总铅的测定原子荧光法第2部分：土壤中总砷的测定GB/T22105.2-2008总镍镍的测定火焰原子吸收分光光度法GB/T17139-1997（4）监测结果与评价土壤环境质量现状监测结果详见下表。表4.3-18土壤环境质量现状监测结果采样日期检测点位检测项结果（mg/kg）pH值（无量纲）总铬总铜总铅总镉总汞总砷总镍2018.9.3项目所在地7.837636320.160.08614.242第二类用地（筛选值）//18000800653860900监测结果表明，土壤环境质量现状监测数据中各个监测指标均符合《土壤环境质量建设用地土壤污染风险管控标准》（GB36600-2018）中第二类用地筛选值限值要求，表明目前本区域土壤环境质量良好，区域内土壤环境还未受到污染。4.3.6声环境质量现状评价为了解项目所在地的声环境质量现状，本次评价期间委托无锡诺信安全科技有限公司于2018年9月3日和2018年9月26日进行了声环境质量现状监测。（1）测点布置项目厂界东、南、西、北侧和北侧最近敏感点处各设置一个噪声点位，共计5个监测点位。（2）监测时间及频次对各测点进行昼夜测定。（3）监测方法按照GB3096-2008《声环境质量标准》中的有关规定进行。（4）监测仪器和数据处理监测仪器采用AWA6221B型声级计。在每一个测点，每隔0.01分钟仪器自动采样一次，连续采样10分钟，经仪器自动处理数据后，显示记录监测值。（5）监测结果统计声环境现状监测结果见下表。表4.3-19企业周边现状声环境监测结果单位：dB(A)测点编号检测位置采样时间采样时间检测结果dB（A）昼间夜间1厂界东N22018.9.3昼间：16:02-17:5954.2/2厂界南N356.1/3厂界西N459.5/4厂界北N153.3/5北侧最近敏感点N556.2/1厂界东N22018.09.26夜间：00:44-02:49/49.12厂界南N3/45.43厂界西N4/47.44厂界北N1/47.35北侧最近敏感点N5/45.6根据上述监测结果，本项目各厂界的昼间噪声值在53.3～59.5dB(A)，夜间噪声值在45.4～49.1dB(A)，各厂界及敏感点处现状监测点位昼、夜间声环境能达到《声环境质量标准》(GB3096-2008)中的2类声环境功能区标准要求，项目项目所在地声环境质量较好。第5章环境影响预测与评价5.1施工期环境影响分析本项目车间已建设完毕，不存在大型的土建工程，只需一定量的设备安装调试，只要加强施工期的管理，做好施工期的“三废”达标治理和噪声防治，本项目施工期对周围环境影响较小，施工期影响在施工结束后自然消除。5.2营运期大气环境影响分析5.2.1污染气象分析（1）气象资料来源地面气象资料引用启东气象站，为距离项目较近的地面气象观测站，直线距离为49公里，两地受相同气候系统的影响和控制，其常规气象资料可以反映技改扩建项目区域的基本气候特征，因而可以直接使用该气象站提供的近几年连续一年的地面气象资料。（2）气象统计资料根据启东气象站近一年的气象数据及累计二十年以上气象数据对当地的温度、风速、风向风频进行统计。①温度当地年平均气温月变化情况见表5.2-1，年平均气温月变化曲线见图5.2-1。从年平均气温月变化资料中可以看出启东气象站7月份平均气温最高（28.4℃），1月份气温平均最低（3.8℃）。表5.2-1年平均温度的月变化单位：℃月份1月2月3月4月5月6月7月8月9月10月11月12月温度16.120.523.328.428.222.919.011.65.8②风速月平均风速随月份的变化和季小时平均风速的日变化情况分别见表5.2-2和表5.2-3，月平均风速、各季小时的平均风速变化曲线见图5.2-2和图5.2-3。表5.2-2年平均风速的月变化单位：m/s月份1月2月3月4月5月6月7月8月9月10月11月12月年均风速2.462.812.923.062.752.882.823.462.792.52.722.962.84图5.2-1年平均温度的月边变化图5.2-2月平均风速变化曲线从月平均风速统计资料中可以看出，8月份平均风速最高(3.46m/s)，1月份平均风速最低(2.46m/s)。表5.2-3季小时平均风速的日变化小时(h)风速(m/s)281420春季2.013.343.732.56夏季2.133.433.772.89秋季1.823.273.562.02冬季2.193.033.52.25图5.2-3 各季小时月平均风速变化曲线从各季小时月平均风速统计资料中可以看出，在春季风速最高，秋季风速最低，一天内14：00的平均风速最高。③风向、风频每月、各季及长期平均各向风频变化情况见表5.2-4和表5.2-5。表5.2-4年均风频的月变化情况（%）表5.2-5季均风频的季变化及年均风频（%）从年均风频的季变化统计资料可以看出，该地区的年主导风向的风向角范围为E～SE，出现频率为36.46%。风频玫瑰见图5.2-4。图5.2-4风玫瑰图5.2.2预测内容本项目大气环境预测内容见表5.2-6。表5.2-6预测内容一览表序号预测内容颗粒物非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳1点源下风向预测浓度、最大预测浓度、距源中心距离及浓度占标率√√√√2面源下风向预测浓度、最大预测浓度、距源中心距离及浓度占标率√√√√3大气环境防护距离√√√√4卫生防护距离√√√√5.2.3预测参数本项目废气影响预测排放参数详见表5.2-7~表5.2-9。表5.2-7项目有组织排放参数名称排气筒底部中心坐标排气筒底部海拔高度/m排气筒高度/m排气筒出口内径/m烟气流速/（m/s）烟气温度/℃年排放小时数/h排放工况污染物排放速率/（kg/h）经度（E）纬度（N）颗粒物非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳1#排气筒120°40′52.04″31°55′17.21″0150.213.32981500正常0.000410.00006//2#排气筒120°40′51.46″31°55′15.97″0150.512.7298500正常/0.00061.8×10-60.00009表5.2-8项目无组织排放参数名称面源起点坐标面源海拔高度/m面源长度/m面源宽度/m与正北向夹角/°面源有效排放高度/m年排放小时数/h排放工况污染物排放速率/（kg/h）经度（E）纬度（N）颗粒物非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳车间一121°40′51.39″31°55′17.34″046.5170101500正常0.00470.000732×10-60.0001表5.2-9项目非正常情况下排放参数名称排气筒底部中心坐标排气筒底部海拔高度/m排气筒高度/m排气筒出口内径/m烟气流速/（m/s）烟气温度/℃年排放小时数/h排放工况污染物排放速率/（kg/h）经度（E）纬度（N）颗粒物非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳1#排气筒120°40′52.04″31°55′17.21″0150.213.32981500正常0.04230.0007//2#排气筒120°40′51.46″31°55′15.97″0150.512.7298500正常/0.005940.000020.00095.2.4预测结果本评价大气预测采用AERSCREEN模型进行估算，其中最小风速取0.5m/s，风速计高度取10m，预测结果如下。表5.2-10点源大气环境影响估算结果距源中心下风向距离D(m)1#排气筒2#排气筒颗粒物非甲烷总烃非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）104.45E-0306.52E-0402.43E-0307.27E-0603.63E-040252.53E-0203.71E-0301.80E-0205.39E-0502.70E-030.01504.02E-0205.89E-0305.89E-0201.76E-0408.82E-030.02757.94E-020.011.16E-0201.16E-010.013.48E-0401.74E-020.041009.96E-020.011.46E-0201.46E-010.014.37E-0402.18E-020.051251.04E-010.011.52E-0201.52E-010.014.54E-0402.27E-020.061501.03E-010.011.51E-0201.51E-010.014.53E-0402.27E-020.061759.96E-020.011.46E-0201.46E-010.014.37E-0402.18E-020.052009.31E-020.011.36E-0201.36E-010.014.08E-0402.04E-020.052258.57E-020.011.26E-0201.26E-010.013.76E-0401.88E-020.052507.85E-020.011.15E-0201.15E-010.013.44E-0401.72E-020.042757.19E-020.011.05E-0201.05E-0103.15E-0401.58E-020.043006.59E-020.019.65E-0309.65E-0202.89E-0401.44E-020.043256.06E-020.018.87E-0308.87E-0202.66E-0401.33E-020.033505.58E-020.018.18E-0308.18E-0202.45E-0401.22E-020.033755.16E-020.017.56E-0307.56E-0202.26E-0401.13E-020.034004.79E-020.017.02E-0307.02E-0202.10E-0401.05E-020.034254.46E-0206.53E-0306.53E-0201.96E-0409.78E-030.024504.16E-0206.10E-0306.10E-0201.83E-0409.13E-030.024753.90E-0205.71E-0305.71E-0201.71E-0408.55E-030.025003.66E-0205.36E-0305.36E-0201.60E-0408.02E-030.025253.44E-0205.04E-0305.04E-0201.51E-0407.55E-030.025503.25E-0204.76E-0304.76E-0201.42E-0407.12E-030.025753.07E-0204.50E-0304.50E-0201.35E-0406.73E-030.026002.91E-0204.26E-0304.26E-0201.28E-0406.38E-030.026252.76E-0204.04E-0304.04E-0201.21E-0406.05E-030.026502.62E-0203.84E-0303.84E-0201.15E-0405.75E-030.016752.50E-0203.66E-0303.66E-0201.10E-0405.48E-030.017002.38E-0203.49E-0303.49E-0201.04E-0405.22E-030.017252.27E-0203.33E-0303.33E-0209.98E-0504.99E-030.017502.18E-0203.19E-0303.19E-0209.54E-0504.77E-030.017752.08E-0203.05E-0303.05E-0209.14E-0504.57E-030.018002.00E-0202.93E-0302.93E-0208.76E-0504.38E-030.018251.92E-0202.81E-0302.81E-0208.41E-0504.21E-030.018501.84E-0202.70E-0302.70E-0208.08E-0504.04E-030.018751.77E-0202.60E-0302.60E-0207.78E-0503.89E-030.019001.71E-0202.50E-0302.50E-0207.49E-0503.75E-030.019251.65E-0202.41E-0302.41E-0207.22E-0503.61E-030.019501.59E-0202.33E-0302.33E-0206.97E-0503.48E-030.019751.53E-0202.25E-0302.25E-0206.73E-0503.36E-030.0110001.48E-0202.17E-0302.17E-0206.50E-0503.25E-030.0110251.43E-0202.10E-0302.10E-0206.29E-0503.14E-030.0110501.39E-0202.04E-0302.04E-0206.10E-0503.05E-030.0110751.35E-0201.98E-0301.98E-0205.93E-0502.96E-030.0111001.31E-0201.92E-0301.92E-0205.76E-0502.88E-030.0111251.28E-0201.87E-0301.87E-0205.60E-0502.80E-030.0111501.24E-0201.82E-0301.82E-0205.45E-0502.73E-030.0111751.21E-0201.77E-0301.77E-0205.31E-0502.65E-030.0112001.18E-0201.73E-0301.73E-0205.17E-0502.58E-030.0112251.15E-0201.68E-0301.68E-0205.03E-0502.52E-030.0112501.12E-0201.64E-0301.64E-0204.91E-0502.45E-030.0112751.09E-0201.60E-0301.60E-0204.78E-0502.39E-030.0113001.06E-0201.56E-0301.56E-0204.67E-0502.33E-030.0113251.04E-0201.52E-0301.52E-0204.56E-0502.28E-030.0113501.01E-0201.49E-0301.49E-0204.45E-0502.22E-030.0113759.90E-0301.45E-0301.45E-0204.34E-0502.17E-030.0114009.68E-0301.42E-0301.42E-0204.24E-0502.12E-030.0114259.46E-0301.39E-0301.39E-0204.15E-0502.07E-030.0114509.25E-0301.36E-0301.36E-0204.06E-0502.03E-030.0114759.05E-0301.33E-0301.33E-0203.97E-0501.98E-03015008.85E-0301.30E-0301.30E-0203.88E-0501.94E-03015258.66E-0301.27E-0301.27E-0203.80E-0501.90E-03015508.48E-0301.24E-0301.24E-0203.72E-0501.86E-03015758.31E-0301.22E-0301.22E-0203.64E-0501.82E-03016008.14E-0301.19E-0301.19E-0203.57E-0501.78E-03016257.98E-0301.17E-0301.17E-0203.50E-0501.75E-03016507.82E-0301.15E-0301.15E-0203.43E-0501.71E-03016757.66E-0301.12E-0301.12E-0203.36E-0501.68E-03017007.52E-0301.10E-0301.10E-0203.30E-0501.65E-03017257.37E-0301.08E-0301.08E-0203.23E-0501.62E-03017507.24E-0301.06E-0301.06E-0203.17E-0501.59E-03017757.10E-0301.04E-0301.04E-0203.11E-0501.56E-03018006.97E-0301.02E-0301.02E-0203.06E-0501.53E-03018256.85E-0301.00E-0301.00E-0203.00E-0501.50E-03018506.72E-0309.85E-0409.85E-0302.95E-0501.47E-03018756.61E-0309.68E-0409.68E-0302.90E-0501.45E-03019006.49E-0309.51E-0409.51E-0302.85E-0501.42E-03019256.38E-0309.34E-0409.34E-0302.80E-0501.40E-03019506.27E-0309.19E-0409.19E-0302.75E-0501.38E-03019756.17E-0309.03E-0409.03E-0302.70E-0501.35E-03020006.06E-0308.88E-0408.88E-0302.66E-0501.33E-03020255.96E-0308.74E-0408.74E-0302.62E-0501.31E-03020505.87E-0308.59E-0408.59E-0302.57E-0501.29E-03020755.77E-0308.46E-0408.46E-0302.53E-0501.27E-03021005.68E-0308.32E-0408.32E-0302.49E-0501.25E-03021255.59E-0308.19E-0408.19E-0302.45E-0501.23E-03021505.50E-0308.06E-0408.06E-0302.41E-0501.21E-03021755.42E-0307.94E-0407.94E-0302.38E-0501.19E-03022005.34E-0307.82E-0407.82E-0302.34E-0501.17E-03022255.26E-0307.70E-0407.70E-0302.31E-0501.15E-03022505.18E-0307.59E-0407.59E-0302.27E-0501.14E-03022755.10E-0307.47E-0407.47E-0302.24E-0501.12E-03023005.03E-0307.37E-0407.37E-0302.21E-0501.10E-03023254.96E-0307.26E-0407.26E-0302.17E-0501.09E-03023504.88E-0307.16E-0407.16E-0302.14E-0501.07E-03023754.82E-0307.05E-0407.05E-0302.11E-0501.06E-03024004.75E-0306.96E-0406.96E-0302.08E-0501.04E-03024254.68E-0306.86E-0406.86E-0302.05E-0501.03E-03024504.62E-0306.76E-0406.76E-0302.03E-0501.01E-03024754.55E-0306.67E-0406.67E-0302.00E-0509.99E-04025004.49E-0306.58E-0406.58E-0301.97E-0509.85E-040下风向最大浓度1.04E-010.011.52E-0201.52E-010.014.54E-0402.27E-020.06最大浓度出现距离（m）120120120120120由表5.2-10预测结果可知，1#排气筒颗粒物下风向最大落地浓度为0.104μg/m3，占标率约0.01%；非甲烷总烃下风向最大落地浓度为0.0152μg/m3，占标率约0%；2#排气筒非甲烷总烃下风向最大落地浓度为0.152μg/m3，占标率约0.01%；H2S下风向最大落地浓度为0.000454μg/m3，占标率约0%；二硫化碳下风向最大落地浓度为0.0227μg/m3，占标率约0.06%。表5.2-11无组织排放预测结果距源中心下风向距离D(m)车间一颗粒物非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）102.82E+000.314.36E-010.021.71E-0405.97E-020.15254.25E+000.476.58E-010.032.55E-0409.01E-020.23504.73E+000.537.34E-010.042.69E-0401.00E-010.25754.66E+000.527.23E-010.042.68E-0409.90E-020.251004.09E+000.456.34E-010.032.66E-0408.69E-020.221253.63E+000.45.63E-010.032.65E-0407.70E-020.191503.13E+000.354.86E-010.022.58E-0406.65E-020.171752.70E+000.34.19E-010.022.48E-0405.73E-020.142002.35E+000.263.65E-010.022.38E-0404.99E-020.122252.07E+000.233.20E-010.022.27E-0404.39E-020.112501.83E+000.22.84E-010.012.15E-0403.89E-020.12751.64E+000.182.54E-010.012.04E-0403.48E-020.093001.47E+000.162.28E-010.011.93E-0403.13E-020.083251.34E+000.152.07E-010.011.83E-0402.83E-020.073501.22E+000.141.89E-010.011.73E-0402.58E-020.063751.12E+000.121.73E-010.011.64E-0402.37E-020.064001.03E+000.111.59E-010.011.56E-0402.18E-020.054259.49E-010.111.47E-010.011.48E-0402.02E-020.054508.81E-010.11.37E-010.011.41E-0401.87E-020.054758.21E-010.091.27E-010.011.34E-0401.74E-020.045007.82E-010.091.21E-010.011.29E-0401.66E-020.045257.32E-010.081.13E-010.011.23E-0401.55E-020.045506.88E-010.081.07E-010.011.18E-0401.46E-020.045756.48E-010.071.00E-010.011.13E-0401.38E-020.036006.12E-010.079.48E-0201.08E-0401.30E-020.036255.79E-010.068.97E-0201.03E-0401.23E-020.036505.49E-010.068.51E-0209.89E-0501.17E-020.036755.22E-010.068.09E-0209.49E-0501.11E-020.037004.97E-010.067.70E-0209.12E-0501.05E-020.037254.74E-010.057.34E-0208.77E-0501.01E-020.037504.52E-010.057.01E-0208.45E-0509.60E-030.027754.33E-010.056.70E-0208.14E-0509.18E-030.028004.14E-010.056.42E-0207.85E-0508.79E-030.028253.97E-010.046.16E-0207.58E-0508.43E-030.028503.82E-010.045.91E-0207.32E-0508.10E-030.028753.67E-010.045.68E-0207.08E-0507.78E-030.029003.53E-010.045.47E-0206.85E-0507.49E-030.029253.40E-010.045.27E-0206.63E-0507.22E-030.029503.28E-010.045.08E-0206.42E-0506.96E-030.029753.17E-010.044.91E-0206.23E-0506.72E-030.0210003.06E-010.034.74E-0206.04E-0506.49E-030.0210252.96E-010.034.58E-0205.87E-0506.28E-030.0210502.86E-010.034.43E-0205.70E-0506.07E-030.0210752.77E-010.034.29E-0205.54E-0505.88E-030.0111002.69E-010.034.16E-0205.39E-0505.70E-030.0111252.60E-010.034.04E-0205.24E-0505.53E-030.0111502.53E-010.033.92E-0205.10E-0505.36E-030.0111752.45E-010.033.80E-0204.97E-0505.21E-030.0112002.38E-010.033.70E-0204.84E-0505.06E-030.0112252.32E-010.033.59E-0204.72E-0504.92E-030.0112502.26E-010.033.49E-0204.60E-0504.79E-030.0112752.19E-010.023.40E-0204.49E-0504.66E-030.0113002.14E-010.023.31E-0204.38E-0504.54E-030.0113252.08E-010.023.23E-0204.28E-0504.42E-030.0113502.03E-010.023.15E-0204.18E-0504.31E-030.0113751.98E-010.023.07E-0204.09E-0504.20E-030.0114001.93E-010.022.99E-0203.99E-0504.10E-030.0114251.89E-010.022.92E-0203.91E-0504.00E-030.0114501.84E-010.022.85E-0203.82E-0503.91E-030.0114751.80E-010.022.79E-0203.74E-0503.82E-030.0115001.76E-010.022.72E-0203.66E-0503.73E-030.0115251.72E-010.022.66E-0203.58E-0503.65E-030.0115501.68E-010.022.60E-0203.51E-0503.57E-030.0115751.64E-010.022.55E-0203.44E-0503.49E-030.0116001.61E-010.022.49E-0203.37E-0503.42E-030.0116251.58E-010.022.44E-0203.31E-0503.34E-030.0116501.54E-010.022.39E-0203.24E-0503.27E-030.0116751.51E-010.022.34E-0203.18E-0503.21E-030.0117001.48E-010.022.30E-0203.12E-0503.14E-030.0117251.45E-010.022.25E-0203.06E-0503.08E-030.0117501.42E-010.022.21E-0203.01E-0503.02E-030.0117751.40E-010.022.16E-0202.95E-0502.96E-030.0118001.37E-010.022.12E-0202.90E-0502.91E-030.0118251.34E-010.012.08E-0202.85E-0502.85E-030.0118501.32E-010.012.05E-0202.80E-0502.80E-030.0118751.30E-010.012.01E-0202.75E-0502.75E-030.0119001.27E-010.011.97E-0202.70E-0502.70E-030.0119251.25E-010.011.94E-0202.66E-0502.65E-030.0119501.23E-010.011.90E-0202.61E-0502.61E-030.0119751.21E-010.011.87E-0202.57E-0502.56E-030.0120001.19E-010.011.84E-0202.53E-0502.52E-030.0120251.17E-010.011.81E-0202.49E-0502.47E-030.0120501.15E-010.011.78E-0202.45E-0502.43E-030.0120751.13E-010.011.75E-0202.41E-0502.39E-030.0121001.11E-010.011.72E-0202.37E-0502.35E-030.0121251.09E-010.011.69E-0202.34E-0502.32E-030.0121501.07E-010.011.67E-0202.30E-0502.28E-030.0121751.06E-010.011.64E-0202.27E-0502.24E-030.0122001.04E-010.011.61E-0202.23E-0502.21E-030.0122251.03E-010.011.59E-0202.20E-0502.18E-030.0122501.01E-010.011.56E-0202.17E-0502.14E-030.0122759.94E-020.011.54E-0202.14E-0502.11E-030.0123009.80E-020.011.52E-0202.11E-0502.08E-030.0123259.65E-020.011.50E-0202.08E-0502.05E-030.0123509.51E-020.011.47E-0202.05E-0502.02E-030.0123759.38E-020.011.45E-0202.02E-0501.99E-03024009.24E-020.011.43E-0201.99E-0501.96E-03024259.11E-020.011.41E-0201.97E-0501.93E-03024508.99E-020.011.39E-0201.94E-0501.91E-03024758.86E-020.011.37E-0201.91E-0501.88E-03025008.74E-020.011.35E-0201.89E-0501.86E-030下风向最大浓度4.73E+000.537.34E-010.042.69E-0401.00E-010.25最大浓度出现距离（m）43434343由表5.2-11无组织预测结果可知：车间一颗粒物无组织排放的污染物下风向最大浓度为4.73μg/m3，占标率0.53%；非甲烷总烃无组织排放的污染物下风向最大浓度为0.734μg/m3，占标率0.04%；H2S无组织排放的污染物下风向最大浓度为0.000269μg/m3，占标率约0%；二硫化碳无组织排放的污染物下风向最大浓度为0.1μg/m3，占标率0.25%。表5.2-12非正常情况点源大气环境影响估算结果距源中心下风向距离D(m)1#排气筒2#排气筒颗粒物非甲烷总烃非甲烷总烃H2S二硫化碳下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）下风向预测浓度(μg/m3)浓度占标率（%）104.68E-010.057.57E-0302.40E-0208.08E-0503.63E-030.01252.66E+000.34.31E-0201.78E-010.016.00E-040.012.70E-020.07504.23E+000.476.85E-0205.82E-010.031.96E-030.028.82E-020.22758.36E+000.931.35E-010.011.15E+000.063.87E-030.041.74E-010.441001.05E+011.171.70E-010.011.44E+000.074.86E-030.052.18E-010.551251.09E+011.211.76E-010.011.50E+000.075.05E-030.052.27E-010.571501.09E+011.211.76E-010.011.50E+000.075.04E-030.052.27E-010.571751.05E+011.171.70E-010.011.44E+000.074.86E-030.052.18E-010.552009.80E+001.091.58E-010.011.35E+000.074.54E-030.052.04E-010.512259.02E+0011.46E-010.011.24E+000.064.18E-030.041.88E-010.472508.27E+000.921.34E-010.011.14E+000.063.83E-030.041.72E-010.432757.57E+000.841.22E-010.011.04E+000.053.51E-030.041.58E-010.393006.94E+000.771.12E-010.019.54E-010.053.21E-030.031.44E-010.363256.37E+000.711.03E-010.018.76E-010.042.95E-030.031.33E-010.333505.88E+000.659.50E-0208.08E-010.042.72E-030.031.22E-010.313755.44E+000.68.79E-0207.47E-010.042.52E-030.031.13E-010.284005.04E+000.568.15E-0206.94E-010.032.34E-030.021.05E-010.264254.69E+000.527.59E-0206.46E-010.032.18E-030.029.78E-020.244504.38E+000.497.09E-0206.03E-010.032.03E-030.029.13E-020.234754.10E+000.466.63E-0205.64E-010.031.90E-030.028.55E-020.215003.85E+000.436.23E-0205.30E-010.031.78E-030.028.02E-020.25253.62E+000.45.86E-0204.98E-010.021.68E-030.027.55E-020.195503.42E+000.385.53E-0204.70E-010.021.58E-030.027.12E-020.185753.23E+000.365.22E-0204.44E-010.021.50E-030.016.73E-020.176003.06E+000.344.95E-0204.21E-010.021.42E-030.016.38E-020.166252.90E+000.324.69E-0203.99E-010.021.35E-030.016.05E-020.156502.76E+000.314.46E-0203.80E-010.021.28E-030.015.75E-020.146752.63E+000.294.25E-0203.61E-010.021.22E-030.015.48E-020.147002.51E+000.284.05E-0203.45E-010.021.16E-030.015.22E-020.137252.39E+000.273.87E-0203.29E-010.021.11E-030.014.99E-020.127502.29E+000.253.70E-0203.15E-010.021.06E-030.014.77E-020.127752.19E+000.243.55E-0203.02E-010.021.02E-030.014.57E-020.118002.10E+000.233.40E-0202.89E-010.019.74E-040.014.38E-020.118252.02E+000.223.26E-0202.78E-010.019.35E-040.014.21E-020.118501.94E+000.223.14E-0202.67E-010.018.99E-040.014.04E-020.18751.87E+000.213.02E-0202.57E-010.018.65E-040.013.89E-020.19001.80E+000.22.91E-0202.47E-010.018.33E-040.013.75E-020.099251.73E+000.192.80E-0202.38E-010.018.03E-040.013.61E-020.099501.67E+000.192.70E-0202.30E-010.017.75E-040.013.48E-020.099751.61E+000.182.61E-0202.22E-010.017.48E-040.013.36E-020.0810001.56E+000.172.52E-0202.15E-010.017.23E-040.013.25E-020.0810251.51E+000.172.44E-0202.08E-010.016.99E-040.013.14E-020.0810501.47E+000.162.37E-0202.01E-010.016.79E-040.013.05E-020.0810751.42E+000.162.30E-0201.96E-010.016.59E-040.012.96E-020.0711001.38E+000.152.24E-0201.90E-010.016.41E-040.012.88E-020.0711251.34E+000.152.17E-0201.85E-010.016.23E-040.012.80E-020.0711501.31E+000.152.12E-0201.80E-010.016.06E-040.012.73E-020.0711751.27E+000.142.06E-0201.75E-010.015.90E-040.012.65E-020.0712001.24E+000.142.00E-0201.71E-010.015.75E-040.012.58E-020.0612251.21E+000.131.95E-0201.66E-010.015.60E-040.012.52E-020.0612501.18E+000.131.90E-0201.62E-010.015.46E-040.012.45E-020.0612751.15E+000.131.86E-0201.58E-010.015.32E-040.012.39E-020.0613001.12E+000.121.81E-0201.54E-010.015.19E-040.012.33E-020.0613251.09E+000.121.77E-0201.50E-010.015.07E-040.012.28E-020.0613501.07E+000.121.73E-0201.47E-010.014.95E-0402.22E-020.0613751.04E+000.121.69E-0201.43E-010.014.83E-0402.17E-020.0514001.02E+000.111.65E-0201.40E-010.014.72E-0402.12E-020.0514259.96E-010.111.61E-0201.37E-010.014.61E-0402.07E-020.0514509.74E-010.111.57E-0201.34E-010.014.51E-0402.03E-020.0514759.52E-010.111.54E-0201.31E-010.014.41E-0401.98E-020.0515009.32E-010.11.51E-0201.28E-010.014.32E-0401.94E-020.0515259.12E-010.11.47E-0201.25E-010.014.23E-0401.90E-020.0515508.93E-010.11.44E-0201.23E-010.014.14E-0401.86E-020.0515758.74E-010.11.41E-0201.20E-010.014.05E-0401.82E-020.0516008.57E-010.11.39E-0201.18E-010.013.97E-0401.78E-020.0416258.40E-010.091.36E-0201.15E-010.013.89E-0401.75E-020.0416508.23E-010.091.33E-0201.13E-010.013.81E-0401.71E-020.0416758.07E-010.091.30E-0201.11E-010.013.74E-0401.68E-020.0417007.91E-010.091.28E-0201.09E-010.013.67E-0401.65E-020.0417257.76E-010.091.25E-0201.07E-010.013.60E-0401.62E-020.0417507.62E-010.081.23E-0201.05E-010.013.53E-0401.59E-020.0417757.48E-010.081.21E-0201.03E-010.013.46E-0401.56E-020.0418007.34E-010.081.19E-0201.01E-010.013.40E-0401.53E-020.0418257.21E-010.081.17E-0209.91E-0203.34E-0401.50E-020.0418507.08E-010.081.14E-0209.73E-0203.28E-0401.47E-020.0418756.95E-010.081.12E-0209.56E-0203.22E-0401.45E-020.0419006.83E-010.081.10E-0209.39E-0203.17E-0401.42E-020.0419256.71E-010.071.09E-0209.23E-0203.11E-0401.40E-020.0319506.60E-010.071.07E-0209.08E-0203.06E-0401.38E-020.0319756.49E-010.071.05E-0208.92E-0203.01E-0401.35E-020.0320006.38E-010.071.03E-0208.77E-0202.96E-0401.33E-020.0320256.28E-010.071.01E-0208.63E-0202.91E-0401.31E-020.0320506.18E-010.079.98E-0308.49E-0202.86E-0401.29E-020.0320756.08E-010.079.82E-0308.35E-0202.82E-0401.27E-020.0321005.98E-010.079.67E-0308.22E-0202.77E-0401.25E-020.0321255.89E-010.079.52E-0308.09E-0202.73E-0401.23E-020.0321505.79E-010.069.37E-0307.97E-0202.68E-0401.21E-020.0321755.71E-010.069.22E-0307.84E-0202.64E-0401.19E-020.0322005.62E-010.069.08E-0307.73E-0202.60E-0401.17E-020.0322255.53E-010.068.95E-0307.61E-0202.56E-0401.15E-020.0322505.45E-010.068.81E-0307.50E-0202.53E-0401.14E-020.0322755.37E-010.068.68E-0307.39E-0202.49E-0401.12E-020.0323005.29E-010.068.56E-0307.28E-0202.45E-0401.10E-020.0323255.22E-010.068.43E-0307.17E-0202.42E-0401.09E-020.0323505.14E-010.068.31E-0307.07E-0202.38E-0401.07E-020.0323755.07E-010.068.19E-0306.97E-0202.35E-0401.06E-020.0324005.00E-010.068.08E-0306.87E-0202.32E-0401.04E-020.0324254.93E-010.057.97E-0306.78E-0202.28E-0401.03E-020.0324504.86E-010.057.86E-0306.68E-0202.25E-0401.01E-020.0324754.79E-010.057.75E-0306.59E-0202.22E-0409.99E-030.0225004.73E-010.057.65E-0306.50E-0202.19E-0409.85E-030.02下风向最大浓度1.09E+011.211.76E-010.011.50E+000.075.05E-030.052.27E-010.57最大浓度出现距离（m）120120120120120由表5.2-12预测结果可知，非正常排放情况下，1#排气筒颗粒物下风向最大落地浓度为10.9μg/m3，占标率1.21%；非甲烷总烃下风向最大落地浓度为0.176μg/m3，占标率0.01%；2#排气筒非甲烷总烃下风向最大落地浓度为1.50μg/m3，占标率0.07%；H2S下风向最大落地浓度为0.00505μg/m3，占标率0.05%；二硫化碳下风向最大落地浓度为0.227μg/m3，占标率0.57%。由此可见非正常排放情况下各污染源污染物下风向最大落地浓度明显增大，对周边环境影响变大。5.2.5对环境敏感目标及厂界的大气环境影响预测分析本评价结合环境现状质量调查和污染物最大落地浓度出现距离，选取周边敏感点以及厂界作为预测点。正常排放情况下根据估算模式预测主要大气污染物的浓度分布情况见表5.2-13。表5.2-13大气预测值叠加现状值后的统计结果环境敏感保护目标污染物名称有组织(μg/m3)无组织(μg/m3)预测浓度(μg/m3)现状值(μg/m3)叠加值(μg/m3)标准值(μg/m3)是否超标颗粒物新河村8.49E-023.27E+013.28E+0179111.80900否庆丰小学7.08E-034.23E+004.24E+007983.24900否少直中心幼儿园7.94E-022.92E+012.93E+0179108.3900否启东市少直小学7.94E-022.92E+012.93E+0179108.3900否新河村7.62E-022.86E+012.87E+0179107.7900否昌荣小学1.40E-028.15E+008.16E+007987.16900否昌荣村1.35E-027.90E+007.91E+007986.91900否悦兴村9.07E-035.39E+005.40E+007984.4900否曦阳村5.00E-033.01E+003.02E+007982.02900否乐兴小学7.89E-034.70E+004.71E+007983.71900否东南村6.35E-033.80E+003.81E+007982.81900否志乐村6.29E-033.76E+003.77E+007982.77900否乐庭村4.09E-021.92E+011.92E+017998.20900否英雄村8.66E-023.27E+013.28E+0178110.80900否永兴村6.54E-033.91E+003.92E+007982.92900否风华小学1.40E-028.15E+008.16E+007987.16900否凤祥小学4.35E-032.63E+002.63E+007981.63900否常胜小学3.99E-032.42E+002.42E+007981.42900否南阳镇新河社区卫生服务站7.50E-034.45E+004.46E+007983.46900否南阳镇永兴社区卫生服务站3.99E-032.42E+002.42E+007981.42900否南阳镇悦兴社区卫生服务站5.38E-033.19E+003.20E+007982.20900否曹家镇村5.84E-033.50E+003.51E+007982.51900否保田村4.42E-032.67E+002.67E+007981.67900否爱中村6.06E-033.63E+003.64E+007982.64900否厂界2.16E-023.13E+013.13E+0186117.3900否非甲烷总烃新河村1.58E-012.72E+012.74E+01890917.42000否庆丰小学1.32E-023.51E+003.52E+00890893.522000否少直中心幼儿园1.47E-012.43E+012.44E+01890914.42000否启东市少直小学1.47E-012.43E+012.44E+01890914.42000否新河村1.37E-012.38E+012.39E+01890913.92000否昌荣小学2.61E-026.77E+006.80E+00890896.82000否昌荣村2.52E-026.56E+006.59E+00890896.592000否悦兴村1.69E-024.48E+004.50E+00890894.52000否曦阳村9.31E-032.50E+002.51E+00890892.512000否乐兴小学9.02E-033.90E+003.91E+00890893.912000否东南村1.19E-023.16E+003.17E+00890893.172000否志乐村1.17E-023.13E+003.14E+00890893.142000否乐庭村7.60E-021.59E+011.60E+018909062000否英雄村1.33E-022.72E+012.72E+01870897.22000否永兴村1.21E-023.25E+003.26E+00890893.262000否风华小学2.61E-026.77E+006.80E+00890896.82000否凤祥小学8.09E-032.18E+002.19E+00890892.192000否常胜小学7.43E-032.01E+002.02E+00890892.022000否南阳镇新河社区卫生服务站1.44E-023.74E+003.75E+00890893.752000否南阳镇永兴社区卫生服务站7.43E-032.01E+002.02E+00890892.022000否南阳镇悦兴社区卫生服务站9.82E-032.65E+002.66E+00890892.662000否曹家镇村1.08E-022.91E+002.92E+00890892.922000否保田村8.22E-032.22E+002.23E+00890892.232000否爱中村1.13E-023.02E+003.03E+00890893.032000否厂界2.11E-022.60E+012.60E+017357612000否H2S新河村4.37E-042.66E-047.03E-043310否庆丰小学3.64E-053.44E-057.08E-053310否少直中心幼儿园4.08E-042.38E-046.46E-043310否启东市少直小学4.08E-042.38E-046.46E-043310否新河村3.92E-042.33E-046.25E-043310否昌荣小学7.22E-056.63E-051.39E-043310否昌荣村6.97E-056.42E-051.34E-043310否悦兴村4.67E-054.38E-059.05E-053310否曦阳村2.57E-052.45E-055.02E-053310否乐兴小学4.06E-053.82E-057.88E-053310否东南村3.27E-053.09E-056.36E-053310否志乐村3.23E-053.06E-056.29E-053310否乐庭村2.10E-041.56E-043.66E-043310否英雄村4.45E-042.66E-047.11E-043310否永兴村3.36E-053.18E-056.54E-053310否风华小学7.22E-056.63E-051.39E-043310否凤祥小学2.24E-052.14E-054.38E-053310否常胜小学2.05E-051.97E-054.02E-053310否南阳镇新河社区卫生服务站3.84E-053.66E-057.50E-053310否南阳镇永兴社区卫生服务站2.05E-051.97E-054.02E-053310否南阳镇悦兴社区卫生服务站2.72E-052.59E-055.31E-053310否曹家镇村3.00E-052.85E-055