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MuddyWatersCapitalLLC
info@DirectorofResearch:CarsonC.Block
TheseTermsofUsegoverncurrentreportspublishedbyMuddyWatersResearchandsupersedeanypriorTermsofUseforolderreportsofMuddyWatersResearch,whichyoumaydownloadfromtheMuddyWatersResearch’swebsite.
Youshouldassumethat,asofthepublicationdateofaMuddyWatersreport,MuddyWatersRelatedPersonshaveapositiondirectionallyconsistentwiththeviews
expressedherein(i.e.,longorshort)inoneormoreofthesecuritiesofaCoveredIssueroraderivativethereto,andthereforewilllikelyrealizesignificantgainsintheeventthatthepricesofeitherequityordebtsecuritiesofaCoveredIssuerdeclineorappreciate.MuddyWatersResearch,MuddyWatersCapitaland/ortheMuddyWatersRelatedPersonsintendtocontinuetransactinginthesecuritiesofCoveredIssuersforanindefiniteperiodafteraninitialreportonaCoveredPerson,andsuchpersonmaybelong,short,orneutralatanytimehereafterregardlessoftheirinitialpositionandviewsasstatedasofthedateofthispresentation.NoMuddyWatersRelatedPersonhasanydutytoupdatethispresentationand/orupdateyouonanyposition,ifany,wemayhaveintheCoveredIssuer’ssecurities.
MuddyWatersCapitaldoesnotrenderinvestmentadvicetoanyoneunlessithasaninvestmentadviser-clientrelationshipwiththatpersonevidencedinwriting.You
understandandagreethatMuddyWatersCapitaldoesnothaveanyinvestmentadvisoryrelationshipwithyouordoesnotowefiduciarydutiestoyou.Givinginvestmentadvicerequiresknowledgeofyourfinancialsituation,investmentobjectives,andrisktolerance,andMuddyWatersCapitalhasnosuchknowledgeaboutyou.
ThispresentationhasbeenpublishedbyMuddyWaters,LLC(“MuddyWatersResearch”or”we”or“us”).WeareundercommoncontrolandaffiliatedwithMuddyWatersCapitalLLC(“MuddyWatersCapital”).WerefertoMuddyWatersResearchandMuddyWatersCapitalcollectivelyas“MuddyWaters”.Allinformationandopinionssetforthhereinareforinformationalpurposesonly.Undernocircumstancesshouldanyinformationoropinionshereinbeconstruedasinvestmentadvice,asanoffertosell,orthesolicitationofanoffertobuyanysecuritiesorotherfinancialinstruments.
MuddyWatersResearchisanonlineresearchpublicationthatproducesduediligence-basedreportsonpubliclytradedsecurities,andMuddyWatersCapitalLLCisan
investmentadviserregisteredwiththeU.S.SecuritiesandExchangeCommission.ThispresentationisthepropertyofMuddyWatersResearch.Theopinions,information,andreportssetforthhereinaresolelyattributabletoMuddyWatersResearch.
Byviewingandaccessingthispresentation,youhaveenteredintoacontractforgoodandvalidconsiderationwithMuddyWatersResearchtoviewthispresentation.In
exchange,youagreetothetermssetforthinthisdisclaimer.YoufurtheragreethatMuddyWatersResearchmayassignitsrightsderivedunderthiscontracttoMuddy
WatersCapital,anditsaffiliatesandrelatedparties,including,butnotlimitedtoanyprincipals,officers,directors,employees,members,clients,investors,consultantsandagents(collectively,withMuddyWatersResearch,the“MuddyWatersRelatedPersons”).
YouagreethatbothMuddyWatersResearchandMuddyWatersCapitalarefinancialjournalists,whoareaffordedtheprotectionsundertheapplicableanti-SLAPPlaw,theapplicablereporters’privilegelaw,andgeneralprotectionsandlawsaffordedtojournalistsbytheFirstAmendmentoftheConstitutionoftheUnitedStates.IfyouareeverinlitigationwithaMuddyWatersRelatedPerson,youagreenottochallengeourassertionsrelatedtoanyoftheselaws,andifyoudochallengesuchassertions,youagreethatyouwillprovideanon-refundablebondtocoverourlegalexpensesandindemnifyusforallexpensesandcosts(includinglosses)aswellascompensateusforourlostopportunitycost.Ifyouchallengethisprovisionortheformationofacontract,suchchallengemustberesolvedpriortoyouproceedingwithanyotherclaimagainstany
MuddyWatersRelated
Person.
You(oranypersonactingasyouragent)agreetoholdharmlesseachMuddyWatersRelatedPersonforanydirectorindirectlosses(includingtradinglosses)attributabletoanyinformationoropinioninthispresentation.Youfurtheragreetodoyourownresearchandduediligencebeforemakinganyinvestmentdecisionwithrespectto
securitiesoftheissuerscoveredherein(each,a“CoveredIssuer”)oranyotherfinancialinstrumentsthatreferencetheCoveredIssuer.Yourepresentthatyouhavesufficientinvestmentsophisticationtocriticallyassesstheinformation,analysis,andopinionsinthispresentation.Youfurtheragreethatyouwillnotcommunicatethecontentsofthispresentationtoanyotherpersonunlessthatpersonhasagreedtobeboundbytheseterms.
ThispresentationrepresentstheviewsofMuddyWatersResearchonlyandisbasedongenerallypubliclyavailableinformation.Tothebestofourknowledge,all
informationcontainedhereinisaccurateandreliableandhasbeenobtainedfrompubliclyavailablesourcesthatwebelievetobeaccurateandreliable.Theinformationpresentedhereinis“asis,”withoutwarrantyofanykind,whetherexpressorimplied.Thispresentationcontainsaverylargemeasureofanalysisandopinion.All
expressionsofopinionaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice,andMuddyWatersResearchisnotunderanydutytoupdateorsupplementthispresentationoranyinformationoropinionherein.
Byviewingthispresentation,youagreethatnoMuddyWatersRelatedPersonshallbeliableforanyclaims,losses,costs,ordamagesofanykind,includingdirect,indirect,punitive,exemplary,incidental,specialorconsequentialdamages,arisingoutoforinanywayconnectedwiththispresentation.ThislimitationofliabilityappliesregardlessofanynegligenceorgrossnegligenceofanyMuddyWatersRelatedPersons.Youacceptallrisksinrelyingontheinformationandopinionsinthispresentation.
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courtslocatedinAustin,Texasandwaiveyourrighttoanyotherjurisdictionorapplicablelaw,giventhatMuddyWatersResearchanditsaffiliatesarebasedinAustin,
Texas.ThefailureofMuddyWatersResearchtoexerciseorenforceanyrightorprovisionhereinshallnotconstituteawaiverofsuchrightorprovision.IfanyprovisionoftheseTermsofUseisfoundbyacourtofcompetentjurisdictiontobeinvalid,thepartiesneverthelessagreethatthecourtshouldendeavortogiveeffecttotheparties’
intentionsasreflectedintheotherprovisionssetforthherein,inparticularastothisgoverninglawandjurisdictionprovision.Youagreethatregardlessofanystatuteorlawtothecontrary,anyclaimorcauseofactionarisingoutoforrelatedtothispresentationmustbefiledwithinone(1)yearaftertheoccurrenceoftheallegedharmthatgaverisetosuchclaimorcauseofaction,orsuchclaimorcauseofactionbeforeverbarred.
1
MuddyWatersQuestionsforCPIPG’sApril8,2024AnnualResultsConferenceCall
DearMr.Greenbaum:
Wenoteyoumostvaluethequalities“transparency,opennessandsolidbusinesslogic.”1InthislightwesubmitthefollowingquestionswithregardstoCPIPG’s2023annualresults.
1.In2H2023,CPIPG’slendingtoRadovanVitek’scompanySenalesInvestincreasedtoapproximately€416millionfromjust€169.6millionatYE2022.2Twodaysbeforetheyearend,€273millionof
Vitek’sdebtwasoffsetinanon-cashtransactionbymeansofatransferof20luxuryvillasinDubai,17ofwhichwere“variousstatesofdevelopment.”The€273millionappearstobeincludeprincipalandinterest.CPIfinancedthislendingtoVitekthroughborrowingsofitsown-
a.WhencashflowistightandliquidityforpayingdownCPIPG’sexpensivebridgeloanisinyourownwordsa“priorityaboveallelse”,3whydidmanagementincreaselendingtoVitek?
b.Whycancel€273millionofthedebtreceivableinexchangeforluxuryproperties“invariousstagesofdevelopment”wheni)neitherthistypeofpropertynorthismarketarecoreto
CPIPGandii)valuationsofincompletepropertiesseeminglyareevenmoreeasily
manipulatedthanforcompleteproperties–particularlygivenVitekandCPIPG’shistoryofhighlyquestionablevaluations?
c.DidCPIPGallowVitektoPIKhisinterestobligation?CPIPGpurportedlychargedVitek5%interest;however,CPIPG’scashflowstatementshowsonly€3.0millionofinterestreceived,asmallfractionofthe€39millionininterestincomereportedtheincomestatement.4,5
1CPIPG2023managementreport,p.4
2CPIPG2023managementreport,p.118,149
3CPIPG2023managementreport,p.4CEO’sletterand
/cpipg-obtains-e635m-
bridge-loan-to-bolster-liquidity-protect-ratings/,
“Thatseemedtousareasonableconcessiontomakefortheextra
yearandahalfofliquidity,”saysGreenbaum.“Ofcourse,thecostofdebtisasignificantfactorforus,andweare
consciousofourinterestcoverageratio.But,rightnow,prioritizingliquidityaboveallelsemeantwewerewillingtotakeonalonger-dated,moreexpensivebridge.”
42023MR,p.136
52023MR,p.64,73
2
Below:CPIPG2023CashFlowsshowonly€3mininterestreceived
2.CPIPGreportedpurchasingtheGalopotagroupofcompaniesonNov24,2023,whichareinvolvedinoperatingtheChuchleArenaracetrackinPrague,thebreedingofthoroughbreds,aswellasoperatingracingbets.Althoughmanagementnotesthatthiswasarelatedpartytransaction,CPIPGexcludes
thefactthattheGalopotagroup’s€24.5millioninfinancialdebtsareowedtoVitek.
a.YoustatethatthekeyfocusisonreducingleverageandmaintainingCPIPG’sinterestcoverageratio–whythendidCPIPGtakeovermoremoneylosingassetsfromVitek?
b.IftheintentistopayVitekforhis€24.5millionloantotheGalopotagroupcompanies,whyrecordthisasanother€1transaction?
3
TheGalopotagroupcompanies’financialsshowthatasofYE2022theyhadinaggregate-€5min
equityandongoingoperatinglossesof~-€4m.LikethePietronitransaction(whichwecoveredinourthirdreport),thistransactionwasonceagainnominallycompletedfor€1.Theimplicitrisksinthis
relatedpartytransactionsurpassjustpotentialassetandliabilityinflation,butincluderegulatoryrisksassociatedwithgamblingandseeminglymoneylaunderingaswell.6
Below:theGalopotagroupacquisitiondisclosure
HadVitekconvertedhisdebttoequity,thetransactionwouldlikelyhavebeenrecordedwith
considerationduetoVitekof€24.5million,basedonthedealstructuredisclosed.Itseemsthatreportingthisasanother€1transactionandomittingthatthepurportedlenderisindeedVitekisintendedtoobscurematerialfactsfromlendersandbondholders.The“solidbusinesslogic”
associatedwithtransactionappearstobefromVitek’sperspective,notCPIPG’s.
Below:Marcanoa.s.(Galopotagroup’skeyholdco)FY22financialsshowthedebtsowedtoVitekpersonally7
6
/australia-news/2023/oct/19/horse-racing-money-laundering-claims-australia
7
https://or.justice.cz/ias/ui/vypis-sl-firma?subjektId=339908
4
3.CPIPGsoldVTeamPrahas.r.o.toVitek’sChuchleArenaPrahas.r.o.onJanuary1,2023and
reacquireditviatheGalopotaacquisition.Accordingtoitswebsite,VTeamPrahaisashowjumpingteamforVitek’sdaughtersAnneMarieandKristinawithastableofapproximatelytenhorses.8Its
financialsshowthatitisamoneylosingoperationrunbyVitek’swifeMarieandfinancedwithmillionsofEuroinloansprovidedbyCPIFIM,whichoftenonlyaccruedPIKinterest.
a.DoesCPIPGseeabrightfutureintheequestrianindustry?Ifnot,howdoesfinancing
activitiesmanyassociatewithdouchebaggerycomportwiththegroup’srealestateinvestmentstrategies?
b.TheJanuary1,2023saletoVitekwasexcludedfromtherelatedpartytransactiondisclosuresinthemanagementreports.Whywasthisomitted?
Below:VTeamPrague’sprofilepageshowstheteamiscomposedofVitek’sdaughters
8
https://vteam.cz/profil
5
Below:VTeamPrague’s2020financialstatementsshow€5.8m(CZK147m)inborrowingsfromCPIFIM
Below:VTeamPrague’s2020financialstatementsshowCPIreceivingonlynon-cashPIKinterest
6
Translation9(emphasisadded):Intheframeworkofshort-termobligations-controlledorcontrolledperson,significantinfluenceAsofDecember31,2020,theCompanyreportsobligationsforthecompanyCPIFIMSAduetounpaidinterestontheloanintheamountof2,146,000.CZK(2019-CZK1,890thousand)andforthecompanyCPIFIMSAduetorealcashpoolinginCZKandEUR,totaling17,764thousandCZK(2019-bythousandCZK).Theprincipalamountfromcashpoolingis17,724thousandCZK,interestintheamountof40thousandCZK.Loansarepayablemonthly,alwaysinthefollowingmonth.Furthermore,thecompanyreportsaliabilitytoCPIServices,a.s.intheamountof18,000thousandCZK(2019–OCzk).
4.In2023,thenetequityvalueofGSGBerlinreportedbyCPIPGdroppedfrom€3.718billionatYE22tojust€311millionatYE23–meanwhilereportedprofitsdoubledfrom€163to€338million.
a.WhydidtheequityvalueofGSGBerlindeclinebyover90%YoY?
b.Howdoyoureconcilethechanges–includingboththedecreaseinequityandincreaseinprofits?
Below:In2023,CPIPGreportsGSGBerlinnetequitydroppedto€0.311b(-91.6%),butresultsfortheyeardoubledto€338m10
9TranslationbyGoogletranslate
10CPIPG2023managementreports,pdfpg.184
7
Below:In2022,CPIPGreportsGSGBerlin’s(fkaGewerbesiedlungs-GmbH)netequity:€3.718b,resultsfortheyear:€162m11
5.CPIPG’sNetLTVmeasuresdebtsagainstitsquick-to-increaseandslow-to-impairportfoliopropertyfairvalues(PPvalues),includingthosemadetoundevelopedlandorlandwithdevelopmentpermitsonly(i.e.Bubny,MQM,theyet-to-bestartedbuildingsatPolygonandanyamongthe17thenew
luxuryDubaivillasindevelopment,etc.).Basedonmanagement’sDecember2023response,FVgainsarebeingbookedevenjustonprogresswithplanningpermissionandthe“prospectfor
obtainingbuildingpermits.”12
a.Ismanagementpreparedtoonlypublishfairvaluesforpropertiesunderdevelopmentforpropertieswithactualconstructionstarts–andifso,justforthediscretebuildingsthat
started,notthewholeofthedevelopmentinwhichtheyreside?
CPIPG’sfairvaluepoliciesindicatethatonceaplotoflandoranoldbuildingisdesi
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