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S&PGlobal
GlobalCreditOutlook2025
PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
Thisreportdoesnotconstitutearatingaction.
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
2
/ratings/outlook2025
Foreword
Dearreader,
Asweturnourgazetoward2025,weseeayearofpromiseandperil.Thedescentinpolicy
Acknowledgements
interestratesandsoftlandingsinmanymajoreconomiesmaydeliveronthepromiseofmore
favorablecreditconditions.Ontheotherhand,intensifyinggeopoliticalandtradetensionsincreasetheperilpresentinanalreadytumultuousenvironment.
Weappreciateourmany
colleagueswhohavecontributedtothisreportandprovidedyou
AstheRussia-Ukrainewarapproachestheendofitsthirdyear,therecentescalationintheconflictraisestheriskofabroaderimpactonmarketsandcredit.Likewise,thefightinginthe
withS&PGlobalRatings'essentialintelligence.
SpecialthankstoMollyMintz,
MiddleEaststillthreatenstodisrupttradeandinvestmentflowsandcouldincreasemarket
JoeMaguire,FatimaTomas,
volatility.AndPresident-electDonaldTrump’sreturntotheWhiteHousewillhaveramifications
TomLowenstein,NaziaHussain,
notjustfortheU.S.butacrosstheglobeintermsoftariffsandgeopolitics.
LynetteChoong,PaulWhitfield,RaeNudson,KathrinSchindler,
Atthesametime,theeasingofmonetarypolicywillcomeatanuncertainandunsynchronized
paceindifferentregions,withthedescentalmostsuretobeslowerthantherise.Ifcentralbanksareforcedtocurtailtheirinterest-ratecuts,thecostsofdebtserviceandrefinancingcould
KelliannDelegro,TimHellyer,andMichelleJames.
remainburdensomeforalldebtissuersandexistentialforthoseattheverylowendoftheratings
scale.
Inthiscontextofheighteneduncertainty,S&PGlobalRatings’GlobalCreditOutlook2025
presentsourcreditandmacroeconomicexpectationsfortheyearahead,includingourbase-caseforecasts,assumptions,andkeyrisks.Wealsoaddressthequestionsthatwillshapetheyear,withinsightsdrawnfromourongoingdialogueswithmarketparticipants.Wedelveintocriticaltopicssuchassovereigndebt,globaltrade,privatemarkets,andthegrowthofAIanddatacenters.
ThispublicationbuildsonthecollectiveinsightsfromourregionalandglobalCreditConditionsCommittees(CCCs),whichmeetquarterlytoreviewconditionsinAsia-Pacific,EmergingMarkets,Europe,andNorthAmerica,cascadingintoourglobalcoverage.AttheCCCs,weevaluatethe
trendsaffectingeconomies,industries,andcreditmarkets—toidentifyourbase-case
assumptionsandranktheexogenousrisksthatunderpinourcreditratingsandinformpotentialratingchangesacrossvariousassetclasses.
Atatimewhenkeythemesandrisksappeartobeincreasinglyinterconnected,weinviteyoutoexplorethedepthandbreadthofexpertiseofferedbyS&PGlobalRatings’analystsandexpertsaswescanthehorizonofwhatpromisestobeanothertumultuousyearforglobalmarkets.
AlexandreBirry
GlobalHeadofCreditResearchandInsights
Co-Chair,
GlobalCCC
Paris
alexandre.birry
@
GreggLemos-Stein
ChiefAnalyticalOfficer,CorporateRatings
Co-Chair,
GlobalCCC
NewYork
gregg.lemos-stein
@
AlexandraDimitrijevic
GlobalHeadofAnalytical
ResearchandDevelopment
Co-Chair,S&PGlobalResearchCouncil
London
alexandra.dimitrijevic
@
Dec.4,2024
3
/ratings/outlook2025
Contents
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril4
TopGlobalRisks12
GlobalEconomicOutlook14
QuestionsThatMatter18
CreditHeadwinds
MonetaryEasing|WhatIfTheInterestRateDescentDisappoints?19
SovereignDebt|IsTheAusterityVersusGrowthDilemmaBack?22
CapitalFlows
PrivateMarkets|HowWillPrivateCreditRespondToDecliningYields?25
Corporates|CanMonetaryEasingBringEnoughReliefToJustifyCurrentMarketOptimism?28
GeopoliticalUncertainty
Geopolitics|HowWillMarketsNavigateOngoingGeopoliticalRisks?31
GlobalTrade|HowMightUncertainTradePoliciesAffectMacro-CreditConditionsIn2025?34
EnergyandClimateResilience
Commodities|CouldOilPricesShockTheGlobalEconomy?37
EnergyTransition|HowWillTheU.S.AndEuropeRespondToChina’sClean-TechLeadership?40
Cyber,Crypto,AndTechDisruption
DataCenters|CanInfrastructureDevelopmentsKeepUpWithTheIncreasingDemand?43
AI&DeFi|CanCryptoInnovationsOffsetArtificialIntelligenceConcentrationRisks?46
RegionalCreditConditions49
NorthAmerica50
Europe52
Asia-Pacific54
EmergingMarkets56
Contacts58
Disclaimer59
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
4
/ratings/outlook2025
GlobalCreditOutlook2025
PromiseAndPeril
Thisreportdoesnotconstitutearatingaction.
Aseconomicsoftlandingsmaterializeinmanymajoreconomiesandpolicyinterestratesbegintheirdescent,globalcreditconditionslooksettoremainsupportivein2025—withthecaveatsthattherewillberegion-andcountry-specificdivergence,andabackdropofgeopolitical
uncertaintythatthreatenstoreigniterisk-aversionamonginvestorsandaffectcapitalflows.
Witheasinginflation,resilientlabormarkets,andsturdyconsumerspendingbolsteringeconomicactivityinmostdevelopedmarkets,weexpectsteadygrowthnextyear.Weforecastglobal
economicexpansionof3%in2025asgrowthslowsintheU.S.andChina(theworld’stwo
biggesteconomies),theeurozonecontinuestorecover,andemergingmarketsfindtheirfooting.
Atthesametime,centralbankshavestartedloweringtheirkeyinterestrates,andweexpect
moremonetary-policyeasingtocome,albeitatavariablepaceamongjurisdictions.More
importantly,thedescentwillbeslowerthantherise,withratescertaintosettleathigherlevelsthanwesawduringthelongstretchofcheapmoneyaftertheglobalfinancialcrisis.
slowerGDpgrowthin2025
Global
3.0%
U.S·2.0%
china4.1%
Eurozone1.2%
Federalfulndsrateforecast
2025average
3.9%
ECBrefirate(end-2025)2.65%
'B-'andbelow
corporatedebtoultstanding
Global
$1.3trillion
ROW
$89.8bil.
U.S·
$875.0bil.
Europe
$308.8bil.
Tradevullnerability
Importsandexportsasa%ofGDP
Netoultlookbias
AsofNov.15,2024
'Ccc'andbelow
-66.8%
china38.4%
ROW62.5%
U.S.27.0%
IG
-9.6%
'B-'andSGbelow
-17.6%-31.6%
U.S.Europe
8
8
7
76.00%
5.25%o
3.25%
48%
auue"
6/50%…
5432
4ir
2.3%
2.25%
Jan.oct.sept.Jan.oct.sept.
201920242025201920242025
Contacts
AlexandreBirry
Paris
alexandre.birry
@
GreggLemos-Stein
NewYork
gregg.lemos-stein
@
AlexandraDimitrijevic
London
alexandra.dimitrijevic
@
NickKraemer
NewYork
nick.kraemer
@
Contributors
JoeMaguire
NewYork
joe.maguire
@
MollyMintz
NewYork
molly.mintz
@
See:
"U.S.Speculative-GradeCorporateDefaultRateToFallFurtherTo3.25%BySeptember2025,
"publishedNov.15,2024,and
"EuropeanSpeculative-GradeDefaultRateShouldFallTo4.25%BySeptember2025,
"publishedNov.18,2024.
Sources:WorldBank,S&PGlobalRatings.
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
/ratings/outlook2025Dec.4,20245
Wealsoforecastadeclineindefaultsbut,again,ataslowerpacethantherise.Thelowest-
ratedborrowerscontinuetofacethestrainsofstill-elevatedborrowingcosts,thelingering
effectsofpermanentlyhigherpricesonconsumerpurchasingpower,andheightenedgeopoliticaluncertainty—mostnotably,increasingprotectionismthatwillweighonglobaltrade.S&PGlobal
RatingsexpectstheU.S.trailing-12-monthspeculative-gradecorporatedefaultratetofallto
3.25%bySeptember2025,from4.4%inSeptember2024andapeakof4.9%inApril.InEurope,weexpectaslowerpaceofimprovement,withadefaultrateof4.25%bySeptember2025,downfrom4.7%inSeptemberandapeakof4.8%inJuly.
Thedowngradepotentialforspeculative-gradeissuerscontinuestoslowlydecline,aswell.Thenegativebias(theproportionofissuerswithnegativeoutlooksoronCreditWatchwithnegativeimplications)hasfallenbelow18%forthefirsttimeinnearlytwoyears.Forinvestment-gradecompanies,thenegativebiasisbelow10%.
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
-35
-40
Globalnetoutlookbias:Financialandnonfinancialcorporates(%)
Oct2019
Oct2020
Oct2021
Oct2022
Oct2023
Oct2024
Netoutlookbias--ThedifferencebetweenratingswithapositiveoutlookoronCreditWatchwithpositiveimplications,andthosewithanegativeoutlookoronCreditWatchnegative.Source:S&PGlobalRatings.
Recoveryratesarelikelytobeunderpressurefromthemoreleveragedandtop-heavydebt
structuresthathavebecomecommoninthespeculative-gradeuniverse.Ourrecovery
expectations(whichestimatefuturerecoveryrates)onfirst-liendebthavedeclinedtothe60%-65%areainthepastsixyears,comparedtothelong-termaverageactualrecoveriesof75%-80%.Acombinationofincreasingtotalandfirst-liendebtleverage,shrinkingjuniordebtcushions,andthepredominanceofcovenant-liteloanstructureshaveweighedonactualrecoveries.From
2018-2022,recoveryratesonU.S.first-liendebtaveraged72%—whichwas10percentagepointslowerthanthepriorfive-yearperiod.
Asurgeinout-of-courtloanrestructurings,oftenreferredtoasliabilitymanagement
transactions(LMTs),inrecentyearsposesanotherthreattorecoveriesonsyndicatedfirst-liendebtintheU.S.Astheinvestorbaseforinstitutionalloanshasexpandedandbecomemore
diversified,syndicatedloandocumentshavebecomemorebond-likeandflexible.Asaresult,
mostnowprovidecompanieswithnumerousoptionstorestructuretheirbalancesheetsinwaysthatcandramaticallyreordertherelativeprioritiesofexistingfirst-lienlenders(andother
creditors).
Ofthe38loanLMTsby35companiesthatwe’vebeentrackingfrommid-2017throughAugust2024(withsomeundergoingmultipletransactions),13firmssubsequentlyfiledforbankruptcy(37%).Ofthe22thatavoidedbankruptcy,onlyfive(14%)stavedoffasubsequentdefaultorare
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
6
/ratings/outlook2025
ratedhigherthan‘CCC+.’Becauseissuercreditratingsof‘CCC+’orlowerindicateour
expectationthataneventualdefaultismorelikelythannot,thismeansthatanothernearly50%ofthedatasethaseithersubsequentlydefaulted(outsideofbankruptcy)orisviewedasatriskofdoingso.
Companieshavemadegoodprogressinpushingoutmaturities.Morethanthree-quartersof
speculative-gradebondandleveragedloanissuancein2024hasbeenforrefinancingorrepricing(inthecaseofloans).AsofOct.1,therewasjust$144billionofspeculative-gradenonfinancial
corporatedebtmaturingin2025,34%ofwhichwerate‘B-’andlower.Thishaseasednear-termliquiditypressureonmanylower-ratedborrowers,buyingthemtimeifmarketvolatilityarises
and/orinvestorsbecomemorerisk-averse.
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Speculative-gradenonfinancialcorporatematuritiesriseinupcomingyears(bil.$)
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2024
(Maturityyear)
U.S.accountsformostoftheupcoming'B-'andlowermaturities(bil.$)
U.S.
Europe
Restofworld
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
202420252026202720282029
(Maturityyear)
DataasofOct.01,2024.Includesnonfinancialcorporateissuers'bonds,loans,andrevolvingcreditfacilitiesthatarerated'BB+'orlowerbyS&PGlobalRatings.ForeigncurrenciesareconvertedtoU.S.dollarsattheexchangerateonOct.01,2024.Source:S&PGlobalRatingsCreditResearch&Insights.
Fromacorporate-earningsperspective,growthissteadilyimproving,althoughitcontinuesto
comeprimarilyfromimprovedprofitmarginsratherthanincreasedrevenues.Inthethirdquarter,annualizedEBITDAforcompaniesweraterose3.6%—and8.1%excludingcommodities-linked
sectors.Globalrevenuesincreased0.9%and2.2%,respectively.Moreover,interest-rate
pressurescontinuetoease.Cashinterestpaymentswereup12.3%onanannualbasis,comparedwith15%inthesecondquarterandapeakof25%ayearearlier.
Banks’stableoutlooktrendsshouldpersistin2025
AAAAA ABBB BBB
Lower
Stableoutlook
80%
0%
40%
20%
60%
Stable
WatchPos.
Negative
Positive
WatchNeg.
NorthAmerica LatinAmerica EuropeEmergingEMEAAsia-Pacific
0%
20%
60%
80%
40%
100%
DataasofOct.31,2024.
Source:S&PGlobalRatings.
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
7
/ratings/outlook2025
Meanwhile,about80%ofbankinggroupswerategloballyhavestableratingsoutlooks,andweseethistrendcontinuing.Weforecastglobalcreditlosseswillincreaseabout7%,to$850billion,in2025—withinourbasecaseatcurrentratinglevelsformostbanks.
Weseefourkeydownsideriskstobankratings:aglobaleconomicslowdownoutsideourbasecase;aworse-than-expectedpropertysectordeterioration;still-highinterestrates
superimposeduponhighgovernmentandcorporateleverage;andevolvingrisksincludingnewtechnologies,climatechange,andcyberthatcouldwidencreditdifferentiation.
Atthesametime,privatefundingispushingintonewpartsofthecreditmarketsafteryearsofrapidexpansion.Byprovidingmultipletypesofcredit,arranging,andoriginating,alternative
assetmanagersarefillingrolestraditionallyoperatedbybanks—andincaseswheremoredebtisoriginatedthancanbeplacedwithinthelendingplatform,somearebroadeningthedistributionsoftheiroriginationstooutsideinvestors.Andnewopportunitiesforprivatefundinginasset-
basedfinanceandprojectfinanceoffermuchlargerinvestmentopportunitiesandthepotentialforhigherratesofreturn.However,thiscomeswithrisks—especiallyconsideringthatprojectfinanceandasset-basedfinancearehighlyilliquidandcomplexinvestments,andthelackof
systemictransparencyinprivatemarketscompoundstheserisks.
Moregenerally,S&PGlobalRatings’CreditCycleIndicator(CCI)issignalingapotentialcreditrecoveryin2025.Thisforward-lookingmeasureofcreditconditionsisshowingpositive
momentum—aresultofthecontinuedriseinthecorporatesub-indicatordespitesomeoffsetbythehouseholdsub-indicator.Thecorporatesectorisseeingrecoveringearningsandsupportivefinancingconditionsasinterestratesbegintheirdescent.However,householdscontinueto
deleverageamidcautionovereconomicslowdownsandsqueezedpurchasingpower.
WeseeanincreasingdivergenceamongourregionalCCIs,spellingdifferentpacestowardacreditrecovery.Theeurozoneandemergingmarkets(ex-China)CCIscontinuetorisefromatrough,whileanearlierreboundintheNorthAmericaandsomeAsiaCCIsisstalling.InChina’scase,thecountry’sCCIcontinuestofall,pointingtoacontinuingcreditcorrection.
Globalcreditcycleindicator
4
3
(Standarddeviations)
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
CCI
Householdsub-indicator
Corporatesub-indicator
PeaksintheCCItendtoleadcreditstressesbysixto10quarters.WhentheCCI’supwardtrendisprolongedortheCCInearsupperthresholds,theassociatecreditstresstendstobegreater.SovereignriskisnotincludedasaformalpartoftheCCI.TheCCIperiodendsinthefirstquarterof2024.Sources:BankforInternationalSettlements,Bloomberg,S&PGlobalRatings.
Alltold,anyimprovementinglobalcreditconditionswillbealonganarrowpathstrewnwithoverlappingrisks.Slowingeconomicactivity,theprospectofresurgentinflation,andpoliticalpolarizationcouldleadtosustainedboutsofmarketvolatility.
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
8
/ratings/outlook2025
GeopoliticsTakeCenterStage
Deepeninggeopoliticalriftsposethebiggestrisktoanimprovingcreditlandscape.The
Russia-Ukrainewarisapproachingtheendofitsthirdyear,andtheconflictintheMiddleEast,alongwithdomesticpolarizationincertainmarkets,coulddisrupttradeandinvestmentflows,roilfinancialmarkets,andforcegovernmentstoincreasedefensespendingamidalready-
stretchedbudgets.
DonaldTrump’sreturntotheWhiteHousewillhavewide-rangingramifications—withahighlevelofuncertaintyattachedtohissecondterm.
Onthetradefront,thepresident-electhassuggesteduniversaltariffsonallgoodsimportedtotheU.S.aswellassharplyhigherleviesonallChinesegoods.Hemorerecentlyvowedtoenact25%across-the-boardtariffsonneighboringCanadaandMexicounlessthosecountriesstemimmigrationtotheU.S.andflowsofdrugs,suchasfentanyl,acrosstheborder.S&PGlobal
Ratingsbelievesthatundersuchscenarios,theeffectswouldbeinflationaryintheshortterm—withcompaniesfacinghigherinputcostsandconsumerspayingmoreforfinishedgoods;adragonU.S.GDPinthemediumterm,whileunderpinningstill-highbenchmarkinterestrates;andanaccelerationinthediversificationofsupplychains,inparticularawayfromChina.
Thepresident-electhasalsovowedtowithdrawmilitaryfundingforUkraine,whichwilladdtothepressuresEuropeangovernmentsfaceinsupportingthecountry.Andhowheapproachesthe
Israel-Hamaswar,nowinitssecondyear,remainstobeseen.Anyadditionalescalationofthefightingcouldfurtherdisruptsupplychainsandresultinanenergy-priceshockthatunderpinsinflation.
Afteralongstretchoflarge,expansionaryfiscalstimulusaroundtheworld—andtheassociatedriseingovernments'debtleverage—policymakerswillatsomepointhavetounwindatleast
someofthissupport.Thisisespeciallytrueifthedescentininterestratesisslow,andthecostofservicingdebtremainselevatedforlongerthanexpected.Scalingbackcouldprovedifficultinanenvironmentofincreasedgeopoliticaltension—particularlyinEuropeandtheMiddleEast,wheregovernmentsmayneedtorampupdefensespending.Eitherway,reducedstimuluswilllikely
weighondemandanddenteconomicactivity.
ForTheU.S.,UncertaintyPrevails
PoliciesthatresultinhigherinputpriceswillpressureprofitsforU.S.corporates.IndustrieswithhighlyengineeredproductsdependentonChinaforspecializedmanufacturingwilllikelysuffermostbecausethesefacilitiesarethemostexpensivetorelocateandhardesttostaff.This
includessuchproductsassemiconductorsandelectricalcomponentssuppliedtotechnologycompaniesandappliestoutilitiesandpowersectorsfocusedonrenewableenergy.
While,onbalance,theeffectoftariffswouldbenegative,somesectorsintheU.S.couldbenefitfromamoreprotectioniststance.Metalsandminingcompaniestendtobehigheronthecostcurve,andtariffscouldgosomewaytolevelingtheplayingfieldincompetingagainstimports.Chemicalsmanufacturerscouldsimilarlybenefit,althoughtheymaybefacingcustomerswithheightenedpricesensitivitygivenrecentquartersofsofteningdemand.
Variousprovisionsofthe2017TaxCutsandJobsAct(TCJA)aresettophaseoutin2025.Atleastsomelegislativeactionislikely,withinterestdeductibility,bonusdepreciation,anddeductions
forresearchanddevelopmentallupfordebateandpotentiallymadepermanent.
TheTCJAloweredthecorporatetaxrateto21%,from35%,andRepublicanleadershave
suggestedfurtherloweringtherateto15%forU.S.companiesthatmaketheirproductsinthe
U.S.Naturally,alowercorporatetaxrate,whereapplicable,wouldbenefitfunds-from-operationsmetricsandboostcashavailabletoservicedebt.
President-elect
Trumphassuggesteduniversaltariffson
allgoodsimportedtotheU.S.
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
9
/ratings/outlook2025
KeycreditissuestowatchunderTrump2.0
NonfinancialCorporates:Futurepoliciesontariffsandtaxeswilllikelymattermostforcredit.
FinancialInstitutions:Materialchangestoprudentialbankregulationareunlikely,butthesupervisoryapproachcouldvary.
PublicFinance:Therecouldbepressureaheadforthetax-exemptstatusofmunicipalbonds—thesector’skeyfoundation.
Insurance:Weexpectthebiggestpotentialeffectswillbeinhealthinsurance—althoughanychangeswilllikelybeatthemargins.
StructuredFinance:Theelections’impactislikelyconfinedtocertainproductsrelatedtocommercialcredit(e.g.,CLOsandtransportationassets),andconsumercreditABS.
S
Fromamacroeconomicperspective,forecastingisachallengeamidsignificantuncertainty
aboutthetiming,magnitude,andeffectofproposedtariffs,immigrationreforms,taxcuts,andregulatoryshifts.Thatsaid,webelievethenewadministration’sproposedeconomicplans,taken
atfacevalue,wouldaddtoinflationanddentGDPgrowthrelativetoourbaseline—withbenchmarkinterestrateslikelyhigherthaninourcurrentforecast.
Ataminimum,weexpectbilateraltradeflowsbetweentheU.S.andChinatobefurtherstrained.Ontopofthat,Europehasaddedtrade-protectionmeasurestocounterstatesubsidiesto
strategicindustriesinChina.IfadiversificationofglobalsupplychainsawayfromChinaisthe
result,thiswouldhaveaglobalimpact,withas-yet-unknownwinnersandlosers,thepotentialforincreasedcomplexitiesinsupplychains,andcouldreigniteinflationarypressureincertain
markets.
Allofthiscouldthrowcentralbanks’monetary-policyplansintodisarrayanddisruptcapital
flows.Inparticular,anycurtailingoftheU.S.FederalReserve’srate-cuttingcyclewilllimitcentralbanksinemergingmarkets(EMs)toalsopursuemonetarypolicy.Additionally,ifthesecond
TrumpAdministration’spoliciesworktosignificantlystrengthenthedollar,thiswilltranslateintodomesticinflationforEMs,giventheeffectonweakercurrencies,andwillmakedebt-service
moreexpensive,inviewofthepreponderanceofdollar-denominateddebt.
EmergingMarketsPrepareForAStarringRole
ThematuritywallforEMspeaksin2025,with$80.5billioninrateddebtcomingdue—althoughthebulkofit($65billion)isinvestment-gradeandconcentratedinChinaandMexico.Through2026,81%ofratedmaturitiesinEMsaredenominatedinU.S.dollars.
DespitethehurdlesEMsface,S&PGlobalRatingsbelievesthesemarketswillhavemoreofa
handinshapingtheglobaleconomyinthedecadetocomeassupportivedemographicsand
technologicaldevelopmentsboostproductivityand,consequently,economicactivity.Infact,weestimateEMscouldcontributeabout65%ofglobalGDPgrowthby2035andaveragean
economicexpansionof4.1%overthatperiod(comparedwithjust1.6%foradvancedeconomies).
ThematuritywallforEMspeaksin2025,
with$80.5billioninrateddebtcomingdue.
GlobalCreditOutlook2025:PromiseAndPeril
Dec.4,2024
10
/ratings/outlook2025
Furthermore,theglobalenergytransitionandpotentialsupply-chainreconfigurationscould
presentopportunitiesfortheseeconomiestoleveragetheirabundantnaturalresources,ample
laborforces,andimprovingmanufacturingcapabilities.
Still,EMsfaceafast-shiftinggeopoliticalenvironm
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