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UnitedNations
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
Distr.:General
28October2024
Englishonly
ConferenceofthePartiesservingasthemeetingofthePartiestotheParisAgreement
Sixthsession
Baku,11-22November2024
NationallydeterminedcontributionsundertheParisAgreement
Synthesisreportbythesecretariat
Summary
Thisreportsynthesizesinformationfromthe168latestavailablenationallydeterminedcontributionscommunicatedby195PartiestotheParisAgreementandrecordedintheregistryofnationallydeterminedcontributionsasat9September2024.
GE.24-19689(E)
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
2
Contents
Page
Abbreviationsandacronyms 3
I.Executivesummary 4
II.Mandate 10
III.Introduction 11
A.Backgroundandscope 11
B.Approach 12
IV.Synthesisofinformationcontainedinnationallydeterminedcontributions 12
A.Overview 12
B.Scopeandcoverage 13
C.Timeframesand/orperiodsofimplementation 16
D.Quantifiableinformationonthereferencepoint(including,asappropriate,abaseyear) 17
E.Assumptionsandmethodologicalapproaches,includingforestimatingandaccountingfor
anthropogenicgreenhousegasemissionsand,asappropriate,removals 17
F.Planningandimplementationprocesses 20
G.Mitigationco-benefitsresultingfromadaptationactionand/oreconomicdiversification
plans 24
H.Fairnessandambitioninthelightofnationalcircumstances 25
I.ContributiontowardsachievingtheobjectiveoftheConventionassetoutinitsArticle2,
andtowardsArticle2,paragraph1(a),andArticle4,paragraph1,oftheParisAgreement 26
J.Adaptation 32
K.Domesticmitigationmeasures 36
L.Meansofimplementation 42
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
3
Abbreviationsandacronyms
2006IPCCGuidelines
2006IPCCGuidelinesforNationalGreenhouseGasInventories
ACE
ActionforClimateEmpowerment
AFOLU
agriculture,forestryandotherlanduse
AR
AssessmentReportoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange
CCS
carbondioxidecaptureandstorage
CCUS
carbondioxidecapture,useandstorage
CH4
methane
CMA
ConferenceofthePartiesservingasthemeetingofthePartiestotheParisAgreement
CO2
carbondioxide
CO2eq
carbondioxideequivalent
COP
ConferenceoftheParties
GDP
grossdomesticproduct
GHG
greenhousegas
GWP
globalwarmingpotential
GWP-100*
globalwarmingpotentialvalueswitha100-yeartime-horizon
HFC
hydrofluorocarbon
IEA
InternationalEnergyAgency
INDC
intendednationallydeterminedcontribution
IPCC
IntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange
IPPU
industrialprocessesandproductuse
IRENA
InternationalRenewableEnergyAgency
LT-LEDS
long-termlow-emissiondevelopmentstrategy(ies)
LULUCF
landuse,land-usechangeandforestry
N2O
nitrousoxide
NAP
nationaladaptationplan
NDC
nationallydeterminedcontribution
NF3
nitrogentrifluoride
PFC
perfluorocarbon
SDG
SustainableDevelopmentGoal
SF6
sulfurhexafluoride
SLCP*
short-livedclimatepollutant
SR1.5
IntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChangeSpecialReportonGlobalWarmingof1.5°C
SSP
SharedSocioeconomicPathway
UNEP
UnitedNationsEnvironmentProgramme
*Usedexclusivelyinfigures.
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
4
I.Executivesummary
1.ThisreporthasbeenpreparedinresponsetotherequestfromCMA31forthesecretariattoannuallyupdatetheNDCsynthesisreport.2Thisversionofthereportsynthesizesinformationfromthe168latestavailableNDCs,representing195PartiestotheParisAgreement,3includingthe153neworupdatedNDCscommunicatedby180Parties,recordedintheNDCregistry4asat9September2024,covering95percentofthetotalglobalemissionsin2019,whichareestimatedat52.9GtCO2eqwithoutLULUCF.5Atotalof34PartieshavecommunicatedneworupdatedNDCssince25September2023(thecut-offdateforsubmissionscoveredinthepreviousversionofthisreport).
2.TheCOPandCMAguidance6ontheinformationnecessaryforclarity,transparencyandunderstandingofNDCswasusedasaframeworkforsynthesizingtherelevantinformationcontainedinthecommunicatedNDCs,whichwassupplementedbythesynthesisofotherinformationincludedintheNDCsbutnotcoveredbytheguidance.ThesynthesizedinformationispresentedforalltherepresentedPartiestakentogether.
3.Atotalof95percentofPartiesprovidedtheinformationnecessarytofacilitateclarity,transparencyandunderstandingoftheirNDCsinaccordancewiththeCOPguidance,with
94percentofPartiesthatsubmittedneworupdatedNDCsalreadyapplyingtherelevantfurtherCMAguidance.
4.Partiesprovidedinformationonmitigationtargetsaswellasmitigationco-benefitsresultingfromadaptationactionsand/oreconomicdiversificationplans.Themitigationtargetsrangefromeconomy-wideabsoluteemissionreductiontargetstostrategies,policies,plansandactionsforlow-emissiondevelopment.IntheirNDCs:
(a)94percentofPartiesprovidedquantifiedmitigationtargets,expressedasclearnumericaltargets,while6percentincludedstrategies,policies,plansandactionsforwhichthereisnoquantifiableinformationascomponentsoftheirNDCs;
(b)81percentofPartiescommunicatedeconomy-widetargets,coveringalloralmostallsectorsdefinedinthe2006IPCCGuidelines,withanincreasingnumberofPartiesmovingtoabsoluteemissionreductiontargetsintheirneworupdatedNDCs;
(c)100percentofPartiescoveredCO2emissions,91percentcoveredCH4,89percentcoveredN2O,54percentcoveredHFCs,35percentcoveredPFCsandSF6and26percentcoveredNF3;
(d)46percentofPartiesprovidedinformationonmitigationco-benefitsresultingfromtheiradaptationactionsand/oreconomicdiversificationplans,mostlyincombinationwithothertargets.
5.Atotalof93percentofPartiescommunicatedanNDCimplementationperiodofuntil2030,while7percentspecifiedanimplementationperiodofuntil2025,2035,2040or
2050.While54percentofPartiesidentified1January2021astheirstartingdateforNDCimplementation,29percentindicatedthattheystartedimplementingtheirNDCinorbefore
2020and6percentmentionedstartingimplementationin2022.
6.Inaddition,96percentofPartiesprovidedquantifiedinformationontheirmitigationtargetsandreferencepoints.OfthePartiesthatsubmittedneworupdatedNDCs,84percentupdatedthebasisfordefiningtheirtargets,includingreferencepointsand/or‘businessas
1Decision
1/CMA.3,
para.30.
2Seedocument
FCCC/PA/CMA/2023/12
forthe2023report.
3TheEuropeanUnionandits27memberStatescommunicatedonejointNDCinaccordancewith
Article4,paras.16–18,oftheParisAgreement,whichforthisreporthasbeencountedasoneNDCrepresenting28Partiesandreflectingtheinclusionofparticularinformationbyallofthem.
4Availableat
/NDCREG.
5Unlessotherwisenoted,inthisreportglobalGHGemissiontotalsexcludeemissionsfromforestryandotherlanduseorLULUCFbutincludeemissionsfrominternationalmaritimetransportand
internationalaviation.
6Decisions
1/CP.21,
para.27;and
4/CMA.1
andannexI.
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
5
usual’scenarios.Suchupdatesleadtohigher-qualityNDCsand,forsomeParties,tosignificantchangesintheestimatedemissionlevelsfor2025and2030.
7.Furthermore,PartiesareincreasinglyindicatingtheiruseofvoluntarycooperationunderArticle6oftheParisAgreement,with78percentstatingthattheyplantoorwillpossiblyuseatleastonetype.UseofcooperativeapproachesreferredtoinArticle6,paragraph2,wasmostfrequentlycommunicated(by52percentofParties),followedbyuseofthemechanismestablishedbyArticle6,paragraph4,(34percent)andgeneraluseofvoluntarycooperation(25percent).Partiesmentionedgeneraluseofvoluntarycooperation,ratherthanreportingplannedorpossibleuseofspecificscopesofvoluntarycooperation,morefrequentlythanindicatedinpreviousversionsofthisreport.
8.TotalglobalGHGemissions(withoutLULUCF)takingintoaccountimplementationofthelatestNDCs7areestimatedtobearound53.0(51.4–54.5)GtCO2eqin20258and51.5(48.3–54.7)GtCO2eqin2030,9whichare:10
(a)In2025,54.0percenthigherthanin1990(34.4GtCO2eq),11.3percent
higherthanin2010(47.6GtCO2eq)andapproximatelythesameasin2019(52.9GtCO2eq);11
(b)In2030,49.8percenthigherthanin1990,8.3percenthigherthanin2010and2.6percentlowerthanin2019,aswellas2.8percentlowerthantheestimatedlevelfor2025,indicatingthepossibilityofglobalemissionspeakingbefore2030.
9.Incomparison,thetotalGHGemissionlevelsresultingfromimplementationofNDCs(thosesubmittedby25September2023)presentedinthepreviousversionofthisreportwereestimatedtobearound53.2(51.6–54.8)GtCO2eqin2025and51.6(48.3–54.8)GtCO2eqin2030.Thoselevelsareverysimilar(at0.2GtCO2eqhigherfor2025and0.1GtCO2eqhigherfor2030)tothelevelspresentedinthisreport,theestimatesofwhichreflectaslightincreaseinaggregateNDCambitionlevelandupdatedemissiondata.
10.TheprojectedtotalglobalGHGemissionleveltakingintoaccountfullimplementationofalllatestNDCscontinuestoimplyapossibilityofglobalemissionspeakingbefore2030,withthelowerboundofthe2030emissionlevel(48.3GtCO2eq)estimatedtobeupto8.6percentbelowthe2019emissionlevel(52.9GtCO2eq)and6.0percentbelowthelowerboundoftheestimated2025emissionlevel(51.4GtCO2eq).However,inordertoachievethatpeaking,theconditionalelementsoftheNDCsneedtobeimplemented,whichdependsmostlyonaccesstoenhancedfinancialresources,technologytransferandtechnicalcooperation,andcapacity-buildingsupport;availabilityofmarket-basedmechanisms;andabsorptivecapacityofforestsandotherecosystems.
11.FullimplementationofalllatestNDCsisestimatedtoleadtoa5.9(3.2–8.6)percentemissionreductionby2030relativetothe2019level;whileimplementationofalllatestNDCsexcludinganyconditionalelementsisestimatedtoresultin0.8percenthigheremissionsin2030thanin2019(rangingfrom1.8percentlowerto3.4percenthigher).
7Unlessotherwisenoted,“implementationofNDCs”comprisescasesoffullimplementationofall(conditionalandunconditional)NDCelementsandcasesofimplementationofunconditional
elementsonly.Forthequantitativeresultsofthatimplementation,anaverageandarangeoftheprojectedoutcomesarepresented.“Fullimplementation”ofNDCsreferstoimplementingall
conditionalelementsaswellasanyunconditionalelements.
8Unlessotherwisenoted,forthisreportGWPvalueswitha100-yeartime-horizonfromtheAR6havebeenused.ForNDCsthatincludeestimatesofGHGemissionscalculatedusingotherGWPvalues
(e.g.frompreviousARs),aconversionhasbeenapplied.Forfurtherinformation,includingonestimationmethodsandapproaches,seedocument
FCCC/PA/CMA/2021/8/Add.3.
9Unlessotherwisenoted,inthisreporttheaverageofthequantificationisfollowedbyarangethat
representstheminimumandmaximumvaluesafteraggregation,sinceseveralPartiespresented
conditionalandunconditionalelementsoftheirNDCsand,insomecases,rangesofvaluesforboth.
10Percentagesaretheaverageofthechangesinthelower-andhigher-endemissionquantifications.
11Changesinquantitativeresultssincethepreviousversionofthisreport,suchasthestatedpercentagechangesinprojected2025or2030emissionlevelsrelativeto1990,reflectanyincreasesinaggregateNDCambitionleveland/oranyupdatestoemissionprojectionsandhistoricalemissionestimates.
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
6
12.ThecontributionofWorkingGroupIIItotheAR612concludesthat,inscenariosoflimitingwarmingto1.5°C(withover50percentlikelihoodby2100)withnoorlimitedovershootoverthecourseofthecentury,13GHGemissionsarereducedby43(34–60)percentby2030relativetothe2019level.Inscenariosofkeepingwarminglikelybelow2°C(withover67percentlikelihood)withmitigationactionstartingin2020,emissionsin2030are27(13–45)percentbelowthe2019level.14
13.TheSynthesisReportoftheAR615indicatesthat,tobeinlinewithglobalmodelledpathwaystolimitingwarmingto1.5°C(withover50percentlikelihood)withnoorlimitedovershootandthosetolimitingwarmingto2°C(withover67percentlikelihood),GHGemissionshavetobereducedby60(49–77)percentby2035relativetothe2019levelandby35(22–55)percentby2035relativetothe2019levelrespectively.
14.Theabsolutedifferenceinthelevelofemissionsby2030accordingtothelatestNDCsandtheseIPCCscenarios16issizeable,despiteprogresscomparedwiththelevelaccordingtotheINDCsasat4April2016.ThedifferencebetweentheprojectedemissionlevelsthatdonottakeintoaccountimplementationofanyconditionalelementsofNDCsandtheemissionlevelsinthescenariosofkeepingwarminglikelybelow2°C(withover67percentlikelihood)by2030isestimatedtobe14.9(10.9–18.3)GtCO2eq.Inrelationtothescenariosoflimitingwarmingto1.5°C(withover50percentlikelihood)andachievingnetzeroemissionsthiscentury,thegapisevenwider,atanestimated22.7(21.2–27.7)GtCO2eq.However,assumingfullimplementationofalllatestNDCs,includingallconditionalelements,thegapisslightlynarrowed,towards11.3(7.3–14.7)GtCO2eqinrelationtotheaforementioned2°Cscenariosandtowards19.2(17.6–24.1)GtCO2eqinrelationtotheaforementioned1.5°Cscenarios.
15.TakingintoaccounttheimplementationofNDCsupuntil2030,projectedglobalmeantemperaturesaresubjecttosignificantuncertaintyowingtotherangeofemissionlevelsestimatedfor2030resultingfromimplementationofNDCs(includingwhetherconditionalelementsareimplementedornot),therangeofillustrativeemissionextensionsbeyond2030andinherentclimatesystemuncertainties.Thebestestimateofpeaktemperatureinthetwenty-firstcentury(projectedmostlyfor2100whentemperaturecontinuestorise)isintherangeof2.1–2.8°Cdependingontheunderlyingassumptions.
16.Inthecontextofthecarbonbudgetconsistentwith50percentlikelihoodoflimitingwarmingto1.5°C(500GtCO2),cumulativeCO2emissionsin2020–2030basedonthelatestNDCswouldlikelyuseup86percentoftheremainingcarbonbudget,leavingapost-2030carbonbudgetofaround70GtCO2,whichisequivalenttoapproximatelytwoyearsofprojectedtotalglobalCO2emissionsby2030.Similarly,inthecontextofthecarbonbudgetconsistentwithalikelychanceofkeepingwarmingbelow2°C(estimatedbytheIPCCtobe1,150GtCO2from2020onward),cumulativeCO2emissionsin2020–2030basedonthelatestNDCswouldlikelyuseuparound37percentoftheremainingcarbonbudget.For
12IPCC.2022.SummaryforPolicymakers.In:PRShukla,JSkea,RSlade,etal.(eds.).Climate
Change2022:MitigationofClimateChange.ContributionofWorkingGroupIIItotheSixth
AssessmentReportoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange.CambridgeandNewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress.Availableat
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/.
13The1.5and2°Cwarminglevelsinscenariosareusuallyconsideredtobe20-yearaveragesof
warming,withwarminginindividualyears–owingtonaturalvariability–beingpotentiallyhigherthanthoselevels.AccordingtotheSynthesisReportoftheAR6(seefootnote15below),the
occurrenceofindividualyearswithglobalsurfacetemperaturechangeaboveacertainleveldoesnotimplythatthisglobalwarminglevelhasbeenreached.
14Thecategoriesofscenariosreferredtointhisparagraphare“C1”and“C3a”respectivelyintableSPM.2ofthecontributionofWorkingGroupIIItotheAR6.
15IPCC.2023.ClimateChange2023:SynthesisReport.ContributionofWorkingGroupsI,IIandIIItotheSixthAssessmentReportoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange.CoreWritingTeam,HLee,andJRomero(eds.).Geneva:IPCC.Availableat
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/.
16ThedifferencesarecalculatedbetweenemissionlevelsaccordingtotheNDCsandunderIPCCscenariocategories“C1a”and“C3a”respectively.
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
7
comparison,totalglobalCO2emissionsbetween1850and2020areestimatedbytheIPCC17tohaveamountedto2,390(2,150–2,630)GtCO2.
17.Atotalof50percentofPartiesprovidedinformationonlong-termmitigationvisions,strategiesandtargetsforupuntilandbeyond2050.TheirtotalGHGemissionlevelisestimatedtobe39.2(37.2–41.1)GtCO2eqin2030,whichis4percenthigherthanin2010(witharangefrom1percentlowerto9percenthigher)and6(1–10)percentlowerthanin2019.18
18.Mindfuloftheinherentuncertaintyofsuchlong-termestimates,andtheneedforfullimplementationofNDCsandLT-LEDS,theinformationindicatesthattheseParties’totalGHGemissionlevelcouldbe63(59–67)percentlowerin2050thanin2019andtheirannualpercapitaemissionswouldbe2.4(2.1–2.6)tCO2eqby2050.Underscenariosoflimitingwarmingtolikelybelow2°C(withover67percentlikelihood),annualpercapitaemissionsare2.4(1.6–3.1)tCO2eq;hencetheestimatedlong-termpercapitaemissionsofthesePartiesareatalevelconsistentwith2°Cscenarios.However,forscenariosoflimitingwarmingto1.5°C(with50percentlikelihoodby2100)andachievingnetzeroCO2emissionsaround
2050andnetzeroGHGemissionsthiscentury,annualpercapitaemissionsby2050arerequiredtobetwotothreetimeslower,at1.3(0.6–2.1)tCO2eq.19
19.Atotalof97percentofPartiesexplainedtheirapproachtoNDCpreparationandimplementation,and59percentofPartieslinkedtheirNDCstotheircommitmenttotransitioningtoasustainableand/orlow-carbonandresilienteconomy,takingintoaccountsocial,environmentalandeconomicfactorsaswellastheSDGs.Inaddition,48percentofPartiesindicatedthattheyhaveintegratedtheirNDCtargets,goalsandpoliciesintonationallegislative,regulatoryandplanningprocessesasameansofensuringimplementation.
20.Furthermore,66percentofPartieshighlightedpolicycoherenceandsynergiesbetweentheirdomesticmitigationmeasures20anddevelopmentpriorities,whichincludetheSDGsand,forsomethatsubmittedneworupdatedNDCs,LT-LEDSandgreenrecoveryfromthecoronavirusdisease2019pandemic.
21.Ofthe79percentofPartiesthatreferredtoformalarrangementsinplacefordomesticstakeholderconsultation,93percentindicatedthattheyconductedconsultationsandengagementinaninclusiveandparticipatorymannerand81percentofthosespecificallyreferencedgender-sensitiveconsultations.
22.Partiesareincreasingly21recognizinggenderintegrationasameanstoenhancetheambitionandeffectivenessoftheirclimateaction:82percentofPartiesprovidedinformationrelatedtogenderintheirNDCsand48percentaffirmedthattheywilltakegenderintoaccountinimplementingthem.22OfthePartiesthatreferencedgender,32percenthadnotincludedreferencetogenderintheirpreviousNDCsand28percentconsideredgendertoasimilarextenttopreviously.OfthePartiesthatreferencedgenderintheirpreviousNDCs,28percentelaboratedmoreonthetopicintheirupdatedNDCs.
23.In60percentofthelatestavailableNDCs,PartiesrecognizedtherightsandimportantroleofIndigenousPeoples,aswellastheroleoflocalcommunities,inrelationtoclimate
17IPCC.2021.SummaryforPolicymakers.In:VMasson-Delmotte,PZhai,APirani,etal.(eds.).ClimateChange2021:ThePhysicalScienceBasis.ContributionofWorkingGroupItotheSixthAssessmentReportoftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange.Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress.Availableat
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/.
18FormoredetailsonprojectedcollectiveGHGemissionlevelsbasedonlong-termmitigationvisions,strategiesandtargetsinNDCsandLT-LEDS,seedocument
FCCC/PA/CMA/2023/10.
19PercapitaemissionlevelswerecalculatedonthebasisoftheAR6WorkingGroupIIIscenariodatabase(availableat
https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ar6/)
forthecategories“C3a”and“C1a”
respectively.
20Inthisreport,(domestic)mitigationmeasuresrefertospecificdomesticpoliciesandactionsthatcontributetoachievingmitigationobjectivesidentifiedinNDCs,includingadaptationactionsandeconomicdiversificationplanswithmitigationco-benefits.
21TheshareofPartiesthatrefertogenderandconsideritacross-cuttingissueintheneworupdatedNDCsissignificantlyincreasedsincetheirpreviousNDCs.
22FormoreinformationongenderundertheUNFCCC,see
/topics/gender/workstreams/chronology-of-gender-in-the-intergovernmental-process.
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
8
adaptationefforts.TheyacknowledgedthevulnerabilitiesfacedbyIndigenousPeoplesandlocalcommunities,emphasizedtheimportanceofstrengtheningclimateeffortsthroughincorporationoftraditionalknowledge,Indigenousknowledgeandlocalknowledgesystems,andhighlightedtheneedtoenhancethesegroups’participationinandcontributionstoclimateaction.
24.Inaddition,98percentofPartiesprovidedinformationonusingoneormoreACEelements23topromoteimplementationofmitigationandadaptationactivities,andintheirneworupdatedNDCsPartiesgenerallycommunicatedmoreclearlyandinmoredetailongeneralprinciples,pastachievements,futurecommitments,andneedsandgapsinrelationtoACE.
25.Furthermore,81percentofPartiesincludedanadaptationcomponentintheirNDCsand13percentoftheadaptationcomponentsweredesignatedasadaptationcommunications.Partiesprovidedinformationinparticularonadaptation-relatedresearch;risksandvulnerabilities;adaptationstrategies,policiesandplans;sectoraladaptationmeasures;contingencymeasures;synergieswithmitigationandotherglobalframeworks;andmonitoringandevaluationofadaptation.
26.IncomparisonwithParties’previousNDCs,moreoftheNDCscontainadaptationinformation.TheadaptationcomponentsoftheNDCs,whereincluded,indicateanincreasedfocusonnationaladaptationplanning,inparticularontheprocesstoformulateandimplementNAPs.TheneworupdatedNDCsinclude,incomparisonwiththesameParties’previousNDCs,moreinformationontime-boundquantitativeadaptationtargetsandtheassociatedindicatorframeworks,morespecificinformationonthecontributionofadaptationeffortstowardsachievingtheSDGs,andmorespecificinformationonsynergiesandco-benefitsbetweenadaptationandmitigation.
27.Intermsofadaptationpriorities,theNDCsillustratethatPartiescontinuetofocusonfoodproductionandnutritionsecurity,waterresources,terrestrialandwetlandecosystems,keyeconomicsectorsandservices,andhumanhealth;followedbydisasterriskmanagement,coastalandlow-lyingareas,urbanareasandhumanhabitats,livelihoodsandpoverty,andoceanecosystems(seefigure10).
28.Atotalof99percentofPartiesoutlineddomesticmitigationmeasuresaskeyinstrumentsforachievingmitigationtargetsfortheirNDCsand/orforpriorityareas,suchasenergysupply,transport,buildings,industry,AFOLUandwaste.Partiescommunicatedmitigationmeasuresmostfrequentlyinthepriorityareaofenergysupply(95percentofParties),followedbyAFOLU(89percent)andtransport(87percent).
29.PartiesidentifiedmitigationoptionscostinglessthanUSD20/tCO2eq,whichareprojectedinthecontributionofWorkingGroupIIItotheAR6toaccountformorethanhalfofthetotalemissionreductionpotentialthatisrequiredforbeingon1.5°Cpathwayswithnoorlimitedovershootby2030.Suchmitigationoptionswiththehighestestimatednetemissionreductionpotential(inparentheses)include:
(a)Solarenergy(3.3GtCO2eq/year),with51percentofPartiescommunicatingcorrespondingmeasures;
(b)Windenergy(3.08GtCO2eq/year),with36percentofPartiesindicating
correspondingmeasures;
(c)Reducingconversionofforestsandotherecosystems(2.28GtCO2eq/year),with47percentofPartiesreportingcorrespondingmeasures;
(d)Improvingenergyefficiencyinindustry(1.14GtCO2eq/year),with30percentofPartiesidentifyingcorrespondingmeasures;
23ACEdenotesworkunderArticle12oftheParisAgreement;itsobjectiveistoempowerallmembersofsocietytoengageinclimateactionthrougheducation,training,publicawareness,public
participation,publicaccesstoinformation,andinternationalcooperationontheseissues(thesixACEelements).
FCCC/PA/CMA/2024/10
9
(e)Reducingfluorinatedgasemissions(0.94GtCO2eq/year),with26percentofPartiesincludingcorrespondingmeasures.
30.Forthesefeasible,effectiveandlow-costmitigationoptions,24PartiescommunicatedmeasuresforachievingconditionalmitigationtargetsintheirNDCsmostfrequentlyinrelationtosolarenergy(42percentofParties),followedbythoserelatingtoreducingconversionofforestsandotherecosystems(31percent),windenergy(30percent)andimprovingenergyefficiencyinindustry(22percent).Thelargestconditionalitygap25intermsofthedifferencebetweenthesharesofPartiesreferringtomitigationoptionsforachievingconditionalandunconditionalmitigationtargetswasfoundinrelationtosolarenergy(at17percentagepoints),followedbywindenergy(13percentagepoints)
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