10大战略性技术(共16).ppt

1、Carl ClaunchTop 10 Strategic TechnologiesThese materials can be reproduced only with Gartners official approval. Such approvals may be requested via e-mail - .Notes accompany this presentation. Please select Notes Page view.The Top 10Instant MessagingRFID TagsNetwork Security PlatformLocation-Based

2、ServicesGrid ComputingSpeech RecognitionReal-Time EnterpriseIP TelephonyWeb ServicesTablet PCsMaturing in 18 to 36 MonthsWider Applicability Lowered RiskIssues ResolvedCopyright 2003Conclusion: Top 10 Technologies1. What are the trends and drivers shaping IT strategy during the next three years?2. W

3、hich technologies will reach high enough levels of maturity and adoption to impact the IT landscape through 2005?3. How will IT architectures evolve to support enterprise goals?Copyright 2003Key IssuesValues:Presence serviceReal-timeNo rewindLow overheadOther Issues:Lack of audit trailQoS limitation

4、sPoor integration capabilityLost record of decisionsText focused, limited mediaSecurity Concerns:Data protectionPrivacyTamper resistanceCopyright 2003Instant Messaging in the EnterpriseRFID TagCurrent ApplicationsToll pass systemsPet identificationAccess cardsRetail theft protectionElectronic parole

5、e trackingPhotos source Texas InstrumentsSuccessor to Bar CodesCan read even coveredCan read while movingCan scan at distanceSurvives water, heat, paintingPrice dropping to low levelsRemain in product for lifePotential ApplicationsLocate common objectsImproved asset controlReal-time retail-shelf inv

6、entoryMove to faster or self-checkoutImprove manufacturing and supply-chain efficiencyAfter-sale services offeringsCopyright 2003Honey Pots, Application Traces and ForensicsFirewallsIDSVAGateway AVSecurity PlatformIn the Cloud MSSIntrusionPreventionAppliancesAnti-spamContentScanningSub-100 MbGigabit

7、+200220042006?Policies and ParametersUnifiedl* ManagementCopyright 2003Network Security PlatformTechnologiesRFIDBluetoothCell phone towerGPS PossibilitiesEmergencyPromotionsNavigationCyber-overlaySmart context Copyright 2003Location-Based ServicesApplicationOwner COwner AOwner BCopyright 2003GRID Co

8、mputingToolkits and EnablersUnited Devices, Avaki, DataSynapse, etc.Globus, OGSA, Global Grid ForumWeb services and other standardsCorbaCustom approachesSignificant integration requiredCurrent ApplicationsLarge computationsLimited data interchangePartitionable algorithmEngineeringScientific research

9、Optimization and simulationUniversal or Niche?Highly dependent on problem and applicationSecurity, economic and QoS issues remainBreakthrough performance vs. cost-efficiencyAdoption rate of utility model of computingDiffusion depends on turnover in existing plantCopyright 2003GRID ComputingGeneral t

10、ext entryCommand and controlCall center useSuccess Factors Limited vocabulary and high context Dialog-oriented, interactive approach Acceptable rate of errorsCopyright 2003Speech RecognitionReportActivateDeliberateAssimilateFormulateCommunicateSenseCaptureFilterTrackImplementReviseEventBusinessRespo

11、nseAwarenessActionDecisionBusiness strategy firstReduce delaysReduced error ratesInformation precision and timelinessRicher/More-appropriate informationLower wasteFaster reactionCopyright 2003Real-Time Enterprise - RTETrough ofDisillusionmentSlope ofEnlightenmentPlateau ofProductivityTechnologyTrigg

12、erPeak of InflatedExpectationsReal-timeAnalyticsWeb ServicesMass RFID TaggingMEMS sensorsWirelessWebWirelessLANRT Integration brokersWireless MessagingDataWarehouseBusiness Process ManagementLanguagesContent ManagementInfantAdolescentMatureWebcastingRules EnginesHome BroadbandAutomatic text categori

13、sationEvent Mgt. CommercialGrid InfrastructureSelf-healingInfrastructureCopyright 2003Maturity of RTE TechnologiesVoIP on WAN issues QoS control Economics vs carrier trends IP variable latency Standards and interoperabilityIP telephony issues Features vs PBX Scalability Reliability QoS and sharing n

14、etworks InteroperabilitySome Missing Features Attendant console Least cost routing Busy override Trunk callback queuing Blind transferLess then 500 phones; VoIP over WANLarge IP Telephony (500 or more phones)Very Large IP telephony (2,000 or more phones)Copyright 2003IP TelephonyConceptsToolsDevelop

15、DeployService-OrientedArchitecture(SOA)Service-OrientedDevelopment ofApplications(SODA)WebServiceArchitecture(WSA) Interface Separation Wrapping (Reflection) Description Dynamism Assembly Composition Discovery Orchestration Contracts Messages Repository Servers Prog. Model Platform Standards Organiz

16、ationWeb Service ProducerPlatforms(WSPP)SODASOACopyright 2003Service Orientation to SoftwareCommon Internet protocols (e.g., TCP/IP HTTP)Extensible Markup Language (XML)Simple Object Access Protocol (SOAP)Web Services Definition Language (WDSL)Universal Description, Discovery and Integration (UDDI)W

17、S-Transaction, BPEL4 WS, WSCIIn placeKey:Liberty, PassportWS-Security, Security Assertions Markup Language (SAML)Web Services for Remote Portals (WSRP), Web Services User Interface (WSUI)FormatTransportMessageDescriptionSearch & FindCoordinationUser InterfaceIdentifyingStandardNeedBusinessSemant

18、icsebXML, RosettaNetEmergingEstablishedEntrenchedSecurityTrustIdentityCopyright 2003Emerging Web Services StandardsBuilding TrustApplicationsInspectionSurveysFormsAnnotationPersonalization of e-mailNote taking Embedded in OS as extension Focus on ink not recognition Two form factors Tablet (niche) Convertible Notebook(price premium and uncertain acceptance) Copyright 2003Tablet PCsThe Top 10 Instant Messaging RFID Tags Network Security Platform Location-Based Services Grid Computing Speech Recognition Real-Time